Group Assignment Topic 1 Financial Investment
Group Assignment Topic 1 Financial Investment
COLLEGE OF BUSINESS
FACULTY OF FINANCE
1. Data description..................................................................................................................................5
1.1. Company and Stocks Introduction..................................................................................................5
1.1.1 Asia Commercial Joint Stock Bank (ACB)...................................................................................5
1.1.2 Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam (Vietcombank)...................................................................5
1.1.3 Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Investment and Development of Vietnam (BIDV)...............5
1.1.4 Vietnam Technological and Commercial Joint Stock Bank (Techcombank)..............................6
1.1.5 Vietnam Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Industry and Trade (VietinBank)...........................6
1.2. Dataset description.........................................................................................................................7
2. Expected Returns and Variance Analysis...............................................................................................7
2.1. Daily returns.....................................................................................................................................7
2.2. Expected returns..............................................................................................................................7
2.3. Variance...........................................................................................................................................8
3. Variance-Covariance Matrix.................................................................................................................8
4. Expected returns, Standard deviation & Sharpe ratio of the Portfolio.................................................9
4.1. Portfolio’s Expected Returns...........................................................................................................9
4.2. Portfolio’s Standard Deviation......................................................................................................10
4.3. Portfolio’s Sharpe Ratio................................................................................................................10
5. Minimum Variance of the Portfolio.....................................................................................................10
6. Optimal Risky Portfolio........................................................................................................................12
7. Efficient Frontier of Risky Portfolio......................................................................................................15
8. Optimal CAL.........................................................................................................................................18
9. Conclusions..........................................................................................................................................20
REFERENCE................................................................................................................................................23
LIST OF TABLES
Table 9. Expected returns of the portfolio when each stock has an equal weight....................................9
Table 10. Weight of each stock in the portfolio to get minimum variance in case of allowing short
Table 14. Standard deviation and Expected returns in case Short selling is not allowed.......................16
Table 15. Standard deviation and Expected returns in case Short selling is allowed..............................17
Table 16. Data for Capital Allocation Line in case Short selling is not allowed.......................................19
Table 17. Data for Capital Allocation Line in case Short selling is allowed..............................................19
Figure 1. Excel Solver to find the minimum variance of the portfolio in case Short selling is allowed...11
Figure 2. Excel Solver to find the minimum variance of the portfolio in case Short selling is not allowed
..................................................................................................................................................................11
Figure 3. Excel Solver to find Optimal Risky portfolio in case Short selling is not allowed.....................13
Figure 4. Excel Solver to find Optimal Risky portfolio in case Short selling is allowed............................14
Figure 10. The Efficient Frontier with CAL (Short selling not allowed)....................................................21
Figure 11. The Efficient Frontier with the optimal CAL (Short selling allowed).......................................22
1. Data description
1.1. Company and Stocks Introduction
1.1.1 Asia Commercial Joint Stock Bank (ACB)
Ticker symbol: ACB
Asia Commercial Joint Stock Bank (ACB), which was established in 1993 with a charter
capital of 20 billion VND, is now one of the leading commercial joint stock in Vietnam. The Bank
was first listed on Hanoi Stock Exchange (HNX) in 2006 and then switched to be listed on Ho Chi
Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) in 2020. ACB has its business in the provision of a wide variety of
financial and banking services. Such services include financial services, trade finance, cards
services, term deposit, bank guarantee, insurance, etc.
The ownership structure of ACB recorded on December 31, 2022 is shown as below:
Shareholder Holdings (%)
Others 83.10
Major shareholders 16.90
Table 1. Ownership structure of ACB (Vietstock,2022)
1.1.2 Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam (Vietcombank)
Ticker symbol: VCB
Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam (Vietcombank), formerly known as the Foreign
Exchange Management Department under the Vietnam National Bank in 1955, was officially
went into operation in 1963. The Bank officially operated under the model of joint-stock
commercial bank in 2008 and listed its shares on Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) in 2009. It
is currently the most operational efficient bank in Vietnam’s banking industry with continuous
breakthrough in profit over the years. Vietcombank engages in the provision of commercial
banking services for individuals and corporate clients. It offers both traditional services such as
international settlement and trade finance, fund mobilization, lending, and project finance; and
modern services including card service, e-banking, and securities trading and investment.
