Energy Report 2023 Digital Copy Final
Energy Report 2023 Digital Copy Final
Unless otherwise indicated, the contents of this publication may be freely used,
shared, printed, and/or stored, provided that proper credit is given to the Belize Energy
Unit, under the Ministry of Public Utilities, Energy, Logistics, and E-Governance, as
the original source and copyright holder. Material in this publication attributed to
third parties may be subject to separate terms of use and restrictions. Appropriate
permissions from these third parties may need to be secured before using such material.
Citation:
Energy Unit, Government of Belize. (2024). 2023 Belize annual energy report. Ministry
of Public Utilities, Energy, Logistics, and E-Governance. Belmopan City, Belize.
Acknowledgements
The authors and the Ministry extend their gratitude to the Line Ministries and
Departments within the Government of Belize, Belize Electricity Limited (BEL),
the Public Utilities Commission (PUC), Independent Power Producers (IPPs),
Belize Natural Energy Limited (BNE), Farmers Light Plant Corporation (FLPC),
the National Gas Company (Belize) Limited, Puma Energy Bahamas S.A.
(PUMA Energy), the Statistical Institute of Belize (SIB), and other national
energy data providers for their valuable contributions to this publication.
Disclaimer:
This publication and its contents are provided “as is.” Neither the Energy Unit nor any
of its officials, data providers, or third-party content providers offer any warranty, either
express or implied, and they accept no responsibility or liability for any consequences
arising from the use of this publication or the material contained herein. The mention
of specific companies, projects, or programs does not imply endorsement or
recommendation by the Energy Unit over others of a similar nature that are not mentioned.
Foreward
The world’s energy system continued
to experience major changes in 2023
stemming from economic and geopolitical
developments and climate change
impacts. The urgency for sustainable
energy solutions has never been more
pronounced, with countries grappling
with the predicament of ensuring energy
security while accelerating their efforts to
combat the impacts of climate change.
Having major implications for modern
economies, Energy, must be considered
central to global climate action.
This Annual Energy Report for 2023 provides a comprehensive overview of Belize’s
energy sector, examining key trends, statistics, and developments over the past year.
It highlights the progress made towards achieving the country’s energy goals and the
challenges and opportunities that lie ahead. In doing so, it aims to support analysts,
policy makers, and the public in making informed decisions that drive sustainable energy
initiatives.
I extend my sincere gratitude to the dedicated team within the Ministry of Public Utilities,
Energy, Logistics, and E-Governance for their work in producing this report. To our
partners and stakeholders who provided invaluable support throughout the process,
I thank you! Together, we are actively contributing to advancing Belize’s energy agenda
and so, shaping a sustainable and resilient energy future for all!
The Energy Unit is a subsidiary of the Ministry of Public Utilities, Energy, Logistics, and
E-Governance in Belize. Correspondence should be addressed to the main ministry, while
personal contact or referrals can be made via the following phone number and email
address. Any questions, comments, or suggestions are welcome.
» p.24 » p.32
2 Overview 24
2.1 Energy Balance
2.2 Energy Indicators
2.2.1 Energy Intensity Measure in Terms of
Primary Energy and GDP
2.2.2 Energy Import as a Share of Total
Primary Energy Supply (TPES)
2.2.3 Renewable Energy Share of Total
Primary Energy Supply
2.2.4 Percentage of Renewable Energy in
Electricity Mix
» p.42 2.2.5 Renewable Energy Generating
Capacity per Capita
3 ENERGY SUPPLY AND FINAL CONSUMPTION 32
3.1 Total Energy Supply
3.2 Energy Trade Data
3.3 Primary Energy
3.3.1 Primary Energy Supply by Fuel Type
» p.52 3.3.2 Crude Oil and Natural Gas Production
» p.62
3.4 Secondary Energy
3.4.1 Secondary Energy Supply by Fuel Type
3.4.2 Imports of Petroleum and Gas Products
3.5 Final Consumption
3.5.1 Total Final Consumption, by Fuel Type
3.5.2 Total Final Consumption, by Sector
3.5.3 Gross Electricity Consumption, by Sector
4 Electricity Sector 42
4.1 Electricity Purchase and Sales
4.2 Installed Electricity Generation Capacity
4.3 Peak Electricity Demand
4.4 Gross Electricity Production
4.5 Electricity Production by Fuel Type
4.6 Electricity Production by Plant Type
4.7 Share of Electricity Production by Source and Fuel Type
4.8 Electricity Export and Import
4.9 Electricity Losses
5 Energy Prices 52
5.1 Crude Oil Prices
5.2 Petroleum Products Price
5.2.1 Average Pump Price for Refined Petroleum Fuels
5.2.2 Annual Average Price for Liquified Petroleum Gas (LPG)
5.3 Mean Electricity Rate
5.4 Average Cost of Power
5.4.1 Average Cost of Power
5.4.2 Average Cost of Power by Technology Types
5.5 Electricity End-User Tariff
List of Tables
Table 1. Belize Energy Balance, 2023 (Simplified format)
Table 2. Belize Electricity Limited (BEL) Customer Tariff Groups and Rates, 2023
Table 3. Sustainable Development Goal 7: Targets
Table 4. Belize’s NDC (2021) Energy Sector Commitments: Targets and Actions
10
List of Figures
Figure 1. Belize National Energy Policy 2023
Figure 15. Final Energy Consumption for 2023, Disaggregated by Fuel Type
Figure 16. Final Energy Consumption for 2023, Disaggregated by Consumption Sectors
Figure 17. Electricity Consumption Timeline Across Sectors for National Utility
11
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
List of Figures
Figure 25. Electricity Flows from Sources to End-Consumption: Sankey Flowchart
12
13
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
Abbreviations
AFOLU Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use
CEPAL (Spanish) Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean
DG Distributed Generation
LED Light-Emitting-Diode
14
LPG Liquified Petroleum Gas
PV Photovoltaic
RE Renewable Energy
TJ Terajoules
UB University of Belize
15
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
Key Findings
Energy Intensity Down Total Energy Supply
Year-on-Year Improvement
0.170 toe/$1000 USD 17,724.8 TJ
In 2022 In 2023
Crude Oil: Sold locally and exported Main Imports: Petroleum products (liquid state)
16
Introduction
1.1 OVERVIEW OF REPORT
As a critical enabler of social and economic development, energy has played, and
will continue to play, a significant role today and for generations to come, serving as
the foundation of all modern economies. For Belize, a country with a relatively small
economy on the northeastern coast of Central America, energy is a vital component
that supports essential services, drives industrial growth and innovation, and enhances
the quality of life for its citizens. The tangible benefits of the energy sector for Belizean
society are far-reaching and extend across various facets of the economy, including
agriculture, production, and transportation, shaping the nation’s productivity and
competitiveness. Belize’s economic stability and growth are heavily dependent on
effective energy management and sustainable practices, highlighting the insights in this
report as indispensable.
The 2023 Belize Annual Energy Report provides a comprehensive analysis of the
country’s energy landscape, offering critical insights and data essential for policymakers,
international partners, industry stakeholders, academia, and the public. This fifth edition
of the Belize Annual Energy Report builds on previous editions, incorporating the latest
developments, trends, and statistics to present a current and accurate picture of Belize’s
energy sector.
This report highlights key aspects of energy supply, trade, consumption, pricing, and the
environmental impact of energy activities. Accordingly, this document aims to:
• Provide essential data to support informed policy decisions and strategic planning.
• Monitor and evaluate the progress and effectiveness of energy policies and initiatives.
• Serve as a valuable resource for academics and analysts studying Belize’s energy
dynamics.
17
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
The report is organized into six chapters, each focusing on a specific aspect of the energy
sector:
1. Introduction: This chapter sets the stage for the report, outlining its scope and
structure. It also highlights the Belize Energy Policy Framework, providing context for
the strategic direction in the energy sector.
2. Overview: This chapter presents Belize’s National Energy Balance and key Energy
Indicators, offering a high-level summary of the current state of the energy sector,
including major trends over the past decade and the past year.
