Paper 3
Paper 3
+
Q
02
(t) =
( )
3 1
) 1 (
3 1 3 1
1
] 1 [
q q
q q q p
t
+
Q
03
(t) =
( )
3 1
) 1 (
3 1 3 1
1
] 1 [
q q
q q p p
t
+
Q
10
(t) =
( )
1
) 1 (
1 1
1
] 1 [
sq
sq rq
t
+
Q
12
(t) =
( )
1
) 1 (
1 1
1
] 1 [
sq
sq rp
t
+
Q
13
(t) =
( )
1
) 1 (
1 1
1
] 1 [
sq
sq sp
t
+
Q
23
(t) =
( )
3 2
) 1 (
3 2 3 2
1
] 1 [
q q
q q p q
t
+
Q
24
(t) =
( )
3 2
) 1 (
3 2 3 2
1
] 1 [
q q
q q q p
t
+
Q
25
(t) =
( )
3 2
) 1 (
3 2 3 2
1
] 1 [
q q
q q p p
t
+
Q
32
(t) =
( )
2
) 1 (
2 2
1
] 1 [
sq
sq rq
t
+
Q
34
(t) =
( )
2
) 1 (
2 2
1
] 1 [
sq
sq rp
t
+
Q
35
(t) =
( )
2
) 1 (
2 2
1
] 1 [
sq
sq sp
t
+
Q
40
(t) =
( )
3
) 1 (
3 3
1
] 1 [
sq
sq rq
t
+
Q
41
(t) =
( )
3
) 1 (
3 3
1
] 1 [
sq
sq rp
t
+
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International Journal of Advances in Science and Technology,
Vol. 4, No.1, 2012
Q
45
(t) =
( )
3
) 1 (
3 3
1
] 1 [
sq
sq sp
t
+
Q
54
(t) =
s
s r
t
+
1
] 1 [
) 1 (
(1-16)
The steady state transition probabilities from state S
i
to S
j
can be obtained from
P
ij
=
t
lim Q
ij
It can be verified that
P
01
+ P
02
+ P
03
= 1, P
10
+ P
12
+ P
13
= 1, P
23
+ P
24
+ P
25
= 1,
P
32
+ P
34
+ P
35
= 1, P
40
+ P
41
+ P
45
= 1, P
54
= 1. (17-22)
3.1 Mean Sojourn Times
Let T
i
be the sojourn time in state S
i
(i = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5), then mean sojourn time in state S
i
is given
by
=
> = =
0
) ( ) (
t
i i i
t T P T E
so that
0
=
,
1
1
3 1
q q
1
=
1
1
1
sq
2
=
,
1
1
3 2
q q
3
=
,
1
1
2
sq
4
=
,
1
1
3
sq
5
=
,
1
1
s
(23-28)
Mean sojourn time (m
ij
) of the system in state S
i
when the system is to transit into S
j
is given by
m
ij
=
=0 t
ij
) t ( q t
m
01
+ m
02
+ m
03
= q
1
q
3
0,
m
10
+ m
12
+ m
13
= sq
1
1,
m
23
+ m
24
+ m
25
= q
2
q
3
2
,
m
32
+ m
34
+ m
35
= sq
2
3,
m
40
+ m
41
+ m
45
= sq
3
4
, m
54
= s
5
. (29-34)
4. Reliability and Mean Time to System Failure
Let R
i
(t) be the probability that system works satisfactorily for atleast t epochs cycles when it is
initially started from operative regenerative state S
i
(i = 0, 1, 2, 4).
R
0
(t) = Z
0
(t) + q
01
(t 1) R
1
(t1) + q
02
(t 1) R
2
(t1).
R
1
(t) = Z
1
(t) + q
10
(t 1) R
0
(t1) + q
12
(t1) R
2
(t1).
R
2
(t) = Z
2
(t) + q
24
(t1) R
4
(t1).
R
4
(t) = Z
4
(t) + q
40
(t1) R
0
(t1) + q
41
(t1) R
1
(t1). (35-38)
Taking geometric transformation on both sides, we get
) (
) (
) (
1
1
0
h D
h N
h R =
The mean time to system failure is
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International Journal of Advances in Science and Technology,
Vol. 4, No.1, 2012
i
=
1
1
1
1
1 h D
N
1
) h ( D
) h ( N
lim =
where
N
1
= (
0
-1) (1- P
12
P
24
P
41
) + (
1
+ P
10
) (P
01
+ P
02
P
24
P
41
) + (P
02
+P
01
P
12
) (
2
+
4
P
24
+ P
24
P
40
).