The ownership structure of VCB recorded on December 30, 2022 is shown as below:
Shareholder Holdings (%)
State Bank of Vietnam 74.80
Strategic shareholders 15
Others 10.2
Table 2. Ownership structure of VCB (Vietstock, 2022)
1.1.3 Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Investment and Development of Vietnam
(BIDV)
Ticker symbol: BID
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Investment and Development of Vietnam (BIDV),
formerly known as Bank for Construction of Vietnam under the Ministry of Finance, was
established in 1957. BIDV put into operation under the model of a joint stock commercial bank
in 2012 and has listed its shares on Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) since 2014. BIDV
comprehensively completed its business targets, strengthening competitive capacity, becoming
the leading commercial joint stock bank in Vietnam with sustainable development in the
current period. The Bank offers a wide variety of investment banking services to individual and
corporate customers, and financial institutions, including deposits, savings, personal loan, e-
banking, trade finance, guarantees, and global markets.
The ownership structure of BIDV recorded on December 31, 2022 is shown as below:
Shareholder Holdings (%)
State Bank of Vietnam 80.99
Foreign shareholders own >= 5% 15
Others 3.78
The Labour Union of Company 0.23
Table 3. Ownership structure of BID (Vietstock, 2022)
1.1.4 Vietnam Technological and Commercial Joint Stock Bank (Techcombank)
Ticker symbol: TCB
Vietnam Technological and Commercial Joint Stock Bank (Techcombank), founded in
1993, now becomes one of the largest joint-stock commercial banks in Vietnam and one of the
leading banking institutions in Asia. The Bank listed its shares on Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange
(HOSE) in 2018. Techcombank has its business in mobilization and trade of capital, and
provision of relevant financial services.
The ownership structure of TCB recorded on December 31, 2022 is shown as below:
Shareholder Holdings (%)
Domestic shareholders 77.54
Foreign shareholders 22.46
Table 4. Ownership structure of TCB (Vietstock, 2022)
1.1.5 Vietnam Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Industry and Trade (VietinBank)
Ticker symbol: CTG
Vietnam Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Industry and Trade (VietinBank), established in
1988 upon its separation from the State Bank of Vietnam, is a leading financial and banking
group of Vietnam with diversified activities. The Bank, formerly known as Vietnam Bank for
Industry and Trade, transformed into Vietnam Joint Stock Commercial Bank For Industry and
Trade and listed on Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) in 2009. VietinBank provides a wide
range of banking and financial products and services such as retail banking, trade finance,
Internet banking, etc.
The ownership structure of CTG recorded on December 31, 2022 is shown as below:
Shareholder Holdings (%)
State Bank of Vietnam 64.46
Foreign shareholders 27.81
Domestic shareholders 6.58
VietinBank Trade Union 1.15
Table 5. Ownership structure of CTG (Vietstock, 2022)
1.2. Dataset description
The data used for our investment portfolio to build the optimal risky portfolio includes
the daily close price of 5 stocks (ACB, VCB, BID, TCB, CTG) listed on Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange
(HOSE), and the daily risk-free rate of Vietnam 10-year government bond, for the three-year
period from September 29, 2020, to September 29, 2023. The data includes 751 observations.
Our group collects the stock price data from CafeF - Vietnam's economic, financial, and
stock information news channel , and the risk-free rate data from Investing.com: Stock news,
economic and financial data.
In order to annualize the daily expected returns, we use the function of:
❑
Where: p(s) = the probability of each scenario
r(s) = the HPR in each scenario
To annualize the daily variance, we multiply it by the number of trading days of 252.
The daily variance and annual variance are as follows:
3. Variance-Covariance Matrix
Covariance is a measure of the relationship between two random variables and to what
extent they change together. In other words, it defines the changes between the two variables,
such that change in one variable is equal to change in another variable. Covariance between
two variables is calculated as follows:
❑
Cov ( r D , r E )=∑ Pr ( scenario ) [ r D−E ( r D ) ][ r E −E ( r E ) ]
❑
The covariance of a variable with itself is the variance of that variable:
2
Cov ( r D , r D )=σ D
rf = risk-free rate = 3.002, which is calculated as the average of the daily 10-year
Treasury bonds of Vietnam on trading days from 29/09/2020 to 29/09/2023
σ p = the portfolio’s standard deviation = 22.84124
Therefore, the portfolio’s Sharpe ratio when each stock has an equal weight is 0.40925.
Figure 2. Excel Solver to find the minimum variance of the portfolio in case Short selling is not
allowed
Short selling is not allowed Short selling is allowed
Minimum-variance weight
ACB 0.3 0.3
VCB 0.2 0.2
BID 0.1 0.1
TCB 0.1 0.1
CTG 0.3 0.3
Sum 1.0 1.0
Table 10. Weight of each stock in the portfolio to get minimum variance in case of allowing
short selling and not allowing short selling
Both cases yield the same results on the weight of each stock, as well as expected
return, standard deviation, and Sharpe ratio.
