Probability
Probability
Unit – 4 (Probability)
Q. f ‘m’ is themean of poisson disturbution , then its standard devition is given by :
𝒎
(a) √𝒎 (b) m2 (c) m (d) (2022)
𝟐
Solution : given mean of poisson distribution =’m’
It is known that for position distritution
Mean = Variance =’m’
And standard deviation =√𝑣𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒 =√𝑚
Hence , the correct answer is option (a) .
Q. The normal distribution curve is symmetrical about :
𝝁 𝝈
(a) X=𝝁 (b) X= 𝝈 (c) X=𝝈 (d) X=𝝁 (2022)
Solution : The normal distribution is symmetrical about its mean .
X = 𝜇 , Hence , the correct answer is option (a).
Q. Let X be a describe random variable whose probability distribution is given below :
X = xj : 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
2 2 2
P(X = xj ): 0 2k 2k 3k k 2k 7k 2k
The value of k is :
𝟏 𝟏 𝟏
(𝐚) (b) – 1 (c) - (d) (2022)
𝟏𝟎 𝟏𝟎 𝟓
Solution : It is known that the sum of all probabilities in a probability distribution is one .
i.e., ∑Pi = 1
0 +2k + 2k + 3k + k2 + 2k2 + 7k2 + 2k = 1
= 10k2 + 9k =1 ⇒ 10k2 + 9k -1 =0 ⇒ 10k2 + 10k – k -1 =0
1
⇒ 10k(k+1) – 1(k+1) =0 ⇒ (10k-1) (k+1) =0 ⇒K = Or , K =−1
10
Since the probability can not be negative , therefore K≠ - 1.
1
Thus , the value of K is 10. Hence , the correct answer is option (a) .
Q. In a box of 100 bulbs , 10 are defective . what is the probability that out a sample of 5 bulbs , none
is defective ?
𝟗 𝟗 𝟏
(a) (𝟏𝟎)5 (b) 𝟏𝟎 (c) 10-5 (d) (𝟐)2 (2022)
Solution: Total number of bulbs =100
Number of defective bulbs =10
Let ‘p’ be the success i.e ., getting a defective bulb .
10
:. Probability of success ,p = 100
1 1 9
=10 :. q =1 – p = 1 – 10 =10
Probability of getting ‘r’ defective bulbs P(X=r) =nCrprqn-r
:. Probability of getting ‘no’ defective bulb when ‘5’ bulbs are drawn
1 9 9
P ( X = 0 ) = 5C0(10)0 (10)5-0 = (10)5
Hence , the correct answer is option (a) .
Q. If X is a normal variate with mean 𝝁 and standard deviation 𝝈 > 𝟎 , then the new random
𝑿−𝝁
variate Z = 𝝈
is a variate with : (2022)
(a) Mean = 1 , standard deviation =0. (b) Mean = 1 , standard deviation =1.
(c) Mean = 2 , standard deviation =1. (d) Mean = 0 , standard deviation =1.
Solution : It is known that for a standard normal variate ,
Z~ 𝑁(0,1)
Mean is equal to 0 and variation is unity .
Therefore standard deviation is 1 .:. Mean = 0
Hence , the correct answer is option (d) .
Q. The mean E(X) of the number obtained on throwing a die having written 1 on three faces , 2 on
two faces and 5 on one face is :
𝟖
(a) 1 (b) 2 (c) 5 (d) (2022)
𝟑
Solution : A dice having 1 on three faces ,2 on two faces and 5 on one face
3 1 2 1 1
:. P (1) = 6 = 2 , P(2) = 6 =3 , P (5) = 6
:. Let X denote the radiation variable showing the possible outcome
X 1 2 5
P(X) 𝟏 𝟏 𝟏
𝟐 𝟑 𝟔
:. E (X) =∑𝑥𝑃 (𝑋 = 𝑥)
1 1 1
E(X) = 1 ∗ (2) + 2 (3) + 5 (6) = 2
E(X) = 2 , Hence the correct answer is option (b)
Q. Let x represent the difference between the number of tails obtained when a coin is
tossed 6 times . then the possible values of x are :
(a) 0,1,3,5 (b) 0,2,4,6 (c) 0,2,5,6 (d) 1,3,4,5 (2022)
Solution: X represent the difference between the number of heads and the number of tails
Obtained when a tossed 6 times .
Number of Heads Number of Tails X
6 0 6
5 1 4
4 2 2
3 3 0
2 4 2
1 5 4
0 6 6
Possible value of x = 0,2 ,4,6
Hence , the correct answer is option (b) .
Q. If the mean of a binomial distribution is 81 , then the standard deviation lies in the interval:
(a) [0,9) (b) (0,9] (c) [0,3] (d) (0,3] (2022)
Solution : Given mean of a binomial distribution =81
Since mean is always greater than variance ,
And standard deviation =√𝑣𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒
:. Mean > variance
0≤ √𝑣𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒 < √𝑚𝑒𝑎𝑛 ⇒0≤ 𝑆𝐷 < √81 ⇒0≤ 𝑆𝐷 < 9
:. Standard deviation lies in [0,9)
Hence the correct answer is option (a) .
