{"cells":[{"source":"<a href=\"https://www.kaggle.

com/code/seuwenfei/online-
payment-fraud-detection?scriptVersionId=127055269\" target=\"_blank\"><img
align=\"left\" alt=\"Kaggle\" title=\"Open in Kaggle\"
src=\"https://kaggle.com/static/images/open-in-kaggle.svg\"></a>","metadata":
{},"cell_type":"markdown"},{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"4062446e","metadata":
{"papermill":{"duration":0.014434,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:18:51.900576","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:18:51.886142","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["# <div
style='background:darkblue'> <font color='white'> <b>&nbsp;Introduction</b>
</font> </div>\n"]},{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"a766e8a1","metadata":
{"papermill":{"duration":0.014237,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:18:51.92751","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:18:51.913273","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["Online payment is
the most popular transaction method in the world today. However, with an increase
in online payments also comes a rise in payment fraud. The objective of this study
is **to identify fraudulent and non-fraudulent payments**. The dataset is collected
from Kaggle, which contains historical information about fraudulent transactions
which can be used to detect fraud in online payments. \n","\n","\n","The dataset
consists of 10 variables:\n","* **step**: represents a unit of time where 1 step
equals 1 hour\n","* **type**: type of online transaction\n","* **amount**: the
amount of the transaction\n","* **nameOrig**: customer starting the transaction\
n","* **oldbalanceOrg**: balance before the transaction\n","* **newbalanceOrig**:
balance after the transaction\n","* **nameDest**: recipient of the transaction\
n","* **oldbalanceDest**: initial balance of recipient before the transaction\n","*
**newbalanceDest**: the new balance of recipient after the transaction\n","*
**isFraud**: fraud transaction"]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":1,"id":"2f48ba7c","metadata":
{"_cell_guid":"b1076dfc-b9ad-4769-8c92-
a6c4dae69d19","_uuid":"8f2839f25d086af736a60e9eeb907d3b93b6e0e5","execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:18:51.956896Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:18:51.956159Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:18:59.599731Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:18:59.598224Z"},"papermill":{"duration":7.662281,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:18:59.602768","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:18:51.940487","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":
[{"name":"stdout","output_type":"stream","text":["/kaggle/input/online-payment-
fraud-detection/onlinefraud.csv\n"]}],"source":["import numpy as np \n","import
pandas as pd \n","import matplotlib.pyplot as plt\n","%matplotlib inline\n","import
seaborn as sns\n","import scipy as sp\n","from tabulate import tabulate\n","import
random\n","import tensorflow as tf\n","\n","import os\n","for dirname, _, filenames
in os.walk('/kaggle/input'):\n"," for filename in filenames:\n","
print(os.path.join(dirname, filename))"]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"388a80ea","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.01259,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:18:59.627859","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:18:59.615269","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["# <div
style='background:darkblue'> <font color='white'> <b>&nbsp;Exploratory Data
Analysis</b></font> </div>"]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":2,"id":"8c130490","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:18:59.657203Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:18:59.656048Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:19:23.693618Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:19:23.691889Z"},"papermill":{"duration":24.055733,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:23.69622","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:18:59.640487","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":
[{"name":"stdout","output_type":"stream","text":["<class
'pandas.core.frame.DataFrame'>\n","RangeIndex: 6362620 entries, 0 to 6362619\
n","Data columns (total 10 columns):\n"," # Column Dtype \n","---
------ ----- \n"," 0 step int64 \n"," 1 type
object \n"," 2 amount float64\n"," 3 nameOrig object \n"," 4
oldbalanceOrg float64\n"," 5 newbalanceOrig float64\n"," 6 nameDest
object \n"," 7 oldbalanceDest float64\n"," 8 newbalanceDest float64\n"," 9
isFraud int64 \n","dtypes: float64(5), int64(2), object(3)\n","memory
usage: 485.4+ MB\n"]}],"source":["df = pd.read_csv('/kaggle/input/online-payment-
fraud-detection/onlinefraud.csv')\n","\n","df.drop('isFlaggedFraud', axis=1,
inplace=True)\n","\n","df.info()"]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"ee4d56f3","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.012345,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:23.721756","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:23.709411","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* The dataset
consists of 6,362,620 observations."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":3,"id":"fa72d3c6","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:19:23.748483Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:19:23.748039Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:19:24.11223Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:19:24.110994Z"},"papermill":{"duration":0.380653,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:24.114798","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:23.734145","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/
html":["<div>\n","<style scoped>\n"," .dataframe tbody tr th:only-of-type {\n","
vertical-align: middle;\n"," }\n","\n"," .dataframe tbody tr th {\n","
vertical-align: top;\n"," }\n","\n"," .dataframe thead th {\n"," text-
align: right;\n"," }\n","</style>\n","<table border=\"1\" class=\"dataframe\">\
n"," <thead>\n"," <tr style=\"text-align: right;\">\n"," <th></th>\n","
