① Let X: denote Bernoulli random variable which is I

coat and otherwise

right
o
if guest i
receives

+ Xm
T = X, +x2 + -
- -

tEXn
ET = EX1 + EX2+---

Since Xi -
Been (1/n) ,
ET =
nxt
=1

+Xn] Van X + VanX2+---

Var [X] Van (X
=

+2 +-- -

=
,

+ Var[X2] + Clor(X,, X]

?
↓ z low (x _,
X]
Var [Xi] = ECXi"] -
ENXis

E[Xi"] =
1
N

Varix ] A
-t
: =
=

N2

Cov[Xi , because X: indicator random

Xj] = 0
are

variable

Var(x) = N
. =
②
of follow
The her N
no
eggs laid
by , Poisson distribution
.

PIN=n)
=
N = n

eggsfolleu
No Binomial distribution with

parahatched
of
.

(2) (1 pin
+

P(X k(N =n) p -

= =

k(N P(N n)
= P(X n) =

P(X R)
=
= =

P(X ) =

= ()b4)-b-k
 ⑥ E[PIT =t] = 3
t +5

t =
0 .
2

2] 3
ECPIT
=
= 0 .
-

0 . 2+5

- ⑤

(
5 2 .

= 0 .
577 Wr