3. Energy Supply and Final Consumption: This chapter examines the sources of
energy supply and their contribution to the overall energy mix. It also provides an
analysis of energy production, trade, and consumption patterns.
4. Electricity Sector: This chapter focuses on the electricity market, covering aspects
of electricity capacity, generation, sales, and trade data. It also explores the role of
renewable energy sources in electricity generation.
5. Energy Prices: This chapter offers an analysis of energy prices across different
segments, including petroleum products and electricity. It compares Belize’s energy
prices with regional benchmarks.
The Belize Annual Energy Report aims to provide a clear understanding of the current
energy landscape while offering valuable insights for future developments in the sector.
18
1.2 ENERGY POLICY FRAMEWORK
Energy systems are a powerful tool for sustainable development, but the key challenge
is expanding access to affordable, reliable, and adequate energy services while
addressing environmental impacts at all levels. To achieve this, significant policy changes
are needed within the broader enabling environment (United Nations Development
Programme, 2000). As the energy landscape rapidly evolves, there is an urgent need
for energy policies that reflect the needs and inputs of various stakeholders to effectively
address emerging challenges.
In Belize, the energy policy landscape began in 2012 when the Government of Belize
endorsed the National Energy Policy Framework, outlining the country’s strategic
approach to energy management. This policy aimed to foster sustainable energy
development by integrating energy more deeply into Belize’s development, enhancing
energy security, and promoting energy efficiency and renewable energy sources. The
National Energy Policy Framework highlighted the need for energy planning which led
to the formulation of the Belize Energy Unit, acting as the administrative agent of the
energy sector responsible for planning and policymaking.
Following the National Energy Policy Framework, the National Sustainable Energy
Strategy and Action Plan was developed and endorsed in 2015. This strategic policy
document outlines a comprehensive approach to achieving energy security, sustainability,
and economic development through the increased use of energy efficiency measures
and renewable energy sources. The plan details the integration of diverse renewable
energy and energy-efficient technologies across key sectors and the promotion of energy
conservation practices. It also emphasizes capacity building, regulatory reforms, and
international cooperation to support these initiatives, ensuring resilient and sustainable
energy system for Belize.
The National Energy Policy Framework, which initiated the national energy agenda in
2012, along with the subsequent energy-related strategies, remains relevant but needs
to be updated due to technological advancements and shifting global energy markets.
Therefore, it is imperative to develop a new energy policy framework that addresses the
current needs of Belize’s economy, environment, and citizens.
19
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
The National Energy Policy 2023-2040 aims to transform the energy sector into a driver of
sustainable development and economic growth by implementing comprehensive energy
strategies, introducing new regulations and investing in energy infrastructure. These
efforts will significantly contribute to the country’s medium-term development plans and
climate commitments. The policy outlines seven key objectives, as detailed below:
20
5. Improving Governance in the Energy Sector:
a. Central Governing Body: Establish a central governing body (Department) by
law.
21
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
Under the PUC, regulator for the electricity sector in Belize, a process for the revision
of the “Electricity Licensing and Consent Regulations” was initiated in 2023. According
to the PUC, the newly proposed regulations aims to modernize the existing regulatory
environment for electricity supply, transmission, distribution, and storage. These
regulations represent a transformational shift in the electricity sector by making provisions
for the integration of renewable energy sources through the expansion of licensing
categories. The proposed range of electricity licensing categories accommodates various
energy producers, ranging from small residential generators to large-scale utility projects
such as wind and solar farms. Concurrently, an application for a revised tariff schedule
that reflects both consumption and production (grid-tied distributed generation and
feed-in) was submitted by Belize Electricity Limited (BEL) to the PUC. This application
examined demand rates and provisions for selling excess electricity back to the grid.
These regulatory changes in the electricity sector represent a significant decision point
in Belize’s pursuit of a more sustainable and resilient energy future, where distributed
energy source integration forms a part of a modern and smart energy system.
By leveraging the use of the amended regulations, the aim is to encourage and accelerate the
penetration of distributed generation, bringing Belize closer to its renewable energy targets.
22
The National Energy Policy
aims to enhance the
regulatory environment
to support DG and Grid
Connectivity, ensuring
a resilient & sustainable
energy infrastructure.
23
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
2 OVERVIEW
2.1 ENERGY BALANCE
According to the International Recommendations for Energy Statistics (2017), an energy
balance “is an accounting framework for the compilation and reconciliation of data on all
energy products entering, exiting, and used within the national territory of a given country
during a reference period.” Overall, an energy balance acts as a foundational tool for
gathering insight into a country’s energy dynamics. Consistent and precise reporting is
crucial for informed decision-making, effective strategic planning, and fostering a framework
to assess the effectiveness of initiatives aimed at attaining both national and global energy
and environmental goals.
The energy balance table (EBT) presents the supply-to-demand flow of all energy products
(Figure 2). Belize’s energy balance for 2023 is presented in Table 11, showing energy flows
in energy equivalence, terajoules (TJ).
24
» Table 1. Belize Energy Balance, 2023 (Simplified format)
Total Final Energy Consumption 695.1 0.0 9,064.4 0.0 0.0 611.8 2,455.1 0.0 12,826.3
Manufacturing Sector
527.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 119.8 0.0 646.8
Transport 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6,682.2
Notation: - = Not Applicable, NR = Data Not Reported | Notes: 1 Oil products: Motor Gasoline, Diesel Oil,
Kerosene, Fuel Oil, Aviation Fuels, and Liquified Petroleum Gas. 2 Biofuels: Bagasse and Firewood. 3 Figures
exclude distributed generation from renewable sources.
25
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
Under SDG 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy), Target 7.3 calls for the doubling of the global
rate of improvement in energy efficiency by 2030. Energy intensity, which is generally
defined as “the amount of energy used to produce a given output or service,” is used as
the indicator to measure an economy’s energy efficiency. For Belize, the energy intensity
measure represents “total primary energy supply in tons of oil equivalent (toe) per thousand
USD of GDP.” In accordance with SDG 7.3.1, this serves as a proxy indicator to track
Belize’s progress in energy efficiency.
The latest information2 provides energy intensity levels for Belize over a period of ten years,
showing a year-on-year improvement in energy intensity, measuring 0.170 toe/$1000
USD in 2022 (Figure 3). While this trend is positive, more work is needed to accelerate
improvements in energy efficiency to meet both national and global goals. Much of the
potential for improvement hinges on prioritizing energy efficiency measures within policy
frameworks and investments, as well as related avoided energy demand measures. Belize’s
National Energy Policy 2023-2040 recognizes the critical step of reducing energy intensity
across all sectors through collaboration with key governmental and non-governmental
entities.
2 Energy intensity levels for 2023 will be produced upon official release of updated GDP data from the Statistical Institute of Belize.
26
The International Energy Agency (IEA) refers to energy efficiency as the “first fuel,”
representing the cleanest, cheapest, and most reliable source of energy, allowing
countries to reduce consumption while still providing full energy services to the economy
(International Energy Agency, 2022). Thus, energy efficiency important for supporting
economic growth and resilience while accelerating the clean energy transition.
27
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
Belize’s dependency on energy imports has long been a point of contention and an important
element of energy security, which remains at the top of Belize’s energy agenda. Belize’s
National Energy Policy 2023 – 2040 outlines the need to increase indigenous energy sources
within the energy supply mix as a critical step to reducing costs, diversifying the energy
supply with a focus on renewable energy, decreasing the demand for foreign currency,
developing new infrastructure, and creating employment opportunities (Ministry of Public
Utilities, Energy, Logistics, and E-Governance (MPUELE), 2023).
» Figure 4. Energy Import as Share of Total Primary Energy Supply, 2014 – 2023
With a heightened focus on energy security, many governments, including Belize, are
promoting renewable energy, recognizing the opportunities a renewable-based economy
and society can offer.
28
As wind and solar technologies advance rapidly, both in terms of technology and cost,
Belize can tap into its unused renewable energy potential to replace fossil fuels in its energy
mix. According to the Renewables 2022 Global Status Report (2022), countries with higher
shares of renewables in their total energy consumption enjoy a greater level of energy
independence and security.
