Chapter 9: Savings, Interest Rates, and the Market for Loanable Funds
What is the loanable funds market?
- loanable funds market – market where savers supply funds for loans to borrowers - firms must borrow money in order to generate future GDP
- without savings, we cannot sustain future production
- output (GDP) requires investment, investment requires borrowing, borrowing requires savings Interest Rates as a Reward for Saving - interest rate – a price of loanable funds, quoted as a percentage of the original loan amount; reward for savers - the higher the interest rate, the greater incentive to save (positive relationship) Interest Rates as a Cost of Borrowing - expected return – anticipated rate of return based on the probabilities of all possible outcomes - for borrowers, the interest rate is the cost of borrowing, firms only borrow if the expected return on their investment is greater than the cost of the loan (negative relationship – lower interest rates lead to a greater quantity demanded of loanable funds) How Inflation Affects Interest Rates - real interest rate – interest rate corrected for inflation, rate of return in terms of real purchasing power - nominal interest rate – interest rate before it is corrected for inflation, stated interest rate - Fisher equation → real interest rate = nominal interest rate – inflation rate What factors shift the supply of loanable funds? 1. Income and Wealth - as people gain wealth, they save more - been an increase in saving from foreign countries/individuals 2. Time Preferences - time preferences – people prefer to receive goods and services sooner rather than later - people with stronger time preferences (want it now) save less than people with weaker time preferences 3. Consumption Smoothing - consumption smoothing – occurs when people borrow and save to smooth consumption over their lifetime, accomplished with the help of the loanable funds market - dissaving – people withdraw funds from their previously accumulated savings - supply increases when large portion of the population moves into midlife (when savings is the highest)
What factors shift the demand for loanable funds?
1. Productivity of Capital - impacts if the return is going to outweigh the cost - productivity can change because of technology etc. 2. Investor Confidence - investor confidence – measure of what firms expect for future economic activity - high confidence increases their likelihood of borrowing for investment 3. Government Borrowing - increases in government borrowing are reflected as increases in the demand for loanable funds → shifts demand curve to the right - decreases in government borrowing lead to leftward shifts in demand How do we apply the loanable funds market model? Equilibrium → savings = investment - occurs at the interest rate where the plans of savers match the plans of borrowers (quantity supplied = quantity demanded, accounting for interest!) A Decrease in the Demand for Loanable Funds A Decrease in the Supply of Loanable Funds