Capital Budgeting 1 52
Capital Budgeting 1 52
Capital Budgeting 1 52
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
LEARNING OUTCOMES
CHAPTER OVERVIEW
Investment Decisions
1. INTRODUCTION
In the first chapter, we had discussed the three important functions of financial
management which are Investment Decisions, Financing Decisions and Dividend
Decisions. So far, we have studied Financing decisions in previous chapters. In this
chapter, we will discuss the second important decision area of financial
management which is Investment Decision. Investment decision is concerned with
optimum utilization of fund to maximize the wealth of the organization and
in turn the wealth of its shareholders. Investment decision is very crucial for an
organization to fulfil its objectives; in fact, it generates revenue and ensures long
term existence of the organization. Even the entities which exist not for profit are
also required to make investment decision though not to earn profit but to fulfil its
mission.
As we have seen in the Financing Decision chapter, each rupee of capital raised by
an entity bears some cost, commonly known as cost of capital. It is necessary that
each rupee raised is to be invested in a very prudent manner. It requires a proper
planning for capital, and it is done through a proper budgeting. A proper budgeting
INVESTMENT DECISIONS 7.31.3
requires all the characteristics of budget. Due to this feature, investment decisions
are very popularly known as Capital Budgeting, which means applying the
principles of budgeting for capital investment.
In simple terms, Capital Budgeting involves:
Identification of investment projects that are strategic to business’ overall
objectives;
Estimating and evaluating post-tax incremental cash flows for each of the
investment proposals; and
Selection of an investment proposal that maximizes the return to the
investors.
Implement
Planning Evaluation Selection Control Review
-ation
(i) Planning: The capital budgeting process begins with the identification of
potential investment opportunities. The opportunity then enters the planning
phase when the potential effect on the firm's fortunes is assessed and the ability
of the management of the firm to exploit the opportunity is determined.
Opportunities having little merit are rejected and promising opportunities are
advanced in the form of a proposal to enter the evaluation phase.
(ii) Evaluation: This phase involves the determination of proposal and its
investments, inflows and outflows. Investment appraisal techniques, ranging
from the simple payback method and accounting rate of return to the more
sophisticated discounted cash flow techniques, are used to appraise the
proposals. The technique selected should be the one that enables the manager
to make the best decision in the light of prevailing circumstances.
(iii) Selection: Considering the returns and risks associated with the individual
projects as well as the cost of capital to the organisation, the organisation will
choose among the projects which maximises the shareholders’ wealth.
(iv) Implementation: When the final selection is made, the firm must acquire the
necessary funds, purchase the assets, and begin the implementation of the
project.
INVESTMENT DECISIONS 7.51.5
(v) Control: The progress of the project is monitored with the aid of feedback
reports. These reports will include capital expenditure progress reports,
performance reports comparing actual performance against plans set and post
completion audits.
(vi) Review: When a project terminates, or even before, the organisation should
review the entire project to explain its success or failure. This phase may have
implication for firm's planning and evaluation procedures. Further, the review
may produce ideas for new proposals to be undertaken in the future.
Replacement and
Modernisation decisions
existence
Diversification decisions
Decisions
Mutually exclusive
decisions
On the basis of
Accept-Reject decisions
situation
Contingent decisions
(iii) Contingent decisions: The contingent decisions are made when the proposals
are dependable proposals. The investment in one proposal requires investment
in one or more other proposals. For example, if a company accepts a proposal
to set up a factory in remote area, it will have to invest in infrastructure, like
building of roads, houses for employees etc. also.
SECTION 1
The cash flows are estimated on the basis of inputs provided by various
departments such as Production department, Finance department, Marketing
department, etc.he project cash flow stream consists of cash outflows and cash
inflows. The costs are denoted as "cash outflows" whereas the benefits are denoted
as "cash inflows".
7.8 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
* Being non- cash expenditure depreciation has been added back while calculating
the cash flow.
As we can see in the above table that due to depreciation under the second
scenario, a tax saving of ` 0.45 crore (` 1.50 – ` 1.05) was made. This is called tax
shield. The tax shield is considered while estimating cash flows.
(b) Opportunity Cost: Opportunity cost is foregoing of a benefit due to
choosing an alternative investment option. For example, if a company owns a piece
of land acquired 10 years ago for ` 1 crore can be sold for ` 10 crore in today’s
value. If the company uses this piece of land for a project, then its sale value i.e.
` 10 crore forms the part of initial outlay as by using the land the company has
foregone ` 10 crore which could be earned by selling it. This opportunity cost can
occur both at the time of initial outlay and during the tenure of the project.
Opportunity costs are considered for estimation of cash outflows.
