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Theory Assignment - 1

The document outlines a theory assignment consisting of various probability problems related to market success, defective items in boxes, committee formation, coin toss outcomes, and selection of television sets and fuses. Each problem requires calculating probabilities based on given scenarios and conditions. The assignment is due for submission on Moodle by February 19th.

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Asif Raza
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12 views1 page

Theory Assignment - 1

The document outlines a theory assignment consisting of various probability problems related to market success, defective items in boxes, committee formation, coin toss outcomes, and selection of television sets and fuses. Each problem requires calculating probabilities based on given scenarios and conditions. The assignment is due for submission on Moodle by February 19th.

Uploaded by

Asif Raza
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Theory Assignment-1

due for submission on Moodle by 19th Feb

1. You are planning to sell an item and you want to know whether it will be a success or
not. If your item is a ‘Hit’ , you expect to gain 30% of the market. If it is a flop, on the
other hand , the market share is only 10%. Initially you judged these outcomes to be
equally likely. You decided to list the market first and found that 5 out of 50 people
preferred your item to the complete product. What do you think of the chance of your
item being a hit ?

2. We have four boxes.


B1 : 2000 items with 5% defective.
B2 : 500 items with 40% defective.
B3 : 1000 items with 10% defective.
B4 : 1000 items with 10% defective.
We select one box at random and draw one component at random from the box. What is
the probability that the selected item is defective?

3. How many committees of two chemists and one physicist can be formed from 4 chemists
and 3 physicists ?

4. Given that, by tossing an unfair coin we get 0.6 probability of getting heads . Then find
a). The probability of getting two heads in a row, by tossing the coin
two times ?
b). The probability of getting tail, head and then tail in a row sequentially,
by tossing the coin three times in a row ?
5. If we randomly pick two television sets in succession from a shipman of 240 television
sets of which 15 are defective, what is the probability that they will both be defective ?
6. A box of fuses contains 20 fuses of which 5 are defective . If 3 of them fuses are selected
at random and removed from the box in succession without replacement .What is the
probability that all fuses are defective ?
7. Two boxes containing marbles are placed on a table .The boxes are labeled B1 and B2 .
Box B1 contains 7 green marbles and 4 white marbles . Box B2 contains 3 marbles and
10 yellow marbles . The boxes are arranged so that the probability of B1 is 1/3 and the
probability of selecting box B2 is ⅔. Shyam is blindfolded and asked to select a marble.
He will win a smartphone if selects a green marble .
a). What is the probability that Shyam will win the smartphone ?
b). If Shyam wins the smartphone, what is the probability that the green marble was selected
first ?

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