The need to shift our energy systems away from fossil fuels to low carbon energy sources,
supports decarbonization and improves resilience. Assessing the percentage of renewable
energy in a nation’s electricity mix evaluates the progress of the energy system towards
sustainability and its role in advancing the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. Belize’s
electricity mix encompasses renewable energy sources such as hydro, biofuel (bagasse),
and solar PV.
Belize’s Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) call for a renewable energy target of
“75% of gross generation coming from renewable energy sources by 2030” (Government
of Belize, 2021). As of 2023, electricity generation from renewable sources experienced
a notable decline, dropping from 52.9% in 2022 to 38.0% (Figure 6). Several factors
likely contributed to this decline, including unfavourable climatic conditions, particularly
precipitation patterns, which affected agricultural productivity and, consequently, renewable
energy generation. This, in turn, reduced the renewable share in the electricity mix. Notably,
while hydro and biomass production declined, solar PV saw a marginal increase.
29
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
As depicted in Figure 6, the sharp decline in 2023 and the trend over recent years underscores
the difficulties in sustaining a consistent level of renewable energy in the national electricity
mix. This highlights the importance of having a localized and diversified renewable energy
portfolio to mitigate such fluctuations. Additionally, it emphasizes the need for infrastructure
development and investment in renewable energy projects to make meaningful strides
towards Belize’s energy transition.
In alignment with SDG indicator 7.b.1/12.a.1, this measure tracks the installation of renewable
energy generating capacity in developing countries, expressed in watts per capita. In 2023,
Belize installed 201.4 watts per capita of renewable energy generating capacity (Figure 7).
Notably, this figure is well below the 2022 average of 293 watts per capita for developing
countries, as reported in the Tracking SDG 7: The Energy Progress Report (International
Energy Agency; International Renewable Energy Agency; United Nations Statistics Division;
World Bank; & World Health Organization, 2024).
Over the past five years, the rate of renewable energy generating capacity in Belize has
remained relatively stable, with capacity increasing from 198.1 watts per capita in 2019 to
201.4 watts per capita in 2023 (Figure 7).
30
This steady trend indicates that although investments in renewable infrastructure have
continued, the rate of growth has remained modest. This may be due to factors such as
regulatory challenges, financial limitations, and some limitations in data coverage related to
DG installations across Belize.
In general, the trend underscores the urgent need for greater support and investment to
scale up renewable energy generation, both to meet Belize’s growing energy demands
and to advance its national sustainability goals. The introduction of electricity regulatory
reforms, including new license classifications and rate schedules, represents a strategic
response to accelerate renewable energy growth in Belize.
31
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
While overall total primary energy supply continues to grow to meet demand, driven by the
significant rebound of economic activities following the COVID-19 pandemic, it has remained
relatively stable over the last two years (Figure 9). Still, Belize’s population and GDP are
projected to rise over the coming years with expected impacts on energy demand and fuel
usage. This anticipated growth requires key consideration of Belize’s energy supply mix
and the implementation of energy intensity reduction initiatives (Ministry of Public Utilities,
Energy, Logistics, and E-Governance (MPUELE), 2023).
32
» Figure 9. Historical Timeline of Total Primary Energy Supply, 2019 – 2023
Following the trend of previous years, energy trade data in 2023 reveals a striking dependency
on imports, which accounted for 99.5% of total energy trade, equating to 12,551.7 TJ (Figure
10). This underscores the limited contribution of domestic energy exports in the energy trade
balance and highlights the challenges in achieving energy self-sufficiency. These findings
emphasize the need for strategic planning to diversify Belize’s energy sources and enhance
domestic production capabilities.
33
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
In 2005, Belize Natural Energy Limited (BNE) made the first commercial oil discovery in
the Spanish Lookout community in Belize, which is currently producing an average of 425
barrels of oil per day. In 2009, a second commercial discovery was made in the Never Delay
area in Belize, with current production averaging 7 barrels of oil per day. According to the
Geology and Petroleum Department of Belize (2022), oil produced in Belize is sold locally,
exported to the US Gulf Coast, and transported overland to Guatemala.
34
According to Figure 12, Belize’s production of crude oil and natural gas reveals a clear
downward trend, with output steadily declining each year. The only exception was a spike
in natural gas production in 2022, which then returned to consistent levels in 2023. This
consistent decrease over time highlights the challenges being faced, whether due to
resource depletion, operational constraints, shifting market dynamics, or a combination
of these factors.
35
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
Over the past five years, the supply of petroleum products in Belize has experienced
significant fluctuations across various categories (Figure 14)3. Regular gasoline has shown
a notable upward trend, rising from 21.9 million gallons in 2019 to 26.4 million gallons in
2023. In contrast, the supply of premium gasoline has drastically declined, possibly indicating
a shift in consumer preference toward more cost-effective fuel options or changes in fuel
consumption patterns. The supply of diesel has remained relatively stable over the timeline,
whilst the supply of kerosene has seen significant growth in recent years. Additionally, the
supply of fuel oils used for electricity generation has been highly volatile.
The supply of aviation fuels in Belize remains relatively small in scale compared to the
overall supply of petroleum products. However, jet fuel kerosene has shown a significant
upward trend, increasing from 1.4 million gallons in 2019 to 8.6 million gallons in 2023,
reflecting both the recovery and growth in the aviation sector in Belize.
3 For more detailed information on imports of petroleum products, see Appendix B: Data Table 8.
36
» Figure 14. Volume of Petroleum Products Imported in 2023
For 2023, Belize’s final energy consumption totalled 12,826 TJ – an increase of nearly 3%
from the previous year. Figure 15 below shows the breakdown of this 12,826 TJ into its
component fuels. Gasoline and diesel being used for transportation purposes dominate
Belize’s final consumption, followed closely by electricity. To reduce the country’s reliance
on energy imports and lower global carbon emissions, it is crucial to explore ways for
homes and businesses to decrease their consumption of these increasingly expensive and
market-volatile commodities4.
4 See Chapter 5: Energy Prices for local and international pricing trends.
37
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
» Figure 15. Final Energy Consumption for 2023, Disaggregated by Fuel Type
Figure 165,6 shows a different breakdown of the same 12,826 TJ of final energy consumption
by specific usage sectors. The largest sector, Transport, is nearly twice as the large as
the second-largest sector, Residential. This aligns with the predominance of gasoline
and diesel shown in the previous figure. Although limitations in data coverage prevent
us from making definitive statements about energy allocations within the Manufacturing,
Agriculture and Commercial sectors, the Energy Unit believes that the overall picture
accurately reflects reality. Thus, the Transport, Residential, and Commercial sectors
should be the primary focus for energy efficiency and conservation efforts.
5
The consumption sector named ‘Manufacturing, Construction, Non-fuel Mining Industries’ follows the IRES classification and includes
the further classifications: ‘Non-metallic minerals’, ‘Machinery’, ‘Mining and quarrying’, ‘Food and tobacco’, ‘Paper pulp and print’, ‘Wood
and wood products’, ‘Construction’, and ‘Not elsewhere specified.’
6
The consumption sector named ‘Transport’ follows the IRES classification and includes further classifications: ‘Road’, ‘Domestic Aviation’,
‘Domestic Marine Navigation’ and ‘Not elsewhere specified.’
38
» Figure 16. Final Energy Consumption for 2023, Disaggregated by Consumption Sectors
Focusing on final energy consumption in the electricity sector, Figure 17 below shows
the historical changes in consumption sectors over the past 10 years. It reflects electricity
consumption within BEL’s national grid and is based on BEL’s customer tariff groupings,
with the ‘Social’ tariff group aggregated into the ‘Residential’ category. It is interesting to
note that the Commercial sector, more so than the Residential sector, has experienced a
significant increase in electrical demand over the past 2-3 years, possibly due to a rebound
from COVID-19 economic slump. Given that demand is expected to rise with increases
in ambient temperatures (Ministry of Sustainable Development, Climate Change, and
Disaster Risk Management, 2021) and population growth, mitigating electrical consumption
will become increasingly crucial, especially in the commercial sector.