(c) Sunk Cost: Sunk cost is an outlay of cash that has already been incurred in
the past and cannot be reversed in present. Therefore, these costs do not have any
impact on decision making, hence should be excluded from capital budgeting
analysis. For example, if a company has paid a sum of ` 1,00,000 for consultancy
fees to a firm to prepare a Project Report for analysing a particular project ie.
Feasibility study or viability study. Then the consultancy fee paid is irrelevant and
is not considered for estimating cash flows as it has already been paid and shall not
affect our decision whether project should be undertaken or not.
(d) Working Capital: Every big project requires working capital because, for
every business, investment in working capital is must. Therefore, while evaluating
the projects, initial working capital requirement should be treated as cash
outflow and at the end of the project its release should be treated as cash
inflow. It is important to note that no depreciation is provided on working capital
though it might be possible that at the time of its release its value might have been
reduced. Further there may be also a possibility that additional working capital
may be required during the life of the project. In such cases the additional working
capital required is treated as cash outflow at that period of time. Similarly, any
7.10 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
reduction in working capital shall be treated as cash inflow. It may be noted that, if
nothing has been specifically mentioned for the release of working capital it is
assumed that full amount has been realized at the end of the project. However,
adjustment on account of increase or decrease in working capital needs to be
incorporated.
(e) Allocated Overheads: As discussed in the subject of Cost and Management
Accounting, allocated overheads are charged on the basis of some rational basis
such as machine hour, labour hour, direct material consumption etc. Since,
expenditures already incurred are allocated to new proposal, they should not be
considered as cash flows. However, if it is expected that overhead cost shall increase
due to acceptance of any proposal then incremental overhead cost shall be treated
as cash outflow.
(f) Additional Capital Investment: It is not necessary that capital investment
shall be required in the beginning of the project. It can also be required during the
continuance of the project. In such cases, it shall be treated as cash outflows at that
period of time.
Categories of Cash Flows: It is helpful to place project cash flows into three
categories:
(a) Initial Cash Outflow: The initial cash outflow for a project depends upon the
type of capital investment decision as follows:
(i) If decision is related to investment in a fresh proposal or an expansion decision,
then initial cash outflow shall be calculated as follows:
Amount Amount
Cost of new Asset(s) xxx
Add: Installation/Set-Up Costs xxx
Add: Investment in Working Capital xxx xxx
Initial Cash Outflow xxx
(ii) If decision is related to replacement decision, then initial cash outflow shall be
calculated as follows:
Amount Amount
Cost of new Asset(s) xxx
INVESTMENT DECISIONS 7.11
1.11
(b) Interim Cash Flows: After making the initial cash outflow that is necessary to
begin implementing a project, the firm hopes to get benefit from the future cash
inflows generated by the project. The initial cash outflow for a project depends
upon the type of capital investment decision as follows:
(i) If analysis is related to a fresh or completely a new project then interim cash
flow is calculated as follows:
Amount Amount
Profit after Tax (PAT) xxx
Add: Non-Cash expenses (e.g. xxx
Depreciation)
Add/(less): Net decrease (increase) in xxx xxx
Working Capital
Interim net cash flow for the xxx
period
(ii) Similarly, interim cash flow in case of replacement decision shall be calculated as
follows:
Amount Amount
Net increase (decrease) in xxx
Operating Revenue
Add/(less): Net decrease (increase) in xxx
operating expenses
Net changes in income before xxx
taxes
7.12 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
(c) Terminal-Year Net Cash Flow: For calculating the net cash flow at the
terminal year, we will first calculate the incremental net cash flow for the period as
calculated in point (b) above and further, we will make adjustments to it as follows:
Amount Amount
Final salvage value (disposal costs) of xxx
asset
Add: Interim Cash Flow xxx
Add/(less): Tax savings (tax expenses) due to sale xxx
or disposal of asset (Including
depreciation)
Add: Release of Net Working Capital xxx xxx
Terminal Year net cash flow xxx
same rate. The treatment of tax depends on the fact whether block of asset consist
of one asset or several assets. To understand the concept of block of asset, let us
discuss an example as follows:
Example- 2
Suppose A Ltd. acquired new machinery for ` 1,00,000, depreciable at 20% as per
written down value (WDV) method. The machine has an expected life of 5 years
with salvage value of ` 10,000. The treatment of depreciation/ short term capital
loss in the 5th year in two cases shall be as follows:
Depreciation for initial 4 years shall be common and WDV at the beginning of the
5th year shall be computed as follows:
`
Purchase Price of Machinery 1,00,000
Less: Depreciation @ 20% for year 1 20,000
WDV at the end of year 1 80,000
Less: Depreciation @ 20% for year 2 16,000
WDV at the end of year 2 64,000
Less: Depreciation @ 20% for year 3 12,800
WDV at the end of year 3 51,200
Less: Depreciation @ 20% for year 4 10,240
WDV at the end of year 4 40,960
(i) Case 1 - There is no other asset in the Block: When there is only one asset in
the block and block shall cease to exist at the end of 5th year, then no deprecation
shall be charged in 5th year and tax benefit/loss on short term capital loss/ gain
shall be calculated as follows:
`
WDV at the beginning of year 5 40,960
Less: Sale value of Machine 10,000
Short Term Capital Loss (STCL) 30,960
Tax Benefit on STCL @ 30% 9,288
7.14 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
(ii) Case 2 - More than one asset exists in the Block: When more than one asset
exists in the block, then deprecation shall be charged in the terminal year (5th
year) in which asset is sold. The WDV on which depreciation be charged shall be
calculated by deducting sale value from the WDV in the beginning of that year.
