App Lecture 5
App Lecture 5
1.Given the mathematical form of the trend to be fitted, the least squares method is an objective method.
2.Unlike the moving average method, it is possible to compute trend values for all the periods and predict the value for a period lying
outside the observed data.
3.The results of the method of least squares are most satisfactory because the fitted trend satisfies the two most important properties
4. The method can be used when the trend is linear, exponential, or quadratic.
Demerits:
1.As compared with the moving average method, it is cumbersome method.
2. It is not flexible like the moving average method. If some observations are added, then the entire calculations are to be done once
again.
▪ Some values at the beginning and the end of the series are lost.
▪ Moving averages are greatly affected by extreme values.
▪ The method does not provide a mathematical formula for the trend.