<th>step</th>\n"," <th>type</th>\n"," <th>amount</th>\n","
<th>nameOrig</th>\n"," <th>oldbalanceOrg</th>\n","
<th>newbalanceOrig</th>\n"," <th>nameDest</th>\n","
<th>oldbalanceDest</th>\n"," <th>newbalanceDest</th>\n","
<th>isFraud</th>\n"," </tr>\n"," </thead>\n"," <tbody>\n"," <tr>\n","
<th>2889785</th>\n"," <td>228</td>\n"," <td>CASH_OUT</td>\n","
<td>364310.96</td>\n"," <td>C1882002610</td>\n"," <td>127348.00</td>\n","
<td>0.00</td>\n"," <td>C1255784537</td>\n"," <td>4814640.42</td>\n","
<td>5178951.39</td>\n"," <td>0</td>\n"," </tr>\n"," <tr>\n","
<th>2805863</th>\n"," <td>225</td>\n"," <td>PAYMENT</td>\n","
<td>20383.65</td>\n"," <td>C149337475</td>\n"," <td>403052.00</td>\n","
<td>382668.35</td>\n"," <td>M1589311961</td>\n"," <td>0.00</td>\n","
<td>0.00</td>\n"," <td>0</td>\n"," </tr>\n"," <tr>\n","
<th>1772525</th>\n"," <td>162</td>\n"," <td>CASH_IN</td>\n","
<td>27891.95</td>\n"," <td>C46285081</td>\n"," <td>29584.00</td>\n","
<td>57475.95</td>\n"," <td>C376931188</td>\n"," <td>640973.19</td>\n","
<td>553796.55</td>\n"," <td>0</td>\n"," </tr>\n"," <tr>\n","
<th>6261030</th>\n"," <td>608</td>\n"," <td>PAYMENT</td>\n","
<td>994.24</td>\n"," <td>C1126305428</td>\n"," <td>12549.64</td>\n","
<td>11555.40</td>\n"," <td>M595147503</td>\n"," <td>0.00</td>\n","
<td>0.00</td>\n"," <td>0</td>\n"," </tr>\n"," <tr>\n","
<th>3707836</th>\n"," <td>277</td>\n"," <td>PAYMENT</td>\n","
<td>15309.73</td>\n"," <td>C768133022</td>\n"," <td>23391.50</td>\n","
<td>8081.77</td>\n"," <td>M1419231647</td>\n"," <td>0.00</td>\n","
<td>0.00</td>\n"," <td>0</td>\n"," </tr>\n"," </tbody>\n","</table>\
n","</div>"],"text/plain":[" step type amount nameOrig
oldbalanceOrg \\\n","2889785 228 CASH_OUT 364310.96 C1882002610
127348.00 \n","2805863 225 PAYMENT 20383.65 C149337475 403052.00 \
n","1772525 162 CASH_IN 27891.95 C46285081 29584.00 \n","6261030
608 PAYMENT 994.24 C1126305428 12549.64 \n","3707836 277 PAYMENT
15309.73 C768133022 23391.50 \n","\n"," newbalanceOrig
nameDest oldbalanceDest newbalanceDest isFraud \n","2889785 0.00
C1255784537 4814640.42 5178951.39 0 \n","2805863 382668.35
M1589311961 0.00 0.00 0 \n","1772525 57475.95
C376931188 640973.19 553796.55 0 \n","6261030 11555.40
M595147503 0.00 0.00 0 \n","3707836 8081.77
M1419231647 0.00 0.00 0
"]},"execution_count":3,"metadata":{},"output_type":"execute_result"}],"source":
["df.sample(5)"]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":4,"id":"4fafa11d","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:19:24.142914Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:19:24.142486Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:19:25.065283Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:19:25.064049Z"},"papermill":{"duration":0.939661,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:25.067758","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:24.128097","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/
plain":["step 0\n","type 0\n","amount 0\
n","nameOrig 0\n","oldbalanceOrg 0\n","newbalanceOrig 0\
n","nameDest 0\n","oldbalanceDest 0\n","newbalanceDest 0\n","isFraud
0\n","dtype: int64"]},"execution_count":4,"metadata":
{},"output_type":"execute_result"}],"source":["df.isnull().sum()"]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"0b416272","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.012695,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:25.093837","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:25.081142","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* There are no
missing
values."]},{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":5,"id":"2b99a806","metadata":
{"execution":{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-
24T17:19:25.122642Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:19:25.122117Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:19:25.300894Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:19:25.299107Z"},"papermill":{"duration":0.196922,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:25.303816","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:25.106894","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":
[{"name":"stdout","output_type":"stream","text":["| | columns | min
value | max value |\n","|----|----------------|-------------|-------------|\n","|
0 | amount | 0 | 9.24455e+07 |\n","| 1 | oldbalanceOrg |
0 | 5.9585e+07 |\n","| 2 | newbalanceOrig | 0 | 4.9585e+07 |\n","| 3
| oldbalanceDest | 0 | 3.56016e+08 |\n","| 4 | isFraud |
0 | 1 |\n"]}],"source":["fraud_min_max = [\n"," ['amount',
df.amount.min(), df.amount.max()],\n"," ['oldbalanceOrg',
df.oldbalanceOrg.min(), df.oldbalanceOrg.max()],\n"," ['newbalanceOrig',
df.newbalanceOrig.min(), df.newbalanceOrig.max()],\n"," ['oldbalanceDest',
df.oldbalanceDest.min(), df.oldbalanceDest.max()],\n"," ['isFraud',
df.isFraud.min(), df.isFraud.max()]\n","] \n","\n","print(\n"," tabulate(\n","
fraud_min_max,\n"," headers=['columns', 'min value', 'max value'],\n","
showindex=True,\n"," tablefmt='github',\n"," numalign='right'\n","
)\n",")"]},{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":6,"id":"3d0ca91a","metadata":
{"execution":{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-
24T17:19:25.331644Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:19:25.331228Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:19:26.97029Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:19:26.968897Z"},"papermill":{"duration":1.656698,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:26.97337","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:25.316672","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[],"source":["#
Downcast numerical columns with smaller dtype\n","for col in df.columns:\n"," if
df[col].dtype == 'float64':\n"," df[col] = pd.to_numeric(df[col],
downcast='float')\n"," if df[col].dtype == 'int64':\n"," df[col] =
pd.to_numeric(df[col], downcast='unsigned')\n","\n","# Use category dtype for