39
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
» Figure 17. Electricity Consumption Timeline Across Sectors for National Utility
40
41
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
4 ELECTRICITY SECTOR
4.1 ELECTRICITY PURCHASE AND SALES
As the national utility company, Belize Electricity Limited (BEL) is licensed by the Public
Utilities Commission (PUC) to supply and distribute electricity to Belizean consumers. BEL
generates some electricity from power plants they own and operate, but they also buy
electricity from Independent Power Producers (IPPs). Additionally, BEL imports a significant
quantity of electricity from the Comisión Federal de Electricidad (CFE), the Mexican utility
company. They then manage the distribution and sales of this combined electricity supply
to customers connected to their grid through metered connections. In 2023, BEL sold a total
of 659 GWh of electricity to their customers, spread out across its customers, distributed
across different tariff groups (See section 3.5.3 for breakdown). These are their recorded
sales after accounting for Transmission and Distribution losses (see section 4.9 for analysis).
Another company that supplies and distributes electricity at a smaller scale is the Farmer’s
Light Plant Corporation, which caters to the community of Spanish Lookout in the Cayo
District. Farmer’s Light Plant Corporation reports total sales of 19.9 GWh for 2023.
Data is not yet available on sales within recently created rural microgrids such as La Gracia
and Indian Creek.
It should be noted here that, as part of the focus on energy access and bringing power
to underserved rural communities, several Solar PV microgrids have been funded and
developed in partnerships with international funding agencies.
42
These include completed systems that service La Gracia, Indian Creek, Golden Stream,
and Medina Bank villages, with a total combined capacity of 0.4 MW. Additionally, similar
systems are under development to serve Corazon Creek, San Benito Poite, and Jalacte
villages, with an expected total capacity of 0.79 MW. These small systems are not included
in Figure 18 below.
43
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
» Figure 19. Peak Power Demand for BEL’s Grid: Historical Timeline
44
» Figure 20. Historical Timeline of Gross Electricity Generation, 2014-2023
45
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
46
» Figure 22. Electricity Generation by Plant Type: 2019-2023
Figure 23 highlights the breakdown of electricity supply sources at their most basic
classification. In 2023, electricity imports provided nearly half of our power supply, increasing
by approximately a third from 323 GWh in 2022 and expanding and expanding its share of
the total by about 10%. Conversely, Belize’s renewable electricity decreased its share by
about 15% from 2022. Based on the analysis from sections 4.5 and 4.6, it clear that 2023
was a year in which the productivity of renewables was challenged, with climate conditions
being the most likely cause. The entire Latin American and Caribbean region was strained
by high heat, droughts, wildfires, and other extreme events that were intensified by the 2023
El Niño effect (World Meteorological Organization, 2024). This highlights the challenge of
achieving and maintaining the country’s target of 75% renewable generation (Ministry of
Sustainable Development, Climate Change, and Disaster Risk Management, 2022), even
if met, faces the challenge of stability in the prospect of climate extremes.
47
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
Figure 24 below depicts the same data ’as in Figure 23, but with the in-country generation
sources now broken down into constituent fuels. This shows us that ‘renewables’ largely
refer to hydropower and bagasse generation, with a small component so far of Solar
PV, and that ‘non-renewables’, on the other hand, consist mostly of diesel and fuel oil
generation. Stability is considered one of the main challenges in transitioning to ‘green’ or
climate-friendly energy (Harvey, 2020). Together with the 50% electricity imports, the non-
renewables in Belize have historically played a key role in stabilizing the variances in supply
caused by renewables. They can be bought on demand – at least for now – which is why
national targets like Belize’s NDC focus more on reducing dependence on fossil fuels and
imports, rather than on fully phasing them out.
48
The flowchart in Figure 25 below illustrates the processes and transitions of Belize’s
electrical energy, showing the flow from source fuels (on the left) to the electricity consumed
at the economic sector level (on the right). While the other charts have highlighted the
energy proportions by type—such as renewable versus non-renewable or imported
versus exported—this chart highlights the relative amounts of energy in the starting fuels
compared to those that are finally utilized by consumers. That is, it shows how much energy
is lost in transformation and distribution processes. As indicated by the pink portions that
do not extend to the endpoint, more than half of Belize’s starting energy is lost, particularly
in electricity ‘transformation.’ This loss is typical, and largely due to the portion of the
supply mix derived from thermal fuel combustion (including Diesel, Crude, Fuel Oil, and
Bagasse), which has historically had an efficiency rate of 33%, though modern technology
has improved this to 44% (Kirk, 2022). Other losses are attributed to transmission and
distribution processes – a small but pervasive component of national electricity losses7.
7
Note: Both Losses and Sector Consumptions indicated in this chart include both BEL and FLPC figures. No comparable
data is currently available on smaller isolated microgrids or distributed generation.
49
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
Figure 26 below depicts the changes in total electricity imports to Belize over the past ten
years. This presentation emphasizes the fluctuation and volatility in electricity imports over
the last five years – the causes of which have been discussed earlier in this chapter – in
contrast to the relative stability of the previous five years, during which similar quantities
were imported annually. Whether the pattern of high-import years, beginning in 2019,
will persist remains to be seen. What is clear, however, is that 2023 has had the largest
importation value for the decade – 12% higher than the second-highest value in 2019,
and an 85% increase since 2014, ten years ago. In addition to supply volatility, this rising
trend demonstrates the gravity of our increasing reliance on Mexico’s electric grid and the
pressing need for its mitigation.
50
4.9 ELECTRICITY LOSSES
Figure 27 details the historical progression in Transmission and Distribution (T&D) losses
for Belize Electricity Limited in particular. T&D losses are an amalgamation of technical
losses - such as line and transformer losses - and non-technical losses caused by meter
errors or unmetered consumption. These losses not only represent power wastage and
unnecessary emissions, but also unbenefited costs to the producers (Jiménez, Serebrisky,
& Mercado, 2014, p. 39) and ultimately, the consumers. Though constrained to a certain
extent by systemic and physical laws (Shenzhen CLOU Electronics Co., 2022), T & D
losses can be partially mitigated by infrastructure updates and maintenance. Figure 27 also
shows the NDC target for T & D efficiency that Belize is committed to achieving by 2030.
The trend shows only the slightest variances over the past decade, with 2023 being the
second-highest year for losses. There is a need for a national strategy to assess potential
loss reductions and maintain the loss rate at a realistic minimum.
» Figure 27. Transmission & Distribution Losses for BEL’s National Grid, 2014-2023
51
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
52
5.2 PETROLEUM PRODUCTS PRICE
The refined petroleum products commonly used in Belize, all of which are imported, include
motor gasoline (Premium and Regular), diesel, kerosene, and liquified petroleum gas. While
fuel oils, lubricants, and aviation fuels are also imported for specific sectors, this chapter
will focus on the pricing and trends of fuels commonly used by the general Belizean public.
Figure 29 summarizes fuel prices typically found at gas stations by averaging pump prices
throughout 2023 and arranging them in descending order. Although Premium gasoline is
usually the most expensive, it is also the least imported fuel by volume, with only about
one-twentieth of the quantity of Regular gasoline imported in 2023. Of interest to most
Belizeans is that the average price of Regular gasoline decreased by about 4.5% from
2022. Unsurprisingly, Regular gasoline remains the most imported fuel by volume, followed
by diesel. Diesel’s average price has decreased by a stunning 22% compared to 2022.
Kerosene averaged the same price as diesel in 2023, but its price decreased by 9.5%
compared to last year. While these figures may challenge the joke that prices only ever go
up, they bring welcome relief to our wallets—at least for 2023.
» Figure 29. Comparative Prices for Imported Refined Fuels: 2023 Average Prices
53
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
Figure 30 illustrates the historical trend in Premium gasoline prices over the past four
years, comparing these trends with those in other Central American countries for years in
which data was available. It is evident that, like Belize, neighbouring countries experienced
continuous price increases from 2020 to 2022. Whether they also saw a decrease in 2023,
as Belize did, will be confirmed when updated data becomes available. However, it is clear
that prices in Belize have consistently been higher—by about 30% during the earlier part of
the trend, and even more in 2022. The Energy Unit at present does not employ economic
experts, so a definitive analysis is beyond our scope. However, it is worth noting that many
Central American governments use fuel subsidies to make prices more affordable for their
populations (Marchán, Espinasa, & Yépez-García, 2017; Wirtz, 2024).