Q. If a random variable X has the poisson distributions with mean 2 . then , P (x> 1.5) is :
(a) 2e-2 (b) 3e2 (c) 1-2e-2 (d) 1-3e-2 (2022)
Solution : for a position distribution , mean =2 i.e . m=2.
𝑚𝑟 𝑒 −𝑚
∴ 𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑟) = ⇒ 𝑃(𝑋 > 1.5)=1-P(X≤ 1.5)
𝑟!
(2)1 𝑒 −2 20 𝑒 −2
= 1 − [𝑃(𝑋 = 1) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 0)] = 1 − 1!
− 0!
= 1−2e-2-e-2 = 1−3e-2
Hence , the correct answer is option (d) .
Q. There are 50 telephone lines in an exchange . the probability that any one of them will be
busy is 0.1 . the probability that all the lines are busy is :
𝟓𝟎 𝒆−𝟓 𝟓𝟎 𝒆−𝟓 𝟓𝟓𝟎 𝒆−𝟓 𝟓𝟓𝟎 𝒆−𝟓
(a) (b) 𝟏 − (c) (d) 𝟏 − (2022)
𝟎! 𝟎! 𝟓𝟎! 𝟓𝟎!
Solution: total number of exchange lines ,n = 50
Probability that ‘r’ lines are busy :
𝑚𝑟 𝑒 −𝑚 (5)50 𝑒 −5
P(X =r) = 𝑟!
⇒P(X=50 ) = 50!
Hence , the correct answer is option ( c) .
Q. The mean of the probability distribution of the number of doublets in 4 throws of a pair of dice ,
is :
𝟐 𝟑 𝟐
(a) 1 (b) 𝟑 (c) 1𝟓 (d) 2𝟑 (2022)
Solution : let X represent the random variable showing no of doublets when a pair of dice is thrown 4
times . X = 0,1,2,3,4
6 1 1 5
P(doublet)= 36 = 6 . P (not getting a double ) = 1 - 6 = 6
1 2
:. Mean = np = 4 x =
6 3
Hence ,the correct answer is option (b) .
Q. It is known from the past experience that the number of telephone calls made daily in a certain
community between 3 p.m and 4p.m has a mean of 352 and a standard deviation of 31 . what
percentage of the time will there be more than 400 telephone calls made in the community between
3p.m to 4 p.m ? [Use : P 0 ≤ 𝒛 ≤ 𝟏. 𝟓) = 𝟎. 𝟒𝟑𝟗𝟒]
(a) 11.4% (b) 9.6% (c) 7.08% (d) 6.06% (2022)
Solution : mean 𝜇 = 352
Standard deviation 𝜎 = 31
𝑋−𝜇 400−352
Z= 𝜎 31
≈ 1.55 ⇒ 𝑃(𝑋 > 400) = 𝑃 (𝑍 > 1.55)
= 0.5 – P(Z= 1.5) = 0.5 -0.4394 =0.0606
: . 𝑃(𝑋 > 400)𝑖𝑛 % = 100 ∗ 0.0606 = 6.06%
Hence ,the correct answer is option ( d) .
Q. If X is a Poisson variable such that P(X = 1) = 2P(X = 2), then P(X = 0) is :
(a) e (b) 1/e (c) 1 (d) e2 (2023)
Solution : P(x=1) = 2P(x=2)
𝑚1 𝑒 −𝑚 𝑚2 𝑒 −𝑚
1!
=2x 2!
⇒ 𝑚 = 𝑚2 ⇒ 𝑚 = 1 (𝑎𝑠 𝑚 > 0)
10 𝑒 −1 1
P(x=0) = 0!
= 𝑒 −1 = 𝑒
Hence correct option is (b)
Q. An unbiased die is thrown again and again until three sixes are obtained. Find the probability of
obtaining a third six in the sixth throw of the die. (2023)
1 5
Solution : let E be the event of getting 6 . , p = 6 , 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑞 = 6
Probability of getting 3rd six in the 6th throw = P( 2 six in 5 throw) x P (a 6 in 6th throw)
5 1 2 5 3 1 625
𝐶2 ( ) ( ) 𝑥 =
6 6 6 23328
Q. Suppose 2% of the items made by a factory are defective. Find the probability that there are 3
defective items in a sample of 100 items selected at random. (Given e-2 = 0·135) (2023)
Solution : p = 2% = 2/100 , x = 100 , 𝜆𝑛𝑝 = 100 x 2/100 = 2
𝑒 −2 ×23 𝑒 −2 × 8 0.135 × 8
P (x=3) = 3!