categorical column\n","df['type'] = df['type'].astype('category')"]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":7,"id":"301389ad","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:19:27.00111Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:19:27.000676Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.128527Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.127175Z"},"papermill":{"duration":20.145249,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.131561","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:26.986312","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/
plain":["0"]},"execution_count":7,"metadata":
{},"output_type":"execute_result"}],"source":["# Check duplicate values\
n","df.duplicated().sum()"]},{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"e3cb79d6","metadata":
{"papermill":{"duration":0.013072,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.157998","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.144926","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* There are no
duplicate values."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":8,"id":"908e7656","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:19:47.187197Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.186288Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.191409Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.190486Z"},"papermill":{"duration":0.022644,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.193779","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.171135","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[],"source":
["sns.set_style('whitegrid')\n","plt.rcParams['figure.figsize'] = (8,6)"]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"fcbab373","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.014608,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.221661","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.207053","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["<h2>\n"," <div
style='background:steelblue'> \n"," <font color='white'>\n"," <b>&nbsp;
Univariate data visualization</b>\n"," </font>\n"," </div>\n","</h2>"]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":9,"id":"10ebb7de","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:19:47.252974Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.252117Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.302051Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.300796Z"},"papermill":{"duration":0.067881,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.304617","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.236736","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/
plain":["19 51352\n","18 49579\n","187 49083\n","235 47491\n","307
46968\n"," ... \n","432 4\n","706 4\n","693 4\n","112
2\n","662 2\n","Name: step, Length: 743, dtype:
int64"]},"execution_count":9,"metadata":
{},"output_type":"execute_result"}],"source":["df['step'].value_counts()"]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"8f6c96fa","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.012871,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.330691","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.31782","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* There are **743**
steps, and every step has **at least 2** occurrences."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":10,"id":"e2cec20d","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:19:47.359195Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.358343Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:19:48.063324Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:19:48.062089Z"},"papermill":{"duration":0.722427,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:48.066054","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:47.343627","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/
plain":["Text(0, 0.5, 'Number of transactions')"]},"execution_count":10,"metadata":
{},"output_type":"execute_result"},{"data":{"image/
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wGSGHCF18SjRQAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\n","text/plain":["<Figure
size 576x432 with 1 Axes>"]},"metadata":
{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":["ax = sns.countplot(x='type', data=df,
palette='PuBu')\n","for container in ax.containers:\n","
ax.bar_label(container)\n","plt.title('Count plot of transaction type')\
n","plt.legend(bbox_to_anchor=(1.05,1), loc='upper left')\n","plt.ylabel('Number of
transactions')"]},{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"3702c3d2","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.013269,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:48.092916","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:48.079647","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* **Cash out** is
**the most numerous** transaction type, followed by payment, cash in, transfer and
debit types."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":11,"id":"64f4281b","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:19:48.122542Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:19:48.121547Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:20:11.227537Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:20:11.226223Z"},"papermill":{"duration":23.123627,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:20:11.230134","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:19:48.106507","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/
plain":["Text(0.5, 1.0, 'Distribution of transaction
amount')"]},"execution_count":11,"metadata":{},"output_type":"execute_result"},
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aAAAohABDQBAFPp/aMkIc0iT5C8AAAAASUVORK5CYII=\n","text/plain":["<Figure size 576x432
with 1 Axes>"]},"metadata":{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":
["sns.kdeplot(df['amount'], linewidth=4)\n","plt.title('Distribution of transaction
amount')"]},{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"690b6a27","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.013567,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:20:11.257777","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:20:11.24421","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* The distribution
of transaction amounts is **right skewed**. \n","* This indicates that most values
are clustered around the left tail of the distribution, with the longer right tail.