Tax benefit on depreciation shall be calculated as follows:
`
WDV at the beginning of year 5 40,960
Less: Sale value of Machine 10,000
WDV 30,960
Depreciation @ 20% 6,192
Tax Benefit on Depreciation @ 30% 1,858
Now suppose if in above two cases, sale value of machine is ` 50,000, then no
depreciation shall be provided in Case 2 because the WDV at the beginning of 5th
year is only ` 40,960 i.e., less than sale value of ` 50,000 and tax loss on STCG in
Case 1 shall be computed as follows:
`
WDV at the beginning of year 5 40,960
Less: Sale value of Machine 50,000
Short Term Capital Gain (STCG) 9,040
Tax outflow on STCG @ 30% 2,712
While dividends pose no difficulty as they come only from profit after taxes, interest
needs to be handled properly. Since interest is usually deducted in the process of
arriving at profit after tax, an amount equal to ‘Interest (1 − Tax rate)’ should be
added back to the figure of Profit after Tax as shown below:
= Profit Before Interest and Tax × (1 − Tax rate)
Thus, whether the tax rate is applied directly to the profit before interest and tax
figure or whether the tax − adjusted interest, which is simply interest (1 − tax rate),
is added to profit after tax, we get the same result only.
Example- 3
Suppose XYZ Ltd.’s expected profit for the forthcoming 4 years is as follows:
Alternatively
ILLUSTRATION 1
ABC Ltd is evaluating the purchase of a new machinery with a depreciable base of
` 1,00,000; expected economic life of 4 years and change in earnings before taxes
and depreciation of ` 45,000 in year 1, ` 30,000 in year 2, ` 25,000 in year 3 and
` 35,000 in year 4. Assume straight-line depreciation and a 20% tax rate. You are
required to COMPUTE relevant cash flows.
INVESTMENT DECISIONS 7.17
1.17
SOLUTION
Depreciation = ` 1,00,000 ÷ 4 = ` 25,000
Amount in (`)
Years
1 2 3 4
SECTION 2
There are number of techniques available for the appraisal of investment proposals
and can be classified as presented below:
7.18 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Payback Period
Traditional or
Non-
Discounting Accounting Rate of Return
(ARR)
Time adjusted
or Discounted Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Cash Flows
8. TRADITIONAL OR NON-DISCOUNTING
TECHNIQUES
These techniques of capital Budgeting does not discount the future cash flows.
There are two such traditional techniques namely Payback Period and Accounting
Rate of Return.
that point in time (payback period), the investor has recovered all the money
invested in the project.
Steps in Payback period technique:
(a) The first step in calculating the payback period is determining the total initial
capital investment (cash outflow).
(b) The second step is calculating/estimating the annual expected after-tax cash
flows over the useful life of the project.
1. Uniform Cash Flows: When the cash inflows are uniform over the useful life of
the project, the number of years in the payback period can be calculated using
the following equation:
Example- 4
Suppose a project costs ` 20,00,000 and yields annually a profit of ` 3,00,000
after depreciation @ 12½% (straight line method) but before tax at 50%.
The first step would be to calculate the cash inflow from this project. The cash
inflow is calculated as follows:
Particulars (`)
Profit before tax 3,00,000
Less: Tax @ 50% 1,50,000
Profit after tax 1,50,000
Add: Depreciation written off 2,50,000
Total cash inflow 4,00,000
While calculating cash inflow, depreciation is added back to profit after tax since
it does not result in cash outflow. The cash generated from a project therefore is
equal to profit after tax plus depreciation. The payback period of the project shall
be:
Some Accountants calculate payback period after discounting the cash flows
by a predetermined rate and the payback period so calculated is called as
‘Discounted payback period’ (discussed later on in the chapter).
2. Non-Uniform Cash Flows: When the annual cash inflows are not uniform,
the cumulative cash inflow from operations must be calculated for each year.
