Economics Lesson Note for Grade 11 Units 4 & 5 Unit-3 Notes
Economics For Grade 11
(SAFARI ACADAMY) 2 The Ethiopian economy produces thousands of goods and services each day and we want to measure these economic activities and analyze the performance of the economy over time. One of the principal ways is to compute gross domestic product (GDP). GDP is one of the most important economic measurements which is used by economists in the national income accounts.
Economics For Grade 11
(SAFARI ACADAMY) 3 It is an official measurement of the flow of income and product in each economy represented by Gross domestic product (GDP) or gross national product (GNP). National income accounting practice is good for an economy for the following reasons. ◦ It enables us to know the level of output of an economy. ◦ To observe the long-run trend of the economy. ◦ It helps in policy formulation since it can be used as evidence in policy making. ◦ It makes cross-country comparison easier.
Economics For Grade 11
(SAFARI ACADAMY) 4 Gross domestic product (GDP) is the market value of all final goods and services which are produced in a country each year. What matters is that the goods are produced within the territory. GDP can be represented by the total income of everyone in the economy or total expenditure made on the economy’s goods and services by different agents. GDP measurement is time specific.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 5 Gross national product (GNP) is the total market value of goods and services which are produced by the nationality of a given country for a given period. It does not include production by non- nationals even though they operate in the country in question.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 6 The concept of net foreign factor income (NFFI) captures the deviation between GDP and GNP. NFFI is the difference between the aggregate amount that a country’s citizens and companies earn abroad and the aggregate amount that foreign citizens and overseas companies earn in that country. NFFI is sometimes written simply as net factor income (NFI). GNP can be obtained from GDP by adding net factor payment to GDP. GNP = GDP + net foreign factor income .
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 7 A stock is a quantity which is measured at a given point in time, whereas a flow is a quantity measured per unit of time. A flow shows the amount of new addition to the existing value while a stock shows the total accumulated value of something. Note that a flow represents the change in the stock.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 8 What do you mean by national income accounting? Explain the various reasons for which national income accounts are important.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 9 There are three ways to compute GDP. These are: ◦ The Expenditure Approaches ◦ The Income Approaches ◦ The Value Added Approaches
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 10 Expenditure approach of measuring GDP involves adding the market value of all final products in the economy over a given period of time. To compute GDP using the expenditure approach, add the amount of money that is spent by buyers on final goods and services. A final good (or service) is a good in the hands of the final user, or ultimate consumer. ◦ Examples include orange juice or mobile phones. The words “final goods and services” are important in computing GDP for not all goods are final goods. This is because some goods are intermediate goods. (that are used as inputs in the production of other goods)
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 11 The demand (expenditure) for domestically produced goods is comprised of four main components depending on what makes the expenditure. These are ◦ consumer expenditure (C) ◦ business investment (I) ◦ government expenditure (G) ◦ Foreign expenditure or net export (NX)
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 12 In the income approach, we add the returns (income) to factors of production such as labor, land, capital and profits in the economy. In this approach, depending up on the owner of factor input, the components of GDP include the following: ◦ Employment compensation payment made for labor in the form of wages and salaries. ◦ Rent payments for use of land, building and other capital inputs. ◦ Interest income which is received by households on their saving deposit. ◦ Profit payments made to the owner of firms in return for the output produced after deduction of the cost of production.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 13 Aggregating the above returns to factor input gives the national income of an economy. So, to arrive at GDP, we add back indirect business taxes (IBT) and depreciations to the national income. Indirect business taxes like sales taxes are payments that represent the difference between what buyers pay for final product and what sellers receive. They are income to the government. Similarly, depreciation is capital consumption allowance (CCA) which represents consumption of fixed capital which can be considered as a cost of production. Depreciation is estimated saving from profits for future maintenance of the equipment. Depreciation and IBT are added as non-factor incomes in the income approach of measuring GDP.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 14 Production of goods and services typically involves distinct stages. Each stage involves separate market transaction and flow of income. For example, there are four different stages having their own market transaction in production of bread. ◦ The farmers first grow the wheat and then sell it to the miller. ◦ Next, the miller converts to flour and sells to a baker. ◦ Finally, the baker sells the bread to the consumer. Value addition at a given stage is the difference between the price of the final good and the price of the intermediate input bought.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 15 The expenditure of one agent becomes an income for the other and vice versa. There is a circular flow of income and expenditure in the economy. Adding up all the spending on the current final goods is the same as adding all the relevant incomes. Every transaction that affects expenditure must affect income and every transaction that affects income must affect expenditure.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 16 Double counting is one among them. Sales of used items does not represent current production, The existence of a large informal sector Unpaid workers in family businesses Non-productive Transactions ◦ Public transfer payments ◦ unemployment compensations ◦ monetary payments to the poor ◦ social security ◦ subsidy Not traded ◦ voluntary works ◦ government services ◦ do-it-yourself activities improvement in quality