Similarly, Figure 31 illustrates the historical trend for Regular gasoline, comparing Belize’s
changes with those with that of other Central American nations. The trend shows comparable
movements – recent rises across the board from 2020-2022, with a decrease for Belize
in 2023 and consistently higher prices in Belize compared to its neighbours. The main
difference is that Regular gasoline prices are slightly lower than Premium across the board.
It is interesting to speculate whether a larger portion of the public in neighbouring countries
can afford Premium gasoline more easily than many Belizeans, possibly due to government
subsidies. To broaden the picture of regional comparisons, it is worth noting that in the
Organisation of Eastern Caribbean States8, a gallon9 of gasoline averaged EC$15.82 in
2023, or about BZ$11.71 (Eastern Caribbean Central Bank, 2024; Forbes Advisor, 2024).
8
Note: The Organisation of Eastern Caribbean States (OECS) integration region includes the nation states of
Antigua and Barbuda, Dominica, Grenada, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines,
plus the following overseas territories: Anguilla, The British Virgin Islands, Martinique, Guadeloupe, Montserrat.
The Eastern Caribbean Central Bank reports in Imperial Gallons, which are about 15% volumetrically smaller than the US
9
Gallons used in Belize and Central America. (Eastern Caribbean Central Bank, 2024)
54
» Figure 31. Regional Prices for Regular Gasoline: 2020-2023
We conclude our pump price analysis with Figure 32. Diesel differs from the other fuels in
this lineup in that it is consistently cheaper over time and across regions, and it experienced
the greatest price drop—at least in Belize. As noted before, future data analyses will reveal
whether other regions experienced the same price decreases as Belize in 2023. In the
Eastern Caribbean, the average price for a gallon of diesel in 2023 was EC$15.93 (Eastern
Caribbean Central Bank, 2024) or BZ$11.79 (Forbes Advisor, 2024), which is costlier than in
Belize but not comparable to Central American countries at this time. While the Energy Unit
continues to work to provide relevant and timely statisitics and plans to develop historical
trends for regional comparisons, it is notable that all three pump fuels have demonstrated
contiguous price increases across Central America in the years for which data is available.
This supports the view that Belize’s prices align with international trends.
55
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
In the OECS countries, the price of LPG in 2023 was stated as EC$38.69 for a 20-lb tank
and EC$202.31 for a 100-lb tank. (Eastern Caribbean Central Bank, 2024). This converts
to BZ$28.63 and BZ$179.72, respectively (Forbes Advisor, 2024). For comparison, based
on the 2023 average LPG price, a Belizean would pay BZ$24.20 for a 20-lb tank and
BZ$121.00 for a 100-lb tank. Generally, LPG prices are more regionally competitive for
Belizeans compared to other refined fuels.
» Figure 33. Regional Prices for Liquified Petroleum Gas (LPG): 2020-2023
In the first section of this chapter, the analysis of global crude prices showed that prices
peaked in 2022 over the past five years. As the source fuel for all other refined fuels, this
can influence their market prices downstream and may explain why 2022 saw peak prices
for all refined fuels analysed in this section.
56
5.3 MEAN ELECTRICITY RATE
The mean electricity rate (MER) is a metric published by BEL that combines all the
customer tariffs and incorporates their relative contributions. It can be treated as a proxy
for the average electricity rate paid by Belizeans. Figure 34 illustrates changes in the MER
over the past ten years. These changes have been gradual, with no significant peaks
or sudden dips, indicating that electricity prices in Belize have remained mostly stable.
However, consumers will note that while the most recent price highs in 2019 and 2020 have
decreased, any return to the lower 2016-2017 prices will take longer. Even the significant
volatility of supply that was seen in 2019, partly stemming from the need to import large
amounts of power from Mexico, and which can drive the MER upward, did not surpass the
decade’s maximum of $0.448 in 2014.
» Figure 34. Mean Electricity Rate for Belize Electricity Limited (BEL): 2014-2023
The data from the chart above has been supplemented with comparable prices from
across Central America, as shown in Figure 35 below, for the years where data is currently
available. In the most recent comparable year, 2022, the MER was lowest in Costa Rica—a
country with a high penetration of renewables (International Energy Agency (IEA), 2022),
—and highest in Honduras—also a country with a notable share of renewables and very
few electricity imports (International Energy Agency (IEA), 2021). To understand the factors
that might cause the MER—an indicator of the nation’s cost of energy—to decrease, a
deeper analysis is needed, as it cannot be attributed solely to the generation mix.
57
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
The average cost of power metric is an amalgam of costs paid by the national utility for
electricity, either bought from IPPs for redistribution or produced at its own expense for
distribution. Figure 36 shows the trend in BEL’s average cost of power for the past four
years, presented in BZD$/kWh. It can be roughly stated that for every kWh that the consumer
buys (at an average of $0.402, according to the 2023 MER), BEL has paid an average of
$0.255 to produce (in 2023). Of course, the remainder of this cost must be apportioned to
BEL’s other expenses, such as building and maintenance of transmission and distribution
infrastructure, damages from natural events such as lighting, storms, and fires, employee
salaries and other operational costs. Figure 36 shows that the average cost of power has
been slowly increasing each year. Based on this trend, it seems incumbent to expect the
MER to increase gradually as well; however, the MER trend over the past four years does
not reflect this growth. Part of the reason for this is that electricity prices are regulated by
the PUC.
58
» Figure 36. Cost of Power for Belize Electricity Limited (BEL): 2020-2023
When we disaggregate the average cost of power by type of electric generation and
consider an average for each type, we get a chart like the one below in Figure 37. This
allows us to compare the historical relative costs for the different technologies and sources
that have contributed to the national grid mix, and therefore to the overall cost of power. It is
immediately obvious that non-renewable thermals are simultaneously the most expensive
and the most price-volatile contributors to the mix. However, a comparison with Figure 39
above shows that non-renewable in-country thermals represent the smallest share in terms
of quantity and thus have little effect on the overall cost of power. Conversely the line that
most closely resembles the average cost of power line is that for imports, which consistently
represents the single largest quantitative share of the mix and therefore has the greatest
influence on its trend.
Based solely on Figure 37, one might conclude that Belize’s cost of power could be reduced
by switching to larger shares of renewables (or imports, though imports come with their own
set of challenges). However, a more comprehensive analysis of the economics of energy
systems shows that while thermal plants have higher operational costs—primarily due to
the continuous purchase of fuel—renewables are more expensive to build and install, due to
the capital costs of the technology (Tobin, 2015). Therefore, each country’s energy system
needs careful consideration to balance sustainability, independence, up-front costs, and
emissions.
59
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
» Figure 37. Cost of Power for Belize Electricity Limited (BEL): 2020-2023
The tariffs are established in the following procedure: first, BEL submits a proposed tariff
scheme to the PUC, along with a cost analysis to justify it. The PUC then assesses the
proposal and either approves it or requests changes. BEL may accept the decision or contest
it, with the latter potentially lengthening the approval process. If both parties are unable to
reach an agreement, the issue may escalate to a court case, based on an interpretation of
the laws governing BEL and the PUC—namely, the Electricity Act and the PUC Act, both
accessible on the PUC’s website.
Once a tariff scheme is approved, it goes into effect provisionally for four years. However,
BEL and the PUC conduct a review every six months, allowing for adjustments to the scheme
in response to market conditions or cost changes. In the current tariff cycle (2020–2024),
a new tariff scheme will be proposed in 2024, and once accepted, it will be in effect for the
next four years. All of BEL’s submissions and the PUC’s responses are publicly available on
the PUC’s website, and the active tariffs can be viewed on BEL’s website.
