QB - Math Inference (Hard)
QB - Math Inference (Hard)
ID: 85939da5
In a study of cell phone use, 799 randomly selected US teens were asked how
often they talked on a cell phone and about their texting behavior. The data are
summarized in the table above. Based on the data from the study, an estimate
of the percent of US teens who are heavy texters is 30% and the associated
margin of error is 3%. Which of the following is a correct statement based on
the given margin of error?
A. Approximately 3% of the teens in the study who are classified as heavy texters are not really heavy texters.
B. It is not possible that the percent of all US teens who are heavy texters is less than 27%.
D. It is doubtful that the percent of all US teens who are heavy texters is 35%.
Choice A is incorrect. The margin of error doesn’t provide any information about the accuracy of reporting in the study.
Choice B is incorrect. Based on the estimate and given margin of error, it is unlikely that the percent of all US teens who
are heavy texters would be less than 27%, but it is possible. Choice C is incorrect. While the percent of all US teens who
are heavy texters is likely between 27% and 33%, any value within this interval is equally likely. We can’t be certain that
the value is exactly 33%.
ID: c7e73ece
Views on Nuclear Energy
Use
Response Frequency
Strongly
56
favor
Somewhat
214
favor
Somewhat
104
oppose
Strongly
37
oppose
A researcher interviewed 411 randomly selected US residents and asked about their views on the use of nuclear energy.
The table above summarizes the responses of the interviewees. If the population of the United States was 300 million
when the survey was given, based on the sample data for the 411 US residents, what is the best estimate, in millions, of
the difference between the number of US residents who somewhat favor or strongly favor the use of nuclear energy and
the number of those who somewhat oppose or strongly oppose it? (Round your answer to the nearest whole number.)
Rationale
The correct answer is 94. Of those interviewed, “strongly favor” or “somewhat favor” the use of nuclear
energy, and interviewees “somewhat oppose” or “strongly oppose” the use of nuclear energy. The
difference between the sizes of the two surveyed groups is . The proportion of this difference among
the entire group of interviewees is . Because the sample of interviewees was selected at random from US
residents, it is reasonable to assume that the proportion of this difference is the same among all US residents as in the
sample. Therefore, the best estimate, in millions, of the difference between the number of US residents who somewhat
favor or strongly favor the use of nuclear energy and the number of those who somewhat oppose or strongly oppose it
ID: 1ea09200
Rationale
Choice B is correct. Selecting a sample of a reasonable size at random to use for a survey allows the results from that
survey to be applied to the population from which the sample was selected, but not beyond this population. In this case,
the population from which the sample was selected is all fourth-grade students at a certain school. Therefore, the
results of the survey can be applied to all fourth-grade students at the school.
Choice A is incorrect. The results of the survey can be applied to the 40 students who were surveyed. However, this isn’t
the largest group to which the results of the survey can be applied. Choices C and D are incorrect. Since the sample was
selected at random from among the fourth-grade students at a certain school, the results of the survey can’t be applied
to other students at the school or to other fourth-grade students who weren’t represented in the survey results. Students
in other grades in the school or other fourth-grade students in the country may feel differently about announcements
than the fourth-grade students at the school.
ID: 308084c5
A 52% 4.2%
B 48% 1.6%
The results of two random samples of votes for a proposition are shown above.
The samples were selected from the same population, and the margins of error
were calculated using the same method. Which of the following is the most
appropriate reason that the margin of error for sample A is greater than the
margin of error for sample B?
Rationale
Choice D is correct. Sample size is an appropriate reason for the margin of error to change. In general, a smaller sample
size increases the margin of error because the sample may be less representative of the whole population.
Choice A is incorrect. The margin of error will depend on the size of the sample of recorded votes, not the number of
votes that could not be recorded. In any case, the smaller number of votes that could not be recorded for sample A
would tend to decrease, not increase, the comparative size of the margin of error. Choice B is incorrect. Since the
percent in favor for sample A is the same distance from 50% as the percent in favor for sample B, the percent of
favorable responses doesn’t affect the comparative size of the margin of error for the two samples. Choice C is
incorrect. If sample A had a larger margin of error than sample B, then sample A would tend to be less representative of
the population. Therefore, sample A is not likely to have a larger sample size.
ID: 7d68096f
A trivia tournament organizer wanted to study the relationship between the number of points a team scores in a trivia
round and the number of hours that a team practices each week. For the study, the organizer selected teams at
random from all trivia teams in a certain tournament. The table displays the information for the teams in the sample
that practiced for at least hours per week.
