HW5+-+Solution

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CET 672 Statistics for Transportation and Logistics Engineering

Homework 5

5-1. First, f(x,y) 0. Let R denote the range of (X,Y).

Then,

a) P(X < 2.5, Y < 3) = f(1.5,2)+f(1,1) = 1/8+1/4=3/8

b) P(X < 2.5) = f (1.5, 2) + f (1.5, 3) +f(1,1)= 1/8 + 1/4+1/4 = 5/8

c) P(Y < 3) = f (1.5, 2)+f(1,1) = 1/8+1/4=3/8

d) P(X > 1.8, Y > 4.7) = f ( 3, 5) = 1/8

e) E(X) = 1(1/4)+ 1.5(3/8) + 2.5(1/4) + 3(1/8) = 1.8125

E(Y) = 1(1/4)+2(1/8) + 3(1/4) + 4(1/4) + 5(1/8) = 2.875

V(X) = E(X2)-[E(X)]2=[12(1/4)+1.52(3/8)+2.52(1/4)+32(1/8)]-1.81252=0.4961

V(Y) = E(Y2)-[E(Y)]2=[12(1/4)+22(1/8)+32(1/4)+42(1/4)+52(1/8)]-2.8752=1.8594

f) marginal distribution of X
x f(x)

1 ¼

1.5 3/8

2.5 ¼

3 1/8

f XY (2 . 5 , y )
f Y|2. 5 ( y )=
g) f X (2 .5 ) and f X (2 .5 ) = 1/4. Then,

y f Y|2.5 ( y)

4 (1/4)/(1/4)=1

h) and = 1/8. Then,

x f X|2 ( y )

1.5 (1/8)/(1/8)=1

i) E(Y|X=1.5) = 2(1/3)+3(2/3) =2 1/3

j) Since fY|1.5(y)fY(y), X and Y are not independent

5-5. a) The range of (X,Y) is


The problem needs probabilities to total one. Modify so that the probability of moderate
distortion is 0.04.

x,y fxy(x,y)

0,0 0.857375

0,1 0.1083

0,2 0.00456

0,3 0.000064

1,0 0.027075

1,1 0.00228

1,2 0.000048

2,0 0.000285

2,1 0.000012

3,0 0.000001

b)

x fx(x)

0 0.970299

1 0.029403
2 0.000297

3 0.000001

c) E(X) = 0(0.970299)+1(0.029403)+2(0.000297)+3*(0.000001)=0.03

(or np=3*0.01)

f XY (1 , y )
f Y|1 ( y )=
d) f X (1 ) , f (1) = 0.029403
x

y fY|1(x)

0 0.920824

1 0.077543

2 0.001632

e) E(Y|X=1)=0(.920824)+1(0.077543)+2(0.001632)=0.080807

g) No, X and Y are not independent because, for example, fY(0)fY|1(0).

5-30. E( X )=−1 (1 /8)+(−0 . 5)(1/5 )+0 .5 (1 /2 )+1(7/40 )=0. 2

E(Y )=−2(1/8 )+(−1)(1/5 )+1(1/2)+2(7 /40)=0 . 4

V(X) = 0.435
V(Y) = 1.74

σ XY =0 . 95−(0. 2 )(0. 4 )=0 . 87


σ XY 0 . 87
ρ XY = = =1
σ X σ Y √ 0 . 435 √1 . 75

5-39. E( X )=−1 (1 /4 )+1(1/4 )=0

E(Y )=−1(1/ 4 )+1 (1 /4 )=0

E( XY) = [ -1×0×(1/4 )] + [ -1×0×(1/4)] + [1×0×(1/4 )] + [ 0×1×(1/4 )]=0

V(X) = 1/2

V(Y) = 1/2

σ XY =0−(0 )(0)=0
σ 0
ρ XY = XY = =0
σ X σ Y √ 1/2 √ 1/2

The correlation is zero, but X and Y are not independent, since, for example, if y = 0, X must
be –1 or 1.

5-54. a) E(2X + 3Y) = 2(0) + 3(10) = 30

b) V(2X + 3Y) = 4V(X) + 9V(Y) = 101

c) 2X + 3Y is normally distributed with mean 30 and variance 101. Therefore,


d)

5-66. D=ABC

a) E(D) = 10  2  2 = 6 mm

5. 9−6
b) P(D < 5.9) = P(Z < 0 .1225 ) = P(Z < -0.82) = 0.206.

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