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Geng 360

Chapter 5 discusses Present Worth Analysis, focusing on formulating alternatives, evaluating single and equal-life alternatives, and capitalized cost evaluations. It outlines methods for comparing mutually exclusive and independent projects, emphasizing the importance of calculating present worth (PW) to determine economic justification. The chapter also includes examples and methodologies for analyzing different-life alternatives and capitalized costs for long-term projects.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
9 views55 pages

Geng 360

Chapter 5 discusses Present Worth Analysis, focusing on formulating alternatives, evaluating single and equal-life alternatives, and capitalized cost evaluations. It outlines methods for comparing mutually exclusive and independent projects, emphasizing the importance of calculating present worth (PW) to determine economic justification. The chapter also includes examples and methodologies for analyzing different-life alternatives and capitalized costs for long-term projects.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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CHAPTER 5

Present Worth Analysis


Covered Topics

1. Formulating alternatives

2. Single and equal-life alternatives

3. Different-life alternatives

4. Capitalized cost alternative evaluation

5. Independent alternatives
Formulating Alternatives
Types of alternatives
 Mutually exclusive (ME) - only one viable project can
be accepted. Do-nothing (DN) alternative is selected if
none are justified economically
• Single alternative
• Multiple alternatives

 Independent - more than one project can be selected.


DN is one of the projects
PW of a Single Alternative
Example: MARR = 10%
Single project analysis First cost, P = $-2500
Annual revenue, R = $2000
• Calculate PW at stated Annual cost, AOC = $-900
Salvage value, S = $200
MARR Life, n = 5 years

PW = P +S(P/F,10%,5)
+ (R-AOC)(P/A,10%,5)
• Criterion: If PW ≥ 0, = -2500 + 200(P/F,10%,5)
+ (2000-900)(P/A,10%,5)
= $1794
project is economically
justified PW > 0; project is
economically justified
Types of PW Analysis Problems

1. PW Analysis of Equal-Life Alternatives

2. PW Analysis of Different-Life Alternatives


Equal-life ME Alternatives

• Calculate PW of each alternative at MARR

• Equal-service of alternatives is assumed

• Selection criterion: Select alternative with most favorable PW


value, that is,

numerically largest PW value

PW1 PW2 Select Note :


$-1,500 $-500 2 Not the
absolute
-2,500 500 2 value

2,500 1,500 1
Equal-life ME Alternatives

• Example:
Two ME cost alternatives for traffic analysis. Revenues
are equal. MARR is 10% per year. Select one.

Estimate Electric-powered Solar-powered

P, $/unit -2,500 -6,000


Annual operating cost -900 -50
AOC, $/year
Salvage, $ 200 100

n, years 5 5
Equal-life ME Alternatives
Determine PWE and PWS; select best PW

PWE = -2500-900(P/A,10%,5)+200(P/F,10%,5)
= $-5788

PWS = -6000-50(P/A,10%,5)+100(P/F,10%,5)
= $-6127

Conclusion: cost of the Electric is less than the cost


of Solar; select electric-powered.
Equal-life ME Alternatives

Example:
Adam plans to buy a used car. He has two options as shown:

Escort Corolla
Purchase Cost $5000 $7500
Maintenance Cost / Year $900 $500
Salvage Value $2000 $3000
Life (years) 3 3

Which one should he buy at 10% interest?


Equal-life ME Alternatives
$2,000
+
Option A

Cash
flow
0 1 2 3 Time

$900

$5,000

PWA = -5000 – 900(P/A,10%,3) +2000(P/F,10%,3)

= -5000 – 900(2.4869) + 2000(0.7513)

= -$5735.61
Equal-life ME Alternatives
$3,000
+
Option B

Cash
flow
0 1 2 3 Time

$500

$7,500

PWB = -7500 – 500(P/A,10%,3) + 3000(P/F,10%,3)

= -7500 – 500(2.4869) + 3000(0.7513)