\n","* (mode < median < mean)"]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":12,"id":"dacd6ea9","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:20:11.288205Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:20:11.287377Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:20:24.765306Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:20:24.763961Z"},"papermill":{"duration":13.496367,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:20:24.768091","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:20:11.271724","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/
plain":["C1902386530 3\n","C363736674 3\n","C545315117 3\n","C724452879
3\n","C1784010646 3\n"," ..\n","C98968405 1\n","C720209255
1\n","C1567523029 1\n","C644777639 1\n","C1280323807 1\n","Name:
nameOrig, Length: 6353307, dtype: int64"]},"execution_count":12,"metadata":
{},"output_type":"execute_result"}],"source":["df['nameOrig'].value_counts()"]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"dfee5426","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.015723,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:20:24.800009","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:20:24.784286","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* There are
**6353307** initial customers, and every step has **at least 1** occurrence."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":13,"id":"f936f3b8","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:20:24.832974Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:20:24.832406Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:20:48.895548Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:20:48.894173Z"},"papermill":{"duration":24.083141,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:20:48.898437","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:20:24.815296","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/
plain":["Text(0.5, 1.0, 'Distribution of transaction
amount')"]},"execution_count":13,"metadata":{},"output_type":"execute_result"},
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x9syJfvxgNjZQAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\n","text/plain":["<Figure size 576x432
with 1 Axes>"]},"metadata":{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":
["sns.kdeplot(df['oldbalanceOrg'], linewidth=4)\n","plt.title('Distribution of
transaction amount')"]},{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"107221cd","metadata":
{"papermill":{"duration":0.014492,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:20:48.927922","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:20:48.91343","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* The distribution
of pre-transaction balances of the initial customers is **right skewed**."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":14,"id":"e97db1c3","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:20:48.959981Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:20:48.959552Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:21:12.411296Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:21:12.410057Z"},"papermill":{"duration":23.470658,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:21:12.413967","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:20:48.943309","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/
plain":["Text(0.5, 1.0, 'Distribution of transaction
amount')"]},"execution_count":14,"metadata":{},"output_type":"execute_result"},
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iIqBFiwBMRETVCDHgiIqJG6P8B7k3rbqRWwlsAAAAASUVORK5CYII=\n","text/plain":["<Figure
size 576x432 with 1 Axes>"]},"metadata":{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":
["sns.kdeplot(df['newbalanceOrig'], linewidth=4)\n","plt.title('Distribution of
transaction amount')"]},{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"2074a876","metadata":
{"papermill":{"duration":0.016053,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:21:12.445638","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:21:12.429585","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* The distribution
of post-transaction balances of the initial customers is **right skewed**."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":15,"id":"1eb3b486","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:21:12.479238Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:21:12.478529Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:21:19.392132Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:21:19.390666Z"},"papermill":{"duration":6.933264,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:21:19.394795","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:21:12.461531","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/
plain":["C1286084959 113\n","C985934102 109\n","C665576141 105\
n","C2083562754 102\n","C248609774 101\n"," ... \
n","M1470027725 1\n","M1330329251 1\n","M1784358659 1\
n","M2081431099 1\n","C2080388513 1\n","Name: nameDest, Length: 2722362,
dtype: int64"]},"execution_count":15,"metadata":
{},"output_type":"execute_result"}],"source":["df['nameDest'].value_counts()"]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"ddfeb87e","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.015609,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:21:19.42592","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:21:19.410311","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* There are
**2722362** recipients, and every step has **at least 1** occurrence."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":16,"id":"45a38aa4","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:21:19.4598Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:21:19.459356Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:21:42.555374Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:21:42.553912Z"},"papermill":{"duration":23.11648,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:21:42.558268","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:21:19.441788","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/
plain":["Text(0.5, 1.0, 'Distribution of transaction
amount')"]},"execution_count":16,"metadata":{},"output_type":"execute_result"},
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w8cHjT0Kiir0gAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\n","text/plain":["<Figure size 576x432 with 1
Axes>"]},"metadata":{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":
["sns.kdeplot(df['oldbalanceDest'], linewidth=4)\n","plt.title('Distribution of
transaction amount')"]},{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"07095b18","metadata":
{"papermill":{"duration":0.017391,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:21:42.591569","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:21:42.574178","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* The distribution
