MAXHEALTH
MAXHEALTH
Update | Healthcare
Max Healthcare
BSE SENSEX S&P CNX
84,544 25,791 CMP: INR1,068 TP: INR1,240 (+16%) Buy
On an expansion spree
Max Healthcare (MAXHEALT) has aggressively increased its bed capacity through
both organic and inorganic routes over the past three years.
Bloomberg MAXHEALT IN
Going forward, MAXHEALT plans to add 2,400 beds to its total bed capacity of
Equity Shares (m) 972
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb) 1038 / 12.4 ~6,700, with a capex of INR40-45b over the next 3-4 years.
52-Week Range (INR) 1090 / 531 Despite heavy capex, the company has comfortably maintained its liquidity position.
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%) 17/23/63 MAXHEALT has strategically expanded its presence in the UP market over the
12M Avg Val (INR M) 1698 past six months and has established itself as a key player in this market.
Free float (%) 76.3 We value MAXHEALT on an SOTP basis (35x EV/12M forward EBITDA for the
hospital business, 26x EV/12M forward EBITDA for Maxlab, and 6x EV/sales for
Financials Snapshot (INR b)
Max@Home) to arrive at our TP of INR1,240. Reiterate BUY.
Y/E MARCH FY24 FY25E FY26E
Sales 68.2 83.6 100.6 Expansion in the western and northern regions augurs well
EBITDA 18.7 22.2 26.8 MAXHEALT has aggressively increased its bed capacity through both organic
Adj. PAT 13.3 15.2 18.6 and inorganic means. Since FY21, the total bed capacity has risen by 931,
EBIT Margin (%) 23.3 21.4 21.9 reaching 4,302 beds, of which ~81% were added through inorganic means.
Cons. Adj. EPS (INR) 13.7 15.6 19.1
Since FY21, the company has acquired five hospitals with a combined bed
EPS Gr. (%) 18.6 13.9 22.4
BV/Sh. (INR) 95.9 111.4 130.5 capacity of 1,950 at a total cost of INR30b. The acquired entities also
Ratios include land parcels, which will allow for further expansion of bed capacity
Net D:E (0.0) 0.1 (0.1) over time. This expansion has been financed through a mix of internal
RoE (%) 15.3 15.1 15.8 accruals and external debt. Despite such major investment, the company
RoCE (%) 13.5 13.3 14.6
maintains a strong liquidity position, with scope for further expansion.
Payout (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0
Valuations Over the next 3-5 years, the company plans to increase its bed capacity by
P/E (x) 72.3 63.5 51.9 ~55-60%, with a total investment of INR40-45b.
EV/EBITDA (x) 51.3 43.6 35.6 The synergies from current facilities, combined with a strong liquidity
Div. Yield (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0 position, will support the company in achieving growth both organically
FCF Yield (%) (0.3) (0.5) 1.8
and inorganically.
EV/Sales (x) 14.1 11.6 9.5
Emerging as a dominant player in UP
Shareholding Pattern (%) UP is the most populous state in India with a per capita income of INR93k
As On Jun-24 Mar-24 Jun-23 as of FY24, according to NSDP.
Promoter 23.7 23.8 23.8
Although UP is ranked second in terms of healthcare expenditure, still the
DII 15.4 15.0 11.9
FII 57.0 57.3 59.9 state is underpenetrated in terms of good healthcare infrastructure.
Others 3.9 4.0 4.5 Earlier MAXHEALT had a strong presence in the Delhi-NCR region. Over the
FII includes depository receipts past six months, MAXHEALT has become the dominant player in the UP
Stock Performance (1-year) market with acquisition of Sahara Hospital and Jaypee Healthcare.
With these acquisitions, MAXHEALT is well positioned to cater to the
Max Healthcare
Nifty - Rebased patient pool of western and central UP.
980 Further, the company is planning to add more beds, increase clinical
860 talents, and improving capabilities in niche therapies.
Valuation and view
740
MAXHEALT registered a robust 96% CAGR over FY21-24. We expect 20%/
620
18% EBITDA/PAT CAGR over FY24-FY26 fueled by a higher ARPOB, addition
500 of new beds, and improved occupancy at existing hospitals.
Jul-24
Nov-23
May-24
Sep-23
Mar-24
Sep-24
Jan-24
We value the stock on an SOTP basis (35x 12M forward EV/EBITDA for the
hospital business, 26x EV/EBITDA for the MaxLab business, and 6x EV/sales
for Max@home) to arrive at our TP of INR1,240. Reiterate BUY.