= -$6489.55

PWA is better than PWB


Adam should choose option A.
Different-life Alternatives

• PW evaluation always requires equal-service between


all alternatives

• Two methods available:

o Study period (same period for all alternatives)

o Least common multiple (LCM) of lives for


alternatives

• Evaluation approach: Determine each PW at stated


MARR; select alternative with the best PW
Different-life Alternatives
Example:

A company is planning to buy a welding machine. They


have two alternatives:

Machine A Machine B

Purchase Cost $13,000 $18,000

Annual Maintenance Cost $3,500 $3,100

Salvage Value $1,000 $2,000

Life (years) 6 9

Which one should they choose at 15% interest?


1- LCM Approach

Machine A

$1,000 $1,000 $1,000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

$3,500

i=15%
$13,000

$13,000 $13,000
Machine A

PWA = -13,000 – 3,500(P/A,15%,18)


–13,000[(P/F,15%,6) + (P/F,15%,12)] +
1,000[(P/F,15%,6) + (P/F,15%,12) + (P/F,15%,18)]

= -13,000 – 3,500(6.1280) – 13,000[0.4323 + 0.1869]


+ 1,000[0.4323 + 0.1869 + 0.0808]
= -$-41,798
Another method

First calculate the PW of one life cycle:

PWA,6 = -$13K – 3.5K (P/A, 15%, 6)+$1K (P/F, 15%, 6)


= -$13K – 3.5K*(3.7845) +$1K*(0.4323)= -$25,813.45

Next, notice that this repeats every 6 years until the end of 18th
year.

0 6 12 18

i=15%

-$25,813.45

PWA = -$25,813.45[1 + (P/F, 15%, 6) + (P/F, 15%, 12)]


= -$25,813.45(1 + 0.4323 + 0.1869) = -$41,797
Machine B

$2,000 $2,000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

$3,100

i=15%
$18,000

$18,000
Machine B

PWB = -18,000 – 3,100(P/A,15%,18) –18,000 (P/F,15%,9)


+ 2,000[(P/F,15%,9) + (P/F,15%,18)]
= -18,000 – 3,100(6.1280) – 18,000(0.2843)
+ 2,000[0.2843 + 0.0808]
= -$41,384

You can work on the alternative method for


Machine B.

Decision: Choose Machine B, because

PWB is better than PWA


Different-life Alternatives

Study Period of length n years (periods)

• n is same for each alternative

• If life > n, use market value estimate in year n for


salvage value

• If life < n, estimate costs for remaining years

Estimates outside time frame of the study period are


ignored
Different-life Alternatives
Example:

Solve the same problem using a study period of:


a- 5 years. Assume the market values remain the same.

b- 6 years. Assume the market value of Machine B at the end of


6th year is $4,000.

Machine A Machine B

Purchase Cost $13,000 $18,000

Annual Maintenance Cost $3,500 $3,100

Salvage Value $1,000 $2,000

Life (years) 6 9
Part a – 5 years study period:

Machine A

$1,000

0 1 2 3 4 5 i=15%

$3,500

$13,000
Part a – 5 years study period:

Machine A

PWA = -$13,000 - $3,500(P/A,15%,5)


+ $1,000(P/F,15%,5)

= -$13,000 - $3,500(3.3522)
+ $1,000(0.4972)

= -$24,236
Part a – 5 years study period:

Machine B
$2,000

0 1 2 3 4 5 i=15%

$3,100

$18,000
Part a – 5 years study period:

Machine B

PWB = -$18,000 - $3,100(P/A,15%,5)


+ $2,000(P/F,15%,5)

= -$18,000 - $3,100(3.3522)
+ $2,000(0.4972)

= -$27,397
Decision: Choose Machine A, because

PWA > PWB


Part b – 6 years study period:

Machine A
$1,000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

$3,500
i=15%
$13,000
Part b - 6 years study period:

Machine A

PWA = -$13,000 - $3,500(P/A,15%,6)


+ $1,000(P/F,15%,6)