D
1
= (1- P
12
P
24
P
41
) - P
10
(P
01
+ P
02
P
24
P
41
) - P
24
P
40
(P
02
+P
01
P
12
). (39-40)
5. Availability Analysis
Let A
i
(t) be the probability that the system is up at epoch t when it is initially started from
regenerative state S
i
by simple probabilistic argument the following recurrence relations are obtained.
A
0
(t) = Z
0
(t) + q
01
(t1) A
1
(t1) + q
02
(t1) A
2
(t1) + q
03
(t1) A
3
(t1).
A
1
(t) = Z
1
(t) + q
10
(t1) A
0
(t1) + q
12
(t1) A
2
(t1) + q
13
(t1) A
3
(t1).
A
2
(t) = Z
2
(t) + q
23
(t1) A
3
(t1) + q
24
(t1) A
4
(t1)+ q
25
(t1) A
5
(t1).
A
3
(t) = q
32
(t1) A
2
(t1) + q
34
(t1) A
4
(t1) + q
35
(t1) A
5
(t1).
A
4
(t) = Z
4
(t) + q
40
(t1) A
0
(t1) + q
41
(t1) A
1
(t1)+ q
45
(t1) A
5
(t1).
A
5
(t) = q
54
(t1) A
4
(t1). (41-46)
By taking geometric transformation and solving the equation
) (
) (
) (
2
2
0
h D
h N
h A =
and
i
Z (h) =
i
The steady state availability of the system is given by
A
0
=
t
lim A
0
(t)
Hence, by applying L Hospital Rule, we get
A
0
= -
) 1 (
) 1 (
2
2
D
N
'
where
N
2
(1) = (1 P
23
P
32
)[
0
( P
40
+ P
41
P
10
) +
1
( P
41
+ P
40
P
01
)
+
4
( 1 P
10
P
01
)] +
2
[(P
02
+ P
03
P
32
)
(P
40
+ P
41
P
10
)
+ (P
12
+ P
13
P
32
) (P
41
+ P
40
P
01
) ]. (47)
2
D' (1) = {(1 P
23
P
32
) [
0
(P
40
+ P
41
P
10
) +
1
(P
41
+ P
40
P
01
)
+
4
(1 P
10
P
01
)] +
2
[(P
02
+ P
03
P
32
)
(P
40
+ P
41
P
10
)
+ (P
12
+ P
13
P
32
) (P
41
+ P
40
P
01
)] +
3
[(P
03
+ P
02
P
23
) (P
40
+ P
41
P
10
)
+ (P
13
+ P
12
P
23
)
(P
41
+ P
40
P
01
)] +
5
{ P
45
(1 P
23
P
32
) (1 P
10
P
01
) +
(P
40
+ P
41
P
10
)[ P
02
(P
25
+
P
23
P
35
) + P
03
(P
35
+ P
32
P
25
)] + (P
41
+ P
40
P
01
) [
P
12
(P
25
+ P
23
P
35
) + P
13
(P
35
+ P
32
P
25
)]}} (48)
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International Journal of Advances in Science and Technology,
Vol. 4, No.1, 2012
6. Busy Period Analysis
6.1 Busy Period of Inspector
Let B
i
(t) be the probability of the inspector who inspect the failed automatic unit before being
repaired by repairman.Using simple probabilistic arguments, as in case of reliability and availability
analysis the following recurrence relations can be easily developed.
B
0
(t) = q
01
(t1) B
1
(t1) + q
02
(t1) B
2
(t1) + q
03
(t1) B
3
(t1).
B
1
(t) = q
10
(t1) B
0
(t1) + q
12
(t1) B
2
(t1) + q
13
(t1) B
3
(t1).
B
2
(t) = Z
2
(t) + q
23
(t1) B
3
(t1) + q
24
(t1) B
4
(t1)+ q
25
(t1) B
5
(t1).
B
3
(t) = Z
3
(t) + q
32
(t1) B
2
(t1) + q
34
(t1) B
4
(t1) + q
35
(t1) B
5
(t1).