The payback period shall be corresponding period when total of cumulative
cash inflows is equal to the initial capital investment. However, if exact sum
does not match, then the period in which it lies should be identified. After
that we need to compute the fraction of the year. This method can be
understood with the help of an example:
Example- 5
Suppose XYZ Ltd. is analyzing a project requiring an initial cash outlay of ` 2,00,000
and is expected to generate cash inflows as follows:
In 3rd year, cumulative cash inflows equal to initial cash outlay i.e., ` 2,00,000. Hence,
payback period is 3 years.
Suppose if in above example, the initial outlay is ` 2,05,000, then:
INVESTMENT DECISIONS 7.21
1.21
Example- 6
Suppose a project requires an initial investment of ` 20,000 and it would give
annual cash inflow of ` 4,000. The useful life of the project is estimated
to be 10 years.
` 4,000×100
In this example, payback reciprocal = = 20%
` 20,000
The numerator is the average annual net income generated by the project over its
useful life. The denominator can be either the initial investment (including
installation cost) or the average investment over the useful life of the project.
Average investment means the average amount of fund remained blocked during
the lifetime of the project under consideration. Further, ARR can be calculated in a
number of ways as shown in the following example:
INVESTMENT DECISIONS 7.23
1.23
Example- 7
Suppose Times Ltd. is going to invest in a project a sum of ` 3,00,000 having a life
span of 3 years. Salvage value of machine is ` 90,000. The profit before depreciation
for each year is ` 1,50,000.
The Profit after Tax and value of Investment in the Beginning and at the End of each
year shall be as follows:
Year
1 80,000
= 26.67%
3,00,000
2 80,000
= 34.78%
2,30,000
3 80,000
=50%
1,60,000
26.67%+34.78%+50.00%
Average ARR = = 37.15%
3
(80,000+80,000+80,000) / 3
= ×100 = 26.67%
3,00,000
7.24 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Further, it is important to note that project may also require additional working
capital during its life in addition to initial working capital. In such situation, formula
for the calculation of average investment shall be modified as follows:
½(Initial Investment – Salvage Value) + Salvage Value + Additional Working Capital
Continuing above example, suppose a sum of ` 45,000 is required as additional
working capital during the project life, then average investment shall be:
= ½ (` 3,00,000 – ` 90,000) + ` 90,000 + ` 45,000 = ` 2,40,000 and
80,000
ARR = ×100 = 33.33%
2, 40,000
Calculation of the accounting rate of return method considers all net incomes
over the entire life of the project and provides a measure of the investment’s
profitability.
Limitations of ARR
The accounting rate of return technique, like the payback period technique,
ignores the time value of money and considers the value of all cash flows to
be equal.
The technique uses accounting numbers that are dependent on the
organization’s choice of accounting procedures, and different accounting
procedures, e.g., depreciation methods, can lead to substantially different
amounts for an investment’s net income and book values.
The method ignores cash flows; while net income is a useful measure of
profitability, the net cash flow is a better measure of an investment’s
performance.
Furthermore, inclusion of only the book value of the invested asset ignores the
fact that a project can require commitments of working capital and other
outlays that are not included in the book value of the project.
ILLUSTRATION 2
A project requiring an investment of ` 10,00,000 and it yields profit after tax and
depreciation which is as follows:
Suppose further that at the end of the 5th year, the plant and machinery of the project
can be sold for ` 80,000. DETERMINE Average Rate of Return.
7.26 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
SOLUTION
In this case the rate of return can be calculated as follows:
Total Profit÷No. of years
×100
Average investment / Initial Investment
This rate is compared with the rate expected on other projects, had the same
funds been invested alternatively in those projects. Sometimes, the management
compares this rate with the minimum rate (called-cut off rate). For example,
management may decide that they will not undertake any project which has an
average annual yield after tax less than 20%. Any capital expenditure proposal
which has an average annual yield of less than 20%, will be automatically
rejected.
(b) If Average investment is considered, then,
` 92,000 ` 92,000
= ×100 = ×100 = 17.04%
Average Investment ` 5, 40,000
Where,
Average Investment = ½ (Initial investment – Salvage value) + Salvage value
= ½ (` 10,00,000 – ` 80,000) + ` 80,000
= ` 4,60,000 + ` 80,000 = ` 5,40,000
9. DISCOUNTING TECHNIQUES
Discounting techniques consider time value of money and discount the cash flows
to their Present Value. These techniques are also known as Present Value
techniques. These are namely Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
and Profitability Index (PI), Discounted Payback Period. First, let us discuss about
Determination of Discount rate and it will be followed by the four techniques.
Determining Discount Rate
Theoretically, the discount rate or desired / expected rate of return on an
investment is the rate of return the firm would have earned by investing the same
INVESTMENT DECISIONS 7.27
1.27
funds in the best available alternative investment that has the same risk.