= 6
= 6
= 0.18
Case Study 1
Q. A factory produces bulbs, of which 6% are defective bulbs in a large bulk of bulbs. Based on the
above information, answer the following questions :
(i) Find the probability that in a sample of 100 bulbs selected at random, none of the bulbs is
defective. (Use : e-6 = 0·0024)
(ii) Find the probability that the sample of 100 bulbs has exactly two defective bulbs.
(iii) (a) Find the probability that the sample of 100 bulbs will include not more than one defective
bulb.
OR
(iii) (b) Find the mean and the variance of the distribution of number of defective bulbs in a sample of
100 bulbs. (2023)
(I) p = 6% = 6/100 , x = 100 , 𝜆 = 𝑛𝑝 = 100 x 6/100 = 6
𝑒 −6 ×60
P (x=0) = 0!
= 𝑒 −6 = 0.0024
𝑒 −6 ×62
(ii) P (x=2) = = 𝑒 −6 𝑥 18 = 0.0024 𝑋 18 = 0.0432
2!
𝑒 −6 ×60 𝑒 −6 ×61
(iii) P (x=0) + P(x=1) = 0! + 1!
= 𝑒 −6 + 6. 𝑒 −6 = 𝑒 −6 (1 + 6) = 0.0024 𝑋 7 = 0. 0168
Or
𝜆 = 𝑛𝑝 = 100 x 6/100 = 6,
mean = 6 and variance = 𝜆 = 6
13. If m is the mean of Poisson distribution , then P(r=0) is given by :
a) e-m b) em c) e d) m-e (2023-comptt)
𝑒 −𝑚 ×𝑚𝑟 𝑒 −𝑚 ×𝑚0
Solution : P(r) = = 𝑟!
⇒ 𝑃(𝑟 = 0) = 0!
= 𝑒 −𝑚
Correct option is (a)
14. Normal distribution is symmetric about :
a) 𝒗𝒂𝒓𝒊𝒂𝒏𝒄𝒆 b) 𝒔𝒕𝒂𝒏𝒅𝒂𝒓𝒅 𝒅𝒆𝒗𝒊𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 c) mean d) covariance (2023-comptt)
Solution : Normal distribution is symmetric about mean
Correct option is (c)
Q. (a) It is given that 2% of screw manufactured by a company are defective . Using Poisson
distribution, find the probability that a packet of 100 screw contains no defective screw .
(Given e-2 = 0.14) (2023-comptt)
Solution : here n = 100 and p= 2% = 0.02 , m = np = 100 x 0.02 = 2
𝑒 −𝑚 ×𝑚0
If there is no defective screw , then 𝑃(𝑟 = 0) = 0!
= 𝑒 −𝑚 = 𝑒 −2 = 0.14
Q If a standard deviation of a poissin variable X is √𝟑 , then find P(X > 0)
(Given e-3 = 0.05) (2023-comptt)
Solution : √𝜆 = √3 [𝑠. 𝑑. = √𝜆] ⇒ 𝜆 = 3
𝑒 −3 𝑋 30 0.05
𝑃(𝑥 > 0) = 1 − 𝑃(0) = 1 − =1− = 0.95
0! 1
Q. If a fair coin is tossed 9 times, find the probability of
a) exactly five tails b) At least five tails c) At most five tails (2023-comptt)
Solution : Let X denote the number of tails in an experiment of 9 such trials and hence is the binomial
distribution
Here, n = 9, p = ½ and q = 1 – p = 1-½ = ½
1𝑟 19−𝑟 19
As P ( ‘r’ successes) = 𝑛𝑐𝑟 𝑝𝑟 𝑞 𝑛−𝑟 =9𝑐𝑟 2 2
= 9𝑐𝑟 2
63
a) Probability of exact 5 successes in 9 trials = P( X = 5) = 9𝑐5 𝑝5 𝑞 9−5 = 256
1 9 256 1
b) Probability of at least 5 successes in 9 trials = P ( X ≥ 5) = (2) [9𝑐5 + 9𝑐6 + 9𝑐7 + 9𝑐8 + 9𝑐9 ] = 512 = 2
1 9
c) Probability of at most 5 successes in 9 trials = P ( X ≤ 5) =(2) [9𝑐0 + 9𝑐1 + 9𝑐2 + 9𝑐3 + 9𝑐4 + 9𝑐5 ] =
382 191
512
= 256
Q. Let X denotes the number of hours a person watches T.V. during a randomly selected day. The
probability that X takes the value x, where k is some unknown constant
𝟎. 𝟐 , 𝒊𝒇 𝒙𝒊 = 𝟎
𝒌𝒙 , 𝑰𝒇 𝒙𝒊 = 𝟏 𝒐𝒓 𝟐
P(X=xi) = { 𝒊
𝒌(𝟓 − 𝒙𝒊 ) , 𝒊𝒇 𝒙𝒊 = 𝟑
𝟎 , 𝒐𝒕𝒉𝒆𝒓𝒘𝒊𝒔𝒆
(i) Find the value of k .
(ii) Find : P(X=2) , P(X≥2) and P(X≤2) (2023-comptt)
P(X) m 0.2 n