Startup Valuation Methods Models
Startup Valuation Methods Models
Methods Abbreviation
Valuation by Multiple VM
Post-Revenue Startups
Startups that have already generated revenue and have a clear path to profitability can ben
reasonable projections of future cash flows, DCF can help estimate the present value of the
If the startup's business model is relatively stable, and there is a high degree of confidence
projections, DCF can be used effectively. This is more likely to apply to startups in traditiona
streams.
Mature Startups
Some startups might have been operating for several years and have a more predictable ca
could be a viable valuation method.
Tech startups with subscription-based revenue models may have relatively predictable and
a strong customer base and low churn rate, DCF might be suitable.
Late-Stage Startups
Startups that have progressed beyond the early-stage and have substantial financial data a
candidates for DCF analysis.
In some cases, venture capital or private equity investors may prefer using DCF for valuatio
more in-depth analysis of the startup's financial prospects and potential return on investme
p valuation when there are reasonable and reliable cash flow
n approach that estimates the present value of a company based
more established businesses with a track record of cash flows, it
:
r path to profitability can benefit from the DCF method. If there are
mate the present value of these cash flows.
prefer using DCF for valuation, especially if they are looking for a
potential return on investment.
DCF - WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL (WACC)
WACC 6.8%
Assumptions
Current
Discounted Cash Flows year notes 2024
$
Valuatio
Valuation notes n date
Late-Stage Startups
Startups that have progressed beyond the early-stage and have achieved significant revenue and positi
EBITDA multiple analysis. However, it is still relatively rare for startups to have sufficient EBITDA to sup
Profitable Startups
Some startups may achieve profitability relatively early in their lifecycle. If a startup has a solid track re
EBITDA multiple method could be considered as a supplementary valuation approach.
Comparable Analysis
The market multiple method, which involves comparing the startup to similar companies in the marke
undergone funding rounds, can be relevant in some cases. This approach may be used to gauge how th
peers in the industry.
In later-stage funding rounds, investors may use market multiples derived from comparable companies
Exit Planning
For startups that are approaching an exit, such as an acquisition or IPO, market multiples of similar com
in the negotiation process.
ltiple method are not typically the primary approaches used. Startups
ofitability-based metrics like EBITDA less applicable. Instead, startup
for future growth and profitability. However, in certain situations
ility, these methods might be considered:
ilar companies in the market that have already been valued or have
may be used to gauge how the startup's valuation compares to its
Low 6.00
Medium 8.00
High 10.00
Low 2.00
Medium 3.00
High 4.00
6,250 6,250
75 75
20 20
(30) (30)
25 25
90 90
6,340 6,340
2.00 4.00
12,680 25,360
COMPARABLE COMPANIES METHOD
Late-Stage Startups
Startups that have progressed beyond the early-stage and have achieved a re
user base might be suitable candidates for the Comparable Companies Metho
startups that have reached a stage where they can be compared to establishe
Exit Planning
IPO Valuation
In the case of a startup preparing for an IPO, investment banks and underwrite
Companies Method to estimate the potential valuation range for the IPO.
Startups often have limited financial data, especially in the early stages. The C
be used when historical financial data is not sufficient for other valuation appr
Startups often have limited financial data, especially in the early stages. The C
be used when historical financial data is not sufficient for other valuation appr
Market Comparable Method or Market Multiple Method, can
e publicly-traded companies or recently funded startups in
y used in later-stage startups that have achieved a certain
relevant financial data and valuations available. Here are
hod is used in startup valuation
High
Upper Quartile
Average
Median
Lower Quartile
Low
Net EV/
Income Revenue EV/EBITDA P/E
200.0 0.4 6.7 16.0
111.6 0.6 1.7 37.6
72.6 5.9 2.4 58.5
80.7 11.3 4.3 39.0
20.1 13.4 4.6 158.2
70.5 0.7 3.0 39.7
96.0 3.2 5.8 31.3
112.0 5.3 10.8 20.1
92.8 1.1 7.1 25.5
91.4 1.6 5.2 23.9
However, if for some specific reason the replacement cost method or the cost to duplicate method w
valuation, it could be in situations where the startup's business model is heavily reliant on tangible a
characteristics. These methods may be relevant in the following circumstances:
Many other methods comes for startup future earning expectaton. If it is hard to predcit expectatoin
revenues in next one, two or three years than this method can be appled. Also, if the value resulted f
than value from other methods, this method should prevail.
Pre-revenue stage
This case is connected with previous one. This is case that the startup even does not start to generat
revenue prediction is not probable.
If the startup's primary value comes from tangible assets and infrastructure (e.g., manufacturing com
specialized equipment), the replacement cost or cost to duplicate method might provide some insigh
assets.
Startups involved in the development of unique physical products with significant manufacturing and
find these methods helpful in estimating the cost of reproducing the product.
the primary approaches used in valuation.
