Probability 12
Probability 12
A continuous random variable can assume the infinitely many values corresponding to
points on a line interval.
• Examples:
– Heights
– Birth weights
– Blood pressure
– Length of life of a medicine
Continuous Probability Distribution
• If we “discretize” the variable of height by rounding to the nearest feet, the discrete
probability histogram is shown on the left figure.
• Imagine we continue in this way to measure height more and more finely, the
resulting probability histograms approach a smooth curve shown on the right figure.
Continuous Probability Distribution
• Probability distribution describes how the probabilities are distributed over all
possible values.
The probability-density function f(x) of the random variable X is a function such that the
area under the density-function curve between any two points a and b is equal to the
probability that the random variable X falls between a and b. Thus, the total area under
the density-function curve over the entire range of possible values for the random
variable is 1.
Properties of Continuous Probability Distributions
P(x = a) = 0
for any specific value a because the “area above a point” under the curve is a line
segment and hence has 0 area. Specifically this means
a b
The Normal Distribution
The normal distribution is the most important and most frequently used continuous
probability distribution.
Where
π = 3.14159
e = 2.71828
µ = mean
σ = standard deviation
The Normal Distribution
1. It is symmetrical about its mean λ, As is shown in the Figure , the curve on either side
of λ is a mirror image of the other side.
2. The mean, the median, and the mode are all equal.
3. The total area under the curve above the x-axis is one square unit. Therefore 50% is
to the right of m and 50% is to the left of m. This characteristic follows from the fact that
the normal distribution is a probability distribution.
The Normal Distribution
both directions, the area enclosed by these perpendiculars, the x-axis, and the curve will
side of the mean µ, approximately 99.7 percent of the area will be enclosed,
The Normal Distribution
5. The normal distribution is completely determined by the two parameters mean μ and
standard deviation σ.
The Normal Distribution
5. Different values of mean μ shift the graph of the distribution along the x-axis as is
shown in Figure. The mean μ is often referred to as a location parameter .
Figure: Three normal distributions with different means μ but the same amount of variability or
standard deviation σ.
The Normal Distribution
Figure: Three normal distributions with different amount of variability or standard deviations σ
but the same mean μ.
The Normal Distribution
Figure: Two normal distributions with different amount of variability or standard deviations σ
and the mean μ.
The Standard Normal Distribution
• The standard normal distribution or unit normal distribution, is the special case
of normal distribution with a mean μ = 0 and a standard deviation σ = 1.
• To find P(a < x < b), we need to find the area under the appropriate normal curve.
• The z-score tells the number of standard deviations σ it lies from the mean μ.
• A z-transformation that yields a value of z = 1 indicates that the value of x used in the
transformation is 1 standard deviation above 0.
• Since it's not feasible to publish tables for every possible value of μ and σ, we define
the standard normal distribution to be a normal distribution with μ = 0 and σ = 1, and
publish a table for that.
• A standard normal random variable (Z) can be form from any non-standard normal
random variable (x) with a simple transformation:
x−m
Z =