B
4
(t) = q
40
(t1) B
0
(t1) + q
41
(t1) B
1
(t1)+ q
45
(t1) B
5
(t1).
B
5
(t) = q
54
(t1) B
4
(t1). (49-54)
By taking geometric transformation and solving the equation
) (
) (
) (
2
3
0
h D
h N
h B =
The probability that the inspection facility is busy in inspecting the failed unit is given by
B
0
=
t
lim B
0
(t)
Hence, by applying L Hospital Rule, we get
B
0
= -
) 1 ( D
) 1 ( N
2
3
'
where
N
3
(1) =
2
[(P
02
+ P
03
P
32
)( P
40
+ P
41
P
10
)
+ ( P
12
+ P
13
P
32
) ( P
41
+ P
40
P
01
) ]
+
3
[(P
03
+ P
02
P
23
) ( P
40
+ P
41
P
10
) +( P
13
+ P
12
P
23
)
( P
41
+ P
40
P
01
)]. (55)
and
) 1 ( D
2
' is the same as in availability analysis.
6.2 Busy Period of Repairman
Let ) (
'
t B
i
be the probability that the repairman is busy in repair of failed unit when the system
initially starts from regenerative state S
i
. Using simple probabilistic arguments, the following recurrence
relations can be easily developed.
) (
'
0
t B = q
01
(t1)
) 1 (
'
1
t B
+ q
02
(t1) ) 1 (
'
2
t B + q
03
(t1) ) 1 (
'
3
t B
) (
'
1
t B = Z
1
(t) + q
10
(t1) ) 1 (
'
0
t B + q
12
(t1) ) 1 (
'
2
t B + q
13
(t1) ) 1 (
'
3
t B .
) (
'
2
t B
= q
23
(t1)
) 1 (
'
3
t B
+ q
24
(t1) ) 1 (
'
4
t B + q
25
(t1)
) 1 (
'
5
t B
.
) (
'
3
t B = Z
3
(t) + q
32
(t1) ) 1 (
'
2
t B + q
34
(t1) ) 1 (
'
4
t B + q
35
(t1) ) 1 (
'
5
t B .
) (
'
4
t B = Z
4
(t) + q
40
(t1)
) 1 (
'
0
t B
+ q
41
(t1) ) 1 (
'
1
t B + q
45
(t1) ) 1 (
'
5
t B .
) (
'
5
t B = Z
5
(t) + q
54
(t1) ) 1 (
'
4
t B . (56-61)
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International Journal of Advances in Science and Technology,
Vol. 4, No.1, 2012
By taking geometric transformation and solving the equation
) (
) (
) (
2
4 '
0
h D
h N
h B =
The probability that the repairman is busy in repairing the failure of failed unit is given by
'
0
B
=
t
lim ) (
'
0
t B
Hence, by applying L Hospital Rule, we get
'
0
B
= -
) 1 ( D
) 1 ( N
2
3
'
where
N
4
(1) = (1 P
23
P
32
)[
1
( P
41
+ P
40
P
01
)
+
4
( 1 P
10
P
01
)] +
3
[(P
03
+ P
02
P
23
) ( P
40
+ P
41
P
10
)
+ ( P
13
+ P
12
P
23
)
( P
41
+ P
40
P
01
)] +
5
{P
45
(1 P
23
P
32
) ( 1 P
10
P
01
) +
( P
40
+ P
41
P
10
)[ P
02
(P
25
+
P
23
P
35
) + P
03
(P
35
+ P
32
P
25
)] + ( P
41
+ P
40
P
01
) [
P
12
(P
25
+ P
23
P
35
) + P
13
(P
35
+ P
32
P
25
)]} (62)
and
) 1 ( D
2
'
is the same as in availability analysis.
7. Profit Function Analysis
The expected total profit in steady-state is
P = C
0
A
0
C
1
B
0
C
2
'
0
B (63)
where
C
0
: per unit up time revenue by the system.
C
1
& C
2:
per unit down time expenditure on the system during inspection and repair.
8. Graphical Representation
The behaviour of the MTSF, availability and the profit function w.r.t failure rate and repair rate have
been studied through graphs by fixing the values of certain parameters C
0
, C
1
and C
2
as
C
0
= 2000, C
1
= 400 and C
2
= 600.
On the basis of the numerical values taken as:
r = 0.15 and s = 0.85
The values of various measures of system effectiveness are obtained as:
Mean time to system failure (MTSF) = 10.22329.
