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Probability and Statistics0

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27 views10 pages

Probability and Statistics0

Uploaded by

ulugbekobilov
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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School of Humanities, Natural and Social Sciences

Department of Mathematics

Course Syllabus

Probability and Statistics


MATH 232

Spring Semester
2025
School of Humanities & Natural
Sciences
Department of Education

Course Title Probability and Statistics

Course Code MATH232

Credits / ECTS 3 Credits / 6 ECTS Total Hours 180

Contact hours
Lecture / Tutorial 2 hours / 2 hours
per week

Pre-requisite(s) Linear Algebra, Calculus

Semester Spring Academic Year 2024-2025

Course leader Dr. Askar Abdikamalov

Email [email protected]

Office Number 217

Office Hours TBD

Course Syllabus 1
School of Humanities & Natural
Sciences
Department of Education

(T1) Jay Devore, Probability and Statistics for Engineers and the Sciences,
Ninth Edition, ISBN: 978-§-305-25180-9, Cengage Learning
Textbook (T2) William Mendenhall, Robert J. Beaver, Barbara M. Beaver, Introduction
to Probability and Statistics, Fifteenth Edition, ISBN-978-0-357-11446-9,
Cengage Learning

Reference (R) Wes McKinney, Python for Data Analysis, ISBN: 9781449319793, O'Reilly
Books Media

Course Syllabus 2
School of Humanities & Natural
Sciences
Department of Education

Course Description (as in the catalog):


This comprehensive course in Probability and Statistics introduces fundamental concepts and
analytical methods with a focus on real-world applications. It is structured to provide students
with a deep understanding of statistical reasoning, data analysis, and predictive modeling,
emphasizing the application of these concepts across various engineering disciplines. Through
a combination of theoretical lectures, hands-on tutorial sessions, and computer-based exercises
using Python, students will explore topics including descriptive statistics, probability theories,
discrete and continuous distributions, hypothesis testing, regression analysis, and
nonparametric methods. The course is designed to foster analytical thinking, problem-solving
skills, and proficiency in statistical software, preparing students for data-driven decision-making
in their respective fields.

Course Instructors:

Office
Position Name Email Office
hours

Professor Askar Abdikamalov [email protected] 217 TBD

Professor Huang Maozhou [email protected] 216 TBD

Professor Xiaoye Liao [email protected] 107 TBD

TA Javokhir Khursandov [email protected] 310 TBD

Attendance policy:
Attendance is compulsory. We emphasize the importance of the discussions during the
instructed hours. A student missing 25% (32 hours or more) of all instructed hours will be forced
to withdraw the course (in accordance with the University Academic Regulations).

Course Learning Outcomes (CLOs):


By the end of successful completion of this course, the student will be able to:

No. Description

CLO1 Apply probability and statistical principles to analyze and solve engineering problems.

CLO Interpret data from various sources and design experiments to test engineering hypotheses.
2

Course Syllabus 3
School of Humanities & Natural
Sciences
Department of Education

No. Description

CLO Demonstrate proficiency with statistical software for data analysis, visualization, and model
3 development.

CLO Assess the impact of statistical findings on engineering designs and solutions, considering
4 societal and ethical implications.

CLO Adhere to ethical guidelines in data handling, analysis, and reporting.


5

CLO Recognize the importance of continual learning in statistical methods and their evolving
6 applications in engineering.

CLO Work effectively in teams to manage projects and communicate statistical findings clearly to a
7 variety of audiences.

CLO Use statistical reasoning and quantitative methods to formulate solutions for real-world
8 engineering problems.

Alignment of Course Learning Outcomes(CLOs) to Student/Program Outcomes


of Programs

1. Chemical &
Materials Engineering 1. Industrial
1. Cybersecurity 1. Applied
2. Mechanical Management
CLO 2. Artificial Intelligence Mathematics
Engineering 2. Economics &
& Robotics 2. Pedagogy
3. Software Data Science
Engineering

CLO1 1 1 1

CLO2 2 2 1

CLO3 2 2 7

CLO4 4 4 4

CLO5 4 4 4

CLO6 7 7 6

CLO7 3, 5 3, 5 3, 5

Course Syllabus 4
School of Humanities & Natural
Sciences
Department of Education

1. Chemical &
Materials Engineering 1. Industrial
1. Cybersecurity 1. Applied
2. Mechanical Management
CLO 2. Artificial Intelligence Mathematics
Engineering 2. Economics &
& Robotics 2. Pedagogy
3. Software Data Science
Engineering

CLO8 2 2 1

Weekly Distribution of Course Topics/Contents

Course
Wee Class Required
Topic Learning
k Type Reading
Outcome
Introduction to Statistics and Descriptive Statistics

Lecture Introduction to statistics, populations vs. samples, types of


data, pictorial and tabular methods in descriptive T1 Ch. 1, T2
1 statistics, measures of location and variability. 1, 2
Ch. 1-2

Practice problems on identifying types of data, calculating


Tutorial
measures of central tendency and variability.