60
» Table 2. Belize Electricity Limited (BEL) Customer Tariff Groups and Rates, 2023
Tariff Rates
Social Rate
Block KWhrs Rate ($BZD/kWh)
1 0-60 $0.22)
Minimum Charge $5.00)
Residential Rates
Block KWhrs Rate ($BZD/kWh)
1 0-50 $0.33)
2 51-200 $0.38)
3 Above 200 $0.43)
Minimum Charge $10.00)
Commercial 1 Rates
(Commercial customers with average consumption less than 2,500 kWh)
Block KWhrs Rate ($BZD/kWh)
1 0-50 $0.33)
2 51-200 $0.38)
3 Above 200 $0.43)
Minimum Charge $10.00)
Commercial 2 Rates
(Commercial customers who are not classified as Commercial 1 or Industrial)
As Belize continues to develop its energy sector, a critical focus is advancing energy
sustainability and accelerating the decarbonization of the energy sector. The need for
action has become increasingly urgent due to the significant risks and impacts of climate
change, already being experienced worldwide, especially in vulnerable regions such as the
Caribbean. Belize and other Caribbean nations are experiencing the severe consequences
of climate change firsthand: more intense and frequent hurricanes, rising land and ocean
temperatures, higher sea levels, and shifting weather patterns that are affecting energy
production and threatening food security and economic stability (Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC), 2022).
The energy transition is closely linked to sustainable development; thus, the decarbonizing
the energy sector should be viewed not only as an environmental necessity but also
as a socio-economic one. According to the World Energy Transitions Outlook (2022),
governments must address the challenging issues of affordability, energy security, and
resilience. Nonetheless, transitioning to a low-carbon energy pathway is crucial for nations
to address and mitigate the compounding economic issues that disproportionately impact
ecosystems and vulnerable communities.
62
As a government who aims to be responsive, inclusive, and
participatory in sustainability and environmental protection,
Belize is committed to reducing its reliance on fossil fuels
by incorporating more renewable energy into its energy
mix. This goal aligns with the broader objectives of the
Belize National Energy Policy 2023-2040, which envisions
an energy future that stimulates social and economic
development via the provision of modern energy services
to its citizens. In addition to supporting domestic energy
resilience, these national objectives also align with efforts
to significantly impact energy consumption patterns and
reduce greenhouse gas emissions (Ministry of Public
Utilities, Energy, Logistics, and E-Governance (MPUELE),
2023).
63
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
By aligning national energy policies with global energy targets, Belize aims to ’enhance
its energy landscape, contributing to improved outcomes in combating climate change,
reducing poverty, and advancing sustainable development. Section 2.2, ‘Energy Indicators,’
summarizes national progress on energy targets to advance SDG 7.
Belize’s most recent and updated NDC was submitted in September 2021 to the United
Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Table 4 below outlines
energy specific targets and their associated actions under Belize’s NDC (2021), reflecting
its commitment to enhanced climate ambition. The next update of Belize’s NDC is scheduled
for 2025, during which new and/or updated energy-specific targets and actions will be
formulated.
64
» Table 4. Belize’s NDC (2021) Energy Sector Commitments: Targets and Actions
Action Expand the use of biomass, including bagasse, for electricity generation. SDG 2, 7, 13
Avoid 117 KtCO2e/year from the transport sector by 2030 through a 15%
reduction in conventional transportation fuel use and achieve 15%
Target SDG 7, 13
efficiency per passenger- and tonne-kilometre through appropriate
policies and investments
A key conditional variable on the development of these energy sector targets is based on the assumption that all stated
10
policies in the National Energy Policy would have been successfully implemented by 2030.
66
» Table 5. Belize National Energy Policy 2023-2040 Targets and Goals
Reduction of energy-
Greenhouse Gas related greenhouse gas Achieve a 30% reduction in
Emissions emissions, in line with NDC GHG emissions by 2030.
commitments.
67
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
The most updated energy sector emission profile forms part of Belize’s Fourth National
Communication Report, submitted to the UNFCCC. According to this report (2022),
sequestration from the Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use (AFOLU) sector
continues to help Belize maintain its status as a net emission sink, with the largest source
of greenhouse gas emission coming from the energy sector.
Figure 38 presents the latest emission figures for Belize, showing annual energy sector
GHG emissions over five reference years: 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018, and 201911. As
illustrated, emissions from the energy sector depict a general upward trend between 2012
and 2019, despite the observed temporary reduction in 2018. Emissions spiked in 2019
to the highest value over the reporting period, reaching 845.9 Gg CO2eq, reflecting a
substantial increase compared to previous years. This spike could be attributed to multiple
factors, such as higher energy demand, economic growth, and/or changes in the energy
mix, including more carbon-intensive sources because of climate change impacts on
renewable energy production.
68
Figure 39 presents further information on GHG emissions generated by various energy
sub-sector12 activities in Belize for reference years 2018 and 2019. Overall, there is a
clear upward trend in GHG emissions across most energy sub-sectors from 2018 to
2019. The transport sub-sector being the most significant contributor to this increase
in both years, rising from 460.7 Gg CO2 eq in 2018 to 544.0 Gg CO2 eq in 2019. This
highlights the growing impact of transportation activities on overall GHG emissions in
Belize. Furthermore, the energy industries sub-sector also saw a notable increase in
GHG emissions, with changes in the energy supply mix and demand effects. These trends
underscore the need for continuous efforts to transition the energy sector to more efficient
and greener technologies and strategies to meet climate and sustainable development
targets.
The sub-sectors analyzed include Energy Industries (1A1), Transport (1A3), Other Sectors (1A4), and Oil and Natural
12
Gas (1B2).
69
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
The grid emission factor for Belize is an important measure for understanding the
environmental impact of electricity consumption, especially in relation to energy access
projects and Belize’s climate change targets. Monitoring and reducing the GEF is paramount
to decarbonizing the energy sector as stipulated in multiple climate commitments for Belize,
both at the national and international levels.
70
71
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
APPENDICES
APPENDIX A: GLOSSARY OF TERMS
Biomass: Organic non-fossil material of biological origin constituting a renewable energy
source.
Energy: The capacity for doing work as measured by the capability of doing work (potential
energy) or the conversion of this capability to motion (kinetic energy).
Energy Access: A household having reliable and affordable access to both clean cooking
facilities and electricity.
Energy Efficiency: Refers to the use of technology to reduce the energy needed for a given
purpose or service (a ratio of service provided to energy input). Unlike conservation, which
involves some service reduction, energy efficiency provides energy reductions without
sacrificing service.
Energy Indicators: These are key statistic markers that offer a snapshot of the energy
sector.
Energy Intensity: A ratio of energy consumption to another metric, typically national gross
domestic product in the case of a country’s energy intensity.
Fossil Fuel: An energy source formed in the Earth’s crust from decayed organic material.
The common fossil fuels are petroleum, coal, and natural gas.
Gross Electricity Production: The sum of the electrical energy production by all generating
units/installations concerned (including pumped storage) in one year, measured at the
output terminals of the generators. (International Recommendations on Energy Statistics,
IRES)
72
Indigenous Energy Production: Any kind of extraction of energy products from natural
sources within the national territory that results in conversion to a usable form.
Installed Capacity: Sometimes termed peak installed capacity or rated capacity, means
the capacity of the facility (expressed in MW) were it to be operated continually at the
maximum capacity possible without causing damage to it (assuming any source of power
used by it to generate electricity was available to it without interruption).
Peak Load Demand: The highest simultaneous demand for electricity satisfied during the
year. Note that the electricity supply at the time of peak demand may include demand satisfied
by imported electricity, or alternatively, the demand may include exports of electricity. (IRES)
Primary Energy: Energy sources as found in their natural state before any transformation
to secondary or tertiary forms of energy.
Refined Petroleum Products: Products obtained from the processing of crude oil (including
lease condensate), natural gas, and other hydrocarbon compounds. Refined petroleum
products include but are not limited to gasolines, kerosene, distillates (including No. 2 fuel
oil), liquefied petroleum gas, asphalt, lubricating oils, diesel fuels, and residual fuels.