3 to 5 hours
Total
Which of the following is the largest population to which the results of the study can be generalized?
A. All trivia teams in the tournament that scored or more points in the round
C. The trivia teams in the sample that practiced for at least hours per week
Choice A is incorrect. The sample was selected at random from all trivia teams in the tournament, not just from the
teams that scored an average of or more points per round.
Choice B is incorrect. If a study uses a sample selected at random from a population, the results of the study can be
generalized to the population, not just the sample.
Choice C is incorrect. If a study uses a sample selected at random from a population, the results of the study can be
generalized to the population, not just a subset of the sample.
ID: 7ce2830a
Rationale
Choice B is correct. The largest group to which the results of a study can be generalized is the population from which
the random sample was chosen. In this case, the psychologist chose a random sample from all students at one
particular middle school. Therefore, the largest group to which the results can be generalized is all the students at the
school.
Choice A is incorrect because this isn’t the largest group the results can be generalized to. Choices C and D are
incorrect because these groups are larger than the population from which the random sample was chosen. Therefore,
the sample isn’t representative of these groups.
ID: aa43b41f
Near the end of a US cable news show, the host invited viewers to respond to a
poll on the show’s website that asked, “Do you support the new federal policy
discussed during the show?” At the end of the show, the host reported that 28%
responded “Yes,” and 70% responded “No.” Which of the following best explains
why the results are unlikely to represent the sentiments of the population of the
United States?
A. The percentages do not add up to 100%, so any possible conclusions from the poll are invalid.
B. Those who responded to the poll were not a random sample of the population of the United States.
C. There were not 50% “Yes” responses and 50% “No” responses.
D. The show did not allow viewers enough time to respond to the poll.
Rationale
Choice B is correct. In order for the poll results from a sample of a population to represent the entire population, the
sample must be representative of the population. A sample that is randomly selected from a population is more likely
than a sample of the type described to represent the population. In this case, the people who responded were people
with access to cable television and websites, which aren’t accessible to the entire population. Moreover, the people who
responded also chose to watch the show and respond to the poll. The people who made these choices aren’t
representative of the entire population of the United States because they were not a random sample of the population of
the United States.
Choices A, C, and D are incorrect because they present reasons unrelated to whether the sample is representative of the
population of the United States.
ID: 4a422e3e
A determination about the mean number of children per household in the community should not be made because
B. the sample size is too small.
The sampling method is flawed and may produce a biased estimate of the mean number of children per household
C. in the community.
The sampling method is not flawed and is likely to produce an unbiased estimate of the mean number of children
D. per household in the community.
Rationale
Choice C is correct. In order to use a sample mean to estimate the mean for a population, the sample must be
representative of the population (for example, a simple random sample). In this case, Tabitha surveyed 20 families in a
playground. Families in the playground are more likely to have children than other households in the community.
Therefore, the sample isn’t representative of the population. Hence, the sampling method is flawed and may produce a
biased estimate.
Choices A and D are incorrect because they incorrectly assume the sampling method is unbiased. Choice B is incorrect
because a sample of size 20 could be large enough to make an estimate if the sample had been representative of all the
families in the community.
ID: 9ba3e283
A. 16,200
B. 23,400
C. 30,600
D. 46,800
Rationale
Choice C is correct. It is given that 34.6% of 26 students in Mr. Camp’s class reported that they had at least two siblings.
Since 34.6% of 26 is 8.996, there must have been 9 students in the class who reported having at least two siblings and
17 students who reported that they had fewer than two siblings. It is also given that the average eighth-grade class size
in the state is 26 and that Mr. Camp’s class is representative of all eighth-grade classes in the state. This means that in
each eighth-grade class in the state there are about 17 students who have fewer than two siblings. Therefore, the best
estimate of the number of eighth-grade students in the state who have fewer than two siblings is 17 × (number of
eighth-grade classes in the state), or .
Choice A is incorrect because 16,200 is the best estimate for the number of eighth-grade students in the state who have
at least, not fewer than, two siblings. Choice B is incorrect because 23,400 is half of the estimated total number of
eighth-grade students in the state; however, since the students in Mr. Camp’s class are representative of students in the
eighth-grade classes in the state and more than half of the students in Mr. Camp’s class have fewer than two siblings,
more than half of the students in each eighth-grade class in the state have fewer than two siblings, too. Choice D is
incorrect because 46,800 is the estimated total number of eighth-grade students in the state.