CIMA P3 Risk Management
CIMA P3 Risk Management
Syllabus Content:
Chapter 1: RISKS
Risks are events that can affect the operations of the company negatively or positively. Risks are
caused by uncertainties which can be due to lack of information or due to ignorance.
Risk Perception
- Protection of employees
- Protection of general public
- Protection of the environment
- Protection of the company assets
- Limitation of impact of disaster
- Increased confidence in the company by shareholders
- Investment decisions
- Ensure that business objectives are achieved.
- Prepares the company for any hazardous future event.
- Brainstorming
- SWOT Analysis
- Financial Statements Analysis
Types of Risks
Classification Standard 1
- Pure Risk: risks whose outcome will always be adverse i.e. they are downside risks.
- Speculative Risk: risks whose outcome can either be positive or negative e.g. interest
rate risk, exchange rate risks, market risks.
- Fundamental Risk: risks that affect the whole society or a significant part of it e.g.
recession, outbreak of a pandemic
- Particular Risk: risks that affect an individual or a single organisation and may have a
measure of control.
- Static Risk: risks that are always present in the society.
Classification Standard 2
Strategic Risks affect the key decisions of the company i.e. risks whose outcomes affect the
company’s continuity/survival. When these risks crystallize, they affect the entire organisation.
As such, they will likely affect our competitive position in the market
Operational Risks are risks that are caused by failure in routine internal processes within a short
term, these risks affect a particular individual or department.
Other Classifications
1. PESTEL risks
2. Fraud Risk e.g. corruption/bribery, illegal gratuity, extortion, misrepresentation of
information
3. Environmental Risks
4. Financial Risks e.g. credit risks, currency risks, interest rates, gearing risks, Liquidity
Risks, Market Risks
5. Technology Risks
6. Risks in International Operations e.g. cultural risks, litigation, credit risk, currency risks,
tariff barriers/quotas, protectionism, public attitude towards foreign products.
7. Litigation Risks/Regulatory Risks
CHAPTER 2: RISK MANAGEMENT
The process of understanding and managing risks that the organisation face in attempting to
achieve its objectives. (CIMA definition)
Risk Management is the process of identifying, assessing risks and coming up with measures to
mitigate them.
- Good governance means that the company has proper risk management and control
systems.
- It is the role of the board of directors to set up a sound system of controls and risk
management.
- UK Code of Governance recommends companies to compile reports on risk
management to shareholders. These reports give shareholders confidence that the
company is a going concern.
‘’ A process affected by the entity’s board of directors, management etc. applied in strategy
setting and across the enterprise designed to identify potential events that may affect the entity
and provide reasonable assurance regarding achievements of entity objectives.’’
It is a model that describes processes that should be put in place when designing risk
management systems procedures within the organisation.
COSO argues that if a company successfully apply the components, it is likely going to
achieve 4 key objectives:
COSO advice that the ERM framework should be applied across the organisation at all
levels of management i.e. subsidiary level, business unit, divisional, entity level
- Some risks can be dependent in such that if one risk increases the other does
the same OR one risk can increase and the other reduces.
- Risks can be positively correlated or negatively correlated.
- Understanding of risk dependencies is important when evaluating the
significance of risks.
- A company decides to burn the forest. Environmental risk will increase, and
reputation risk will also increase.
- A company borrows money to clean the environment. Borrowing increases
gearing risk, clearing the environment reduces environmental risks.
Risk Register
This is the document that summarises the risk profile of the company
Risk appetite is the level of risk that is considered normal. Level of risk that is within our
tolerable/acceptable limits. When designing risk management systems, business
objectives must be aligned with the company’s risk appetite.
The level of risk appetite that an individual or entity can take may be affected by the
individual’s risk capacity and their attitude towards risk. Factors:
Residual risk is the risk that remains after internal controls have been implemented.
This concept is based on understanding that risks cannot be completely eliminated but
rather can be reduced to our acceptable limits.
Risk Reporting
CIMA proposed a methodology for compiling reports on risk management. According to CIMA,
risk management reports should disclose the following:
- Systematic review of risk forecast (i.e. disclose whether the company reviewed its risk
profile)
- Review of strategies and responses to significant risks (disclose whether you reviewed
controls set up to mitigate risks)
- Monitoring and feedback action taken on significant risks and controls (this is where you
disclose actions taken by the company in relation to control weaknesses and risk
exposures)
- Procedures to detect material changes to business circumstances to provide early
warnings (disclose procedures that the company has put in place to track significant
changes to the company’s business model that may affect the company’s risk profile).
Disclose procedures that the company has put in place to monitor emerging risks.
Good governance means that the company has a sound system of controls and risk
management.
Roles:
- Reputation risk is the possibility of adverse opinion about the entity or product.
- Any negative perception of the product or entity can be a source of reputational risk.
- It is therefore important that the board of directors should come up with measures to
mitigate litigation risk.
