Chapter 12
Chapter 12
Index numbers
Objectives
At the end of this chapter the student should be able to
understand price indexes
understand quantity indexes
apply the theory to examples
12.1 Introduction
The index number is a statistical measure designed to show changes in a variable between two periods,
the current period and the base period. An index number is expressed as a percentage. Mathematically,
current period value
100
base period value
Index number = (11.1)
The current period is the period for which you find the index number. The base period is the period with
which to compare variable in the current period. The index number of the base period is always 100. If
the index number is more than 100, subtract 100 from the index number. The result is the percent (%)
increase from the base period to the current period. On the other hand, if the index number is less than
100, subtract the index number from 100. The result is the percent (%) decrease from the base period to
the current period.
Example 12.1:
Compare the average hourly wages for journeyman electricians from 2000 to 2010 using 2002 as base year
(see Table 12.1).
Table 12.1: Average hourly wages (2000 to 2010)
2000 2.00
2002 2.85
2004 3.90
2006 5.25
2008 6.00
2010 8.85
Chapter 12 page 1
Solution:
p1 p
Index number 100 1 100
p0 2.85
where p1 is the current period price value which changes from 2000 to 2010 (see Table 12.2)
Interpretation:
Wage index for 2006 indicates the percentage of 2002 wages earned in 2006, i.e. 184.2105. This indicates
that wages in 2006 increased by approximately 84.2% (184.2105 100 84.2) over base (2002) wage.
Note that an increase in index number from 210.5 in 2008 to approximately 310.5 in 2010 does not mean
that there was a 100% increase in wages from 2008 to 2010. The index number for wages earned in 2010
p1 8.85
compared to 2008 is 147.5 100 100 147.5 . This indicates that wages in 2010
p0 6.00
increased by 47.5% 147.5 100 47.5 over the wages in 2008 (base year).
Chapter 12 page 2
12.2 Types of index numbers
The two variables often considered in index number analysis are price and quantity. An index can be
computed for either a single item or a basket of related items. We will first calculate the index number of
single item, called single price index and single quantity index. An index number that measures a basket
of related items is called a composite index number. We will calculate the composite price index and
composite quantity index.
p0
where = base period price
p1
= current period price
Example 12.2:
(p ) ( p1 )
In 2007, product A cost R0.85 0 and in 2010, product A cost R1.25 . Calculate the single price
Solution:
1.25
100 147.0588%
Single price index of product A in 2010 (rounded off to four decimals) 0.85
The price of product A in 2010 stands at 147.0588. The price of product A has increased by
q0
= quantity in base period
Chapter 12 page 3
Example 12.3:
Share portfolio data. If 350 units of share A were purchased in 2006 and the investor currently holds
300 units in 2010, the change in shareholding level of share A from 2006 to 2010 is given by the single
quantity index.
Solution:
Single quantity index for share A (rounded off to four decimals)
300
100 85.7143
350
Since the single quantity index is below 100, this shows a reduction in quantity consumption of share. In
2010, approximately 14.2857% 100 85.7143 14.2857 fewer units of share A are held in 2010
than in the base period of 2006.
( p1 q0 )
100
( p0 q0 ) (11.4)
Note: The Laspeyres price index is the default approach unless stated otherwise.
2. Paasche price index is similar to that of computing a Laspeyres price index. The difference is that
the Paasche price method uses quantity measures for the current period rather than for the base
period. Thus, if quantities are held constant at current period the Paasche price index is
constructed, i.e.:
( p1 q1 )
100
( p0 q1 ) (11.5)
p0
where = base period price
q0
= base period quantity
p1
= current period price
q1
= current period quantity
Chapter 12 page 4
Example 12.4:
In 2006 an investor acquired a small portfolio of shares on the JSE. He has bought and sold from this
portfolio over time. Calculate the Laspeyres and Paasche price indexes (rounded off to four decimals).
Table 12.3: Both his initial 2006 and current 2010 portfolio is given below
p0 q0 p1 q1
A
65c 350 115c 300
B
200c 240 120c 60
C
1260c 50 1890c 100
Solution:
Table 12.4: Laspeyres price index
p0 q0 p1 q0
22 750 40 250
48 000 28 800
63 000 94 500
p q
0 0 133750
If quantities are held constant at 2006 (base period) levels, the prices of the portfolio of shares have
increased by, on average, approximately 22.2804% 122.2804 100 22.2804 .
p0 q1 p1 q1
19 500 34 500
12 000 7 200
126 000 189 000
Chapter 12 page 5
Paasche price index p q 100 230700 100 146.4762
1 1
p q
0 1 157500
If quantities are held constant at 2010 (current period) levels, the composite price index is 146.4762. This
means that the share prices in the portfolio have increased by, on average, approximately 46.4762%
146.4762 100 46.4762 since 2006.
( p0 q1 ) 100
( p0 q0 ) (11.6)
Note that the Laspeyres quantity index is the default approach unless stated otherwise.
2. If prices are held constant at the current period the Paasche quantity index is:
( p1 q1 )
100
( p1 q0 ) (11.7)
p0
where = base period price
q0
= base period quantity
p1
= current period price
q1
= current period quantity
Chapter 12 page 6
Example 12.5:
Consider Example 12.4. Calculate the Laspeyres quantity index and the Paasche quantity index (rounded
off to four decimals).
Solution:
Table 12.6: Laspeyres quantity index
Share p0 q0 p0 q1
A 22 750 19 500
B 48 000 12 000
C 63 000 126 000
If prices are held constant at 2006 (base period) levels, the composite quantity index is 117.7570. This
shows that the number of units of shares held have increased, on average, by approximately 17.7570%
117.7570 100 17.7570 from 2006 to 2010.
Share p1 q0 p1 q1
A 40 250 34 500
B 28 800 7 200
C 94 500 189 000
p q
1 0 163550
If prices are held constant at 2010 (current period) levels, the composite quantity index is 141.0578. This
means that the number of units of shares in the portfolio has shown an average increase of approximately
Chapter 12 page 7
Chapter 12 – Exercises
1. Down Cola Inc. provides a complete line of beer, wine, and cool drink products. Listed below is the
quantity sold and the price for 2008 and 2010 (see Table 12.8).
a) If quantity is held constant at 2008 levels, calculate the price index of Down Cola Inc.
(rounded off to two decimals).
b) If quantity is held constant at 2010 levels, calculate the price index of Down Cola Inc.
(rounded off to two decimals).
c) If price is held constant at 2008 levels, calculate the quantity index of Down Cola Inc.
(rounded off to two decimals).
d) If price is held constant at 2010 levels, calculate the quantity index of Down Cola Inc.
(rounded off to two decimals).
e) The Paasche Price Index indicates that the price of products have ………. by ……….%.
2. The prices and quantities of three products sold in 2000 and 2010 are given in Table 12.9.
Chapter 12 page 9
Chapter 12 - Answers
Exercise 12.1
a) 110.56
b) 99.74
c) 127.39
d) 114.93
e) decreased, 0.26%
Exercise 12.2
a) 153.74
b) 152.86
c) 167.62
d) 166.67
e) increased, 66.67%
Exercise 12.3
a) 198.13
b) 111.47
c) 195.32
d) 109.89
e) increase, 9.89%
Exercise 12.4
a) 198.13
b) 111.47
c) 195.32
d) 109.89
e) increase, 11.47%
Chapter 12 page 10