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 17 to take care while registering the sale of used items. Non-productive transactions should not be registered. The values of informal sector activities and goods and services for own consumption or self-service should be estimated and included in the GDP.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 18 There are two types of GDP values: ◦ Nominal GDP ◦ Real GDP Nominal GDP values goods and services at current prices whereas real GDP values goods and services at constant prices. Nominal GDP is the value of goods and services measured at current prices. Real GDP rises only when the amount of goods and services has increased, whereas nominal GDP can rise either because output has increased or because prices have increased.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 19 GDP is the sum of market values ( P* Q) of all current final goods for all consumers. Assume an economy with only two products (apples and oranges), the GDP can be estimated as: GDP = (Price of Apples × Quantity of Apples) + (Price of Oranges × Quantity of Oranges) = Σ for n number of consumers and i-commodities. The difference between nominal and real GDP is which price to use to evaluate the quantities. Real GDP is GDP adjusted for price changes. It is GDP computed using a base year price.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 20 Nominal GDP rises much more rapidly than real GDP since prices tend to move upwards over time. The difference between the growth rate of nominal and real GDP occurs because the price of goods is rising over time or there has been inflation. That is, real GDP shows what would have happened to expenditure on output if quantities had changed but prices had not. For the base year, for instance, real GDP equals nominal GDP since they both use the same price and quantity. The deviation of the nominal GDP from the real GDP would be larger during inflation.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 21 Policy makers use change in the general level of price to measure the performance of an economy in combination with the level of GDP. To measure the general price of an economy, they use the ◦ GDP deflator ◦ Consumer’s price index (CPI) ◦ producer price index (PPI) The GDP deflator is a broad measure of changes in general prices in the economy.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 22 GDP deflator sometimes called the “implicit price deflator”. It is defined as the ratio of nominal GDP to real GDP. Mathematically: GDP deflator=Nominal GDP/Real GDP *100 The GDP deflator measures the price of output (goods) which are relative to its price in the base year. It shows whether the price of goods increases or decreases in reference to the base year price.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 23 For the hypothetical economy, assume that ◦ NGDP = 950m USD ◦ RGDP = 750m USD GDP deflator =950,000,000/750000000 *100= 127 This means that 27% of the change (increase) in GDP is due to a rise in general price compared to the base year price of 100. Note that if there was no increase (no change) in general price, GDP=RGDP and GDP deflator equals to 1.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 24 1. The income approach of measuring GDP leads to a higher value for the GDP. 2. The GDP deflator is sometimes called an “implicit measure of general price”.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 25 This is the most used price index to measure the general price level of an economy. It represents the price of a fixed basket of goods and services that are purchased by a typical consumer which is relative to price of the same basket of goods and services in some base year. CPI can be calculated as follows:
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 26 As an alternative to the CPI sometimes the cost of producer goods is measured by the PPI. PPI measures the price of typical basket of goods which are bought by firms. The CPI is used to measure a change in general price (inflation) level in the economy. Inflation is the rate of growth in the CPI between two periods. Mathematically,
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 27 Firstly, the GDP deflator measures the price of both consumer and producer goods which are produced in the economy, whereas CPI measures the prices of goods and services that are bought by consumers only. Thus, an increase in the price of goods bought by firms or the government will show up in the GDP deflator but not in the CPI. Secondly, the GDP deflator includes only those goods which are produced domestically; imported goods are not part of GDP and do not show up in the GDP deflator. Hence, an increase in prices of imported goods affects CPI, but not the GDP deflator. Lastly, CPI is computed using a fixed basket of goods whereas the GDP deflator allows the basket of goods to change overtime as the composition of GDP changes.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 28 We have also common measurements other than the GDP in economics. Two of them are worth mentioning Net domestic product (NDP) National income (NI)
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 29 Net domestic product equals gross domestic product (GDP) minus the capital consumption allowance (depreciation). Mathematically, it is written as follows. ◦ NDP = GDP – Capital consumption allowance (depreciation).
