Week2 - Proofs and Equations
Week2 - Proofs and Equations
Baban Gain
February 2024
x y
0.5 1.5
1 2
1.5 3
2 3.5
3 4
x Distance y
0.5 2.0 1.5
1 1.5 2
1.5 1.0 3
2 0.5 3.5
3 0.5 4
Nearest neighbours are x = 1.5, 2 and 3
The predicted value of y at x=2.5 is 13 (3 + 3.5 + 4) = 3.5
1
2 Derivation
ŷi = β0 + β1 xi (1)
N
X
RSS(β) = (yi − ŷi )2 (2)
i=1
N
X
RSS(β) = (yi − (β0 + β1 xi ))2 (3)
i=1
XN
RSS(β) = (yi − β0 − β1 xi )2 (4)
i=1
N
∂RSS X
=2· (yi − β0 − β1 xi ) · −1 = 0 (5)
∂β0 i=1
N
∂RSS X
= −2 · (yi − β0 − β1 xi ) = 0 (6)
∂β0 i=1
N N N
X X X 0
yi − β0 − β1 xi = (7)
i=1 i=1 i=1
−2
N
X N
X N
X
β0 = yi − β1 xi (8)
i=1 i=1 i=1
XN XN
N · β0 = yi − β1 xi (9)
i=1 i=1
PN PN
i=1 yi β1 i=1 xi
β0 = − (10)
N N
β0 = Y − β1 · X (11)
2
2.2 Derivative w.r.t β1
N
∂RSS X
=2· (yi − β0 − β1 xi ) · −xi = 0 (12)
∂β1 i=1
N
∂RSS X
= −2 · xi (yi − β0 − β1 xi ) = 0 (13)
∂β1 i=1
N
X
xi (yi − β0 − β1 xi ) = 0 (14)
i=1
Replacing β0 with Y − β1 · X
N
X
xi (yi − Y + β1 · X − β1 xi ) = 0 (15)
i=1
N
X N
X
xi (yi − Y ) + xi · (β1 · X − β1 xi ) = 0 (16)
i=1 i=1
XN N
X
xi (yi − Y ) = xi · (β1 xi − β1 · X) (17)
i=1 i=1
XN N
X
xi (yi − Y ) = β1 · xi · (xi − X) (18)
i=1 i=1
PN
xi (yi − Y )
β1 = PNi=1 (19)
i=1 xi · (xi − X)
PN PN
i=1 xi (yi − Y ) − X(yi − Y )
β1 = PN Pi=1
N
(20)
i=1 xi · (xi − X) − i=1 X · (xi − X)
PN
(xi − X)(yi − Y )
β1 = PNi=1 (21)
i=1 (xi − X) · (xi − X)
PN
(xi − X)(yi − Y )
β1 = i=1 PN (22)
2
i=1 (xi − X)
Further simplifying,
3
PN
i=1 ((xi· yi ) − (xi · Y ) − (X · yi ) + (X · Y ))
β1 = PN (23)
2 2
i=1 ((xi ) − 2 · xi · X + (X) ))
PN PN PN PN
i=1 (xi yi ) − i=1 (xi Y ) − i=1 (Xyi ) + i=1 (XY )
β1 = PN 2
P N P N
(24)
2
i=1 (xi ) − 2 i=1 (xi X) + i=1 (X)
PN
(xi yi ) − N XY − N XY + N XY
β1 = i=1 PN 2
(25)
2 2
i=1 (xi ) − 2N (X) + N (X)
PN
(xi yi ) − N XY
β1 = Pi=1 N 2
(26)
2
i=1 (xi ) − N (X)
P P P
N (xi yi ) − xi yi
β1 = (27)
N (x2i ) − ( xi )2
P P
N
X
X(yi − Y )
i=1
N
X N
X
= X · yi − X ·Y
i=1 i=1
N
X
=X yi − N · X · Y
i=1
=X ·N ·Y −N ·X ·Y
=0
4
2.3.2 Denominator
N
X
X · (xi − X)
i=1
N
X
=X· (xi − X)
i=1
= X · (N · X − N · X)
=0
5
3 Linear Regression
x y
0.5 1.5
1 2
1.5 3
2 3.5
3 4
3.1 Find β1
8
X = 0.5 + 1 + 1.5 + 2 + 3 = = 1.6
5
14
Y = 1.5 + 2 + 3 + 3.5 + 4 = = 2.8
5
PN
(xi − X)(yi − Y )
β1 = i=1 PN 2
i=1 (xi − X)
N umerator = (−1.1 ∗ −1.3) + (−0.6 ∗ −0.8) + (−0.1 ∗ 0.2) + (0.4 ∗ 0.7) + (1.4 ∗ 1.2) = 3.85
Denominator = 1.21 + 0.36 + 0.01 + 0.16 + 1.96 = 3.7
β1 = 3.85/3.7 = 1.0405
6
Alternatively,
P P P
N (xi yi ) − xi yi
β1 =
N (x2i ) − ( xi )2
P P
X
(xi yi ) = (0.5 ∗ 1.5) + 2 + 4.5 + 7 + 12 = 26.25
X
xi = 8
X
yi = 14
N
X
(x2i ) = 0.25 + 1 + 2.25 + 4 + 9 = 16.5
i=1
(5 ∗ 26.25) − (8 ∗ 14)
β1 =
5 ∗ 16.5 − 64
19.25
β1 = = 1.0405
18.5
3.2 Find β0
β0 = Y − β1 · X
β0 = 2.8 − (1.0405 ∗ 1.6) = 1.1352
( x21 ) ( x2 y) − ( x1 x2 ) ( x1 y)
P P P P
β2 =
( x22 ) ( x21 ) − ( x1 x2 )2
P P P