= -$13,000 - $3,500(3.7845)
+ $1,000(0.4323)

= -$25,813
Part b – 6 years study period:

Machine B
$4,000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

$3,100
i=15%
$18,000
Part b – 6 years study period:

Machine B

PWB = -$18,000 - $3,100(P/A,15%,6) + $4,000(P/F,15%,6)

= -$18,000 - $3,100(3.7845) + $4,000(0.4323)

= -$28,003

Decision: Choose Machine A, because

PWA > PWB


Capitalized Cost (CC)
• PW of alternatives that last ‘forever’

• Especially applicable to public project evaluation (dams,


bridges, irrigation, hospitals, police, etc.)

• CC relation is derived using the limit as n → ∞ for the P/A


factor

PW = A(P/A,i%,n) =

A
n→∞ PW =
i
Capitalized Cost (CC)
A
CC = PW =
i

• Refer to PW as CC when n is large (n → ∞). Then:

AW = CC × i

• Cash flows for CC computations are of two types:

• Recurring; and

• Non-recurring
Capitalized Cost (CC)
Recurring Costs: Costs that repeat forever with a
constant frequency; every year, every 10 years.

Nonrecurring Costs: One time Costs, or costs that


do not repeat forever.
Capitalized Cost (CC)

Procedure of finding CC

1. Draw cash flow diagram for 2 cycles of recurring cash


flows and any nonrecurring amounts
2. Calculate PW (CC) for all nonrecurring amounts
3. Find AW for 1 cycle of recurring amounts; then add
these to all A series applicable for all years 1 to ∞ (or
long life) A
4. Find CC for amount above using: CC =
i
5. Add all CC values (steps 2 and 4)
Capitalized Cost (CC)

Example:

Find CC and A values at i = 5% of long-term public project


with cash flows below. Cycle time is 13 years.

Nonrecurring costs: first $150,000; one-time of $50,000 in


year 10

Recurring costs: annual maintenance of $5000 (years 1-4)


and $8000 thereafter; upgrade costs $15,000 each 13
years
Step 1

Nonrecurring
recurring
costs
costs
It repeats
every 13 years

This cash flow can be simplified by dividing it into 4 different


cash flows as following:
$50,000
$150,000
+

+ $15,000

$5,000
+

$3,000
Step 2

$50,000
$150,000

CC of nonrecurring costs:

CC1 = ‐150,000 – 50,000(P/F,5%,10) = $‐180,695


Step 3

$15,000

$5,000

AW of recurring $15,000 upgrade:


AW = ‐15,000(A/F,5%,13) = $‐847 per year

AW of recurring maintenance costs years 1 to ∞:


AW = $‐5000 per year forever

CC for recurring upgrade and maintenance costs:


CC2 = AW/i = (‐847‐5000)/0.05 = $‐116,940
Step 4:

$3,000

CC of extra $3000 maintenance for years 5 to ∞:


CC3 =[‐3000/0.05](P/F,5%,4)= $‐49,362

A
CC =
i
Step 5:

Total CC obtained by adding all three CC components

CCT = -180,695 –116,940 –49,362= $-346,997

The AW value is the annual cost forever:

AW = CC × i = -346,997(0.05) = $-17,350
CC Evaluation of Alternatives

• For two long-life or infinite-life alternatives:

Select alternative with lower CC

• For one infinite life and one finite life:

Determine CC for finite life alternative using

AW of 1 life cycle and relation CC = AW/i

Select alternative with lower CC


CC Evaluation of Alternatives
Example:
Long-term alternative (LT): $8 million now; $25,000 renewal annual
contract .