Renewable energy resources: Energy resources that are naturally replenishing but flow-
limited. They are virtually inexhaustible in duration but limited in the amount of energy
available per unit of time. Renewable energy resources include biomass, hydro, geothermal,
solar, wind, ocean thermal, wave action, and tidal action. (US EIA Glossary)
Secondary Energy: Refers to the more convenient forms of energy which are transformed
from other primary energy sources through energy conversion processes.
Solar Photovoltaic (PV): These are arrays of cells containing a material that converts solar
radiation into DC electricity.
Total Energy Supply: Is defined as flows representing energy entering the national territory
for the first time, energy removed from the national territory, and stock changes. The entering
flows consist of the production of primary energy products and imports of both primary
and secondary energy products. The flows removing energy from the national territory are
exports of primary and secondary energy products and international bunkers.
73
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
74 75
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
76
» Table 9. Installed Electricity Generation Capacity
77
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
78
» Table 11. LPG Prices: Regional Comparison
Central America and the Dominican Republic: National Prices
for LPG
(In BZD/lbs)
2020 2021 2022 2023
Costa Rica $0.93) $1.18) $1.19)
El Salvador $0.77) $1.03) $0.89)
Guatemala $1.05) $1.25) $1.30)
Honduras $0.77) $0.79) $0.80)
Nicaragua $0.59) $0.86) $0.98)
Panamá $0.35) $0.35) $0.35)
República Dominicana $0.91) $1.13) $1.29)
Belize $1.23) $1.42) $1.21)
Central American LPG figures from ‘Centroamérica y la República Dominicana:
estadísticas de hidrocarburos, 2022’ (pg. 21) by CEPAL. Available at:
https://www.cepal.org/es/publicaciones/69189-centroamerica-la-republica-dominicana-
estadisticas-hidrocarburos-2022
79
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
Mean Electricity Rate Across Central America and the Dominican Republic
(BZD$/kWh)
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Costa Rica $0.340) $0.322) $0.322) $0.294) $0.306) $0.316) $0.310) $0.262) $0.262)
Guatemala $0.460) $0.392) $0.372) $0.376) $0.378) $0.386) $0.396) $0.410) $0.448)
Honduras $0.358) $0.258) $0.260) $0.290) $0.306) $0.380) $0.356) $0.366) $0.470)
Nicaragua $0.432) $0.408) $0.382) $0.376) $0.376) $0.386) $0.436) $0.390) $0.392)
Panamá $0.376) $0.410) $0.324) $0.346) $0.354) $0.362) $0.358) $0.326) $0.362)
República Dominicana $0.350) $0.350) $0.360) $0.340) $0.332) $0.312) $0.284) $0.300) $0.352)
Belize $0.448) $0.386) $0.364) $0.375) $0.388) $0.421) $0.422) $0.408) $0.401) $0.402)
Central American data from: Estadísticas del subsector eléctrico de los países del
Sistema de la Integración Centroamericana (SICA), 2022 (pg. 30). Available at:
https://www.cepal.org/es/publicaciones/68763-estadisticas-subsector-electrico-paises-
sistema-la-integracion-centroamericana
80
81
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
For biofuels (bagasse), the FORECAST.ETS Excel function was employed for the calculation
of steam production data for Belcogen in 2023, using data from the previous five years (2018
– 2022). The excel function returns a statistical value based on time series forecasting for
steam production.
For biofuels (firewood), 2021 and 2022 firewood estimates were recalculated due to revised
population estimates published by the Statistical Institute of Belize (SIB) following the results
of the 2022 Census. Firewood estimates for 2023 was calculated using “Households by
Major Administrative Area and Main Type of Cooking Fuel” data, taken from the September
Labour Force Survey administered by SIB.
For international bunkers (aviation fuels), its volume is assumed to equate to Total Imports
– (minus) domestic aviation fuel consumption (done separately for aviation gasoline and jet
fuel kerosene).
For energy intensity, the unit of measure remains as tons of oil equivalent per $1,000 USD
of GDP, as stipulated by the International Energy Agency and the International Atomic
Energy Agency (2005). Annual GDP statistics for 2023 from SIB were unavailable during
the production of this report. Hence, once updated GDP data for 2023 becomes available,
the updated energy intensity parameter for Belize will be calculated and published.
For renewable energy generating capacity (watts per capita), results were recalculated
because of revisions to the generating RE capacity and new population estimates, resulting
in changes to the overall renewable energy generating capacity over the timeline presented.
82
Section 3.3 Primary Energy:
The energy supply represented by Belize’s consumption of fuelwood or firewood for 2023
as well as in earlier annual energy reports, is not quantified by direct measurement or
monitoring. Instead, it is derived from yearly estimates based on population and labour
force survey data published by the Statistical Institute of Belize, with the baseline being
the 2010 national census.
It should also be noted that while BEL utilizes five tariff groupings - residential, social,
commercial, industrial, and street lighting. For the purposes of this report, the social and
residential groupings have been aggregated into one category, resulting in four main
groups.
83
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
Previous AER editions used a simple arithmetic mean. The 2023 report also included
recalculated average values for previous years to facilitate year-to-year comparisons.
The historical price trends from Central American countries, were obtained from the Comisión
Económica para América Latina (CEPAL) publication Centroamérica y la República
Dominicana: Estadísticas de Hidrocarburos, 2022 (page 18), which provided figures up to
2022. This publication reported prices in USD per gallon, but it did not specify whether these
were US gallons or Imperial gallons. There was no specification on whether this meant US
Gallons or Imperial Gallons. The 2023 AER analysis treated these figures as US gallons,
aligning with Belize’s practice, under the supposition that like Belize, American technologies
are readily distributed across the continental mainland. The 2023 AER assumes that
“Premium Gasoline” in Belize is comparable to “Gasolina prémium sin plomo” in the CEPAL
publication. The same assumption was made for ‘Regular Gasoline’ and ‘Gasolina regular
sin plomo’. The CEPAL report notes that the stated prices are drawn from urban or capital
city prices, except for Costa Rica, which has a national average cited. In Belize, all prices
reflect national averages.
Section 5.2.2 Annual Average Price for Liquified Petroleum Gas (LPG):
Unlike previous AER editions, national averages for LPG were calculated by a weighted
average method: multiplying the prices by the number of days for which those prices were
effective, then distributing among 365 days in a year. Effective price dates are collated from
the Supplies Control Unit Press Releases found via social media. Previous AER editions
used a simple arithmetic mean, applied quarterly. Comparison between years within the
2023 report was also conducted using recalculated average values for previous years.
The historical price trends from Central American countries were accessed from the
Comisión Económica para América Latina (CEPAL) publication Centroamérica y la República
Dominicana: Estadísticas de Hidrocarburos, 2022 (page 21), with figures available up to
2022. This publication provided prices in USD$ per 25 lbs-tank. For this analysis, a 2:1
conversion factor for BZD to USD was applied, and the converted price was divided by a
factor of 25 to create figures comparable to Belize’s pricing in BZD per pound. The CEPAL
report notes that prices are drawn from urban or capital city prices, except for Costa Rica,
which reports a national average. In Belize, all prices reflect national averages.
84
APPENDIX D:
MEASUREMENT/CONVERSION UNITS
This section provides a summary of the units used throughout the 2023 Annual Energy
Report, along with their definitions and derivations (Table 12 and 13). Included are some
conversions to the metric system. While Belize has historically used both Imperial and
American units, recent movements towards an internationally recognized standard has
prompted the incorporation of metric-derived systems.
Economics
All dollars and cents that are referenced in this report are in Belize dollars (BZD), unless
stated otherwise. Each Belize dollar is exchanged at a rate of approximately 0.5 to 1 US
dollar. GDP is measured in Belize dollars, while GDP per capita is measured in Belize
dollars per person (BZD/person).
Area
Spatial area, which is used to quantify land and land uses, is measured in km2.
Volume
Instead of the corresponding SI units of cubic metres (m³) or kilolitres (kL) for volume, barrels
(bbl) and US gallons (US Gal) are used for the volumetric measurement of liquid fuels such as
gasoline and diesel. One barrel is equivalent to 159 litres, and one US gallon equals 3.8 litres.
