Test On Conditional Probability
Test On Conditional Probability
2) The set of all possible outcomes from a random experiment is called the sample:
A) population.
B) space.
C) probability.
D) event.
6) When events have no common basic outcomes, they are said to be:
A) mutually exclusive.
B) mutually related.
C) mutually apart.
D) collectively exhaustive.
7) If the union of several events covers the entire sample space, it is said these events are:
A) mutually exclusive.
B) mutually related.
C) mutually apart.
D) collectively exhaustive.
Course LO: Identify and apply the basic concepts and tools of probability
8) The proportion of times that an event will occur, assuming that all outcomes in a sample space are
equally likely to occur, is called:
A) objective probability.
B) classical probability.
C) relative frequency probability.
D) subjective probability.
9) ________ probability is the number of events in the population that meet the condition divided by
the total number in the population.
A) Objective
B) Classical
C) Relative frequency
D) Subjective
10) The expression of an individual's degree of belief about the chance that an event will occur is
called ________ probability.
A) objective
B) classical
C) relative frequency
D) subjective
15) What is ∩ B?
A) [9, 11]
B) [2, 3, 4, 6]
C) [5, 7, 8, 10, 12]
D) [3, 5]
16) What is A ∩ ?
A) [9, 11]
B) [8, 10, 12]
C) [3, 5, 7]
D) [2, 4, 6]
17) What is ∩ ?
A) [2, 4, 6]
B) [3, 5, 7]
C) [8, 9, 10, 11, 12]
D) [∅]
18) What is ∪ ?
A) [2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7]
B) [3, 5, 7]
C) [2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, 11]
D) [2, 4, 6]
19) What is ∪ B?
A) [4, 5, 7, 8, 11, 12]
B) [8, 9, 10, 11, 12]
C) [2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7]
D) [3, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12]
20) What is A ∪ ?
A) [2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10, 12]
B) [3, 5, 7, 8, 10, 12]
C) [5, 7, 8, 10, 12]
D) [5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12]
23) If the probability of occurrence of event A is not affected by the occurrence of event B, then A and
B are said to be:
A) mutually exclusive.
B) statistically independent.
C) collectively exhaustive.
D) basic events.
24) Suppose you roll a pair of dice. Let A be the event that you roll an even number. Let B be the event
that you roll an odd number. Which of the following statements is true?
A) The events A and B are not mutually exclusive.
B) The intersection of A and B is the empty set ∅.
C) The events A and B are not collectively exhaustive.
D) The complement of event B is the set [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11].
25) Which of the following statements is always true for any two events A and B defined on a sample
space S?
A) The complement of event A is event B.
B) The intersection of A and B is the set of all basic outcomes in either A or B.
C) If events A and B are mutually exclusive, then A ∩ B = S.
D) If events A and B are collectively exhaustive, then A ∩ B = S.
26) Which of the following statements is always true for any two events A and B defined on a sample
space S?
A) If the complement of event A is the empty set, then event A is the sample space S.
B) If the union of events A and B is not the empty set, ∅ then A ∩ B = ∅.
C) If events A and B are mutually exclusive, then A ∪ B = S.
D) If events A and B are collectively exhaustive, then A ∪ B = ∅.
27) Which of the following statements is true for any two events A and B defined on a sample space
S?
A) If the intersection of events A and B is the empty set, then A and B are collectively exhaustive.
B) If the union of events A and B is the empty set, then each of A and B is the empty set.
C) If events A and B are collectively exhaustive, then A ∪ B ≠ ∅.
D) If events A and B are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, then the union of A and B is
not necessarily the sample space.
28) Which term is used to describe the probability of the intersection of events A and B?
A) subjective probability
B) marginal probability
C) joint probability
D) conditional probability
29) Two events A and B defined on a sample space S are said to be collectively exhaustive if:
A) A ∩ B = ∅
B) A ∪ B = ∅
C) A ∩ B = S
D) A ∪ B = S
30) If each of the lines is equally likely to have the next stoppage, the probability that production line
1 is stopped next is 25%. This is an example of:
A) subjective probability.
B) classical probability.
C) relative frequency probability.
D) Bayesian probability.