of pre-transaction balances of the recipient is **right skewed**."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":17,"id":"f9bc0134","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:21:42.625485Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:21:42.625075Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:22:05.884715Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:22:05.882907Z"},"papermill":{"duration":23.280634,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:05.888095","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:21:42.607461","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/
plain":["Text(0.5, 1.0, 'Distribution of transaction
amount')"]},"execution_count":17,"metadata":{},"output_type":"execute_result"},
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YY4ERGRTP0/yfrYOtUHm7sAAAAASUVORK5CYII=\n","text/plain":["<Figure size 576x432 with
1 Axes>"]},"metadata":{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":
["sns.kdeplot(df['newbalanceDest'], linewidth=4)\n","plt.title('Distribution of
transaction amount')"]},{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"fe5a04fc","metadata":
{"papermill":{"duration":0.020236,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:05.933757","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:05.913521","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* The distribution
of post-transaction balances of the recipient is **right skewed**."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":18,"id":"d29a326a","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:22:05.977774Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:22:05.97689Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:22:06.974976Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:22:06.973673Z"},"papermill":{"duration":1.023904,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:06.978263","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:05.954359","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"image/
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wByM8Stov2SjQAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\n","text/plain":["<Figure size 576x432 with 1
Axes>"]},"metadata":{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":["ax =
sns.countplot(x='isFraud', data=df, palette='PuBu')\n","for container in
ax.containers:\n"," ax.bar_label(container)\n","plt.title('Count plot of
fraud transaction')\n","plt.ylabel('Number of transactions')\n","\n","del ax"]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"23c1aee0","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.019503,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:07.018229","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:06.998726","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* There are much
**more non-fraudulent transactions** than fraudulent transactions."]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"2489ffd2","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.016651,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:07.052839","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:07.036188","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["<h2>\n"," <div
style='background:steelblue'> \n"," <font color='white'>\n"," <b>&nbsp;
Bivariate data visualization</b>\n"," </font>\n"," </div>\n","</h2>"]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":19,"id":"9fdf29bb","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:22:07.088507Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:22:07.088058Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:22:09.155821Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:22:09.154354Z"},"papermill":{"duration":2.08899,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:09.158714","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:07.069724","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"image/
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IiIhZQgU1ERERERERERMQC/w93FnT9d6AHVwAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\n","text/plain":["<Figure
size 1440x360 with 2 Axes>"]},"metadata":
{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":["fig, ax =
plt.subplots(1,2,figsize=(20,5))\n","\n","sns.countplot(x='type', data=df,
hue='isFraud', palette='PuBu', ax=ax[0])\n","for container in ax[0].containers:\
n"," ax[0].bar_label(container)\n","ax[0].set_title('Count plot of transaction
type')\n","ax[0].legend(loc='best')\n","ax[0].set_ylabel('Number of transactions')\
n","\n","df2 = df.groupby(['type', 'isFraud']).size().unstack()\
n","df2.apply(lambda x : round(x/sum(x)*100, 2), axis=1).plot(kind='barh',
stacked=True, color=['lightsteelblue', 'steelblue'], ax=ax[1])\n","for container in
ax[1].containers:\n"," ax[1].bar_label(container, label_type='center')\
n","ax[1].set_title('Count plot of transaction type')\
n","ax[1].legend(bbox_to_anchor=(1.05,1), loc='upper left')\
n","ax[1].set_ylabel('Number of transactions')\n","ax[1].grid(axis='y')"]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"ff042e51","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.017384,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:09.194105","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:09.176721","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* Fraudulent
transactions only occur in debit and transfer types."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":20,"id":"f06058d8","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:22:09.230627Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:22:09.230182Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:22:10.659295Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:22:10.657988Z"},"papermill":{"duration":1.451017,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:10.662365","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:09.211348","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/
plain":["Text(0, 0.5, 'Number of transactions')"]},"execution_count":20,"metadata":
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AMxF9frV30raAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC\n","text/plain":["<Figure size 576x432 with 1
Axes>"]},"metadata":{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":["df['quantity'] =
pd.cut(df['amount'], 5, labels=['very low', 'low', 'moderate', 'high', 'very
high'])\n","\n","ax = sns.countplot(x='quantity', data=df, hue='isFraud',
palette='PuBu')\n","for container in ax.containers:\n","
ax.bar_label(container)\n","plt.title('Count plot of amount quantity')\
n","plt.legend(bbox_to_anchor=(1.05,1), loc='upper left')\n","plt.ylabel('Number of
transactions')"]},{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"cbf0cce6","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.020378,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:10.703554","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:10.683176","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* All fraudulent
transactions fall into the category of very low amounts. \n","* This suggests that