Determining the best alternative opportunity available is difficult in practical terms
so rather than using the true opportunity cost, organizations often use an
alternative measure for the desired rate of return. An organization may establish a
minimum rate of return that all capital projects must meet; this minimum could be
based on an industry average or the cost of other investment opportunities. Many
organizations choose to use the overall cost of capital or Weighted Average Cost
of Capital (WACC) that an organization has incurred in raising funds or expects to
incur in raising the funds needed for an investment.
Net present value = Present value of cash inflows - Present value of cash outflows
It can be expressed as below:
C C C C
NPV = 1 + 2 2 + 3 3 +......+ n n -I
(1+k) (1+k) (1+k) (1+k)
n Ct
NPV = ∑ -I
t =1 (1+k)t
7.28 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Where,
C = Cash flow of various years
k = Discount rate
N = Life of the project
I = Investment
Steps for calculating Net Present Value (NPV):
The steps for calculating net present value are:
1. Determine the net cash inflow in each year of the investment.
2. Select the desired rate of return or discounting rate or Weighted Average Cost
of Capital.
3. Find the discount factor for each year based on the desired rate of return
selected.
4. Determine the present values of the net cash flows by multiplying the cash flows
by respective discount factors of respective period called Present Value (PV) of
Cash flows
5. Total the amounts of all PVs of Cash Flows.
Decision Rule:
The NPV method can be used to select between mutually exclusive projects; the
one with the higher NPV should be selected.
ILLUSTRATION 3
COMPUTE the net present value for a project with a net investment of ` 1,00,000 and
net cash flows for year one is ` 55,000; for year two is ` 80,000 and for year three is
` 15,000. Further, the company’s cost of capital is 10%.
[PVIF @ 10% for three years are 0.909, 0.826 and 0.751]
INVESTMENT DECISIONS 7.29
1.29
SOLUTION
ILLUSTRATION 4
ABC Ltd. is a small company that is currently analyzing capital expenditure proposals
for the purchase of equipment; the company uses the net present value technique to
evaluate projects. The capital budget is limited to ` 500,000 which ABC Ltd. believes
is the maximum capital it can raise. The initial investment and projected net cash
flows for each project are shown below. The cost of capital of ABC Ltd is 12%. You
are required to COMPUTE the NPV of the different projects.
SOLUTION
Calculation of net present value:
Advantages of NPV
NPV method takes into account the time value of money.
The whole stream of cash flows is considered.
The net present value can be seen as the addition to the wealth of
shareholders. The criterion of NPV is thus in conformity with basic financial
objectives.
The NPV uses the discounted cash flows i.e., expresses cash flows in terms
of current rupees. The NPVs of different projects therefore can be compared.
It implies that each project can be evaluated independent of others on its
own merit.
Limitations of NPV
It involves difficult calculations.
The application of this method necessitates forecasting cash flows and the
discount rate. Thus, accuracy of NPV depends on accurate estimation of
these two factors which may be quite difficult in practice.
The decision under NPV method is based on absolute measure. It ignores
the difference in initial outflows, size of different proposals etc. while
evaluating mutually exclusive projects.
INVESTMENT DECISIONS 7.31
1.31
Decision Rule:
1. = `6,50,000 =1.18
`5,50,000
2. = `95,000 =1.27
`75,000
3. = `1,00,30,000 =1.001
`1,00,20,000
7.32 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
It can be seen that in absolute terms, project 3 gives the highest cash inflows yet
its desirability factor is low. This is because the outflow is also very high. The
Desirability/ Profitability Index factor helps us in ranking various projects.
Since PI is an extension of NPV, it has same advantages and limitation.
Advantages of PI
The method also uses the concept of time value of money.
In the PI method, since the present value of cash inflows is divided by the
present value of cash outflow, it is a relative measure of a project’s
profitability.
Limitations of PI
Profitability index fails as a guide in resolving capital rationing where projects
are indivisible.
Once a single large project with high NPV is selected, possibility of accepting
several small projects which together may have higher NPV than the single
project is excluded.
Also, situations may arise where a project with a lower profitability index
selected may generate cash flows in such a way that another project can be
taken up one or two years later, the total NPV in such case being more than
the one with a project with highest Profitability Index.
The Profitability Index approach thus cannot be used indiscriminately but all
other type of alternatives of projects will have to be worked out.
This IRR is then compared to a criterion rate of return that can be the organization’s
desired rate of return for evaluating capital investments.
Calculation of IRR: The procedures for computing the internal rate of return vary
with the pattern of net cash flows over the useful life of an investment.