31) Based on previous stoppage records, the manager figures that the probability that production line
1 is stopped next is 25%. This is an example of:
A) subjective probability.
B) classical probability.
C) relative frequency probability.
D) Bayesian probability.
32) Based on his knowledge of the causes of stoppages, the manager states that the probability that
production line 1 is stopped next is 25%. This is an example of:
A) subjective probability.
B) classical probability.
C) relative frequency probability.
D) Bayesian probability.
Number of Defects 0 1 2 3 4 5
Probability 0.34 0.25 0.19 0.11 0.07 0.04
33) Let event A be that there are more than three defects and let event B be that there are four or fewer
defects. Which of the following statements is true?
A) P(A ∩ B) = 0.18
B) P(A ∪ B) = 0.07
C) Events A and B are collectively exhaustive.
D) Events A and B are mutually exclusive.
Answer: C
Difficulty: Moderate
Topic: Probability and Its Postulates
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Course LO: Identify and apply the basic concepts and tools of probability
34) Let event A be that there are more than two defects and let event B be that there are four or fewer
defects. Which of the following statements is true?
A) P(A ∩ B) = 0.18
B) P(A ∪ B) = 0.07
C) P( ) = 0.58
D) P( ) = 0.89
35) Let A be the event that there is at least one defect and let event B be that there is at most three
defects. Which of the following statements is true?
A) P(A ∩ B) = 0.55
B) P(A ∪ B) = 0.96
C) P(A) = 0.34
D) P( ) = 0.89
36) A gumball machine has five different colored gumballs: red, blue, white, green, and yellow. If you
buy three gumballs, how many different combinations of colors could you buy?
A) 60
B) 20
C) 10
D) 6
Number of Surfboards 5 6 7 8 9 10
Probability 0.13 0.22 0.31 0.17 0.13 0.04
37) Let event A be that Ted produces more than seven surfboards and let event B be that he produces
exactly six surfboards. Which of the following statements is true?
A) P(A ∩ B)=0.31
B) events A and B are collectively exhaustive
C) P( ∪ )=0.44
D) events A and B are mutually exclusive
38) Let event A be that Ted produces more than six surfboards, and let event B be that he produces
less than eight surfboards. Which of the following statements is true?
A) P(A ∩ B) = 0.75
B) Events A and B are collectively exhaustive.
C) P( ) = 0.53
D) Events A and B are mutually exclusive.
39) The probability that interest rates increase and house sales decrease is:
A) 0.75
B) 0.85
C) 0.71
D) 0.15
40) The probability of an increase in interest rates and not a decrease in house sales is:
A) 0.20
B) 0.05
C) 0.25
D) 0.50
41) The probability of a decrease in house sales and not an increase in interest rates is:
A) 0.45
B) 0.25
C) 0.20
D) 0.05
42) The probability of not an increase in interest rates and not a decrease in house sales is:
A) 0.50
B) 0.35
C) 0.20
D) 0.05
43) The probability that house sales will go down given that interest rates will go up is:
A) 0.95
B) 0.90
C) 0.75
D) 0.80
44) What is the probability that you guessed on all five questions right?
A) 0.00032
B) 0.03125
C) 0.20
D) 0.50
45) What is the probability that you get exactly three questions right?
A) 0.00032
B) 0.0016
C) 0.008
D) 0.04
46) A research project on retention at a large university indicated that 20% of the students had a
problem with stress while 25% reported problems with financial resources and 15% had a problem
with both. What is the probability that a particular student has a problem with either stress or
financial resources?
A) 0.15
B) 0.30
C) 0.45
D) 0.60
47) The probability that an employee at a company uses illegal drugs is 0.08. The probability than an
employee is male is 0.55. Assuming that these events are independent, what is the probability that a
randomly chosen employee is a male drug user?
A) 0.742
B) 0.145
C) 0.044
D) 0.006
48) A survey of executives revealed that 35% of them regularly read The Wall Street Journal, 20% read
Forbes, and 10% read both The Wall Street Journal and Forbes. What is the probability that a
particular executive reads either The Wall Street Journal or Forbes?
