Chapter 16 - Plus Notes - 12 PT
Chapter 16 - Plus Notes - 12 PT
CA NISHANT KUMAR 1
Binomial Distribution
Binomial Distribution is used to find out the probability where the total no. of outcomes is huge.
The probability is given by the following formula:
P ( x ) = n C x p x q n − x , for x = 0, 1, 2, 3, …, n
Here,
n = number of times the experiment is repeated
x = the requirement of the question
p = probability of success in each trial
q = probability of failure in each trial = 1 – p
Conditions
Binomial distribution is applicable only if the following conditions are satisfied:
1. All the trials are independent, and
2. Each trial has only two outcomes.
Solution (b)
Solution (a)
Solution (c)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 2
Exercise – Set B – Question 8
What is the probability of making 3 correct guesses in 5 True – False answer type questions?
(a) 0.3125 (b) 0.5676 (c) 0.6875 (d) 0.4325
Solution (a)
Solution (a)
Solution (c)
Solution (b)
Solution (b)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 3
Exercise – Set C – Question 1
If it is known that the probability of a missile hitting a target is 1/8, what is the probability that
out of 10 missiles fired, at least 2 will hit the target?
(a) 0.4258 (b) 0.3968 (c) 0.5238 (d) 0.3611
Solution (d)
Solution (a)
Solution (b)
Solution (a)
Important Points
1. Binomial Distribution is applicable when the random variable (x) is discrete.
2. As n 0 , p, q 0 , therefore, f ( x ) 0 for every x.
Also, f ( x ) = f ( 0 ) + f (1) + f ( 2 ) + f ( 3) + ... + f ( n ) = 1
3. Binomial distribution is known as bi-parametric distribution as it is characterised by two
parameters n and p. This means that if the values of n and p are known, then the
distribution is known completely.
CA NISHANT KUMAR 4
4. The mean of the binomial distribution is given by = np .
5. A binominal distribution is symmetrical when p = q.
Solution (b)
Solution (b)
Solution (c)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 5
( n + 1) p = 6
i.
ii. ( n + 1) p − 1 = 6 − 1 = 5
b. If the value of ( n + 1) p is a fraction (i.e., with a decimal part), then the binomial
distribution is said to have one mode. It is called a unimodal binomial
distribution. Its mode is given by the largest integer contained in ( n + 1) p.
1
For example, if, in a binomial distribution, n = 12 , and p = , then ( n + 1) p =
3
1 13
(12 + 1) = = 4.33
3 3
Since the answer is a fraction, this binomial distribution has only one mode. Its
mode is given by the largest integer contained in ( n + 1) p . Therefore, the mode
is 4.
Exercise – Set B – Question 4
If x is a binomial variate with parameter 15 and 1/3, what is the value of mode of the
distribution?
(a) 5 and 6 (b) 5 (c) 5.50 (d) 6
Solution (b)
Solution (b)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 6
Exercise – Set B – Question 5
What is the number of trials of a binomial distribution having mean and SD as 3 and 1.5
respectively?
(a) 2 (b) 4 (c) 8 (d) 12
Solution (d)
Solution (a)
What is the mode of the distribution for which mean and SD are 10 and 5 respectively?
(a) 10 (b) 11 (c) 10 and 11 (d) None
Solution (a)
Solution (a)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 7
Important Points (Contd.)
10. Sometimes, Binomial Distribution is also written as B(n, p). So, if, in a question you
find something like “X~B(5, 0.4)”, it means that n = 5, and p = 0.4. Here, X denotes the
requirement of the question.
General Questions
Exercise – Set A – Question 9
The probability mass function of binomial distribution is given by:
(a) f ( x ) = p x q n − x (b) f ( x ) = nC x p x q n − x
(c) f ( x ) = nC x q x p n − x (d) f ( x ) = nC x p n − x q x
Solution (b)
Solution (c)
Solution (c)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 8
Solution (a)
Solution (c)
Solution (c)
(a) np 2 (1 − p ) (b) np (1 − p )
(c) nq (1 − q ) (d) n 2 p 2 (1 − p )
2
Solution (c)
Solution (b)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 9
Poisson Distribution
Poisson Distribution is used to find out the probability where the total no. of outcomes is too
huge and the probability of success is extremely small. The probability is given by the following
formula:
e− m m x
P ( x) = , for x = 0, 1, 2, 3, …, n
x!
Here,
e = exponential constant = 2.71828
m = mean = np
x = the requirement of the question
Solution (b)
Solution (a)
Solution (a)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 10
Page 16.14 – Example 16.15 (2)
Between 9 AM and 10 AM, the average number of phone calls per minute coming into the
switchboard of a company is 4. Find the probability that during one particular minute, there will
be at most 3 phone calls. (given e−4 = 0.018316 )
(a) 0.33 (b) 0.43 (c) 0.55 (d) None
Solution (b)
Solution (c)
Solution (b)
Solution (a)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 11
Exercise – Set C – Question 11
A renowned hospital usually admits 200 patients every day. One per cent patients, on an
average, require special room facilities. On one particular morning, it was found that only one
special room is available. What is the probability that more than 3 patients would require special
room facilities?
(a) 0.1428 (b) 0.1732 (c) 0.2235 (d) 0.3450
Solution (a)
Solution (c)
Solution (c)
A discrete random variable x follows Poisson Distribution. Find the value of P ( x = at least1) .
You are given E ( x ) = 2.20 and e−2.20 = 0.1108
Solution (a)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 12
Page 16.17 – Example 16.18 (ii)
Solution (b)
Important Points
1. Poisson Distribution is applicable when the random variable (x) is discrete.
1
2. Since e− m = m 0, whatever may be the value of m (>0), it follows that f ( x ) 0 for
e
every x.