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 30 It is the sum of the payments for resources (land, labor, capital, and entrepreneurship). it is total income earned by Ethiopian citizens and businesses, no matter where they reside or are located. It equals income that is received by workers (wage), rent payment, profit and net interest rate. National income= Compensation of employees + Proprietors’ income + Corporate profits + Rental income of persons + Net interest
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 31 Personal income is a measure of the income that people actually receive. In economics, there is distinction between income earned and income received. Personal income is equal to national income minus such major earned-but-not received items as undistributed corporate profits, social insurance taxes (social security contributions), and corporate profits taxes, plus transfer payments (which are received but not earned). Income received is that part of income to be received by people. People may not be able to receive some part of their earned income. A simple example is ◦ social security (transfer payment) contributions and tax deductions from income. ◦ Undistributed profits are another example of income earned but not received.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 32 The portion of personal income that can be used for consumption or saving is referred to as disposable personal income or simply disposable income. It is equal to personal income minus personal taxes (especially income taxes). Sometimes, disposable income is referred to as spendable income, take-home pay, or after-tax income. Disposable income =Personal income – Personal taxes
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 33 Per capita GDP shows the amount of GDP per person. It shows what an average individual earns in the economy for a given year. It is computed by taking the ratio of the GDP to the total population. ◦ Per capita GDP=GDP/Population ◦ Per capita Real GDP=RGDP/Population ◦ Per capita Nominal GDP=NGDP/Population
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 34 GDP is usually measured by using market price, but sometimes people use factor cost to measure it. Factor cost refers to the total cost of factors of production. i.e. land, labor, capital and entrepreneurship. The market price of the goods and services will include indirect taxes such as product taxes. Market Price = ◦ Factor Cost + Net Indirect Taxes ◦ Factor Cost + Indirect Taxes – Subsidies since Net Indirect Tax is Indirect Taxes – Subsidies.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 35 Although GDP is a good measure of economic performance over years, it does not show income distribution. The best we can do is to study average earnings like per capita GDP. Income distribution has been one of the key challenges in many economies and economists have made a move to go beyond the study of GDP to capture income distributions. Inequality measures, poverty analysis, and other development indicators are now common in government economic policy analysis.
