This question paper contains 7 printed pagesl t tlsl >-" tC

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Roll No. IIT IT IIII
S. No. ofQuestion Paper : 2999

Unique Paper Code 3237520 r IC

( (
Name ofthe Paper Introductory Probability

Name of the Course Statistics : GE for Honours

Semester

Duration :3 Hours Maximum Marks : 75

(Write your Roll No. on the top immediately on leceipt of this question paper.)

I
Section I is compulsory.

Attempt any fve questions,

selecting at least ,lro questions-from each of the

( (

Sections II and IIl. Use of simple calculator is allowed.

Section I

l. (a) If P(A):0.3, P(B) = 0.2 and P(A B) = 0.1, then obtain

^
e1A n 41.

(6) Stat€ Kolmogorov's three axioms of probability.

P.T.O.
 (2)2ED
(7 ) 2W
(c) It X and Y are independenr evenrs and L(X) I0.
(b) show that
lrt )= OT, a
ail !"
J
una hence evatuare
E(Y) = 20, then find E(Xy). o

@ Can, for some random variable X, p(Ix - 2ox < X < rrll
t.rt 6,6

px + 20* ) = 0.9545 ,) ( ( 8. (d) The random variables X,(i : l, 2, 3, 4) are independently

(e) lf MxO : (0.9 + (0.t)e)100, then obtain E(X2). and identically distributed with probability density

v) lf E(X) : 1, E(X2) = 4 and Mx(r) : na+F1+yr2 , then obtain tunctron

r I r/x*z\':,l
/(x)=---expl -;l , I l. Obtain the
'132n L - ')
the values of o, p and y.
probability density function of U= 1$* , and
k) X and Y are independent normal variates with means 47=l

V=Xr-2Xr+3X,-4yo.
I, 2 and variances 25 and 36 respectively. Compute
(b) The amount of cosmic radiations to which a person is
E(e"x* 0v
I .
exposed when flying by JET across the US is a random

lf E(X) = p and Var(X) = o2 and using Chebychev,s variable having normal disribution with a mean of 4.35
.(h)

inequality we get E(X g < [ol) > I units and a standard devialion of0.S9 units. What is the
- a, then obtain
( (
probability that a person will be exposed to more than
the value of a.
5.53 units of cosmic radiations on such a flight ? 6.6
(D If o'?, = 25, oi = 36 and Cov(X. Y) = to, rhen obtain
[Use e-8 = 0.00035, e] = 0.01832 and for standard normal
Var (2X 3Y).
dislribution P(-t <Z< t):0.6628, p() < Z < 2) = 0.9544.

a Slate Demoivre Laplace central limit theorem. andP(-3<Z<3)=0.99731

(t,t,t,t,t2,2,2,22\ I
w 7 qlo
 (6)2994 (3)sq
6. (o) lf X has the discrete uniform distribution /(x) = llk, for S€ction Il
x = 1,2,........., l, then show that moment generating (a) A box contains 20 fuses, in which
2. five are defective. If
function is given by :
three of the fuses are selected at random and are removed
{/'
0.,'..!,- (
' = E(e'x) -
M.{r) "r). Atso find M.(0), M.(0) ftom the box in succession, then what is the probability
r(l e)
that all are defective ?
and hence compute mean and variance of random

variable X. (b) A coin is tossed lhree times and the eight possible

x and B(r; r,0) = outcomes are assumed to be equally likely. If A be the

(b) Let 6(x; n,0) = ox(l - o)'
t:) event that a h6ad occurs on each of the first two tosses;

\ B is the event that a tail occurs on the third toss

I t1*, ,, e). show thar and

C is the eyent that exactly two tails in the three tosses,

(0 b(x; n, Q) = b(n - x; n, | - 0)
then show that :
(r0 b(xi n, g) = B(xt n, 0) - B(;r - l; n, 0)
I
n,I - 0) - -x-
(r) 'A and B are independent events.
(rtr) 6(xl n,0) = B(n - x; B(tt l;

r, l -0) ( ( (O B and C are dependent events. 6,6

(rv) B(x; ,, 0) = I - B(z -r- l; n, l-0). 65 3. (a) Two socks are selected at random and are removed in

[u(t - u) I
7. (a\ Show that a = pL-+ - I.l and
succession from a drawer containing five brown sock and

three green socks. If random variable W represents the

P=(r -P)[+I-r]' *r'"" (cr,o) are two number of brown socks selected, then find probability
parameteB of lhe beta type-l disribution and (p, o2) are
dishibution of W and E(W)..
the mean and variance of the distribution respectively.

P.T.O.
 (4) w (5 ) 2W

(6) Find the cumulative distribution function(cdf) of random Section III

variable X whose plobability density function(pdf) is 5. (a) An item is produced in large numbers. The machine is

given by : ( ( known to produce 57o defectives. A quality control

i x, 0<r<l inspector is examining the items by taking them at random.

,

I f(,) = 2-x, l1x.<2

What is the probability that at least 4 items are examined
0, otherwise
in order to get 2 defectives ?

Also sketch the graph of pdf and cdf. 6,6

(b) If the probability is 0.75 that an applicant for a driver's

4. (a) Three random variables X, Y and Z lnve variances
license will pass the road tesl on any given try. What

o| = t, o'" = 5, o2, = 2 and cov(x, Y)

is the probability that an applicant will finally pass the

Cov(Y, Z) = -l and Cov(Z, X) = I respectively. Find

test on the fourth try ?
( (
Cov(U, D where U = 3X -y .+ 2Z and V= X -3y + Z.
G) [f two percent of the books bound at a certain bindery

(b) Find mean and variance of random variable X whose have defective bindings, then use the Poisson

probability density function is: 6,6 approximation to the binomial distribution to determine the

4 probability that five of 400 books bound by this bindery

-;T' 0<r<l
.f(x) =
;1'
will havc defective bindings. 4lA
0, otherwise
PT,O.