Also, f ( x ) = f ( 0 ) + f (1) + f ( 2 ) + f ( 3) + ... + f ( n ) = 1 .
3. Poisson distribution is known as a uniparametric distribution as it is characterised by
only one parameter m.
4. The mean of Poisson distribution is given by m, i.e., = m = np.
5. The variance of Poisson distribution is given by 2 = m = np.
6. The standard deviation of Poisson distribution is given by = m = np .
Solution (c)
Solution (c)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 13
Page 16.13 – Example 16.13
The standard deviation of a Poisson variate is 1.732. What is the probability that the variate lies
between –2.3 to 3.68?
(a) 3.00 (b) 1.50 (c) 0.65 (d) 2.50
Solution (c)
Solution (b)
Solution (d)
Solution (b)
Solution (a)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 14
Exercise – Set C – Question 10
A random variable x follows Poisson distribution, and its coefficient of variation is 50. What is
the value of P ( x 1/ x 0 ) ?
Solution (c)
Solution (a)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 15
Sometimes, P ( x ) is also written as f ( x ) . f ( x ) is called “Probability Density Function”.
Solution (a)
Solution (c)
Important Points
1. Normal Distribution is applicable when the random variable (x) is continuous.
2. If we plot the probability function y = f ( x ) , then the curve, known as probability
curve, takes the following shape:
CA NISHANT KUMAR 16
− z2
1 2
4. If μ = 0, and σ = 1, we have f ( z ) = e , for –∞ < z < ∞.
2
The random variable z is known as standard normal variate (or variable) or standard
x−
normal deviate. It is given by z = .
5. Normal distribution is bell shaped.
6. It is unimodal.
7. The normal distribution is known as biparametric distribution as it is characterised by
two parameters μ and σ2. Once the two parameters are known, the normal distribution
is completely specified.
8. Since the normal distribution is symmetrical about its mean (μ), Mean = Median =
Mode.
9. Relationship between MD, SD, and QD → 4SD = 5MD = 6QD
10. Mean Deviation = 0.8σ.
11. Quartile Deviation = 0.675σ.
If the two quartiles of N ( , 2 ) are 14.6 and 25.4 respectively, what is the standard deviation
of the distribution?
(a) 9 (b) 6 (c) 10 (d) 8
Solution (d)
Solution (c)
Solution (b)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 17
Exercise – Set B – Question 22
If the 1st quartile and mean deviation about median of a normal distribution are 13.25 and 8
respectively, then the mode of the distribution is
(a) 20 (b) 10 (c) 15 (d) 12
Solution (a)
Solution (d)
Solution (d)
Solution (a)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 18
(a) 4 (b) 5 (c) 5.95 (d) 6.75
Solution (c)
15. Points of inflexion – A normal curve has two inflexion points, i.e., the points where the
curve changes its shape from concave to convex, and from convex to concave. These
two points are given by:
i. x = − , and
ii. x = +
Solution (c)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 19
Exercise – Set B – Question 20
If the points of inflexion of a normal curve are 40 and 60 respectively, then its mean deviation
is:
(a) 8 (b) 45 (c) 50 (d) 60
Solution (a)
Solution (a)
Solution (d)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 20
Important Points (Contd.)
17. Under a normal distribution, the area enclosed between mean (μ) and 1σ is 0.34135;
mean and 2σ is 0.47725; and mean and 3σ is 0.49865.
18. In case of normal distribution
i. Highest Value = Mean + Half of Range, and
ii. Lowest Value = Mean – Half of Range
19. Normal Distribution with X = 0 , and = 1 is known as Standard Normal Distribution.
20. The height of normal curve is maximum at the Mean Value.
21. Additive Property: If there are two Independent Normal Distributions x ~ N ( 1 , 12 )
and y ~ N ( 2 , 2 2 ) , then z = x + y follows normal distribution with mean ( 1 + 2 )
Solution (a)
Solution (c)
x follows normal distribution with mean as 50 and variance as 100. What is P ( x 60 ) ? Given
(1) = 0.8413 .
Solution (a)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 21
Page 16.27 – Example 16.27 (i)
In a sample of 500 workers of a factory, the mean wage and SD of wages are found to be ₹500
and ₹48 respectively. Find the number of workers having wages more than ₹600. Given that
( 2.08 ) = 0.9812
Solution (b)
Solution (b)
Solution (a)
Solution (b)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 22
Page 16.29 – Example 16.28
The distribution of wages of a group of workers is known to be normal with mean ₹500 and SD
₹100. If the wages of 100 workers in the group are less than ₹430, what is the total number of
workers in the group? Given ( 0.70 ) = 0.758 .
Solution (a)
Solution (a)
Solution (b)
Solution (c)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 23
Page 16.26 – Example 16.25
If a random variable x follows normal distribution with mean as 120 and standard deviation as
40, what is the probability that P ( x 150 / x 120 ) ? Given that area of the normal curve
between Z = 0 and Z = 0.75 is 0.2734.
(a) 0.55 (b) 0.96 (c) 0.26 (d) None
Solution (a)
Solution (c)
The symbol ( a ) indicates the area of the standard normal curve between:
Solution (c)
If the area of a standard normal curve between Z = 0 to Z = 1 is 0.3413, then the value of (1)
is:
(a) 0.5000 (b) 0.8413 (c) –0.5000 (d) 1
Solution (b)
CA NISHANT KUMAR 24