Dominion Guide to Investments
Dominion Guide to Investments
Dominion Guide to Investments
Return: A fund’s return consists of two main elements Stock: (See Share. See Equity)
- the income earned by an investment minus costs,
Total return: A combination of the total income received
and appreciation in an investment’s capital value.
from an investment (minus costs) and its capital return.
Combined, these are a fund’s total return.
Tracker Funds: A tracker fund mirrors a specified index,
Risk profile: All investors have a risk profile, which is
holding all of that index’s stocks and copying its pattern
used to describe the extent to which they can face the
of buying and selling shares. The goal is to mimic an
loss of capital, or failure to reach investment goals.
index’s performance, thereby gaining access to the
Risk rating: A measurement of a fund’s risk rating. It lets performance of an entire market.
investors gauge a fund’s potential to increase or decrease
Unit: Just as an equity is a share of a company, a unit
in value. Usually, higher risk funds exhibit higher volatility.
is a share of an investment fund. It indicates a proportion
Sectors: Funds can be grouped into “sectors” defined of ownership of the fund in question, and entitles its bearer
by investment objectives, or classes of investment. to a proportionate share of the fund’s investment returns.
Share: A unit of ownership in a company or a Fund. Valuation: A calculation of the overall value of a fund
and the price of a single unit in that fund, including its
Sharpe ratio: The amount of excess return an investment
assets and liabilities.
offers for each additional unit of risk (expressed as
a standard deviation) compared to a risk-free asset. Value investing: An investment strategy that involves
The Sharpe ratio shows whether returns are due to picking undervalued stocks. Value investors hope to benefit
intelligent investment decisions or an abundance of risk. from buying stocks that the market is underestimating.
The higher the Sharpe Ratio, the better the risk-adjusted
Volatility: The measurement of an asset price’s
return, calculated as:
movement up and down over time. More volatile stocks
S = (return of the portfolio – return of the risk-free asset) are, by definition, riskier - however, they sometimes provide
/ standard deviation of the portfolio better returns in the long run.
Short: Selling an investment which you do not currently Yield: If you are a dividend investor, your yield is the ratio
own (often achieved through the use of derivatives). between the price you paid for the stock, and the dividend
This is done in the hope that it can be bought later at it pays to you. For example, if a stock is trading at $100 per
a lower price, therefore allowing the seller to make a profit. share, and pays out a dividend of $5 per year, you can find
It is, effectively, betting against a stock. the yield by dividing the $5 by $100, and turning it into
a percentage. In this case, the yield would be 5%.
Standard deviation: A measure of a portfolio’s total
volatility. It indicates the degree to which a portfolio’s
returns have varied around the average during a set period
of time. The lower this measurement, the lower the risk.
and have traditionally focused on profit Key characteristics of growth stocks are:
(or “the bottom line”) when producing them. – they are high-priced in the short term because they
However, other financial indicators have are expected to deliver higher growth in the long term
started to play an important part in company
– they have attractive earnings growth records
valuations, as focusing on profit has not
– they are usually more volatile than the wider market
always provided a reliable guide to investment.
Some of the most important company valuation concepts
to be added to an ever expanding toolbox are cash flow, Value investors look for stocks that are undervalued,
net asset value, and enterprise value. A company’s cash flow and hope to reap the rewards of future profits.
refers to the cash it generates, and is usually approximated
Key characteristics of this strategy are:
by the sum of profits and non-cash items in a company’s
profit & loss account (such as depreciation and provisioning). – a belief that markets overreact (over-shoot) to bad news
A company’s net asset value refers to the value of its assets, – the search for stocks which are priced lower than
excluding liabilities. And a company’s enterprise value (EV) both the broader market and similar companies
is the sum of its equities’ market value and its debt’s market in the same industry
value. EV is commonly used in mergers and acquisitions
but is also popular with equity investors. – a potential value trap: companies may be cheap for
a reason, and value investors can misunderstand those
EV is the basis for many valuation measures, which show, reasons. In these cases, the apparently cheap stock
for example, the ratio of EV to sales. Investors also often is in fact correctly priced by the market
calculate the free cash flow of a company (residual cash flow
after interest costs and taxes are taken into account) and
examine the ratio between it and EV. This is known as the Growth at a Reasonable Price (GARP) is an investment
free cash flow yield (FCF yield), and is often used in mergers strategy that combines key facets of both growth and
and acquisitions. If the FCF yield is higher than the cost of value investing. Investment guru Warren Buffett is
debt, it could make sense to acquire a company, as its free a well-known fan of this type of investing.
cash generation could cover the cost. Discounted Cash
Market capitalisation (market cap) is defined as the total
Flow (DCF) methodology is another tool used to determine
value of all outstanding shares of a publicly traded company.
a company’s valuation. This method is often used in capital
It is a rough measurement of a company’s value.
investment decisions and can help to decide if a particular
Definitions of small, mid, large and mega cap companies
project will generate enough revenue to cover expenditures.
are straightforward – but the exact thresholds between
Dominion Asset Management also often applies the implied these levels varies from market to market.
growth rate (G) as a valuation measure. It represents
a company’s growth rate in perpetuity. (The starting point Drivers of equity markets
is the so-called Gordon’s Growth Model G = k – FCF Yield; The macroeconomic environment is a major driver of
where k is the required rate of return for investor) equities. Other, more equity-specific, drivers include
what are known as “company fundamentals”. These are
The stop loss system is designed to avoid major losses,
a business’s economics, such as the balance sheet,
and is often based on the so-called “high watermark”
income statement, cash flow, and overall management
(the highest price of the stock since its addition to the
Taken together, these measures are thought to be indicative
portfolio). The stop loss signal is triggered when
of a company’s health and growth prospects.
a company’s share price falls below the stop loss level.
