Module 2 Part 2
Module 2 Part 2
Support Setup –
5 step process for Trading
• A support is a level at which demand to buy the stock overpowers the supply to sell the stock which in
turn pushes the price up.
• The detection process involves spotting a level from which the price bounces upwards.
• Generally, the price bouncing twice from a certain level is enough to label that level as a demand zone
(or as we are learning currently : it is called a support)
What is a Support?
The confirmation
Support confirmed
(at point 3)
• The confirmation process involves observing the price retest the detected demand zone, maintain it and
start moving upwards from that level.
• Understand that it acts like a floor preventing the price to fall below a certain level.
What is a Support?
The entry
Entry
Support confirmed
(at point 3)
• The entry is once the confirmation process is complete and you as a trader are confident of this level to
maintain.
What is a Support?
The stop loss setting
Entry
Stop loss
Support confirmed
(at point 3)
• The stop loss is below our support levels with a margin of safety
• Understand the psychology for this stop loss setting
What is a Support?
The target setting
Target
Entry
Stop loss
Support confirmed
(at point 3)
• Though very subjective and everyone can have their own respective targets as per their requirements, it
is prudent to keep the previous high as a target
Example of a Support
Resistance Setup –
5 step process for Trading
1) Detection of a resistance
forming alongside certain level
2) Confirmation of a resistance
3) Entry on confirmation
4) Stop loss setting (with a margin
of safety)
5) Target setting as per conviction
of view
What is a Resistance?
The detection
• A resistance is a level at which Supply to sell the stock overpowers the demand to buy the stock which
in turn pushes the price down.
• The detection process involves spotting a level from which the price turns downwards.
• Generally, the price turning down twice from a certain level is enough to label that level as a supply
zone (or as we are learning currently : it is called a Resistance)
What is a Resistance?
The confirmation
Resistance confirmed
(at point 3)
• The confirmation process involves observing the price retest the detected supply zone, maintain it and
start moving downwards from that level.
• Understand that it acts like a ceiling preventing the price to rise above a certain level.
What is a Resistance?
The entry
Resistance confirmed
(at point 3)
Entry
• The entry is once the confirmation process is complete and you as a trader are confident of this level to
maintain.
What is a Resistance?
The stop loss setting (with a margin of safety)
Resistance confirmed
(at point 3)
Stop loss
Entry
• The stop loss is above our resistance levels with a margin of safety
• Understand the psychology for this stop loss setting
What is a Resistance?
The target setting
Resistance confirmed
(at point 3)
Stop loss
Entry
Target
• Though very subjective and everyone can have their own respective targets as per their requirements, it
is prudent to keep the previous low as a target
Example of a Resistance
Do these levels hold
for eternity?
Resistance Breakout
Breakout
Resistance breached
Resistance
Entry
Resistance
Stop loss
Breakdown
Stop loss
Support Entry
Breakdown
Pullback
Resistance Support taken
breached Change in polarity
Resistance Resistance regained
Support regained
Support Support Resistance taken
breached Change in polarity
Pullback
List
Moving Averages
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Moving Averages
Smoothens out price action by filtering out the “noise” from random price
fluctuations thus makes it easier to spot a trend
Role 1:
Helps to identify trend
(Be it short term or long term)
Helps to identify trend : Observe the 30 MA
Note : Apply 30 candles moving average on any timeframe chart and understand the underlying trajectory/trend
Helps to identify trend : Observe the 30 MA
Note : Apply 30 candles moving average on any timeframe chart and understand the underlying trajectory/trend
Helps to identify trend : Observe the 30 MA
Note : Apply 30 candles moving average on any timeframe chart and understand the underlying trajectory/trend
Helps to identify trend : Observe the 30 MA
Note : Apply 30 candles moving average on any timeframe chart and understand the underlying trajectory/trend
Helps to identify trend (no trend here):Observe the 30 MA
Note : Apply 30 candles moving average on any timeframe chart and understand the underlying trajectory/trend
Moving Averages and
Trading Setups
Role 2:
Identify support and resistance
levels
(Be it short term or long term)
Identify support and resistance levels:
Daily Chart (Short term) - Retrospective
Identify support and resistance levels :
Monthly chart (Long term) – Currently Active
Moving Averages and
Trading Setups
Role 3:
Trade setups based on pairs
crossovers
Pairs crossovers
• Whenever a short term moving average intersects a long term moving average, it signals an upcoming price
movement expectation.
• If short term moving average intersects long term moving average from below to above, we get a buy
call.(See image on left)
• If short term moving average intersects long term moving average from above to below, we get a sell
call.(See image on right)
• Ensure that the long term moving average is atleast twice than the short term moving average, otherwise
the signals will come too quick and has a high fail percentage.
Sell
Long term
moving average Long term
moving average
Short term Buy Short term
moving average moving average
Pairs crossovers
• Your stop loss will be on the candle prior to this crossover. So incase of a buy call, crossover – 1 candle low
minus some points (0.50%) is the stop loss. Incase of a sell call, crossover – 1 candle high plus some points
(0.50%) is the stop loss.
• A lot pairs are currently playable in the markets. A few of them are 5 & 20, 9 & 18, 13 & 36, 50 & 200.
• As moving averages are different for different timeframes, a 5 & 20 would work on XYZ stock for daily
timeframe but not for its weekly or monthly timeframe.
• The entire effort of you as a researcher of moving average pairs crossover is to find appropriate pairs which
make sense and help you time the market accurately.
SL Sell
Long term
moving average Long term
moving average
Short term SL Buy Short term
moving average moving average
Example of pair crossovers (5&10) : Buy bias
Example of pair crossovers (5&10) : Buy bias
Example of pair crossovers (5&10) : Sell bias
Example of pair crossovers (5&10) : Sell bias
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
Trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of
prices
MACD Line : Difference of 26 and 12 MA. A nine-day EMA of the MACD, called the "signal line", is
then plotted on top of the MACD, functioning as a trigger for buy and sell signals
Divergence – The green bars in the indicator which measures the distance between the MACD line
and Signal Line
MACD Crossover Rules and Terminologies
Crossover Crossover time above/below 0 scaling Terminology
Blue intersects pink from below to above Below 0 Golden Cross
Blue intersects pink from below to above Above 0 Normal buy call
Blue intersects pink from above to below Above 0 Dead Cross
Blue intersects pink from above to below Below 0 Normal sell call
Sell if not
sold
Signal Line
Signal Line
Values above 70 indicate that a security is becoming overbought or overvalued and may
be primed for a trend reversal or corrective pullback in price(bears to kick in soon)
Price
70
30
RSI
Bullish
Bearish Divergence Divergence
RSI Divergence
SL
Price
SL
70
30
RSI
Bullish
Bearish Divergence Divergence
Failure Swing RSI Divergence
Price
SL
70
30
RSI
Bullish
Bearish Divergence
Divergence
Example of playing RSI