For gaseous fuels, such as natural gas, the measurement unit used is thousand cubic feet (Mcf).
Mass
For most solid fuel masses, the standard SI unit is kilotons (kt) or thousand tonnes (10³ t).
In Belize, the import and retail of gaseous fuels such as Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG),
are measured in pounds (lbs), where 1 pound is equivalent to 0.5 kilograms (kg) in SI unit.
Quantities of fuels, regardless of their physical state, may often be expressed in energy
units, as shown below.
Energy/Power
The standard SI unit of energy, the joule, is key to this report, along with its common multiples:
the Terajoule (TJ) and Gigajoule (GJ). Also important is the Watt-hour, which measures
energy in the context of electricity, and its multiples: the Kilowatt-hour (KWh), Megawatt-
hour (MWh) and Gigawatt-hour (GWh). One (1) KWh is equivalent to 0.0036 GJ. Barrels-
of-oil-equivalent (boe) are also used to measure energy, with each boe corresponding to
0.00581 TJ. Similarly, tons-of-oil-equivalent (toe), equivalent to 0.04184 TJ, are used.
Power is measured in Watts and its multiples: Kilowatts, Megawatts, and Gigawatts. Electric
potential, which denotes the charge-carrying capacity of electric power lines, is measured
in kilovolts (kV), an SI unit.
85
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
86
APPENDIX E: REFERENCE
Asghar, Z. (2008). Energy-GDP Relationship: A Casual Analysis for the Five Countries
of South Asia. Applied Econometrics and International Development, 8(1). Retrieved
from https://www.usc.gal/economet/reviews/aeid8114.pdf
Belize Electricity Limited. (2020). 2019 Annual Report. Belize City: Belize Electricity
Limited. Retrieved from https://www.bel.com.bz/annual_reports/Annual%20Report%20
2019.pdf
Belize Electricity Limited. (2022). 2021 Annual Report. Belize City: Belize Electricity
Limited. Retrieved from https://www.bel.com.bz/annual_reports/Annual%20Report%20
2021.pdf
Belize Electricity Limited. (2023). BEL 2022 Annual Report . Belize City: Belize
Electricity Limited.
Bunker, K., Torbert, R., & al., e. (2018). Belize Consolidated Project Plan. Rocky
Mountain Institute.
Eastern Caribbean Central Bank. (2024, July). Fuel Price Tracker. Retrieved from
Eastern Caribbean Central Bank: Dashboard: https://www.eccb-centralbank.org/eccu-
fuel-price-tracker
Energy Unit. (2021). 2020 Belize Energy Balance. Belmopan: Ministry of Public
Utilities, Energy and Logistics.
Forbes Advisor. (2024, August 20). Convert United States Dollar To East Caribbean
Dollar. Retrieved from Forbes Advisor Currency Converter: https://www.forbes.com/
advisor/money-transfer/currency-converter/usd-xcd/
Geology and Petroleum Department. (2021, March 23). Belize Petroleum Industry.
Retrieved from Ministry of Economic Development and Petroleum: https://med.gov.bz/
belize-petroleum-industry/
Greening the Grid. (n.d.). Distributed Generation. Retrieved from Greening the Grid:
https://greeningthegrid.org/integration-in-depth/distributed-generation
Harvey, S. (2020, September). Smart, Stable, Reliable-Smart grids and nuclear power
in low carbon energy systems. Retrieved from International Atomic Energy Agency -
Bulletins: https://www.iaea.org/bulletin/smart-stable-reliable
88
International Energy Agency (IEA). (2020). Global Energy Review 2020. Retrieved
from International Energy Agency - Reports: https://www.iea.org/reports/global-energy-
review-2020
International Energy Agency (IEA). (2023, December). Oil Market Report - December
2023. Retrieved from IEA Reports: https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-market-report-
december-2023
International Energy Agency (IEA). (2023, December 31). Unit Converter. Retrieved
from IEA Data and Statistic: Data Tools: https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-
tools/unit-converter
International Energy Agency. (2022, March). Global Energy Review: CO2 Emissions in
2021. Paris: International Energy Agency. Retrieved from https://www.iea.org/reports/
global-energy-review-co2-emissions-in-2021-2
89
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
Manzano M., O., & Vernon, D. (2018). Oil in Belize: New sector in a young country.
Retrieved from Science Direct: The Extractive Industries and Society: https://doi.
org/10.1016/j.exis.2017.06.003
Marchán, E., Espinasa, R., & Yépez-García, A. (2017, November). he Other Side of
the Boom: Energy Prices and Subsidies in Latin America and the Caribbean during
the Super-Cycle. Retrieved from IDB Publications: https://publications.iadb.org/en/
other-side-boom-energy-prices-and-subsidies-latin-america-and-caribbean-during-
super-cycle
Masson, M., Ehrhardt, D., & Lizzio, V. (2020). Sustainable Energy Paths for the
Caribbean. Washington: Inter-American Development Bank. doi:10.18235/0002236
National Climate Change Office. (2021). Belize’s Fourth National Greenhouse Gas
Inventory Report. Belmopan, Belize.: Government of Belize. Retrieved from https://
unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/Fourth%20National%20GHG%20Inventory%20
rev%20Aug42020.pdf
PUMA Energy Bahamas S.A . (2021). Where we operate: Belize. Retrieved from Puma
Energy: https://pumaenergy.com/en/whoweare/whereweoperate/detailspage?countryNa
me=Belize®ion=2
REN21. (2022). Renewables 2022 Global Status Report. Paris: REN21 Secretariat.
Retrieved from https://www.ren21.net/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/GSR2022_Full_
Report.pdf
Secretariat, C. (2021). National Climate Finance Strategy of Belize 2021 - 2026. Belize.
: Commonwealth Secretariat.
Shenzhen CLOU Electronics Co. (2022, September 21). What is the difference between
technical loss and non-technical loss? Retrieved from Smart Energy International:
https://www.smart-energy.com/industry-sectors/smart-grid/what-is-the-difference-
between-technical-loss-and-non-technical-loss/
South Trinidad Chamber of Industry and Commerce. (2009 ). Assessment of the Energy
Service Sector in the Caribbean . San Fernando: South Trinidad Chamber of Industry
and Commerce.
Statistical Institute of Belize. (2024, January 31). External Trade Summary Bulletin -
2023. Retrieved from SIB Economic Statistics - Merchandise Trade: https://sib.org.bz/
wp-content/uploads/ExternalTrade_2023-12.pdf
Stein, Z. (2024, August 8). Distributed Generation (DG). Retrieved from Carbon
Collective: https://www.carboncollective.co/sustainable-investing/distributed-generation-
dg
Tobin, M. (2015, February 13). Comparing the Costs of Renewable and Conventional
Energy Sources. Retrieved from Energy Central: Posts: https://energycentral.com/c/ec/
comparing-costs-renewable-and-conventional-energy-sources
91
2023 | The Belize Energy Report
U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (2011, April 6). Demand for electricity
changes through the day. Retrieved from Today in Energy: https://www.eia.gov/
todayinenergy/detail.php?id=830
United Nations. (2017). The Sustainable Development Goals Report. New York: United
Nations.
Vivid Economics. (2021). Low Emissions Development Strategy and Action Plan: Belize.
Belmopan: National Climate Change Office (Government of Belize).
Wirtz, N. (2024, March 4). Latin America: Subsidies Are Here To Stay. Retrieved from
Global Finance: Economics, Policy & Regulation: https://gfmag.com/economics-policy-
regulation/latin-america-subisides-persist-despite-debt/
World Meteorological Organization. (2024, May 08). El Niño and climate change impacts
slam Latin America and Caribbean in 2023. Retrieved from WMO Media Releases:
https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/el-nino-and-climate-change-impacts-slam-latin-
america-and-caribbean-2023
92
THE BELIZE ENERGY REPORT 2023
Copyright © 2023 The Ministry of Public Utilities, Energy
Logistics and E-Governance
www.mpuele.gov.bz