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Course Pack - Probability and Statistics

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12 views7 pages

Course Pack - Probability and Statistics

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© © All Rights Reserved
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COURSEPACK

SCHE
ME
The scheme is an overview of work-integrated learning opportunities and gets
students out into the real world. This will give what a course entails.
Course Title Probability and Statistics Course Type Theory
Course Code E1UA202T Class
Activity Credits Credit Hours Total Number of Assessment in
3 3 Classes per Semester Weightage
Lecture
Instruction Tutorial 0 0

Practical
Tutorial
Theory
delivery

study
Self-

SEE
Practical 0 0

CIE
Self-study 0 0

Total 3 3
45 0 0 0 50% 50%
Course Lead Dr. Vibha Mishra Course Dr. Hari Krishan Malhotra
Coordinator
Names Theory Practical
Course
Instructors

COURSE OVERVIEW:

● The aim of this course is to enhance student’s skills to analyze ad apply various concepts
of statistics.
● This course contains measures of central tendency and dispersion, curve fitting,
correlation regression, probability, various distributions and test of hypothesis
● In measures of central tendency and dispersion, concept and visualization of mean,
median and deviation of various data involved.
● Correlation and Regression provides concepts of numerical relation between two or
more data.
● Random variables and distributions gives concepts of various discrete and continuous
probability distributions.
● Sampling and test of Hypothesis provides knowledge of small and large samples and
testing of hypothesis.

COURSEPACK | FORMAT
PREREQUISITE COURSE
PREREQUISITE COURSE No
REQUIRED
If, yes please fill in the Details Prerequisite Prerequisite course name
course code

COURSE OBJECTIVE:
The objective of the course is to make students to understand, analyze and apply the
various concepts of probability and statistics to meet requirement of industry and
society.

COURSE OUTCOMES (COs)


After the completion of the course, the student will be able to:

CO No. Course Outcomes


CO1 Explore the basic concept of statistical techniques & probability theory.
CO2 Apply various methods to measure central tendencies, curve fitting and correlation
regression concepts
CO3 Examine the concept of various probability distributions and its hypothetical testing.
CO4 Analyze the concept of sampling theory and its applications.

BLOOM’S LEVEL OF THE COURSE OUTCOMES

Bloom's taxonomy is a set of hierarchical models used for the classification of educational learning
objectives into levels of complexity and specificity. The learning domains are cognitive, affective,
and psychomotor.

THEORY

Rememb Understa Apply Analyse Evaluat Create


CO No. er nd BTL2 BTL3 BTL4 e BTL2 BTL6
BTL1
1 √
2 √
3 √
4 √

COURSEPACK | FORMAT
PROGRAM OUTCOMES (POs): AS DEFINED BY CONCERNED THE APEX BODIES

PO1 The program enhances analytical, managerial, communication and computing


Application skills besides inculcating the virtues of self-study.
PO2 Analyze and synthesis computing systems through quantitative and qualitative
techniques.
PO3 Design and develop computer programs in the areas related to algorithm, web
design, networking and AI.
PO4 Inculcating essential skills as demanded by Indian and Global Software industries
through latest tools of learning. This also includes team-building skills, audio-
visual presentations and personality development programs.
PO5 To develop inter-twining competence in the field of Digital Marketing and
Commerce, Computing Skill and Computational tools.
PO6 To Develop practical skills to provide solutions to industry, society and business.
PO7 Understand environmental issues and lead a life with concerns for environment.
PO8 Apply ethical principles and commit to professional ethics and responsibilities
and norms of the computing science practice.
PO9 To make graduates understand cross cultural, societal, professional, legal and
ethical issues prevailing in industry.
PO10 Communicate effectively in both verbal and written form.
PO11 To apply standard software engineering practices and strategies in software
project development using open source programming environment to deliver a
quality of product for business success.
PO12 Recognize the need for lifelong learning for continuous enhancement and up
gradation of technological changes in society.

PSO1: Have the ability to work with emerging technologies in computing requisite to Industry 4.0.
PSO2: Demonstrate application development skills learned through technical training and projects to
solve real world problems.

COURSE ARTICULATION MATRIX


The Course articulation matrix indicates the correlation between Course
Outcomes and Program Outcomes and their expected strength of mapping in
three levels (low, medium, and high).
PSO1

PSO2
PO10

PO11

PO12
PO1

PO2

PO3

PO4

PO5

PO6

PO7

PO8

PO9

COs#/
POs

CO204T1 3 3 2 1 2 2

CO204T2 3 3 2 1 2 2

CO204T3 3 3 2 1 2 2

CO204T4 3 3 2 1 2 2

Note: 1-Low, 2-Medium, 3-High


COURSEPACK | FORMAT
COURSE ASSESSMENT
The course assessment patterns are the assessment tools used both in formative and
summative examinations.

Sno Assessment CI
E
Tools QUIZ MTE QUIZ2 Total
1 CIE
AAT mark SEE
/AAT s
1 Theory X X X
25 50 25 100 10
0

COURSE CONTENT

Content

Statistics: Measures of Central Tendency: Arithmetic Mean, Weighted A.M., Median, Mode, Geometric
& Harmonic Mean and Their Merits & Demerits. Measures of dispersions: Range, Deviation, Standard
Deviation, Curve Fitting, Method of least squares, fitting of straight lines and parabola. Correlation
Analysis: Karl Pearson's Coefficient of Correlation, Spearman’s Rank Correlation Coefficient (Repeated
and non-repeated). Regression Analysis: Difference Between Correlation & Regression, types of
regression. Regression lines (y on x and x on y). Linear and non-linear regression.

