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Day 4 - Linearization

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16 views2 pages

Day 4 - Linearization

yesjsjajajsjsisjjas

Uploaded by

malk.yasmeenn
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Linearization of Exponential Data Name ________________________________

Petroleum is the most important source of energy for the developed nations and has been the cause of
economic dislocation and even war. The following table shows the growth of annual world crude oil
production, measured in millions of barrels per year.

Year Million Year Million


Barrels Barrels
1880 30 1945 2,595
1890 77 1950 3,803
1900 149 1955 5,626
1905 215 1960 7,674
1910 328 1962 8,885
1915 432 1964 10,310
1920 689 1966 12,016
1925 1,069 1968 14,104
1930 1,412 1970 16,690
1935 1,655 1972 18,584
1940 2,150 1974 20,389

(a) Make a scatterplot of the data.

(b) Describe the trends in production of oil.

(c) Does the data appear to be linearly related?

(d) Find the equation of the linear regression line? Define the variables used.

(e) Find r and r2. What do they tell you about the linear model?

(f) Look at the residual plot. What does it tell you?

(g) Take the logarithm of each y-value in the table above. Now find the linear regression line between
x and log y.

(h) Re-calculate r and r2. Is this new model better or worse? Explain.

(i) Use the new model to predict the number of barrels produced in 1932.

(j) Use your new model to predict the year in which 3,000 million barrels were produced.

(k) Use your new model to predict number barrels produced in 1980.

(l) Will your prediction in part (k) be accurate? Explain.

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The following table gives the resident population of the United States from 1790 to 2000, in millions of
persons:

Year Millions Year Millions


Of People Of People
1790 3.9 1900 76.0
1800 5.3 1910 92.0
1810 7.2 1920 105.7
1820 9.6 1930 122.8
1830 12.9 1940 131.7
1840 17.1 1950 151.3
1850 23.2 1960 179.3
1860 31.4 1970 203.3
1870 39.8 1980 226.5
1880 50.2 1990 248.7
1890 62.9 2000 281.4

(a) Make a scatterplot of the data.

(b) Describe the trends in the population growth.

(c) Does the data appear to be linearly related?

(d) Find the equation of the linear regression line? Define the variables used.

(e) Find r and r2. What do they tell you about the linear model?

(f) Look at the residual plot. What does it tell you?

(g) Take the logarithm of each y-value in the table above. Now find the linear regression line between
x and log y.

(h) Re-calculate r and r2. Is this new model better or worse? Explain.

(i) Use the new model to predict the population of the United States in 1914.

(j) Use your new model to predict the year in which there were 20 million people in the United States.

(k) Use your new model to predict the population of the United States in 2020.

(l) Will your prediction in part (k) be accurate? Explain.

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