A) 0.45
B) 0.35
C) 0.55
D) 0.65
49) In a longitudinal economic development study, market research indicated that the odds of a new
business succeeding after five years are 1 to 9. That means that the probability of a business actually
succeeding is:
A) 0.11
B) 0.10
C) 0.09
D) 0.08
50) A junior executive looking at his business attire in his closet notes that he has five suits, six shirts,
and three pairs of shoes. He is going on a business trip and needs to take two of each. How many
different combinations of outfits could he take?
A) 680
B) 320
C) 450
D) 224
53) What is the probability that a consumer who had high awareness of the ad campaign ranked the
product as good?
A) 0.675
B) 0.385
C) 0.775
D) 0.325
54) The probability that a person wants better fuel efficiency and also a vehicle navigation system is:
A) 0.90
B) 0.10
C) 0.45
D) 0.35
55) The probability that a person wants better fuel efficiency but not a vehicle navigation system is:
A) 0.90
B) 0.10
C) 0.45
D) 0.35
56) The probability that a person wants a vehicle navigation system but not better fuel efficiency is:
A) 0.90
B) 0.10
C) 0.45
D) 0.35
57) The probability that a person wants neither better fuel efficiency nor a vehicle navigation system
is:
A) 0.90
B) 0.10
C) 0.45
D) 0.35
58) The probability that a person wants either better fuel efficiency or a vehicle navigation system is:
A) 0.90
B) 0.10
C) 0.45
D) 0.35
59) The probability that a person does not want a vehicle navigation system is:
A) 0.45
B) 0.10
C) 0.90
D) 0.35
60) The probability that a person wants a better fuel efficiency given that he wants a vehicle
navigation system is approximately:
A) 0.90
B) 0.45
C) 0.82
D) 0.41
61) The probability that a person wants a vehicle navigation system given that he wants a better fuel
efficiency is approximately:
A) 0.80
B) 0.40
C) 0.45
D) 0.56
62) A junior executive looking at his business attire in his closet notes that he has eight suits, six shirts,
and four pairs of shoes. He is going on a business trip and needs to take two of each. How many
different combinations of outfits could he take?
A) 2240
B) 3320
C) 1680
D) 2520
63) The purchasing agent for a municipality has contracted with a local car dealer to purchase four
cars. The dealer has 25 cars on his lot; 10 red, 7 blue, 6 white, and 2 purple. If the purchasing agent has
no control over the colors he receives, what is the probability that he receives at least one of the
purple cars?
A) 0.33
B) 0.30
C) 0.36
D) 0.39
64) What is the probability that a programmer who has wrist pain takes aspirin on a daily basis?
A) 0.40
B) 0.24
C) 0.57
D) 0.66
65) What is the probability that a programmer who takes aspirin on a daily basis has wrist pain?
A) 0.09
B) 0.19
C) 0.24
D) 0.40
66) What is the probability that a programmer has wrist pain and does not take aspirin on a daily
basis?
A) 0.25
B) 0.15
C) 0.19
D) 0.09
67) What is the probability that a programmer does not have wrist pain and does not take aspirin on a
daily basis?
A) 0.75
B) 0.66
C) 0.85
D) 0.25
68) What is the probability that a programmer has wrist pain or takes aspirin on a daily basis?
A) 0.66
B) 0.25
C) 0.34
D) 0.15
69) As the office manager for a medical office with ten doctors, you are responsible for developing the
roster for the on-call shift for the next three nights. How many different ways could you assign a
different doctor to each of the next three nights?
A) 1020
B) 840
C) 720
D) 640
71) In a recent article it was reported that 35.4% of all high school students smoke cigarettes. 65% of
these students plan on going to college. What is the probability that a randomly selected student
smokes cigarettes and plans on going to college?
A) 0.354
B) 0.230
C) 0.124
D) 0.412
72) An office of six people is plagued by high absenteeism. It is thought that the probability that an
employee is absent on a particular day is 0.03. Assuming that the event that one person is absent on a
particular day is independent of the absence of any other employee, what is the probability that at
least one employee is absent tomorrow?
A) 0.121
B) 0.180
C) 0.150
D) 0.167
73) A gumball machine has six red gumballs, four blue gumballs, and three yellow gumballs. If you
buy three gumballs, what is the probability that you get three different colors?