in most cases, small transactions are more prone to fraudulent transactions."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":21,"id":"affa54c9","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:22:10.747267Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:22:10.746532Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:22:11.275658Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:22:11.274203Z"},"papermill":{"duration":0.554259,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:11.278524","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:10.724265","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"image/
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/8Pvaog2+hXQlQAAAAASUVORK5CYII=\n","text/plain":["<Figure size 576x432 with 1
Axes>"]},"metadata":{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":["df1 =
df[df['isFraud']==1]\n","df2 = df1['step'].value_counts().head(10)\n","ax
= df2.plot(kind='bar', color='lightsteelblue')\n","for container in
ax.containers:\n"," ax.bar_label(container)\n","plt.title('Top 10 steps that
often lead to fraudulent transactions')\n","plt.ylabel('Number of fraudulent
transactions')\n","plt.xlabel('Step')\n","plt.grid(axis='x')\n","\n","del ax,
df2"]},{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"dbbb17d4","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.021774,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:11.323091","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:11.301317","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* **Step 212** has
the highest number of fraudulent transactions, 40 cases. \n","* This indicates that
Step 212 is the step that will most likely lead to fraudulent transactions."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":22,"id":"84719f47","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:22:11.368407Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:22:11.367649Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:22:12.553705Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:22:12.552213Z"},"papermill":{"duration":1.212574,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:12.557009","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:11.344435","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/
plain":["Text(0.5, 0, 'Initial customers pre-transaction balance
amount')"]},"execution_count":22,"metadata":{},"output_type":"execute_result"},
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["<Figure size 576x432 with 1 Axes>"]},"metadata":
{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":["df['oldbalanceOrg_amt'] =
pd.cut(df['oldbalanceOrg'], 5, labels=['very low', 'low', 'moderate', 'high', 'very
high'])\n","\n","ax = sns.countplot(x='oldbalanceOrg_amt', data=df, hue='isFraud',
palette='PuBu')\n","for container in ax.containers:\n","
ax.bar_label(container)\n","plt.title('Count plot of initial customers pre-
transaction balance amount')\n","plt.legend(bbox_to_anchor=(1.05,1), loc='upper
left')\n","plt.ylabel('Number of transactions')\n","plt.xlabel('Initial customers
pre-transaction balance amount')"]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"fda279ca","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.02132,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:12.60043","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:12.57911","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* Initial customers
with **very low pre-transaction balances** has the highest number of fraudulent
transactions. \n","* This means that initial customers with very low pre-
transaction balances may be more likely to fall for a fraudulent transaction."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":23,"id":"2832321c","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:22:12.647134Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:22:12.646201Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:22:13.029574Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:22:13.028307Z"},"papermill":{"duration":0.409601,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:13.032607","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:12.623006","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"output
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GTq/wGzs9uhkMXOwAAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\n","text/plain":["<Figure size 576x432 with 1
Axes>"]},"metadata":{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":["df2 =
df1['nameOrig'].value_counts().head(10)\n","ax = df2.plot(kind='bar',
color='lightsteelblue')\n","for container in ax.containers:\n","
ax.bar_label(container)\n","plt.title('Top 10 initial customers fall for a
fraudulent transactions')\n","plt.ylabel('Number of fraudulent transactions')\
n","plt.xlabel('Initial customers')\n","plt.grid(axis='x')\n","\n","del ax, df2"]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"4c80af7f","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.021675,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:13.077805","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:13.05613","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* Initial customers
are scammed of **at most one** for a fraudulent transaction."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":24,"id":"0e896f9d","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:22:13.125123Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:22:13.123813Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:22:13.536525Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:22:13.535286Z"},"papermill":{"duration":0.439736,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:13.539571","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:13.099835","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"image/
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GTAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC\n","text/plain":["<Figure size 576x432 with 1
Axes>"]},"metadata":{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":["df2 =
df1['nameDest'].value_counts().head(10)\n","ax = df2.plot(kind='bar',
color='lightsteelblue')\n","for container in ax.containers:\n","
ax.bar_label(container)\n","plt.title('Top 10 recipients highly involved in
fraudulent transactions')\n","plt.ylabel('Number of fraudulent transactions')\
n","plt.xlabel('Recipients')\n","plt.grid(axis='x')\n","\n","del ax, df2"]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"2c04ad32","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.02288,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:13.586021","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:13.563141","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* Suspicious
recipients only have a **maximum of 2** involved fraudulent transactions."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":25,"id":"d229ca3c","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:22:13.634663Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:22:13.634203Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:22:14.838495Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:22:14.83744Z"},"papermill":{"duration":1.232488,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:14.841343","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:13.608855","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/
