VISVESVARAYATECHNOLOGICALUNIVERSITY

“Jnana Sangama”, Belagavi-590018.

A Mini Project (BCS586) Synopsis on

“Predicting a Batsman score before match starts”

Submitted in the partial fulfilment of the requirements for the award of the degree of

Bachelor of Engineering in Computer Science and Engineering

Submitted by
Charan G (1RF22CS028)
Akarsh Anil Kumar (1RF22CS010)

Irshad Basha (1RF22CS048)

Venkat Koushiik R (1RF23CS411)

Project Team #33

Under the guidance

Prof Sudheendra Sir
Faculty at CSE Department

RV INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

(Affiliated to Visvesvaraya Technological University, Belagavi & Approved by AICTE, New Delhi)
JP Nagar 8th Phase, Kothanur, Bengaluru-560076
2024-2025
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1. Abstract
1.1. Background
The performance prediction of a batsman in an upcoming match provides insights valuable for both team
strategies and fan engagement. By analyzing historical data alongside contextual elements like pitch and
weather conditions, this predictive approach captures key factors influencing a player's likely
performance, ensuring a data-driven perspective on score forecasting.

1.2. Objective
 Historical Data Analysis: Utilizes the batsman’s past performance in similar formats and against
specific opposition.
 Venue and Pitch Insights: Accounts for previous performances at the given venue and in varying
pitch conditions.
 Contextual Adaptation: Adapts predictions based on match pressure, player form, and opposition
team composition.

2. Methodology

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Step-by-Step Approach

1. Data Collection: Gather data on the batsman’s historical performance, including opponent team stats,
venue conditions, and recent game data. Additional data on pitch type and weather conditions are also
included.
2. Feature Engineering: Key features are extracted from data, including batting average, opponent stats,
and specific conditions of the match.
3. Model Development:
• Statistical Analysis: Linear regression for predicting continuous score variables.
• Machine Learning Models: Utilize Random Forest or Neural Networks trained on features like
batting average, opponent track record, and pitch impact.
• Time Series Analysis: ARIMA models to account for trends and seasonal variations in
performance data.
4. Model Evaluation: Accuracy is measured with cross-validation and metrics like Mean Absolute Error
(MAE) or Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), ensuring reliability.

Our Tech Stack:

1. Data Collection and Processing

• Python Libraries: Pandas (for data manipulation), NumPy (for mathematical calculations), and
BeautifulSoup/Scrapy (for web scraping to gather historical player data, opponent stats, and pitch
conditions).
• APIs for External Data: CricAPI (for cricket data).

2. Statistical Analysis and Modeling

• Statistical Libraries: Statsmodels (for regression analysis and time series forecasting like ARIMA) to
predict scores based on historical data and recent form.

3. Data Storage and Management

• Database: PostgreSQL or SQLite (for simpler setups) to store historical data on players, venues,
pitch, and weather conditions.
• CSV/Excel Files: For lightweight storage, use CSVs or Excel files for data that doesn't change
frequently.

4. Deployment and Hosting

• Web Framework: Flask or Django (to build a lightweight web app or API that displays predictions).
• Hosting Services: Heroku or an AWS EC2 instance (for easy deployment). Heroku is ideal for quick
setups with free tiers available.

5. Monitoring and Evaluation

• Evaluation Tools: Simple statistical tracking of Mean Absolute Error (MAE) or Root Mean Squared
Error (RMSE) for model accuracy.
• Basic Logging: Use Python’s logging library to track model outputs and performance metrics over
time.

3. Expected outcome of the mini project

1. Accurate Score Predictions: The model will provide score predictions for a batsman in an upcoming
match based on historical data, statistical patterns, and relevant contextual factors, offering a range that
reflects the player's likely performance.

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2. Data-Driven Insights for Strategy: These predictions will support teams and analysts in making
strategic decisions, such as understanding a player’s strengths and weaknesses against specific opponents,
pitch types, and under different conditions.
3. Enhanced Fan Engagement: By providing meaningful and data-backed predictions, fans can gain
deeper insights into expected performances, adding an analytical perspective to the viewing experience.
4. Tool for Comparative Analysis: This model can be adapted for comparisons across players or against
historical performances, assisting analysts and fans alike in understanding trends in a player’s form and
adaptability.
5. Real-Time Adaptability: The model can be periodically updated with recent game data and contextual
variables, such as venue and weather, to keep predictions relevant and responsive to changing conditions.

Personal Learning Outcomes

• Analytical and Statistical Skills: Gained hands-on experience with data analysis and statistical tools,
developing a solid understanding of how to apply regression and time series analysis for predictive
modelling.
• Data Processing and Management: Acquired skills in collecting, cleaning, and managing cricket data
from various sources, enhancing the ability to handle real-world data in a structured and meaningful way.
• Programming and Development: Strengthened programming skills by developing a prediction tool,
using Python and relevant libraries for data manipulation, API integration, and deployment.
• Problem Solving and Adaptability: Improved problem-solving skills by addressing challenges related
to missing data, adjusting model parameters, and testing different statistical approaches for accuracy.
• Practical Application of Statistical Models: Learned to apply statistical models in a sports context,
gaining insights into predictive analysis and its real-world applications, especially under the time
constraints and unique demands of a live sports environment.
• Project Management and Team Collaboration: Developed teamwork skills, coordinating tasks
effectively and collaborating on project stages, from data gathering to model evaluation and deployment.

Conclusion

In conclusion, this project successfully demonstrated a practical approach to predicting a batsman’s score in
an upcoming cricket match by combining historical performance data with key contextual factors. The model
provides valuable insights that can be used by analysts, fans, and teams to understand player performance
trends. By leveraging statistical analysis over machine learning, this approach is cost-effective, interpretable,
and adaptable, making it suitable for real-time application in the sports industry. This project not only
enhanced technical and analytical skills but also underscored the importance of data-driven decision-making
in sports, paving the way for future developments in predictive modelling.