A) 0.252
B) 0.167
C) 0.125
D) 0.244
74) What is the probability that one of these start-up firms was from the Northeast?
A) 0.04
B) 0.12
C) 0.49
D) 0.33
75) Are the events "firm from the South" and "expects high growth" statistically independent?
A) Yes
B) No
C) Maybe
D) Unable to tell from the data
76) If the firm interviewed was from the West, what is the probability that it expected medium or
high growth?
A) 0.24
B) 0.35
C) 0.16
D) 0.46
77) If the firm interviewed was expecting medium or high growth, what is the probability of the firm
being located in the West?
A) 0.16
B) 0.31
C) 0.46
D) 0.27
78) In a survey of 100 large corporations, it was found that 72% offer some form of tuition assistance
plan for their workers. 64% of the 100 corporations offer both a tuition assistance plan as well as
provide dental insurance for dependents. What is the probability that a corporation that offers a
tuition assistance plan also offers dental insurance for dependents?
A) 0.89
B) 0.46
C) 0.64
D) 0.68
81) What is the probability that there will be fewer than 2 defective parts in a shipment?
A) 0.20
B) 0.90
C) 0.86
D) 0.10
82) What is the probability that the shipment will have defective parts?
A) 0.20
B) 0.90
C) 0.86
D) 0.10
83) What is the probability that the shipment will have at least two defective parts?
A) 0.20
B) 0.90
C) 0.86
D) 0.10
84) What is the proportion of respondents who had medium or high confidence?
A) 0.330
B) 0.271
C) 0.719
D) 0.670
85) What proportion of respondents had at least some college education and had high confidence?
A) 0.131
B) 0.242
C) 0.558
D) 0.175
86) What proportion of respondents who had at least some college education also had high
confidence?
A) 0.239
B) 0.210
C) 0.364
D) 0.636
87) Are the events "had a college education" and "had high confidence" statistically independent?
A) Yes
B) No
C) Maybe
D) There is not sufficient information to determine.
88) If the odds for you getting a credit card solicitation in the mail this month are 1 to 4, then which of
the following statements is true?
A) The probability of getting a credit card solicitation is 0.25.
B) The probability of getting a credit card solicitation is 0.20.
C) The probability of getting a credit card solicitation is 0.80.
D) The probability of getting a credit card solicitation is 0.75.
89) Consider two events A and B. Which of the following statements is true?
A) If the probability of A given B is 0.4, then the probability of A given the complement of B is 0.6.
B) If the probability of A given B is 0.4, then the probability of the complement of A given the
complement of B is 0.6.
C) If the probability of A given B is 0.4, then the probability of the complement of A given B is 0.6
D) If the probability of A given B is 0.4 and the probability of A is 0.4, then events A and B are
mutually exclusive.
94) Consider two events A and B. Which of the following statements is true?
A) If the probability of A given B is 0.4 and the probability of B is 0.6, then the probability of A is 0.2.
B) If the probability of A given B is 0.4 and the probability of A is 0.4, then events A and B are
statistically independent.
C) If the probability of A given B is 0.4 and the probability of the union of A and B is 0.7, then the
probability of A is 0.3.
D) If the probability of A given B is 0.6 and the probability of B is 0.4, then the probability of A is 0.2.
95) Which of the following best describes the addition rule of probabilities?
A) P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B)
B) P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B)
C) P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) + P(A ∩ B)
D) P(A ∩ B) = P(A) P(B)
97) If A and B are independent events with P(A) = 0.60 and P(A | B) = 0.60, then P(B) is:
A) 1.20
B) 0.60
C) 0.36
D) Cannot be determined from the information given.
98) Which of the following is not an example of the relative frequency approach to probability?
A) The outcome of a game of craps based on your personal experience
B) The outcome of a game of roulette based on historical data
C) The outcome of a poker game based on the draw of one card
D) The actuarial schedule for a life insurance company
101) If P(A) = 0.20, P(B) = 0.40, and P(A ∩ B) = 0.08, then A and B are said to be:
A) dependent events.
B) independent events.
C) mutually exclusive events.
D) complementary events.
103) If P(A) = 0.84, P(B) = 0.76, and P(A ∪ B) = 0.90, then P(A ∩ B) is:
A) 0.06
B) 0.14
C) 0.70
D) 0.83
110) A sales representative calls on five hospitals in Utah County. It is immaterial in what order he
calls on them. How many ways can he organize his calls?