Scenario 1: For an investment with uniform cash flows over its life, the following
equation is used:
Step 1: Total initial investment = Annual cash inflow × Annuity discount factor of
the discount rate for the number of periods of the investment’s useful life
If A is the annuity discount factor, then:
Total initial cash disbursements and commitments for the investment
A=
Annual (equal) cash inflows from the investment
Step 2: Once A is calculated, the interest rate corresponding to project’s life, the
value of A is searched in Present Value Annuity Factor (PVAF) table. If exact value
of ‘A’ is found the respective interest rate shall be IRR. However, it rarely happens
therefore we follow the steps discussed below:
Step 1: Compute approximate payback period also called fake payback period.
Step 2: Locate this value in PVAF table corresponding to period of life of the project.
The value may be falling between two discounting rates.
Step 3: Discount cash flows using these two discounting rates.
Step 4: Use following Interpolation Formula:
NPV at LR
LR + ×(HR -LR)
NPV at LR - NPV at HR
Or
PV at LR -CI
LR+ ×(HR -LR)
PV at LR - PV at HR
Where,
LR = Lower Rate
HR = Higher Rate
CI = Capital Investment
7.34 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
ILLUSTRATION 6
A Ltd. is evaluating a project involving an outlay of ` 10,00,000 resulting in an annual
cash inflow of ` 2,50,000 for 6 years. Assuming salvage value of the project is zero;
DETERMINE the IRR of the project.
SOLUTION
First of all, we shall find an approximation of the payback period:
10,00,000
= =4
2,50,000
Now, we shall search this figure in the PVAF table corresponding to 6-year row.
The value 4 lies between values 4.111 and 3.998, correspondingly discounting rates
are 12% and 13% respectively
The internal rate of return is, thus, more than 12% but less than 13%. The exact rate
can be obtained by interpolation:
27,750
IRR =12%+ ×(13%-12%)
27,750 - (-500)
IRR = 12.978%
Scenario 2: When the cash inflows are not uniform over the life of the investment,
the determination of the discount rate can involve trial and error and interpolation
between discounting rates as mentioned above. However, IRR can also be found
out by using following procedure:
Step 1: Discount the cash flow at any random rate, say 10%, 15% or 20%.
Step 2: If resultant NPV is negative, then discount cash flows again by lower
discounting rate to make NPV positive. Conversely, if resultant NPV is positive, then
again discount cash flows by higher discounting rate to make NPV negative.
Step 3: Use following Interpolation Formula:
INVESTMENT DECISIONS 7.35
1.35
NPV at LR
LR+ ×(HR -LR)
NPV at LR - NPV at HR
Where
LR = Lower Rate
HR = Higher Rate
ILLUSTRATION 7
CALCULATE the internal rate of return of an investment of ` 1,36,000 which yields
the following cash inflows:
Year Cash Inflows (` )
1 30,000
2 40,000
3 60,000
4 30,000
5 20,000
SOLUTION
Let us discount cash flows by 10%.
Year Cash Inflows (`) Discounting factor at 10% Present Value (`)
1 30,000 0.909 27,270
2 40,000 0.826 33,040
3 60,000 0.751 45,060
4 30,000 0.683 20,490
5 20,000 0.621 12,420
Total present value 1,38,280
Less: Initial Investment 1,36,000
NPV +2,280
7.36 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Year Cash Inflows (`) Discounting factor at 12% Present Value (`)
1 30,000 0.893 26,790
2 40,000 0.797 31,880
3 60,000 0.712 42,720
4 30,000 0.636 19,080
5 20,000 0.567 11,340
Total present value 1,31,810
Less: Initial Investment 1,36,000
NPV - 4,190
The internal rate of return is, thus, more than 10% but less than 12%. The exact rate
can be obtained by interpolation:
NPV at LR
IRR =LR + ×(HR -LR)
NPV at LR - NPV at HR
`2,280
=10+ ×(12-10)
`2,280 - (-4,190)
`2,280
=10+ ×(12-10) =10 + 0.704
`6, 470
IRR = 10.704%
ILLUSTRATION 8
A company proposes to install machine involving a capital cost of ` 3,60,000. The life
of the machine is 5 years and its salvage value at the end of the life is nil. The machine
will produce the net operating income after depreciation of ` 68,000 per annum. The
company's tax rate is 45%.
The Net Present Value factors for 5 years are as under:
Discounting rate 14 15 16 17 18
Cumulative factor 3.43 3.35 3.27 3.20 3.13
You are required to COMPUTE the internal rate of return of the proposal.
