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Class Note 1: Linear Regression
Introduction to Linear Regression
Linear regression is one of the simplest and most widely used supervised machine learning algorithms. It is used for predicting a continuous target variable based on one or more input features. The algorithm assumes a linear relationship between the input features and the target variable. The equation for a simple linear regression model is:
y=β0+β1x+ϵy=β0+β1x+ϵ where yy is the target variable, xx is the input feature, β0β0 is the intercept, β1β1 is the coefficient, and ϵϵ is the error term.
Major Points
1. Assumptions: Linear regression assumes linearity,
independence, homoscedasticity (constant variance of errors), and normality of errors. Violations of these assumptions can lead to poor model performance. 2. Cost Function: The most common cost function used in linear regression is the Mean Squared Error (MSE), which measures the average squared difference between the predicted and actual values. 3. Optimization: The model parameters (β0β0 and β1β1) are optimized using techniques like Gradient Descent or the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. 4. Regularization: To prevent overfitting, regularization techniques like Ridge (L2) and Lasso (L1) regression can be applied. Ridge regression adds a penalty proportional to the square of the coefficients, while Lasso adds a penalty proportional to the absolute value of the coefficients.
Use Cases
1. Predicting House Prices: Linear regression can be used to
predict house prices based on features like square footage, number of bedrooms, and location. 2. Sales Forecasting: Businesses can use linear regression to forecast future sales based on historical data and factors like advertising spend. 3. Risk Assessment: In finance, linear regression can be used to assess the risk of investments by modeling the relationship between risk factors and returns.
Optimization Techniques
1. Feature Scaling: Standardizing or normalizing input features
can improve the performance of linear regression, especially when using Gradient Descent. 2. Feature Selection: Removing irrelevant or redundant features can reduce overfitting and improve model interpretability. 3. Cross-Validation: Using k-fold cross-validation helps in assessing the model's performance on unseen data and selecting the best hyperparameters. 4. Regularization: Applying Ridge or Lasso regression can help in reducing model complexity and preventing overfitting.