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Probability Tree Diagrams Lesson Plan

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46 views

Probability Tree Diagrams Lesson Plan

Uploaded by

abokodee
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Probability from Tree Diagrams

Teaching Ideas

Learning Objective: To draw and interpret tree diagrams.

Success Criteria: • To complete missing numbers from tree diagrams.


• To construct tree diagrams with and without replacement.
• To calculate probabilities from tree diagrams.

Context: This lesson can be used as a stand-alone lesson or as part of a series of lessons on probability.
Students should be confident in multiplying and adding decimals and fractions. Before the lesson, it
would be useful to cut up the Target Board resource into smaller cards.

Starter
Target Board
Students calculate the answers to the fraction and decimal questions, then cross them off the grid on the Target Board. They will
be left with four numbers, which they should add together to find the target number.

Main Activities
Finding Probabilities
Discuss how you might solve the given probability problem (using the OR/AND rules). Show the students that it is easier to use a
tree diagram to represent the problem rather than attempting to remember all the outcomes. Here, the students may find it useful to
write the final outcome (e.g. WW to represent Win then Win) as this may remind them of algebra in which they would multiply the two
letters. Ask students to work in pairs to complete the example on the board before moving on to the examples without replacement.
Although the second problem uses fractions, you may wish to remind students that this does not change the process for calculating
probabilities.

Conditional Probability
Encourage students to consider what happens when items aren’t replaced by showing them the example. They should attempt
to solve the example on the board by themselves, in pairs or using mini-whiteboards before moving onto the Tree Diagrams
Activity Sheet. In this example, make sure to explain that we should not simplify our fractions until the very end because it makes
it easier to add them.

Your Turn
Students work through the Tree Diagrams Activity Sheet individually. The extension provided is similar to the infamous sweets
GCSE question from 2015, so it may be useful to get all students to attempt it (this requires an understanding of solving quadratic
equations).

Plenary
Students work in pairs to find the missing probabilities from the tree. They will need to consider the factors of 35 (half of 70) and
132, and use the information that there are more chocolate than plain biscuits, to answer the problem.

Extension: how many biscuits could there have been?

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