INVESTMENT DECISIONS 7.37
1.37
SOLUTION
Computation of Cash inflow per annum `
Particulars (`)
Net operating income per annum 68,000
Less: Tax @ 45% (30,600)
Profit after tax 37,400
Add: Depreciation (` 3,60,000 / 5 years) 72,000
Cash inflow 1,09,400
As 3.29 falls between Discounted rate 15 & 16, the computation is as below :
Computation of Internal Rate of Return
Discounting Rate
15% 16%
Cumulative factor 3.35 3.27
PV of Inflows (`) 3,66,490 3,57,738
(` 1,09,400×3.35) (` 1,09,400×3.27)
Less: Initial outlay (`) 3,60,000 3,60,000
NPV (`) 6,490 (2,262)
IRR = 15 +
6,490 × (16 -15) = 15 + 0.74 = 15.74%.
6,490+2,262
9.3.1 Acceptance Rule
The use of IRR, as a criterion to accept capital investment decision involves a
comparison of IRR with the required rate of return known as cut-off rate. The
project should the accepted if IRR is greater than cut-off rate. If IRR is equal to cut-
7.38 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
off rate the firm is indifferent. If IRR less than cut off rate the project is rejected.
Thus,
As long as the cost of capital is greater than the crossover rate of 7%, (1) NPVS is
larger than NPVL and (2) IRRS exceeds IRRL. Hence, if the cut- off rate or the cost of
capital is greater than 7%, both the methods shall lead to selection of project S.
However, if the cost of capital is less than 7%, the NPV method ranks Project L
higher, but the IRR method indicates that the Project S is better.
As can be seen above, mutually exclusive projects can create problem with the IRR
technique as IRR is expressed in percentage and does not take into account the
scale of investment or the quantum of money earned.
INVESTMENT DECISIONS 7.39
1.39
Let us consider another example of two mutually exclusive projects A and B with
the following details:
Example - 8
Cash flows
Project A earns a return of 50% which is more than what Project B earns; however,
the NPV of Project B is more than of Project A. Acceptance of Project A means
rejection of Project B since the two Projects are mutually exclusive. Acceptance of
Project A also implies that the total investment will be ` 4,00,000 less had the
Project B been accepted, ` 4,00,000 being the difference between the initial
investment of the two projects. Assuming that the funds are freely available at 10%,
the total capital expenditure of the company should ideally be equal to sum total
of all outflows provided they earn more than 10% return along with the chosen
mutually exclusive project. Selection of Project A implies rejection of an opportunity
to earn an additional amount of ` 31,820 (` 68,180 - ` 36,360) for the shareholders,
thus reduction in the shareholders’ wealth.
In the above example, the larger project had lower IRR, but maximises the
shareholders’ wealth. It is not safe to assume that a choice can be made between
mutually exclusive projects using IRR in cases where the larger project also happens
to have the higher IRR. Consider the following two Projects A and B with their
relevant cash flows:
Example- 9
In this case, Project A has the larger investment and also has a higher IRR as shown
below,
However, in case the relevant discounting factor is taken as 5%, the NPV of the two
projects provides a different picture as follows:
It can be seen from the above, Project B should be the one to be selected even
though its IRR is lower than that of Project A. This decision shall need to be taken
in spite of the fact that Project A has a larger investment coupled with a higher IRR
as compared with Project B. This type of anomalous situation arises due to
reinvestment assumptions implicit in the two evaluation methods of NPV and
IRR.
9.3.3 The Reinvestment Assumption
The Net Present Value technique assumes that all cash flows can be reinvested at
the discount rate used for calculating the NPV. This is a logical assumption since
INVESTMENT DECISIONS 7.41
1.41
the use of the NPV technique implies that all projects which provide a higher return
than the discounting factor are accepted.
In contrast, IRR technique assumes that all cash flows are reinvested at project’s
IRR. This assumption means that projects with heavy cash flows in the early years
will be favoured by the IRR method vis-à-vis projects which have larger cash flows
in the later years. This implicit reinvestment assumption means that Projects like
A, with cash flows concentrated in the earlier years of life will be preferred by the
method relative to Projects such as B.
9.3.4 Multiple Internal Rate of Return
In cases, where project cash flows change signs or reverse during the life of a
project e.g. an initial cash outflow is followed by cash inflows and subsequently
followed by a major cash outflow, there may be more than one IRR. The following
graph of discount rate versus NPV may be used as an illustration:
NPV
In such situations. if the cost of capital is less than the two IRR’s, a decision can be
made easily, however otherwise the IRR decision rule may turn out to be misleading
as the project should only be invested if the cost of capital is between IRR1 and
IRR2.To understand the concept of multiple IRR, it is necessary to understand the
implicit re-investment assumption in both NPV and IRR techniques.
Advantages of IRR
This method makes use of the concept of time value of money.
All the cash flows in the project are considered.