- Reputation risk may also be caused by unethical behaviour of the company and
employees. To mitigate this, it is important to have codes of ethics of corporate level.
1. Integrity
2. Professional behaviour
3. Confidentiality
4. Objectivity
5. Professional competence and due care
- Johnson and Scholes argue that the problem with rationale model is that too much
focus on objectives may pose the rise of company missing out on opportunities that
arise in the market.
- According to the syllabus chapter 3 focus on the strategic choice phase.
Strategic Planning
- Market-led Approach: strategies are developed after analysing internal and external
environment of the company. Problems with this approach:
• Too much information to analyse.
- Resource-based Approach: Where strategies are developed on what are we good at?
Or what resources do we have?
- Option generation
- Option evaluation
- Option selection
Porter's Generic Strategies can be used for identifying options for achieving competitive
advantage:
- Cost Leadership: assumes that when competition is stiff in the market, it results into
price wars. Risks:
• Foreign suppliers risk
• Foreign exchange risks
• Innovation and imitation by competitor
- Differentiation: uniquely different from competition. It assumes that the customer will
appreciate the additional value added to the product/service. Risks:
• More market research/advertising.
• Imitation by competition
There are 3 methods that can be used to deal with uncertainties/disruptions in strategic
planning:
- Scenario Planning: is done when the company faces uncertainties in the environment.
When analysing the environment using models like PESTEL, we must understand that
the elements may be different in levels of uncertainties and impact on the company. For
high impact and highly likely events, we must create scenarios. Steps:
• Identify high impact/high uncertain factors (from PESTEL)
• For each factor, identify possible future outcomes.
• Cluster together different factors to identify various consistent future
scenarios.
• Write the scenarios for the most important scenarios and assess future
implications of each scenario.
• Monitor reality and see which scenario is unfolding.
• Revise the scenarios and strategic options as appropriate.
- Application of Game theory approach: this theory deals with anticipating actions of
competitors in response to our strategies. It is based on the fact that sometimes the
success of our strategies may depend on the response of our competitors. For instance,
if we reduce prices of our products to increase demand, this strategy may work if our
competitors do not respond. But if our competitors respond by reducing prices their
prices, then our strategies may not work. Therefore, when developing our strategies we
must evaluate the likelihood of competitors’ response.
Normally, competitors are likely to respond to our strategy if our gain is equal to their
loss. When our gains are equal to our competitors’ loss. A condition called zero sum
games occur.
- Stress Testing: this is a technique that can be used to assess whether an organisation
can cope with a possible significant unusual event. This technique is based on the fact
that when a business is doing well, it may be difficult to assess how it will fare when a
sudden downturn in the market occurs. Sources of stress may include:
• Sudden change in customer tastes
• Economic changes
• Cybersecurity attacks
• Production failures
CHAPTER 5: CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
Governance are principles that explain how best a company can be directed and controlled.
Agency theory is the basis of governance debate. In governance we are assuming that there is
separation between ownership and control of the company. In corporate governance, the board
of directors are the agents of the shareholders who are owners of the business. As agents of the
company, the board of directors are accountable to shareholders (they must take decisions that
serve the interest of shareholders).
The relationship between the agents (board of directors) and principles (shareholders) is
fiduciary and based on trust.
• The UK Code of corporate governance advocates that the board must have a wider
accountability (much as the board should be accountable to shareholders’ interest.
They must also be responsible to the needs of other stakeholders)
• The reason being that since activities of the company affects the interests of other
stakeholders other than shareholders, the board must also be responsible to the
concerns of other stakeholder groups.
• However, whatever the company responds to concerns of other stakeholders depends
on their relative power and interest in the company.
• Rules-based approach: compliance is mandatory. A one shoe fits all approach. Since its
mandatory, penalties are imposed on non-compliance.
• Principle-based approach: commonly called the comply or explain approach where
compliance with governance principles is voluntary. The ‘comply or explain’ statement
should include the following:
- Specify the governance principle that the company decided not to comply with.
- Explain what the company did in ‘violation’ of the principle.
- Explain the reason for departure from normal governance.
- Explain when the company intends to revert back to full compliance.
- Combining the roles ensures that the holder of the position has a more
holistic picture of the company. As such better-quality decisions are
likely to be made.
- Most companies combine these roles for security reasons.
The board shall not be dominated by a single individual or a few individuals. The
chairman of the board can serve up to 9 years (familiarity threat).
Board Membership
- Chairman
- CEO
- Members
- Co-opted members
Roles of the Chairman
- Set the board’s agenda.
- Facilitate induction of new board members.
- Facilitate annual performance appraisal of the board and its individual
members.
- Ensure that the interests of the shareholders are taken into account.
- Ensure that the board establish dialogue with investors.
- Ensure that the board is provided with relevant information that is
accurate on timely basis.
