Unit 1 SPM: Q. 1 Explain Risk Analysis Using Decision Trees. Risk Analysis
Unit 1 SPM: Q. 1 Explain Risk Analysis Using Decision Trees. Risk Analysis
• A project is an activity to meet the creation of a unique product or service and thus
activities that are undertaken to accomplish routine activities cannot be considered
project.
• A project is a combination of interrelated activities to achieve a specific objective within a
schedule, budget, and quality.
• It involves the coordination of group activity, wherein the manager plans, organizes, staffs
directs, and controls to achieve an objective, with constraints on time, cost, and
performance of the end product.
Characteristics of Project:
1. Invisibility:
When a physical artefact such as a bridge or road is being constructed the progress being
made can actually be seen.
With software, progress is not immediately visible to others and may be difficult to quantify
in terms of the percentage of work done.
2. Complexity:
Software projects are complex in nature than other engineering projects and the complexity
can be gauged by the success rate of these projects.
3. Flexibility:
• The ease with software can be changed is usually seen as one of its strengths.
• However, this means that where the software system interfaces with a physical or
organizational system, it is expected that, where necessary, the software will change to
accommodate the other components rather than vice versa.
4. Conformity:
These physical systems have complexity, but are governed by consistent physical laws.
Software developers have to conform to the requirement of human clients.
It is not just that individuals can be inconsistent.
Unit 1 SPM
➢ In this phase, the project's primary goal is defined and understood, which helps in shaping
the project's scope.
➢ Project Initiation is the official starting point, where the project manager ensures a clear
understanding of the business needs throughout the project's lifecycle.
Phase II: Developing Project Plan and Charter
➢ This phase involves detailed planning based on the project's size and complexity.
➢ The planning process is iterative and may require adjustments to budget, scope, schedule,
or quality as needed.
➢ The project charter outlines project details, aligning with the company's vision and goals,
and sets milestones and deadlines.
Phase III: Project Execution and Control
➢ Quality assurance, risk management, and team development are core supporting activities.
➢ The controlling process ensures project activities stay on track, adhering to scope, budget,
schedule, and quality parameters.
➢ The closing process group's main objective is to bring the project to a successful conclusion
and integrate it with the organization's operations.
➢ It ensures all project deliverables are completed, and contract terms are fulfilled.
➢ Project evaluation occurs after project completion and involves several parts.
➢ The first part reviews best practices used during the project in the organization's
methodology.
Unit 1 SPM
1) Project Portfolio Definition An organization should record a single repository details of all
current projects. A decision will be needed about whether projects of all types are to be
included. One problem for many organization is that projects can be divided into new product
development (NPD). NPD projects are often more frequent in organizations which have a
continuous development of new goods and services.
2) Project Portfolio Management Once the portfolio has been established more detailed costing
of projects can be recorded. The value that managers hope will be generated by each project
can also be recorded, Actual performance of projects on these performance indicators contain
be tracked. This info can be basis for more rigorous screening of new project.
3) Project Portfolio Optimization The performance of portfolio can be tracked by high-level
managers on a regular basis. A better balance of projects may be achieved some projects could
potentially be very profitable but some also be risky. The portfolio ought to have a carefully
thought out balance between the two type of project.
Elements are:- 1. Official Project Title 2. Project Sponsor 3. Project Manager 4. Description Of
The Project 5. Project Scope 6. Measurable Organizational Value(MOV) 7. Road Map For Work
8. Project Schedules 9. Project Budget 10.Project Resources 11.Assumptions And Constraints
12.Risks 13.Project Administration 14.Acceptance.
Unit 1 SPM
Project Product
• The next step after the development and approval of the project scope statement is project planning.
• The primary requirement for project planning is the Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) for which the
approved project scope statement is required.
• The WBS is a deliverable or a product-oriented classification that regulates the decomposition of the job
to be executed by the project team, to accomplish the project objectives and create the required
deliverables or project products.
• Decomposition indicates the breaking down of the project scope statement into smaller, more
manageable components i.e., the project deliverables.
• The project scope statement defines all the project deliverables. These defined deliverables are then
clubbed together to form the Delivery Definition Table (DDT).
• The Delivery Definition Table contains the sequence of the delivery of the deliverables.
• The Delivery Definition Table is then used to create the Delivery Structure Table (DSC) which contains
the work packages which is then further used to create the Work Breakdown Structure.
• So, WBS is similar to Bill of Materials (BOM), wherein a product is broken into its smallest component
for which estimation of time and cost is possible.
• The idea behind WBS is to split each component into smaller components till it reaches its smallest
component which is called the work package.
• The work package is the smallest component in the WBS that facilitates estimation of cost, schedule,
resources, and monitoring and control.
Unit 1 SPM
➢ There is a risk that software might exceed the original specification and that a project will
be completed early and under budget. That is not a risk that need concern us.
➢ Every project involves risk of some form. When assessing and planning a project, we are
concerned with the risk of the project's not meeting its objectives.
Risk management - Risk can be managed by following certain process:
1) Risk Identification : Risk identifies in the planning phase will evolve over time. Some risks
may be eliminated while some new ones may be added to the list. Resolved risks should be
struck of the list and new ones should be added.
2) Risk Assessment :The risk management process is created, base lined and kept ready in the
project planning phase for the execution phase.
3) Evolution of Risks :Though the likely risks have been identified in the project planning
phase they become more definitive during the execution phase. The project manager is in a
better position to define and specify the risk items.
4) Risk Management an Iterative Process : Risk management is an iterative process which is
initiated in the project planning phase and then continues right through the entire lifecycle of
the project.
5) Risk Meeting : Risk meeting contribute to the process of risk identification and
development of action plans to tackle the risk.ollective minds enable better and faster
identification and resolution of risks.
Unit 1 SPM
➢ It is a subjective approach and so does not involve detail analysis of the risk.
➢ It does not determine the probability of their occurrence and the quantum of risk that
would be faced by the project. the main reason for conducting this is to decide whether the
risk qualifies for further analysis.
➢ It is generally carried out using a risk matrix which is also called as a probability- impact
matrix.
➢ In this Risk is “rated” for its probability and the Impact on a scale to understand the Risk
Matrix.
B] Quantitative Risk Analysis –
➢ After successfully completing Quality Risk Analysis, more serious research on the risks
which pose as true potential threats are carried out to plug their chances of occurrence and
the quantum of the effect, they might possess on the project.
➢ The main drawback of this process is that it takes a lot of time to do the detail analysis and
as a result budget associated with it also increases.
➢ The probability of the risk of occurrence and the quantum of the effect can be mapped in a
controlled environment
Unit 1 SPM
➢ After the feasibility study is found viable for the organization in the 1st stage, planning is
done. As the project is new to the organization and has been undertaken for the first time,
hence careful planning is needed.
➢ It should be done by keeping in mind the requirements of the business along with its size
and complexities.
➢ In this stage, Detail Project Report (DPR) is prepared by incorporating the methodologies
to be applied in different phases of the project along with the timelines and the finances
involved in it.
➢ It is at this point that the project manager has to use his experience and technical
knowledge in developing a sound and realistic project plan.
➢ He needs to focus on the goals of the project and narrow down on the project descriptions
to achieve the desired results.
➢ It is here that the Project Charter which is an official document is prepared in accordance
with the mission and vision of the company.
➢ This document will give the minute details of the project along with the deadlines and
milestones to be achieved in the project.
➢ The Project Charter acts a guidebook for the project manager and clearly describes the
goals to be achieved in each stage of the project as well as the whole project.