plain":["Text(0.5, 0, 'Recipient pre-transaction balance
amount')"]},"execution_count":25,"metadata":{},"output_type":"execute_result"},
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gOzDkKgoAAAAASUVORK5CYII=\n","text/plain":["<Figure size 576x432 with 1
Axes>"]},"metadata":{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":
["df['oldbalanceDest_amt'] = pd.cut(df['oldbalanceDest'], 5, labels=['very low',
'low', 'moderate', 'high', 'very high'])\n","\n","ax =
sns.countplot(x='oldbalanceDest_amt', data=df, hue='isFraud', palette='PuBu')\
n","for container in ax.containers:\n"," ax.bar_label(container)\
n","plt.title('Count plot of recipients pre-transaction balance amount')\
n","plt.legend(bbox_to_anchor=(1.05,1), loc='upper left')\n","plt.ylabel('Number of
transactions')\n","plt.xlabel('Recipient pre-transaction balance amount')"]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"80d8b190","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.020901,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:14.886127","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:14.865226","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* Recipients with
**very low pre-transaction balances** has the highest number of fraudulent
transactions. \n","* This implies that recipients with very low pre-transaction
balances may be more susceptible to fraudulent transactions."]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"b5e43943","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.020065,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:14.926639","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:14.906574","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["<h2>\n"," <div
style='background:steelblue'> \n"," <font color='white'>\n"," <b>&nbsp;
Multivariate data visualization</b>\n"," </font>\n"," </div>\n","</h2>"]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":26,"id":"eab46213","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:22:14.969621Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:22:14.96921Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:22:24.970896Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:22:24.969755Z"},"papermill":{"duration":10.026668,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:24.973738","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:14.94707","status":"
completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[{"data":{"text/plain":["Text(0.5, 1.0,
'Correlation')"]},"execution_count":26,"metadata":
{},"output_type":"execute_result"},{"data":{"image/
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BywAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC\n","text/plain":["<Figure size 576x432 with 2
Axes>"]},"metadata":{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":["corr_matrix =
df.corr('spearman')\n","sns.heatmap(corr_matrix, cbar=True, annot=True, mask =
np.triu(np.ones_like(corr_matrix, dtype = bool)), fmt='.3f', cmap='PuBu')\
n","plt.title('Correlation')"]},{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"4e09efec","metadata":
{"papermill":{"duration":0.02136,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:25.020366","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:24.999006","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* oldbalanceOrg and
newbalanceOrig has **strong positive** relationship. \n","* oldbalanceDest and
newbalanceDest has **strong positive** relationship.\n","* oldbalanceOrg and amount
has **weak positive** relationship.\n","* newbalanceOrig and amount has **moderate
positive** relationship."]},{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"0a3a3449","metadata":
{"papermill":{"duration":0.020258,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:25.062138","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:25.04188","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["# <div
style='background:darkblue'> <font color='white'> <b>&nbsp; Model Building</b>
</font> </div>"]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":27,"id":"3a121400","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:22:25.107203Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:22:25.1061Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:22:25.130545Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:22:25.12906Z"},"papermill":{"duration":0.050564,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:25.133383","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:25.082819","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[],"source":["# Data
preprocessing\n","df['type'] = df['type'].map({'PAYMENT':0, 'CASH_IN':1, 'DEBIT':2,
'CASH_OUT':3, 'TRANSFER':4})"]},{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"13521573","metadata":
{"papermill":{"duration":0.04206,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:25.216849","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:25.174789","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["Due to the large
dataset, Random Forest and Logistic Regression with balanced class weight are used
to identify online payment fraud."]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":28,"id":"984a8ede","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:22:25.301674Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:22:25.301268Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:22:32.255603Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:22:32.25431Z"},"papermill":{"duration":7.001041,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:32.259023","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:25.257982","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[],"source":["from
sklearn.model_selection import StratifiedKFold\n","from sklearn.preprocessing
import StandardScaler\n","from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier\
n","from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression\n","from
imblearn.under_sampling import RandomUnderSampler\n","from sklearn.model_selection
import cross_val_score\n","from sklearn.metrics import classification_report,
roc_curve, auc, ConfusionMatrixDisplay\n","\n","\n","seed = 42\
n","np.random.seed(seed)\n","random.seed(seed)\n","tf.random.set_seed(seed)\n","\
n","\n","X = df.copy()\n","X.drop(['nameOrig', 'newbalanceOrig', 'nameDest',
'newbalanceDest', 'quantity', 'oldbalanceOrg_amt', 'oldbalanceDest_amt'], axis=1,
inplace=True)\n","y = X.pop('isFraud')\n","\n","\n","# Stratified train-test split\
n","skfold = StratifiedKFold(n_splits=5, shuffle=True, random_state=seed)\n","for
train_idx, test_idx in skfold.split(X,y):\n"," X_train, X_test =
X.iloc[train_idx], X.iloc[test_idx]\n"," y_train, y_test = y.iloc[train_idx],
y.iloc[test_idx]\n","\n","\n","sc = StandardScaler()\n","scaled_train =