The board should be made up of executives and non-executive directors. Excluding the
chairman, there must be 50% executives and 50% NEDs.
Roles of NEDs
Benefits of NEDs
Disadvantages /limitations
- Achieved objectives
- Performance of the company (financially and regulatory)
- Quality of information contained in the board reports.
- Whether the board involved shareholders in key decisions of the company
(whether the board established dialogue with investor)
- Whether there is team spirit on the board.
- Board response to crisis.
• Remuneration
Directors are not allowed to determine or decide their own remuneration packages. The
remuneration of the board members shall be done by a subcommittee of the board
called the remuneration.
- Remuneration committee shall be made up of NEDs
- When determining the remuneration packages, the committee must make sure
that the package can attract, retain and motivate employees.
- A significant proportion of one/s.
Components of remuneration
- Basic pay
- Performance related
- Shares/share options
- Benefits in kind.
- Pensions
CHAPTER 6 – INTERNAL CONTROLS
Good governance means that a company must have a sound system of controls. Role of the
board of directors in relation to internal controls:
- As part of the tests, external audits review the company’s system of controls. In their
review the External Auditors assess:
o Whether or not the internal controls exist in the company’s procedures.
o External auditors conduct audit tests to assess or verify whether the
internal controls system is effective.
- external auditors use the results of the internal controls system evaluation to determine
the scope of their audit (i.e. if external auditors concludes that internal controls exist
and are effective)
Characteristics of a good internal control system
- must have controls that are embedded within the company’s operations.
- Must have controls at all levels of management.
- Must have the support of the board and management.
- Must reduce risks.
- Must have measure for reporting and communicating control failures to relevant people.
A sound system of controls can be designed by using COSOs Integrated Control Framework.
The process of designing an internal control system has five steps or components. These steps
must be undertaken in a logical order:
Risk assessment is important because it ensures that our control responses are
prioritised.
- Control activities: these re procedures/policies that are put in place to treat or reduce
risks. Controls must be applied to all levels of management and must be integrated or
embedded in our operations.
- Identify key transaction cycles for the organization. E.g. sales, purchases, payroll.
- For each transaction cycle, identify control objectives.
- Determine the logical process or stage involved within each transaction cycle.
- For each stage identify risks.
- For each risk, identify controls.
- Misappropriation of Assets
- Financial Statements Fraud
- Corruption
- Illegal gratuities
Causes of Fraud
- Opportunity
- Motive/situational pressure
- Rationalization
Cyber security: procedures, processes systems that must be put in place to mitigate cyber
threats. How can we recognise cyber threats? To identify cyber threats, we must undertake
company situation analysis in the following areas:
- Data protection regulation: law requires companies keeping data about living individuals
to put in place measures that secure the data
- Provisions of the law include:
o Requires companies to allow data subjects to access data about themselves.
o Compel companies to delete data about living individuals if it’s usefulness has
elapsed.
- Computer misuse Act: this is the law that makes it illegal for an individual or entity to
plant viruses on to other’s systems; to access other people’s systems without company
content.
CHAPTER 7: INTERNAL AUDIT
An appraisal function, set up by management as a service to it. The roles of an internal audit
function:
Good governance means that the company has an effective Internal Audit function.
- Attribute standards: qualities that the Internal Audit function and an internal auditor
must have:
o Independence
o Objectivity
o Proficiency and due care
- Performance Standards: looks at Internal Audit activities /tasks that Internal Audit
perform:
o Risk management
o Control
o Management of internal audit function (quality controls issues related to Internal
Audit)
o Governance
o Communication of results
- Head of Internal Audit should have direct access to chairman of the board of directors.
- Audit committee must appoint head of Internal Audit.
- Internal Audit office must be separated from others.
- Internal Audit function must report to the Audit committee
- Scope of the Internal Audit function should be defined by audit committee and
documented through audit charter.
- Functional and administrative responsibilities must be separated. Internal Audit should
not be involved in administrative responsibilities.
Outsourcing Internal Audit
Advantages
Disadvantages
Internal audit is defined by the board/audit committee through internal audit charter.
Scope of work is wider.
- Degree of Independence: external audit likely to be more independent as they are not
employees. Internal audit not likely be independent because they are employees of the
company.
- Responsibility for fraud: it is the duty of management and the board to prevent and
detect fraud. It is not the duty of the external auditors. However, ISA recommends that
external audit must assess the risks that financial statements may be materially
mistreated due to fraud.
- Auditors in most cases do not review all transactions. Audit is done on sampling basis.
- Audit report does not certify accuracy of accounts (auditors give reasonable and not
absolute assurance that financial statements give a fair and true view.
Types of Internal Audits
Audit Tests
These are procedures that auditors undertake to assess the completeness, accuracy, validity,
existence, ownership of transactions. Audit tests include collecting evidence relating to
assertions that people make in relation financial statements.