(SAFARI ACADAMY) 39 INTRODUCTION “Consumption is the sole end and purpose of all production.” — Adam Smith In the previous unit, we saw that consumption is an important element of the GDP of an economy. In this unit, we will study the nature and relationships among the three important macroeconomic variables: ◦ Consumption ◦ Saving ◦ investment
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 40 The consumption decision is crucial for short-run analysis because of its role in determining the total or aggregate demand. In general, consumption accounts for two- thirds of GDP (2/3), so fluctuations in consumption is a key element of ◦ Booms (Good development) ◦ Recessions (depression- decline)
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 41 Income that is left in the hand of consumers after tax is deducted is called disposable income. It is calculated as gross income (Y) minus personal taxes (T). This is the amount of income that determines household consumption. The consumption spending of individuals depends on their real personal disposable income (Y −T) . Yd= Y − T. where ◦ Y is gross income, ◦ T is personal income tax ◦ Yd is the disposable income
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 42 The R/ship b/n consumption and disposable income is summarized in John Maynard Keynes’s General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, which was published in 1936. Keynes made the consumption function central to his theory of economic fluctuations, and it has played a key role in macroeconomic analysis ever since. For Keynes, there is a ◦ Non-linear positive relationship between consumption spending and disposable income. ◦ Households save a greater proportion of their income if their real income increases more than the increase in consumption. But for simplicity let us assume a linear R/Ship between consumption and disposable income. Linear relationship means that the rate of change in consumption as income changes remains the same or is constant. Economics For Grade 11 (SAFARI ACADAMY) 43 Hence, Consumption is given as C = C0 + CYd ……………………………….. 0 < c <1 where ;Yd is the disposable income and C0 is the minimum consumption that a household needs to survive at zero income. Autonomous consumption is the minimum consumption that a household needs to survive at zero income and is independent of income. It is the y-intercept of the consumption function. An autonomous consumption changes due to changes in factors other than the disposable income.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 44 In the equation above, c(Yd) depends on disposable income and is called “induced consumption” since this part of the consumption depends on or is induced by income. Hence, total consumption is the sum of autonomous consumption and induced consumption.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 45 Keynes posited that the ratio of consumption to income, called the APC , falls as Yd rises. APC is the ratio of the total consumption expenditure (C) to the total income (Yd) at a given level of income in an economy. APC is a measure of tendency to consume income on average. The value of APC may be greater than 1, because when income is at a very low level, consumption exceeds income to meet the very basic necessities. This implies that saving becomes negative for such consumption levels.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 46 4.1.2 Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) The small (c) in the consumption function, which is the coefficient of the disposable income (Yd), is the slope of the consumption function and it is called marginal propensity to consume (MPC). The MPC shows the rate of change in a H/H’s tendency to consume due to a change in income. It is the unit increase in consumption for any unit increase in disposable income of the consumer. MPC=Change in consumption/Change in disposable income MPC=∆C/∆Yd Since it is expected that any rise in disposable income (Yd) will be partly spent and partly saved, ‘’c ‘’ is strictly less than one and greater than zero (0<c<1).
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 47 1. Marginal propensity to consume “c” is between zero and one. 2. Average propensity to consume falls as income rises. APC↓=C/Yd↑ 3. Consumption is determined by current income.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 48 Assume your family consumption function is of the type indicated in the above table and is given by ◦ C=80 + 0.7 Yd The autonomous consumption is 80 and The slope equals to 0.7. If the disposable income (Yd) of the consumer is estimated to be 800 ETB, we can calculate the induced consumption and the total consumption of the consumer. The induced consumption will be 0.7*800 = 560 . The total consumption will be the induced consumption (80) plus the induced consumption (560) and this equals to 640. (80+560=640)
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 49 MPC values lie between zero and 1. ◦ Zero means no change in consumption and 1 shows maximum (total) consumption of the new income. MPC decreases with an increase in income. ◦ In other words, MPC of the poor is higher than MPC of the rich.The poor people tend to consume a higher proportion of their income relative the rich people.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 50 when disposable income changes, MPC also changes causing a change in APC. The initial source of change in the model is the change in disposable income. Consumption can be affected through. 1. change in MPC. 2. change in disposable income 3. Change in the autonomous component
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 51 The major determinants of consumption expenditure at individual and national levels are: 1. Money income 2. Distribution of income 3. Level of direct taxes 4. Expectation about future income and prices 5. Rate of interest 6. Level of wealth