Probability Basics

Lecture Sample spaces and events, axioms and properties of


probability, counting techniques, conditional probability,
2 and independence. T1 Ch. 2 1, 8
Solving problems on basic probability calculations and
Tutorial conditional probability, simple probability problems
simulations
Discrete Random Variables and Distributions

Lecture Random variables, probability distributions for discrete


variables, expected values, binomial, and Poisson T1 Ch. 3, T2
3 distributions. 1, 2
Ch. 4-5
Working out binomial and Poisson distribution problems.
Tutorial Visualizing discrete distributions and calculating
probabilities.

Course Syllabus 5
School of Humanities & Natural
Sciences
Department of Education

Course
Wee Class Required
Topic Learning
k Type Reading
Outcome
Continuous Random Variables and Distributions

Lecture Probability density functions, cumulative distribution


functions, the normal distribution, exponential and gamma
4 distributions. T1 Ch. 4 1, 2
Calculating probabilities and z-scores for the normal
Tutorial distribution manually. Plotting PDFs and CDFs for
continuous distributions.
Joint Probability Distributions and Random Samples
Lecture
Jointly distributed random variables, expected values,
5 covariance, and correlation, distributions of sample mean. T1 Ch. 5 1, 2
Deriving and solving for covariance and correlation
Tutorial between two variables. Simulating joint distributions and
calculating sample statistics.
Point Estimation and Confidence Intervals

Lecture Concepts of point estimation, methods of point


estimation, confidence intervals for population means and
6 proportions. T1 Ch. 6-7 1, 2, 4
Calculating point estimates and constructing confidence
Tutorial intervals manually. Using Python to construct confidence
intervals for various distributions.
Lecture
7 Review Week
Tutorial
8 Midterm Exam
Hypothesis Testing

Hypotheses and test procedures, tests for population


Lecture mean and proportion, one-sample t-test, z-tests. T1 Ch. 8, T2
1, 2, 4
Ch. 9
Formulating and solving hypothesis tests by hand.
Conducting hypothesis tests in Python for practical
9 Tutorial datasets.
Inferences Based on Two Samples
T1 Ch. 9 1, 2
Comparing two population means (z-tests and t-tests),
10 Lecture paired data analysis, comparing population proportions.

Course Syllabus 6
School of Humanities & Natural
Sciences
Department of Education

Course
Wee Class Required
Topic Learning
k Type Reading
Outcome
Manual calculations of two-sample tests and paired
comparisons. Two-sample tests in Python, including
Tutorial paired sample analysis.
Analysis of Variance

Single-factor ANOVA, assumptions, analyzing treatment


Lecture differences, multiple comparisons. T1 Ch. 10, T2
1, 2, 3
Ch. 11
Manually conducting ANOVA calculations, understanding
between-group and within-group variances. Implementing
11 Tutorial ANOVA in Python and interpreting the results.
Regression Analysis

Simple linear regression model, estimating parameters,


inference about the slope, prediction of future values, T1 Ch. 12, T2
Lecture correlation. 1, 2, 3, 8
Ch. 12
Calculating regression coefficients and correlation by
hand. Linear regression in Python, including plotting and
12 Tutorial diagnostics.
Multiple Regression and Model Building

Multiple linear regression analysis, model adequacy


assessment, regression with transformed variables,
Lecture polynomial regression. T1 Ch. 13, T2
1, 2, 3, 8
Ch. 13
Working through the process of selecting variables for a
multiple regression model manually. Building and
evaluating multiple regression models, checking
13 Tutorial assumptions.
Nonparametric Methods and Goodness-of-Fit Tests

Introduction to nonparametric statistics, Wilcoxon tests, T1 Ch. 14-


Lecture goodness-of-fit tests, categorical data analysis. 15, T2 Ch. 2,5,6
Performing nonparametric tests and goodness-of-fit tests 14-15
on paper. Conducting chi-square tests for goodness-of-fit
14 Tutorial and analyzing contingency tables.
Lecture
15 Revision sessions all CLOs
Tutorial
16 Final Exam all CLOs

Course Syllabus 7
School of Humanities & Natural
Sciences
Department of Education

Students’ Assessment:
Students are assessed as follows:
Assessment Tool(s)** Date Weight (%)

Quiz 3 quizzes before the midterm and 3


30
quizzes after the midterm

Midterm Exam Week 8 30

Final Exam Week 16 40

Total 100

Students’ Workload:
Students’ workload is distributed as follows:
Activity Hrs. %

In-Class Time 56 31%

Independent Study 55 30%

Assignments 46 26%

Assessment methods and Examinations 18 10%


criteria
Group Discussions 5 3%

Fieldwork and Practicum 0 0%

Workshops and Seminars 0 0%

Individual Development 0 0%

Total 180 100%

Course Syllabus 8
School of Humanities & Natural
Sciences
Department of Education

Approval

Course instructor / leader

Name Dr. Askar Abdikamalov

Signature Date: 9.01.2025

Department Head

Name Dr. Rustam Turdibaev

Signature Date 9.01.2025

Course Syllabus 9

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