Performer Q2 21 Q3 21
Product development
Backend Name Surname 250
Frontend Name Surname 180 180
DevOps Name Surname
Security Name Surname 150
Security Supplier
UI / UX design Agency
UI / UX design Freelance agency
UI / UX design Freelance agency
UI / UX design Freelance agency 160 160
UI / UX design Freelance agency
Supervision Name Surname
App Name Surname
Payment integrations Name Surname
- - 340 740
Legal - Admin-Management
Legal external Name Surname 10
Genear and HR Name Surname 50 50
ToC Name Surname
Privacy policy Name Surname 20
IC agreements Name Surname 20
Special agreements Name Surname
Labor agreements Name Surname
Legal Name Surname
Total
Margin
Final Valuation
60 528 528 528 528 528 528 528 528 528 528 5590
180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 2340
0
150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 1800
10 10 20 40
20 30 30 80
5 5
10 10
160 160 160 160 160 160 35 1315
10 45 55
9 9 9 9 9 45
40 120 120 120 120 520
30 30 60
560 ### ### ### ### ### 967 978 978 ### 978 11,860
150 160
30 100 30 160
40 40
20
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 220
520 520 520 520 520 520 520 520 520 520 520 6760
30 50 50 130
462 462 462 462 462 462 462 462 462 462 462 6006
0
396 396 396 396 396 396 2376
30 3 3 36
### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### 982 ### 15,908
30 30 30 30 130
50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 650
40 40
30 88 138
15 35
462 462 462 462 1848
0
40 20 15 75
2,916
30,684
Hourly rate Total investment
90 503,100
55 128,700
55 -
70 126,000
70 2,800
70 5,600
70 350
70 700
70 92,050
70 3,850
55 2,475
55 28,600
55 3,300
897,525
30 4,800
50 8,000
35 1,400
30 600
70 15,400
150 1,014,000
30 3,900
75 450,450
-
30 71,280
300 10,800
1,580,630
120 15,600
70 45,500
35 1,400
30 4,140
70 2,450
20 36,960
-
70 5,250
111,300
2,589,455
12% 310,735
2,900,190
2,900
NET BOOK VALUATION METHOD
Startup valuation is typically forward-looking, emphasizing the potential for future growth and pro
backward-looking and based on historical costs and depreciation, which may not accurately reflect
Intangible Assets
Startups often have significant intangible assets such as intellectual property, brand value, and tech
by the Net Book Value method. These intangibles play a crucial role in the startup's value but are n
historical cost and depreciation.
Startups frequently invest in assets with a long useful life, such as software or technology infrastru
a significant factor, rendering the Net Book Value less informative for valuation.
Early-Stage Startups
Many startups are in their early stages and may not have significant tangible assets recorded on th
Value method irrelevant for their valuation.
Market-Driven Valuation
Startup valuation often relies on market-driven methods such as the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) m
Capital Method, which consider the startup's potential for revenue growth, market share, and scal
luation. The Net Book Value of an asset is the difference between its
t is a metric used in accounting to represent the asset's current value on
ting and financial reporting, where it helps in tracking the historical cost of
time. However, when it comes to startup valuation, this method has
al for future growth and profitability. The Net Book Value method is
ch may not accurately reflect the startup's potential value.
operty, brand value, and technology, which are not adequately captured
the startup's value but are not represented in the balance sheet based on
ngible assets recorded on their balance sheets, making the Net Book
Fair market
value
Balance sheet notes At Valuation date Adjustments
$
Inventories 200
Account Receivable 850 (200)
Cash 55 150
Short term investments 120
Other short term assets 170
Current assets 1,395 (50)
Shareholders equity 50
Retained earnings (loss) 2,330 315
Equity 2,380 315
Check 0 0
Valuation
750
1,500
265
150
2,665
200
650
205
120
170
1,345
4,010
50
2,645
2,695
500
350
340
125
815
4,010
0
BERKUS METHOD
Sound Idea (Basic Value): If there's a sound business idea, assign a base value.
Product Rollout or Sales (Reducing Production Risk): If the company has a produ
value.
For each of the criteria the startup meets, a predetermined value (which can va
investor's beliefs) is added to the startup's valuation. The total gives a rough es
Characteristics
6.42
8
4
8
9
5
7
4
9
2
7
7
7
6.18
8
7
8
5
5
7
8
8
8
2
2
7.23
8
7
8
5
5
7
8
8
8
8
5
8
9
5.88
10
5
2
9
5
7
8
1
6.25
5
2
4
5
10
10
8
9
7
5
5
5
VENTURE CAPITAL METHOD
Starts by estimating the startup's exit value in the future (e.g., through an IPO
The VC then determines the desired return on investment (ROI). For instance, if
and estimates the exit value at $100 million, they would value the startup at $1
This method often uses a combination of multiples and discount rates to arrive
Early-stage startups:
This method is most applicable for startups that do not have a long history of e
young companies, traditional valuation methods like the Discounted Cash Flow
to the high uncertainty of future cash flows.
High-growth potential:
The VCM is often employed for startups with the potential for significant growth
either through an IPO (Initial Public Offering) or a strategic acquisition.
VCM is especially relevant when there is a clear exit horizon in sight, such as a
defined period (e.g., 5-7 years).
Simplicity:
When VCs need a straightforward method to get a ballpark figure for a startup'
complex financial models.
Negotiation Tool:
The VCM can be a tool for VCs to set the terms of the deal, especially regarding
wish to obtain in exchange for their investment. By setting a desired return on
a valuation number that aligns with their target ownership stake.
====
This method gives a simplistic view and doesn't account for many complexities
rounds, market changes, or varying growth trajectories. It's essential to use it a
on other qualitative and quantitative factors.
====
This method gives a simplistic view and doesn't account for many complexities
rounds, market changes, or varying growth trajectories. It's essential to use it a
on other qualitative and quantitative factors.
e (e.g., through an IPO or acquisition).
nt (ROI). For instance, if a VC wants a 10x return in 5 years
value the startup at $10 million today.
discount rates to arrive at present valuations.
Price-to-sales ratio 5 5x
Assumptions:
Projected revenues in Year 5 (exit year): $50 million
Industry average price-to-sales ratio: 5x
VC's desired ROI: 10x
Amount VC plans to invest: $2 million
See table above
Explanation:
Explanation:
ation
ecific
)
hope to
ROI.
the post-
nd multiply
mate the
estimated
esired ROI
.
e the VC
the VC's
uation ($25
SUMMARY
Berkus Method
15,167
18,270
19,020
5,678
12,408
17,071
2,900
2,695
1,598
23,000