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Probability Questions Baye's Theorem

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9 views1 page

Probability Questions Baye's Theorem

Uploaded by

subhash786sharma
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Q.

1 The ratio of the number of trucks along a highway, on which a petrol pump is located, to the number of
cars running along the same highway is 3 : 2. It is known that an average of one truck in thirty trucks and
two cars in fifty cars stop at the petrol pump to be filled up with the fuel. If a vehicle stops at the petrol
pump to be filled up with the fuel, find the probability that it is a car.

Q.2 During a power blackout, 100 persons are arrested on suspect of looting. Each is given a polygraph
test. From past experience it is know that the polygraph is 90% reliable when administered to a guilty
person and 98% reliable when given to some one who is innocent. Suppose that of the 100 persons
taken into custody, only 12 were actually involved in any wrong doing. If the probability that a given
suspect is innocent given that the photograph says he is guilty is a b where a and b are relatively prime,
find the value of (a + b).

Q.3 A biased coin which comes up heads three times as often as tails is tossed. If it shows heads, a chip is
drawn from urn–I which contains 2 white chips and 5 red chips. If the coin comes up tails, a chip is
drawn from urn–II which contains 7 white and 4 red chips. Given that a red chip was drawn, what is the
probability that the coin came up heads?

Q.4 A box contains three coins two of them are fair and one two  headed. A coin is selected at random and
tossed. If the head appears the coin is tossed again, if a tail appears, then another coin is selected from
the remaining coins and tossed.
(i) Find the probability that head appears twice.
(ii) If the same coin is tossed twice, find the probability that it is two headed coin.
(iii) Find the probability that tail appears twice.

Q.5 There are two packs A and B of 52 playing cards. All the four aces from the pack A are removed
whereas from the pack B, one ace, one king, one queen and one jack is removed. One of these two
packs is slected randomly and two cards are drawn simultaneously from it, and found to be a pair
(i.e. both have same rank e.g. two 9's or two king etc). Find the probability that the pack A was
selected.

4
1.
9

22
2. [Ans. 179; probability = ]
157

3. [Ans. 165/193]

4. 1/2 , 1/2 , 1/12

12
5. [Ans. ]
23

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