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 52 Savings is the difference between disposable income and consumption. The part of income which is not spent on consumption is called “savings”. Disposable income can be used only for consumption or saving; that is, Yd= C + S Hence, saving is the difference b/n income and consumption. People save what is left after spending for consumption. S=Yd-C
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 53 Economics For Grade 11 (SAFARI ACADAMY) 54 Note that saving and savings are not the same. Saving refers to the act of depositing money while savings refer to the already accumulated money. Saving is a flow concept (Continuous)while savings is a stock (a point in time) concept.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 55 4.2.1 Average Propensity to Save (APS) APS is the ratio of total savings (S) to total income (Y). It is part of total income which is saved. It captures the tendency of the consumer to save on average. 4.2.2 Marginal Propensity to Save (MPS) The MPS is the ratio of the change in saving to the change in disposable income. It is the slope of the saving function and is given by 1− c . MPS values lie between zero and 1. MPS increases with an increase in income.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 56 The major determinants of saving at the individual and national levels are: 1. Level of income 2. Distribution of income 3. Expectation about future prices and income 4. Rate of interest 5. Level of wealth 6. Level of direct taxes 7. Individual nature
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 57 If the consumption function of a given individual is given as C = 44 + 0.86Yd, and the individual’s disposable income for a specific period was Birr 3600, then calculate the: a) autonomous consumption b) induced consumption c) total consumption d) saving
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 58 4.3 The Relationship B/n Saving and Consumption The Relationship b/n MPC And MPS If MPS is given to be 0.6, MPC will be 1− 0.6 which equals to 0.4. Symbolically, ◦ MPC (c)+ MPS (1-c) = 1 ◦ Mathematically, this is adding c and 1-c . ◦ Hence, c +1− c =1 The Relationship Between APC And APS In general, APS + APC = 1 A 450 reference line shows equality between the value of the variable on the x-axis and the y-axis. Hence, if we measure income on the x-axis and the total expenditure (C+S) on the y-axis, the 450 reference line shows locus of points where Y = C + S . Y = C + S is called the “expenditure equals income” line. Its significance is that each Economics For Grade 11 (SAFARI ACADAMY) 59 Economics For Grade 11 (SAFARI ACADAMY) 60 4.4 Investment Investment: the amount of goods that are purchased or accumulated per unit of time and which are not consumed at the present time. 4.4.1 Investment Types There are different ways of categorizing investment. It can be divided into two ◦ As Gross and Net Investment ◦ As induced and autonomous ◦ As private and public investment depending on who makes the investment
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 61 Distinguish between the following terms 1. Private investment and public investment 2. Induced investment and autonomous investment
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 62 Interest rates There are two types of interest rates that affect profitability of investment and hence income. These are nominal interest rate and real interest rate 4.4.2 Determinants of Investment As outlined below, investment depends on ◦ Interest Rate ◦ Expectations About Future Sales ◦ Business Taxes ◦ Income
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 63 The Ethiopian Central Statistical Agency (CSA) and the World Bank (WB) collect information on the main challenges that firms face. The main factors include: ◦ lack of infrastructure (access to electricity, road, land, water and communication) ◦ Access to finance ◦ Rules and regulations( tax rules, customs duties) ◦ lack of raw materials ◦ Practices of the informal sector ◦ Lack of market for output
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 64 The World Bank encourages countries to solve these and other related challenges to improve the business environment for firms. Currently 11 but aiming for 12 indicators Ethiopia’s rank was 159th out of the 190 countries in the index in 2019.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 65 1. Process of starting a business 2. Dealing with construction permits 3. Obtaining an electricity connection 4. Getting access to credit 5. Protecting minority investors 6. Paying taxes 7. Engaging in international trade 8. Enforcing contracts 9. Resolving insolvency. 10. Employing workers 11. Contracting with the government
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 66 Economic growth refers to an increase in the total output of a nation over time. Investment boosts economic activities. Investment adds to the stock of capital Investment changes the capital stock.
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 67 1. What are the main factors that determine or affect the level of investment? 2. What does the accelerator theory shows?
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 68 Accelerator theory states that capital investment outlay is a function of output. If a firm operates in an industry where dd is rising and there is excess dd for the goods in the market, the firm is expected to respond to this situation. Firms respond by ◦ include expansion of production ◦ full utilization of the existing capacity to produce ◦ Selling their existing inventory ◦ investing more in capital goods
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(SAFARI ACADAMY) 69 Economics For Grade 11 (SAFARI ACADAMY) 70