Daily expected return = 0.03342%
Annual expected return = 9.42804%
Daily standard deviation = 1.33221%
Annual standard deviation = 21.14819%
Sharpe ratio = 0.30387
Figure 4. Excel Solver to find Optimal Risky portfolio in case Short selling is allowed
As a result, we have:
Optimally-weighted portfolio
ACB 0,1362
VCB -0,0362
BID -0,5289
TCG 1,5950
CTG -0,1661
sum 1
Expected return daily (%) 0,22425
Expected return annually (%) 68,51269
Standard deviation daily (%) 4,25353
Standard deviation annually (%) 67,52273
Sharpe ratio 0,97021
Table 12. Optimally-weighted portfolio (Short selling is allowed)
When Short selling is allowed, we should invest most in TCG with the highest optimally-
weighted portfolio (1.5950). Three stocks with the negative result (VCB, BID,CTG), we should
short sell.
Randomly-weighted portfolio
ACB 0.3
VCB 0.2
BID 0.1
TCG 0.1
CTG 0.3
sum 1
Table 13. Randomly-weighted portfolio
Short selling is not allowed
8. Optimal CAL
The Capital Allocation Line (CAL) is the line that all combinations of the risk-free asset
and the risky asset lie on. To graph the CAL, we calculate the return and standard deviation with
different scenarios in which we invest a proportion of the investment budget in the risk-free
asset and the remaining proportion in the risky asset.
For expected return, we use the following formula:
E ( r C ) = y r f + ( 1− y ) E ( r p )
50.00
45.00
40.00
P
35.00
Expected Return (%))
30.00
25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
[Y VALUE]
0.00
0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00
Standard deviation (%)
80.00
70.00
P
60.00
Expected Return (%)
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
3.00167
0.00
0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00
9. Conclusions
The optimal portfolio is the tangency point of the optimal CAL to the efficient frontier.
This point maximizes the Sharpe Ratio. We combine both the CAL and efficient frontier in the
same chart to see the point of the optimal of portfolio.
50.00
45.00
40.00
The optimal portfolio
35.00
Expected Return (%))
30.00
25.00
20.00
15.00
Figure 10. The Efficient Frontier with CAL (Short selling not allowed)
With no short selling allowed, the expected return of the optimal portfolio is 40.95%
with the standard deviation of 41.6%. The proportions of each stock in the optimal portfolio are
described in the following table:
80.00
70.00
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
The global minimum
10.00 variance portfolio
3.00167
0.00
0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00
Figure 11. The Efficient Frontier with the optimal CAL (Short selling allowed)
When allowing short selling, the expected return of the optimal portfolio is 68.51% with
the standard deviation of 67.52%. The proportions of each stock in the optimal portfolio are
described in the following table:
1. Bodie Z., Kane A., Marcus A. J. (2014). Optimal Risky Portfolio, Investments, 10 th edition,
McGraw-Hill Education. New York.
2. History of BIDV. Retrieved from https://tinyurl.com/35tvs4vr
3. Vietnam 10-Year Bond Historical Data. Retrieved from
https://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/vietnam-10-year-bond-yield-historical-data
4. Overview Asia Commercial Joint Stock Bank (ACB). Retrieved from
https://www.acb.com.vn/en/overview
5. VietCombank. (2019). Retrieved from
https://portal.vietcombank.com.vn/en-Us/About/DH/Pages/milestones.aspx?
devicechannel=default
6. VietstockFinance. (2002). ACB: Ngân hàng TMCP Á Châu - ACB - Hồ sơ doanh nghiệp.
Retrieved from https://finance.vietstock.vn/ACB/profile.htm
7. VietstockFinance. (2002). BID: Ngân hàng TMCP Đầu tư và Phát triển Việt Nam - BIDV -
Hồ sơ doanh nghiệp. Retrieved from https://finance.vietstock.vn/BID/profile.htm
8. VietstockFinance. (2002). CTG: Ngân hàng TMCP Công Thương Việt Nam - VIETINBANK -
Hồ sơ doanh nghiệp. Retrieved from https://finance.vietstock.vn/CTG/profile.htm
9. VietstockFinance. (2002). TCB: Ngân hàng TMCP Kỹ thương Việt Nam - TECHCOMBANK -
Hồ sơ doanh nghiệp. Retrieved from https://finance.vietstock.vn/TCB/profile.htm
10. VietstockFinance. (2002). VCB: Ngân hàng TMCP Ngoại thương Việt Nam -
VIETCOMBANK - Hồ sơ doanh nghiệp. Retrieved from
https://finance.vietstock.vn/VCB/profile.htm