Bond Problem Assignment
Bond Problem Assignment
This assignment is due by 8:00am on Monday, October 4, 2021. Submit via Blackboard. Point
values noted for each problem (plus bonus, when applicable).
Directions: work the problems presented below. You may work together, but each student is to
submit his/her own answer sheet and must show/explain all work. Just submitting an answer
(say “6.04%”) with no support for how you came to such an answer will earn no credit.
1) (Fisher Effect; 20 points) You have an estimate of 4.5% for the real rate of return in the
economy and an inflation prediction of 3.4%. According to the Fisher Effect, what is the
estimated nominal rate of interest for this economy? (You may provide just the
approximate estimated rate. You may also include the full estimate for bonus points.) As
a first step, provide the formula needed to calculate this problem.
Formula for Fisher Effect: i r + p^e, where “i” is the nominal interest rate, “r” is the
real rate of interest, and “p^e” is the expected rise in prices (inflation rate).
i 4.5 + 3.4 = 7.90
i (nominal interest rate) 7.90% (approximately)
2) (Price Index; 30 points) You started a job August 2021 paying $50,000 per year. Your
parent started working at a comparable job in May 1996 for $28,500. If the CPI-U price
index in May 1996 was 156.6 and the CPI-U index was 273.0 in August 2021, which one
of you will be comparably better paid, all else held equal?
(Note: you may earn bonus points by comparing the numbers as of 1996 and as of 2021.)
3) (50 points) You are considering buying a U.S. Treasury Bill with 90 days to maturity.
The current price is $988.00 (with the maturity value being $1,000). Calculate what the
interest rate would be (to the nearest basis point) if the Bill were priced using the
following interest rate quotation processes. (Note: this price is low for the current interest
rate environment.)
a. Simple interest (holding period yield)
Simple Interest rate formula: (Pm – Po) / Po, where Pm = par value and Po =
purchase price.
(1000 – 988.00) / 988.00
(1000 – 988.00) / 988.00 = 0.0121 or 1.21%
The simple interest rate for this Treasury bill would be 1.21%
Bank Discount Yield (BDY) formula: [(Pm – Po / Pm) * (360/n)], where Pm = par
value, Po = purchase price, and n = time to maturity
[(1000 – 988.00 / 1000) * (360/90)]
[(0.0120) * (4)] = 0.0480 or 4.80%
The bank discount yield for this Treasury bill would be 4.80%
Money Market 360-Day Rate formula: [(Pm – Po / Po) * (360/n)], where Pm = par
value, Po = purchase price, and n = time to maturity
[(1000 – 988.00 / 988.00) * (360/90)]
[(0.0121) * (4)] = 0.0484 or 4.84%
The money market 360-day rate for this Treasury bill would be 4.84%
Money Market 365-Day Rate formula: [(Pm – Po / Po) * (365/n)], where Pm = par
value, Po = purchase price, and n = time to maturity
[(1000 – 988.00 / 988.00) * (365/90)]
[(0.0121) * (4.0556)] = 0.0491 or 4.91%
The money market 365-day rate for this Treasury bill would be 4.91%
Effective Annual Rate (APY) formula: {1 + [(Pm - Po) / Po]}365/n - 1, where Pm = par
value, Po = purchase price, and n = time to maturity
{1 + [(1000 – 988.00) / 988.00]}365/90 – 1
{1 + [0.0121]} 4.0556 – 1
1.01214.0556 – 1 = 0.0500 or 5.00%
The effective annual rate (APY) for this Treasury bill is 5.00%
Bonus
1) (YTM; 15 points) The current price of a 30-year, 4.6% coupon U.S. Treasury Bond with
eight (8) years to maturity is $1,112. Assuming the usual maturity value of $1,000 and
semi-annual coupon payments, what is the Yield to Maturity (YTM) for this bond?
2) You look at data in the U.S. Treasurys yield curve, (yes, The Wall Street Journal spells
as “Treasurys”) and find the following date embedded in the curve:
a. (10 points) Using the Pure Expectations Theory (PET), what is the expected 1-year
rate in one year?
b. (10 points) What would PET expect the 1-year rate to be in three years?
c. (20 points) If the Liquidity Premium to invest for two years instead of just for one
year were 0.40%, and using the Liquidity Premium Hypothesis concepts, what would
that theory’s expectation of the 1-year rate in one year be?