ML Project Life Cycle With Example
ML Project Life Cycle With Example
Churn
1. Problem Definition
The first step is to clearly define the problem and understand the objectives. In this
example, we aim to predict customer churn for a telecom company. The goal is to identify
customers likely to cancel their service, so the company can take preventive actions. This is
a classification problem because we want to categorize customers into two classes: 'Churn'
or 'No Churn'.
2. Data Collection
Collect relevant data that will be used to train and evaluate the model. For our churn
prediction example, we collect data from the company’s customer database, including
customer demographics, service usage, call logs, billing information, and customer support
interactions. Ensuring that the dataset captures relevant features (like contract type and
tenure) is crucial for building an effective model.
4. Feature Engineering
Create new features or transform existing ones to improve model performance. In the churn
example, we might create a new feature that indicates if a customer has had multiple
support interactions in a short period, which could be a sign of dissatisfaction. Other
examples include converting 'tenure' into categories (e.g., short, medium, long) or creating
interaction terms between service types and monthly charges.
5. Data Splitting
Split the dataset into training, validation, and test sets. Typically, the split might be 70% for
training, 15% for validation, and 15% for testing. For the churn prediction example, this
means we randomly divide the customer data so the model can learn from the training set,
fine-tune using the validation set, and finally be evaluated on the test set.
7. Model Evaluation
Evaluate the model’s performance using appropriate metrics. For the churn prediction
model, we use metrics like accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, and AUC-ROC. For example,
precision tells us the percentage of predicted 'churn' cases that were actually churners,
while recall indicates how many actual churners were correctly identified. The AUC-ROC
curve helps us understand the model’s ability to distinguish between churners and non-
churners.
8. Model Tuning
Optimize the model’s performance by fine-tuning hyperparameters using techniques like
Grid Search or Random Search. In the churn example, we might adjust the maximum depth
of a Decision Tree, the number of estimators in a Random Forest, or the regularization
strength in Logistic Regression. The aim is to find the best combination of parameters that
maximizes performance on the validation set.
9. Model Deployment
Deploy the model to a production environment, making it accessible through APIs or
integrating it into an existing system. For the churn model, the company might deploy it as
an API that customer service applications can call to get real-time churn predictions when
interacting with customers. This allows the business to take proactive steps (e.g., offering
special deals) when a high-risk customer is identified.