Financial analysts use company valuations to determine
Quoted Equities the amount they will pay for a stock.
Of all asset classes, equities have shown the greatest
Market expectations are, essentially, investors’ opinions
potential for returns historically. However, they are also
about a company’s prospects, based on the future returns
amongst the riskiest, since their values can fluctuate
that are implied by its stock price. It is important to note that
significantly.
equity markets tend to be similar to other markets in this
regard: they are forward looking and price in expectations.
Governments will usually strive for: The formula for determining GDP is the sum
of consumer spending (C) plus investments
– A low and stable rate of inflation (typically around 2%)
by firms (I) plus spending by governments
– Equitable distribution of income to create a fair society, (G) plus the difference between exports (X)
without major divisions between rich and poor and Imports (M): GDP= C+I+G+(X-M).
Inflation can also be caused by an increase in production Sometimes, bouts of deflation can be a positive thing,
costs. For example, if sterling depreciates, it will cause as it can increase the purchasing power of money.
avocados, which are bought in Peruvian Sol, to be But long periods of deflation are considered negative
relatively more expensive as an import. In this case, for an economy, as consumers and businesses hoard
British supermarket chains are likely to pass off at least cash and reduce demand, expecting to benefit from
some of this increased cost on to consumers in the form continued falling prices.
of higher prices.
Stagflation is a term that describes increasing
The term inflation refers to an environment of generally inflation alongside a fall in GDP – it arises from
rising prices within an economy. Rising prices impact a combination of the words “stagnation” and “inflation”.
the cost of living, the cost of doing business, borrowing
A Goldilocks economy is when growth isn’t too hot
money, and mortgages. If it is not balanced out by rising
(leading to inflation) nor too cold (leading to a recession).
wages, etc., then increasing inflation causes consumers’
A Goldilocks economy is a healthy economy with
purchasing power to decrease. The measure of inflation
a favourable GDP growth rate of 2-3%, and moderately
over time is referred to as the inflation rate.
rising prices, as measured by the inflation rate.
Deflation is the opposite of inflation: a general decline While deflationary cycles have proved hard to reverse,
in prices. It emerges when the supply of goods and central bankers are generally confident in their ability
services in an economy increases in tandem with demand to control rising inflation.
for cash on the part of both corporates and consumers.
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5: Economics - welfare
Unemployment occurs when a person who wants work is unable to find it. It is often
used as a measure of an economy’s health. The unemployment rate (the total number
of unemployed persons divided by the total number of people in the labour force)
is the most frequently used measure of unemployment.
Individuals might be unemployed for a variety of reasons, The Phillips Curve is an economic concept
such as the seasonal nature of some jobs (ski instructors, that shows how unemployment and inflation
fruit pickers or those involved in the tourist trade) are related in an economy. It suggests that
or brief periods of joblessness due to a change in career. decreasing unemployment causes an increase
And, of course, companies occasionally fail, and are in inflation, and vice versa, and is a popular tool
forced to make their staff unemployed. Structural for macroeconomic analysis.
unemployment is more serious, and occurs when
unprofitable sectors stop employing workers.
ECONOMICS - WELFARE | 14
6: Government policies
Monetary and fiscal policies are the primary ways On the other hand, reducing interest rates makes
it cheaper to borrow money. This incentivises spending
in which governments seek to achieve their goals
and investment, increasing the money circulating in the
There are three broad approaches here: economy. Generally, this causes inflation to rise.
GOVERNMENT POLICIES | 15
7: Exchange rates
An exchange rate can be defined as the rate at which one country’s currency
can be exchanged for another’s. Since currencies have value relative to one another,
a depreciation in one country’s currency causes others to be more expensive.
When exchange rates fluctuate, it can have a major impact 3 A deficit in the country’s current account signals
on an investment portfolio’s performance. For this reason, that it is failing to generate enough foreign trade
it is vital that asset managers remain aware of how much to compensate for spending. Put another way,
exposure they have to each currency. Investment managers the country’s demand for foreign currency outpaces
can vary currency exposures (for example through the use its supply, which lowers its exchange rate.
of hedging at various exchange rate levels), thereby letting
4 A country’s currency exchange rate can also be
them adjust overall exposure as needed.
affected by its debt rating. Widespread concerns
over the possibility of a debt default can lead
A number of factors can affect exchange rates.
investors to sell bonds denominated in the relevant
The most important include: currency, resulting in depreciation.
1 When a country with lower inflation rate sees its 5 A number of factors, such as political events or
currency value rise, causing its purchasing power changes in commodity prices, can lead to speculation
to increase against that of other currencies. The result which may cause currencies to fluctuate in value.
is that countries with higher inflation usually see their Foreign exchange rates are highly influenced by
currency depreciate. sentiment in financial markets.
2 Higher interest rates attract an influx in foreign capital, Investment managers often seek to protect against
causing the exchange rate to increase. However, due (sudden) exchange rate changes by currency hedging.
to the correlation between interest rates, inflation and Hedging is an effective way of limiting the risk posed
exchange rates, the effect of this move can be reduced. by foreign exchange, but it can also be expensive.