7.42 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
The problem with the Payback Period is that it ignores the time value of money. In
order to correct this, we can use discounted cash flows in calculating the payback
period. Referring back to our example, if we discount the cash inflows at 15%
required rate of return, we have:
The cumulative total of discounted cash flows after ten years is ` 30,114. Therefore,
our discounted payback is approximately 10 years as opposed to 5 years under
simple payback. It should be noted that as the required rate of return increases,
the distortion between simple payback and discounted payback grows.
Under this method, all cash flows, apart from the initial investment, are brought to
the terminal value using an appropriate discount rate (usually the Cost of Capital).
This results in a single stream of cash inflow in the terminal year. The MIRR is
obtained by assuming a single outflow in the zeroth year and the terminal
cash inflow as mentioned above. The discount rate which equates the present
value of the terminal cash inflow to the zero year outflow is called the MIRR.
7.44 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
The decision criterion of MIRR is same as IRR i.e. you accept an investment if MIRR
is larger than required rate of return and reject if it is lower than the required rate
of return.
ILLUSTRATION 9
An investment of ` 1,36,000 yields the following cash inflows (profits before
depreciation but after tax). DETERMINE MIRR considering 8% as cost of capital.
Year (`)
1 30,000
2 40,000
3 60,000
4 30,000
5 20,000
1,80,000
SOLUTION
Year 0 – Cash outflow = ` 1,36,000
The MIRR is calculated on the basis of investing the inflows at the cost of capital. The
table below shows the value of the inflows, if they are immediately reinvested at 8%.
* Investment of ` 1 at the end of the year 1 is reinvested for 4 years (at the end of
5 years) shall become 1(1.08)4 = 1.3605. Similarly, reinvestment rate factor for
remaining years shall be calculated. Please note that the investment at the end of
5th year shall be reinvested for zero year, hence, reinvestment rate factor shall be 1.
INVESTMENT DECISIONS 7.45
1.45
The total cash outflow in year 0 (` 1,36,000) is compared with the possible inflow
1,36,000
at year 5 and the resulting figure = = 0.6367 is the discount factor in year
2,13,587
5. By looking at the year 5 row in the present value tables, you will see that this
gives a return of 9%. This means that the ` 2,13,587 received in year 5 is equivalent
to ` 1,36,000 in year 0 if the discount rate is 9%. Alternatively, we can compute
MIRR as follows:
2,13,587
Total return = = 1.5705
1,36,000
Being IRR a relative measure and NPV an absolute measure in case of disparity
in scale or size both may give contradicting ranking. This can be understood with
the help of following illustration:
ILLUSTRATION 10
Suppose there are two Project A and Project B are under consideration. The cash flows
associated with these projects are as follows:
7.46 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Assuming Cost of Capital equal to 10%, IDENTIFY which project should be accepted
as per NPV Method and IRR Method.
SOLUTION
Net Present Value (NPV) of Projects
Even by discounting cash flows at 20%, we are getting values far from zero.
Therefore, let us discount cash flows using 25% discounting rate.
The internal rate of return is, thus, more than 20% but less than 25%. The exact rate
can be obtained by interpolation:
Overall Position
Project A Project B
NPV @ 10% ` 25,050 ` 59,300
IRR 24.26% 21.48%
It might be possible that overall cash flows may be more or less same in the projects
but there may be disparity in their flows i.e. larger part of cash inflows may be
occurred in the beginning or end of the project. In such situation there may be
difference in the ranking of projects as per two methods. This can be understood
with the help of following illustration:
ILLUSTRATION 11
Suppose ABC Ltd. is considering two Project X and Project Y for investment. The cash
flows associated with these projects are as follows:
7.48 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Assuming Cost of Capital be 10%, IDENTIFY which project should be accepted as per
NPV Method and IRR Method.
SOLUTION
Net Present Value of Projects
Since, by discounting cash flows at 20% we are getting that value of Project X is
positive and value of Project Y is negative. Therefore, let us discount cash flows of
Project X using 25% discounting rate and Project Y using discount rate of 15%.
Overall Position
Project A Project B
NPV @ 10% ` 51,950 ` 53,350
IRR 24.87% 17.60%
ILLUSTRATION 12
Suppose MVA Ltd. is considering two Project A and Project B for investment. The cash
flows associated with these projects are as follows:
0 (5,00,000) (5,00,000)
1 7,50,000 2,00,000
2 0 2,00,000
3 0 7,00,000
Assuming Cost of Capital equal to 12%, ANALYSE which project should be accepted
as per NPV Method and IRR Method?
SOLUTION
Net Present Value of Projects
Since, IRR of project A shall be 50% as NPV is very small. Further, by discounting
cash flows at 50%, we are getting NPV of Project B negative. Therefore, let us
discount cash flows of Project B using 15% discounting rate.
Overall Position
Project A Project B
NPV @ 12% ` 1,69,750 ` 3,36,400
IRR 50.00% 43.07%