Tushar Manudhane - Research Analyst ([email protected])
Research Analyst: Akash Dobhada ([email protected]) | Viraj Shah ([email protected])
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Max Healthcare
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65
3,999 4,302
3,371 3,412 3,504
Exhibit 3: Despite significant capex… Exhibit 4: …the company’s liquidity position remained strong
Ongoing Capex (INRb) Acquisition Capex (INRb) Net debt (INRm) Net debt/EBITDA (x)
0.9
15.1
0.3
5440 4410
-7330 0.0
5.3
4.4 -220
1.4 2.1
-0.5
Recently, as part of its strategic expansion plan, MAXHEALT acquired a 64% stake
in Jaypee Healthcare to gain control of operational hospitals (550 beds at Noida,
200 beds at Bulandshahr, and a 100-bed non-operational hospital at Anoopshahr).
MAXHEALT will also gain access to a large land parcel (18 acres in Noida/5.7 acres
in Bulandshahr), providing ample opportunity for future expansion.
In FY24, MAXHEALT acquired a 550-bed hospital (with 250 beds currently
operational) in Lucknow from Sahara, as well as a 200-bed hospital from Alexis
Hospital in Nagpur. Both the facilities have sufficient land available for future
brownfield capacity expansion.
MAXHEALT acquired the 303-bed Dwarka Hospital in South Delhi in Feb’22 and
commissioned it in Jul’24.
Given its financial health, there is further scope for expansion for MAXHEALT.
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Exhibit 6: MAXHEALT plans ~56% bed capacity expansion in the next 3-4 years
Nanavati Lucknow, Gomti Nagar Sec. 56 Gurugram Saket Complex (Smart) Mohali Patparganj Nagpur
300 6,702
271
155 140
140 375 250
4,302 501
268
501
INR13b 961
530
408
Brownfield
79%
FY25 FY26E FY27E
Source: MOFSL, Company Source: MOFSL, Company
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MAXHEALT has
7 hospitals in
the Delhi region
Since Feb’24
added 3 beds in
the UP market
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Exhibit 10: Noida Hospital to cater to the untapped markets, including Mathura/Hathras/Hapur/Aligarh
Jaypee Hospital
Noida
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Exhibit 11: MAXHEALT to cover the northwestern UP market through its Bulandshahr and Anoopshahr hospitals
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Exhibit 12: Varanasi, Kanpur, and Gorakhpur could be the next destinations for the hospital industry
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These hospitals are ~2.0-2.5 hours away from the Noida hospital, allowing
MAXHEALT to tap into the untapped market of the western UP region.
Moreover, since higher-density regions such as Moradabad, Bijnor, Bareilly,
Rampur, Kanpur, and Sikandarabad generally have limited access to
multispecialty hospitals, this would further reduce the travel time for patients
and improve access to healthcare facilities.
Exhibit 13: Strong capex cycle on the cards across all major hospitals
Hospitals Current Beds Bed addition (FY25-27) % addition
MEDANTA 2354 950 40.4
APHS 8700 2860 32.9
MAXHEALT 4302 2400 55.8
NARH 5794 0 0.0
KIMS 3975 2385 60.0
RAINBOW 1935 690 35.7
FORH 4613 715 15.5
JUPITER 961 575 59.8
YATHARTH 1605 1450 90.3
ASTER DM 4869 1677 34.4
Source: MOFSL, Company
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Jul-22
May-21
May-24
Mar-23
Aug-20
Nov-22
Jan-21
Aug-23
Dec-23
Feb-22
Sep-24
Oct-21
Jun-21
Jun-23
Nov-21
Apr-22
Nov-23
Apr-24
Aug-20
Sep-22
Sep-24
Jan-21
Jan-23
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Story in charts
Exhibit 16: Expect 6% CAGR in ARPOB over FY23-FY25 Exhibit 17: Occupancy to fall due to bed additions in FY25
51 50 59 67 76 80 85 73 65 75 76 75 73 69
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25E FY26E FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25E FY26E
Exhibit 18: Network revenue to clock 21% CAGR over Exhibit 19: EBITDA margin to contract 170bp to 25.8% over
FY23-25 FY23-25
Revenue (INRb) EBITDA (INRb) EBITDA margin (%)
27.4 27.5 26.2
26.0 25.8
16.9
14.8
40 36 52 59 68 84 101 6 6 13 16 19 22 26
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25E FY26E FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25E FY26E
Exhibit 20: EPS to clock 15% CAGR over FY23-25 Exhibit 21: ROE to stabilize at ~15% over FY24-26
1.3 1.8 9.1 11.6 13.7 15.3 18.3 6.2 3.8 14.1 15.2 15.3 14.8 15.2
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25E FY26E FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25E FY26E
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Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.
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NOTES
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