Probability: Introduction, Events & Different Types of Events, Addition & Multiplication Law,
Conditional Probability, Bay's Theorem. Probability Distribution: Random Variables (Discrete and
Continuous Random variable), Mathematical Expectation and variance of random variable (Discreate and
continuous), Probability distribution Function, Discrete Uniform Distribution, Binomial, Poison &
Normal Distribution

Sampling Distribution, Testing of Hypothesis, Null hypothesis, Alternative hypothesis, types of error,
testing a Hypothesis, Level of significance, Test of significance of difference of means, Z-test and T-test,
P-value approach.

LESSON PLAN FOR THEORY COURSES (THEORY AND TUTORIAL CLASSES)

L-No Topic for Delivery Theory/ Skill Competency


Practical
1. Introduction Theory Measurement of Students will be
central competent in
2. Mean for grouped data Theory
tendency and Critical thinking
3. Mean for ungrouped data Theory

COURSEPACK | FORMAT
4. Median for grouped data Theory dispersion of ,data analysis
5. Median for ungrouped data Theory data and decision
6. Mode for grouped and ungrouped data Theory making
7. Range and mean for grouped data Theory
8. Range and mean for ungrouped data Theory
9. Standard deviation and Variance Theory
10. Curve fitting with least square Theory Fitting various
method curves by least
11. Curve fitting with least square method Theory square method
cont.
12. Fitting of straight lines and parabola Theory
13. Correlation: Definition and examples Theory Correlation and
14. Karl Pearson coefficient of correlation Theory regression of
15. Karl Pearson coefficient of correlation Theory data
cont..
16. Spearman’s rank correlation for non- Theory
repeated data
17. Spearman’s rank correlation for Theory
repeated data
18. Introduction of regression analysis Theory
19. Types of regression (linear and non- Theory
linear)
20. Regression lines (y on x and x on y) Theory
21. Revision for MTE Theory
22. Introduction of probability Theory Concept of
23. Addition and multiplication law Theory probability
24. Conditional probability Theory
25. Bayes theorem Theory
26. Random variables Theory Concepts of
27. Discrete probability distributions Theory random
28. Continuous probability distributions Theory variables and
Probability distributions cont.. Theory distributions
29.
30. Discrete Uniform distribution Theory
31. Binomial distribution Theory
32. Poisson distribution Theory
33. Normal distribution Theory
34. Normal distribution continued Theory
35. Mathematical expectations and Theory
Variance of discrete random variable
36. Mathematical expectations and Theory
Variance of continuous random
variable
37. Sampling concepts Theory Concepts of
38. Hypothesis testing (Null and Theory sampling ,testin
Alternative) g of Hypothesis
39. Types of errors Theory and various
40. Level of significance Theory tests of samples

COURSEPACK | FORMAT
41. Z-test for single mean Theory
42. Z-test with p-value approach Theory
43. T-test for single mean Theory
44. T-test with p-value approach Theory
45. Revision for ETE Theory
BIBLIOGRAPHY

Text Books:
1. R. E. Walpole, R. H. Mayers, S. L. Mayers and K. Ye (2007), Probability and
Statistics for Engineers and Scientists, 9th Edition, Pearson Education,
ISBN:978-0-321-62911-1.
2. Sheldon M. Ross (2011), Introduction to Probability and Statistics for
Engineers and Scientists, 4th Edition, Academic Foundation, ISBN:978-8-
190-93568-5.
Reference Books:
1. Douglas C. Montgomery (2012), Applied Statistics and Probability for
Engineers, 5th Edition, Wiley India, ISBN: 978-8-126-53719-8.
2. M. R. Spiegel, J. Schiller and R. A. Srinivasan(2010), Probability & Statistics,
3rd Edition, Tata- McGraw Hill, ISBN:978-0-070-15154-3.
3. https://nptel.ac.in/courses/111/105/111105041/
https://nptel.ac.in/courses/111/106/111106112/

PROBLEM-BASED LEARNING
Exercises in Problem-based Learning (Assignments)
SN0 Problems KL
1 Write Addition Law of Probability KL1
2 Define Null and alternate hypothesis KL1
3 Define discrete and continuous random variables and give one example of each KL2
4 How many sample points are there in the sample space when a pair of dice is KL2
thrown once?
5 Calculate Rank correlation coefficient b/w the variables of x and y. KL3

x 10 20 35 14 18 21 16
y 15 25 18 19 20 26 27
6 Suppose the probability mass function of the discrete random variable is KL3
X=x 0 1 2 3
p(x) 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3
Find the value of
(a) E (5X+2)
(b) E (3X + 2X2).

7 Find Karl Pearson correlation coefficient from the following data: KL4

COURSEPACK | FORMAT
x 92 89 87 86 83 77 71 63 53 50
y 86 88 91 77 68 85 52 82 37 57
8 An article manufactured by a company consist of two parts A and B where 6 out of 100 KL4
parts A is defective whereas 2 out of 100 part B is defective. Find the probability that
assembled part will be defective.
9 Find coefficient of correlation when lines of regression are, 2x-9y+6=0 and x-2y+1=0 KL5

10 If the probabilities of a bad reaction from a certain injection is 0.0002, KL5


determine the chance that out 0f 1000 individuals more than 2 will get a
bad reaction.
11. Fit a second-degree parabola to the following data (y=1.2+1.1x+1.5x2) KL6

x 1 2 3 4 5

y 1090 1220 1390 1625 1915

12 A manufacturer of ball pens claims that a certain pen he manufactures has a mean writing KL6
life of 400 pages with a standard deviation of 20 pages. A purchasing agent selects a
sample of 100 pens and puts them for test. The mean writing life for the sample was 390
pages. Should the purchasing agent reject the manufactures claim at 1% level?

COURSEPACK | FORMAT

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