Short-term alternative (ST): $2.75 million now; $120,000 AOC; life is n =


5 years.
Select best one at MARR = 15% per year

CCLT = -8,000,000 – 25,000/0.15 = $-8.17 million

CCST = AW/0.15
= [-2,750,000(A/P,15%,5) – 120,000]/0.15
= $-6.27 million
Select ST with lower CC of costs
CC Evaluation of Alternatives

Example:
Two sites are currently under consideration for a
bridge construction in New York City. The projected
expenses for each bridge are provided in the
following table. Compare both alternatives under a
6% interest and decide which bridge should be
chosen?
Suspension Bridge Truss Bridge

Initial Cost $30M $12M

Annual Maint. Cost $15K $8K

Resurfacing Cost every 10 $10K -


years
Painting Cost every 3 - $10K
years
Sandblast every 10 years - $45K

Purchasing right of way $2M $10.3M


Suspension Bridge

0 10 20

$15K $15K $15K

$10K $10K
$32M
CC of Nonrecurring Costs:

1. Initial investment and right-of-way cost:

-$30M initial investment


-$2M right-of-way

Both are at time 0, hence the CC of NR costs:

CCNR = -$32M

CC of Recurring Costs:

1. Annual maintenance cost:


-$15K for each year

2. Resurfacing cost every 10 years:


-$10K (A/F,6%,10)= -$3,793.5
Total Annual Equivalent of Recurring Costs:

-$15,000 -$3,793.5 = -$18,793.5

CC of the recurring costs:

CCRC = -$18,793.5 / i = -$18,793.5 / 0.06 = -$313,225

Capitalized Cost of the suspension bridge:

CCS = CCNR + CCRC

= -$32M - $313,225 = -$32,313,225


Truss Bridge

0 3 9 10 12 20

$8K

$10K $10K $10K


$45K $45K
$22.3M
CC of Nonrecurring Costs:

1. Initial investment and right-of-way cost:


-$12M initial investment
-$10.3M right-of-way

Both are at time 0, hence the CC of NR costs:

CCNR = -$22.3M

CC of Recurring Costs:

1. Annual maintenance cost:


-$8K for each year

2. Painting cost every 3 years:


-$10K (A/F,6%,3)= -$3,141.1

3. Sandblast every 10 years:


-$45K (A/F,6%,10) = -$3,414.15
Total Annual Equivalent of Recurring Costs:

-$8,000 -$3,141.1 - $3,414.15 = -$14,555.25

CC of the recurring costs:

CCRC = -$14,555.25 / i = -$ 14,555.25 / 0.06 = -$242,587.50

Capitalized Cost of the truss bridge:

CCT = CCNR + CCRC = -$22.3M - $242,587.50 = -$22,542,587.5

CCT > CCS, so choose the truss bridge.


Solved Example on capitalized cost:

Calculate the capitalized cost of a project that has an


initial cost of $150,000 and an additional investment
cost of $50,000 after 10 years. The annual operating
cost will be $5000 for the first 4 years and $8000
thereafter. In addition, there is a recurring major
rework cost of $15,000 every 13 years. Assume that
i = 5% per year.
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 26

$5K
$8K

$15K $15K

$50K
$150K
Nonrecurring Costs: (find CCNR)

1. -$150K at time 0

2. -$50K at the end of year 10:

PW50 = -$50K (P/F, 5%, 10) = -$30,695

The PW of the nonrecurring costs is:

CCNR = - $180,695
Recurring Costs: (find CC)

1. -$5K annuity starts at the end of 1st yr:

CC5K = -$5K/i = -$5K/0.05 = -$100K

2. -$3K annuity starts at the end of 5th yr:

CC’3K = -$3K/i = -$60K

But CC’3K is in fact at the end of 4th yr. So,

CC3K = -$60K(P/F,5%,4)=-$49,362
Recurring Costs: (find CC)

3. -$15K repeats every 13 years:

For one cycle, the annual worth of it:

AW15= -$15K(A/F,5%,13)=$-847

Then, the CC of -$15K is:

CC15 = -$847/0.05 = -$16,940


The total CC of all recurring costs is:

CCRC= -($100,000 + $49,362 + $16,940)

= -$166,302

The total CC of the project is:

CCT = CCNR + CCRC

= -$180,695 - $166,302

= - $346,997

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