week 6 lecture slides
week 6 lecture slides
• Date: May 12, Sunday • Research topic from agency issue, corporate
• Duration: 1 hour governance, payout and capital structure
policy
• Coverage: week 5 (part of payout decision), • Narrow down to a research question
week 6 & 8 (capital structure and valuation)
• Use AIs to research academic articles
• Format: 15 true/false/MCQ. Open book, close • Use AIs to co-pilot literature review
web
• Reflection of using AIs and summary of
literature review in written report and oral
presentation.
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3 4
Include choice of a
target capital structure,
Determinants of Intrinsic Value: average maturity of Business Risk: Uncertainty in EBIT,
The Capital Structure Choice debt, and specific types
of financing.
NOPAT, and ROIC
• Business risk:
– Risk a firm’s common stockholders would face if
the firm had no debt (i.e., inherent in operations).
– Uncertainty in EBIT, NOPAT and ROIC.
• Depends on:
Affect Wd, Ws, rd, rs – Uncertainty/variability in demand, output prices,
(different theories
WACC = Wd(1-t)rd + Wsrs predict different input costs, etc.
impact on WACC, – Degree of operating leverage (DOL).
hence Vop)
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Two Hypothetical Firm U Firm L
Capital $20,000 $20,000 NOPAT, ROIC, and ROE
Firms Identical
EBIT $2,400 $2,400 ROIC isn’t affected by
Except for Debt Tax Rate 25% 25% financial leverage.
Firm U Firm L
Why did leverage Capital $20,000 $20,000 Impact of Leverage on Returns if
increase ROE? EBIT $2,400 $2,400 EBIT Falls to $1,600 or $1,200
Tax Rate 25% 25%
Lower equity in L. Equity $20,000 $16,000 Firm U Firm L Firm U Firm L
Debt $0 $4,000 EBIT $1,600 $1,600 $1,200 $1,200
rd = 8% Interest (8%) $320 $0 $320
$0
EBT $1,600 $1,280 $1,200 $880
Firm U Firm L
Taxes (25%) $400 $320 $300 $220
EBIT $2,400 $2,400
NI $1,200 $960 $900 $660
Interest $0 $320
ROIC 6.0% 6.0% 4.5% 4.5%
EBT $2,400 $2,080
Lower taxes paid by L. ROE 6.0% 6.0% 4.5% 4.1%
Taxes $600 $520
NI $1,800 $1,560 When EBIT = $1200, ROEL < ROEU.
More total dollar to L’s investors: Leverage only adds value if ROIC is greater than
U: NI = $1,800. The different ($80) is due to interest after-tax cost of debt, rd(1-T) = 8%(1-0.25) = 6%
L: NI + Int = $1,560 + $320 = $1,880 tax shield: 320(0.25) = 80
Capital Structure Theory MM Theory: Zero Taxes
Assume total capital investment level is already
• MM theory determined, i.e., when new debt is issued, the • MM assume:
– Zero taxes same value of equity will be repurchased, so – (1) no transactions costs; no restrictions or costs to short sales;
firm’s total assets remain unchanged.
– Corporate taxes – (2) no taxes;
– (3) no bankruptcy costs;
– Corporate and personal taxes
– (4) individuals can borrow at the same rate as corporations;
– In imputation system – (5) no information asymmetry;
• Trade-off theory – (6) EBIT do not grow and not affected by use of debt.
• Signaling theory • MM prove that if the total CF to investors of Firm U and Firm L
• Pecking order are equal, then arbitrage is possible unless the total values of
• Debt financing as a managerial constraint Firm U and Firm L are equal: VL = VU.
• Windows of opportunity • Because FCF and values of firms L and U are equal, their
WACCs are equal.
• Therefore, capital structure is irrelevant. 15
Firm U Firm L
EBIT $3,000 $3,000
Interest 0 1,000 Cash Flows and Firm Values
NI $3,000 $2,000
CF to shareholder $3,000 $2,000 • U’s annual CF = EBIT
CF to debtholder 0 $1,000
Total CF $3,000 $3,000
• The annual cash flows to L are the dividends
Annual CF to U’s Investors (CFU) Annual CF to L’s Investors (CFL)
plus the interest payments:
• CF to debtholders: no d/h • CFs to debtholders: interest
• CF to shareholders: payments = rdD L’s annual CF = (EBIT – rdD) + rdD = EBIT
– No growth, so dividends = • CFs to shareholders: zero – L’s CF = U’s CF; VL = VU.
net income (NI). taxes, so EBIT - rdD
– No interest payments or • CFL = rdD + (EBIT − rdD) = EBIT
taxes, so NI = EBIT. • Proposition I: VL = SL + D = VU = SU
• CFU = EBIT
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MM Proposition I with Zero Taxes Proof By Using an Arbitrage Argument
• Proposition I: VL = VU. • If VL ≠ VU, then an investor could:
– Sell the expensive asset
• Steps in proof:
– Buy the cheaper asset
– Show that total investor cash flows are the same – Have money left over
for both firms. – Have zero net future annual cash flow
– Show that if VL ≠VU, then investors can create • This would be arbitrage, which should not exist in
arbitrage profits. well-functioning markets.
– But this would lead to buying and selling activities – Selling (buying) pressure would cause stock price to
that would drive VL and VU to the same value. fall (rise)
– All of these would take place until VL = VU
𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇 − 𝑟𝑑 𝐷 1 − 𝑇
𝑆𝐿 =
𝑟𝑠𝐿
⇒ 𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇 1 − 𝑇 = 𝑆𝐿 𝑟𝑠𝐿 + 𝑟𝑑 𝐷 1 − 𝑇 (1) The required rate of return to a
levered stock is the unlevered
return plus a premium that
𝑆𝐿 𝑟𝑠𝐿 + 𝑟𝑑 𝐷 1 − 𝑇
𝑆𝐿 + 𝐷 = + 𝑇𝐷 depends on the tax rate, the
Under MM with corporate taxes, the firm’s value 𝑟𝑠𝑈 rate on debt, and the amount of
increases continuously as more and more debt is used. ⇒ 𝑟𝑠𝐿 = 𝑟𝑠𝑈 + 𝑟𝑠𝑈 − 𝑟𝑑 1 − 𝑇 𝐷/𝑆 debt.
(2) WACC when D/S as rsL
doesn’t increase as fast as it
would if there were no taxes.
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Release MM’s
assumption of no
MM under Imputation Tax System (cont.) Trade-off Theory bankruptcy costs
• The imputation system confuses the basic MM • MM theory ignores bankruptcy (financial distress)
costs, which increase as more leverage is used.
argument of tax-induced preference toward debt. • Bankruptcy-related costs involve costs if distress
• If shareholders can’t fully utilise the benefit of occurs, and probability of financial distress
– Direct costs from bankruptcy filings: legal expenses,
imputation credit, corporate borrowing will offer accounting expenses, liquidation of asset at below
tax advantages again. market value.
– Indirectly costs: employee turnover, reduced
productivity, reduced product quality, reduced credit
by suppliers, loss of customers, higher borrowing rate.
Affect NOPAT and investment in capital