Availability (A
0
) = 0.620626.
Busy period of Inspector (B
0
) = 0.080572.
Busy period of repairman (
'
0
B ) = 0.829718.
Profit = 711.19331
Figure: 2 show the behavior of MTSF w.r.t failure rate (p
1
) for different values of repair rate (r).It
appears from graph that MTSF decreases with increase in failure rate.
Figure: 3 show the behavior of profit function w.r.t failure rate (p
1
) for different values of repair rate
(r).It appears from graph that profit decreases with increase in failure rate.
Figure: 4 show the behavior of availability w.r.t failure rate (p
1
) for different values of repair rate (r).It
appears from graph that availability decreases with increase in failure rate.
Special Issue Page 26 of 99 ISSN 2229 5216
International Journal of Advances in Science and Technology,
Vol. 4, No.1, 2012
Figure: 5 show the behavior of MTSF w.r.t repair rate (r) for different values of failure rate (p
1
). It
appears from graph that MTSF increases with increase in repair rate.
Figure: 6 show the behavior of profit function w.r.t repair rate (r) for different values of failure rate (p
1
).
It appears from graph that profit increases with increase in repair rate.
Figure: 7 show the behavior of availability function w.r.t repair rate (r) for different values of failure
rate (p
1
). It appears from graph that availability increases with increase in repair rate.
9. Conclusion
This paper provided the numerical results for MTSF, availability and busy period of repairman and
inspector which concluded that the preventive maintenance of units increases both the availability and
profit of the system. It also provides information which will be useful for other researchers and
companies following such systems to prefer the equipments which satisfied the conditions as discussed.
Figure 2. MTSF vs Failure Rate
Figure 3. Profit vs Failure Rate
Special Issue Page 27 of 99 ISSN 2229 5216
International Journal of Advances in Science and Technology,
Vol. 4, No.1, 2012
Figure 4. Availability vs Failure Rate
Figure 5. MTSF vs Repair Rate
Figure 6. Profit vs Repair Rtae
Special Issue Page 28 of 99 ISSN 2229 5216
International Journal of Advances in Science and Technology,
Vol. 4, No.1, 2012
Figure 7. Availability vs Repair Rate
10. References
[1] Bhardwaj N, Kumar A, Kumar S (2008) Stochastic analysis of a single unit redundant system with two
kinds of failure and repairs, Reflections des. ERA-JMS, Vol. 3 Issue 2 (2008), 115-134.
[2] Kumar A, Bhardwaj N (2009) Analysis of two unit redundant system with imperfect switching and
connection time, International transactions in mathematical sciences and Computer,July-Dec. 2009,Vol. 2, No.
2, pp. 195-202.
[3] Gupta R, Varshney G (2007) A two identical unit parallel syatem with Geometric failure and repair time
distributions, J. of comb. Info. & System Sciences, Vol. 32, No.1-4, pp 127-136 (2007)
[4] Rander, M.C. Kumar S., Kumar A. (1994) Cost analysis of two dissimilar cold standby system with
preventive maintenance and replacement of standbyMicraelectron. Reliability. 34(7), 171-174.
[5] Haggag. M.Y. (2009), Cost analysis of two-dissimilar unit cold standby system with three states and
preventive maintenance using linear first order differential equations J.Math & Stat., 5(4):395-400, 2009, ISSN
1549-3644.
[6] Padgett , Spurrier (1985), On discrete failure models, IEEE Transactions on Reliability, Vol. R-34, No. 3,
1985.
[7] Said K.M.EL, Salah M, Sherbeny EL (2005) Profit analysis fof a two unit cold standby system with
preventive maintenance and random change in Units, 1(1):71-77, 2005, ISSN 1549-3644 (2005)
[8] Taneja G, Tyagi V K, Bhardwaj P (2004) Profit analysis of a single unit programmable logic controller
(PLC), Pure Appl. Math. Sci., vol. LX 1-2, September 2004.
.
Author Profile
Mr. Jasdev Bhatti is persuing his Ph.D degree from Chitkara University, Baddi,
Himachal Pradesh, India.He had completed his M.Sc and M.Phill in mathematics
from Himachal University, Shimla, Himachal Pradesh, India.
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Special Issue Page 29 of 99 ISSN 2229 5216