A) 100
B) 120
C) 24
D) 15
111) Which of the following best describes the proportion of times that an event will occur, assuming
that all outcomes in a sample space are equally likely to occur?
A) classical probability
B) relative frequency probability
C) subjective probability
D) joint probability
114) Which of the following would fit the definition of the statistical independence of events A and B?
A) P(A ∣ B) = P(B ∣ A)
B) P(A ∣ B) = P(A) + P(B)
C) P(A ∣ B) = P(B)
D) P(A ∣ B) = P(A)
115) Which of the following best describes the multiplication rule of probabilities?
A) P(A ∣ B) = P(A) P(B)
B) P(A ∣ B) = P(A ∩ B) P(B)
C) P(A ∩ B) = P(A ∣ B) P(B)
D) P(A ∩ B) = P(A ∣ B) P(A)
116) If two events A and B are mutually exclusive, what would be the addition rule?
A) P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B)
B) P(A ∩ B) = P(A) + P(B)
C) P(A | B) = P(A)
D) P(A | B) = P(A) - P(B)
117) There are two letters X and Y. If repetitions such as XX are permitted, how many two-letter
permutations are possible?
A) 2
B) 4
C) 6
D) 8
119) If the events A and B are independent with P(A) = 0.30 and P(B) = 0.40, then the probability that
both events will occur simultaneously is:
A) 0.10
B) 0.12
C) 0.70
D) 0.75
120) Which of the following statements is true given that the events A and B have nonzero
probabilities?
A) A and B cannot be both independent and mutually exclusive.
B) A and B can be both independent and mutually exclusive.
C) A and B are always independent.
D) A and B are always mutually exclusive.
121) If A and B are independent events with P(A) = 0.60 and P(B) = 0.70, then the probability that A
occurs or B occurs or both occur is:
A) 1.30
B) 0.88
C) 0.42
D) 0.10
122) If A and B are independent events with P(A) = 0.20 and P(B) = 0.60, then P(A | B) is:
A) 0.20
B) 0.60
C) 0.40
D) 0.80
123) When a problem arises in counting the numbers of basic outcomes in the sample space and the
event of interest to compute the probability of an event, it is helpful to use:
A) sample spaces or complements.
B) permutations or combinations.
C) unions and intersections.
D) subsets and events.
124) The diagram which provides an intuitive understanding of the addition rule which computes the
probability of the union of events is called a:
A) plot diagram.
B) scattered diagram.
C) Venn diagram.
D) tree diagram.
125) Events whose probability of their intersection is the product of their individual probabilities and
is more than 0 are called:
A) mutually exclusive.
B) complement.
C) conditional.
D) independent.
126) The probabilities that result from studying two distinct sets of events are called:
A) individual probabilities.
B) classic probabilities.
C) bivariate probabilities.
D) problem probabilities.
127) The type of diagram that shows subsets of the population on different branches is called a:
A) departmental diagram.
B) tree diagram.
C) Venn diagram.
D) scattered diagram.
128) The probabilities that may be computed by summing the corresponding row or column of a two-
way table are called:
A) marginal probabilities.
B) bivariate probabilities.
C) individual probabilities.
D) conditional probabilities.
129) To determine the effectiveness of a new advertisement which is shown to one customer group
and not another, followed by observation of the purchase behavior of both groups is determined by
the use of:
A) odds.
B) marginal probabilities.
C) overinvolvement ratios.
D) tree diagrams.
130) The result given by the ratio of the probability of an event divided by the probability of its
complement is called the:
A) odds in favor.
B) return on investment.
C) profit ratio.
D) marginal probabilities.
131) The application which provides a way of revising conditional probabilities by using available
information and provisions for revising conditional probabilities with other information that is useful
for management decision making is called:
A) overinvolvement ratios.
B) Bayes' theorem.
C) empirical formula.
D) probability rules.
132) Which of the following applications would an auditor apply to determine the probability of a
corporation's account balance being in error?
A) Overinvolvement ratios
B) Probability rules
C) Bayes' theorem
D) Empirical formula