sc.fit_transform(X_train)\n","scaled_test = sc.transform(X_test)\n","X_train =
pd.DataFrame(scaled_train, index=X_train.index, columns=X_train.columns)\n","X_test
= pd.DataFrame(scaled_test, index=X_test.index, columns=X_test.columns)\n","\n","\
n","X_train, y_train =
RandomUnderSampler(sampling_strategy='majority').fit_resample(X_train, y_train)"]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":29,"id":"3c01359b","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:22:32.303026Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:22:32.301976Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:22:32.310268Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:22:32.308784Z"},"papermill":{"duration":0.032807,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:32.312775","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:32.279968","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[],"source":["def
model_comparison_evaluate(classifiers, X, y):\n"," print('K-Fold Cross-
Validation:\\n')\n"," for name, model in classifiers.items():\n","
print('{}:'.format(name))\n"," \n"," scoring = ['accuracy',
'precision', 'recall', 'f1', 'roc_auc']\n"," \n"," for score in
scoring:\n"," scores = cross_val_score(model, X, y, scoring=score,
cv=skfold, n_jobs=-1)\n"," print('Mean {} score: {:.3f}
({:.3f})'.format(score, scores.mean(), scores.std()))\n"," \n","
print('\\n')"]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":30,"id":"2c26e90b","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:22:32.356318Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:22:32.355852Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:22:32.361824Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:22:32.36068Z"},"papermill":{"duration":0.030735,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:32.364411","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:32.333676","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":[],"source":
["classifiers = { 'Random Forest
Classifier':RandomForestClassifier(class_weight='balanced', random_state=seed),\
n"," 'Logistic Regression':
LogisticRegression(class_weight='balanced', random_state=seed)\
n"," }"]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":31,"id":"cf5cc10a","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:22:32.407812Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:22:32.40738Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:22:49.242288Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:22:49.240546Z"},"papermill":{"duration":16.8597,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:49.245021","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:32.385321","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":
[{"name":"stdout","output_type":"stream","text":["K-Fold Cross-Validation:\n","\
n","Random Forest Classifier:\n","Mean accuracy score: 0.985 (0.003)\n","Mean
precision score: 0.975 (0.006)\n","Mean recall score: 0.996 (0.002)\n","Mean f1
score: 0.985 (0.003)\n","Mean roc_auc score: 0.998 (0.000)\n","\n","\n","Logistic
Regression:\n","Mean accuracy score: 0.848 (0.007)\n","Mean precision score: 0.843
(0.008)\n","Mean recall score: 0.856 (0.005)\n","Mean f1 score: 0.849 (0.006)\
n","Mean roc_auc score: 0.927 (0.004)\n","\n","\n"]}],"source":
["model_comparison_evaluate(classifiers, X_train, y_train)"]},
{"cell_type":"code","execution_count":32,"id":"4f1149c8","metadata":{"execution":
{"iopub.execute_input":"2023-04-24T17:22:49.291349Z","iopub.status.busy":"2023-04-
24T17:22:49.289992Z","iopub.status.idle":"2023-04-
24T17:23:12.750962Z","shell.execute_reply":"2023-04-
24T17:23:12.749387Z"},"papermill":{"duration":23.487091,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:23:12.753861","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:22:49.26677","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"outputs":
[{"name":"stdout","output_type":"stream","text":["Random Forest Classifier:\n","
precision recall f1-score support\n","\n","Non-Fraud [0] 0.98 1.00
0.99 1239159\n"," Fraud [1] 1.00 0.05 0.09 33365\n","\n","
accuracy 0.98 1272524\n"," macro avg 0.99
0.52 0.54 1272524\n"," weighted avg 0.98 0.98 0.96
1272524\n"," \n","\n"]},{"data":{"text/plain":["Text(0.5, 0, 'False Positive
Rate')"]},"execution_count":32,"metadata":{},"output_type":"execute_result"},
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AAAAAElFTkSuQmCC\n","text/plain":["<Figure size 1440x360 with 2
Axes>"]},"metadata":{},"output_type":"display_data"}],"source":["model =
RandomForestClassifier(class_weight='balanced', random_state=seed)\
n","model.fit(X_train, y_train)\n","y_pred = model.predict(X_test)\n","y_pred_score
= model.predict_proba(X_test)[:,1]\n","print('Random Forest Classifier:')\
n","print(classification_report(y_pred, y_test, labels=[0,1], target_names=['Non-
Fraud [0]', 'Fraud [1]']), '\\n')\n","\n","\n","\n","fig, ax = plt.subplots(1, 2,
figsize=(20,5))\n","ax[0].set_title('Confusion Matrix of Random Forest Model:')\
n","ConfusionMatrixDisplay.from_predictions(y_test, y_pred, colorbar=False,
values_format='', cmap='crest', ax=ax[0])\n","ax[0].grid(False)\n","\n","\n","\
n","fpr, tpr, thresholds = roc_curve(y_test, y_pred_score)\n","roc_auc = auc(fpr,
tpr) \n","ax[1].set_title('ROC Curve - Random Forest
Classifier')\n","ax[1].plot(fpr, tpr, label = 'AUC = %0.3f' % roc_auc,
c='steelblue')\n","ax[1].plot([0,1],[0,1],'--', c='lightsteelblue')\
n","ax[1].legend(loc='lower right')\n","ax[1].set_ylabel('True Positive Rate')\
n","ax[1].set_xlabel('False Positive Rate')"]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"29dd0c3d","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.022138,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:23:12.798815","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:23:12.776677","status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["* From the
confusion matrix, 1,239,155 were correctly classified as non-fraudulent payments,
and 31,726 people were misclassified as non-fraudulent payments.\n","* According to
the confusion matrix, 1,639 payments were incorrectly labelled as fraud while 4
payments were correctly identified as fraud."]},
{"cell_type":"markdown","id":"13de97e5","metadata":{"papermill":
{"duration":0.02282,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:23:12.844231","exception":false,"start_time":"2023-04-24T17:23:12.821411"
,"status":"completed"},"tags":[]},"source":["# <div style='background:darkblue'>
<font color='white'> <b>&nbsp; Conclusion</b> </font> </div>\n","\n","* Random
Forest obtains the highest score of all using K-fold cross-validation.\n","* The
best performing model is **Random Forest** for identifying fraudulent and non-
fraudulent payments, as the AUC is 0.999, which is close to 1. This means it has a
good separability measure, and the model has an 99.9% chance of being able to
distinguish between positive and negative classes.."]}],"metadata":{"kernelspec":
{"display_name":"Python 3","language":"python","name":"python3"},"language_info":
{"codemirror_mode":
{"name":"ipython","version":3},"file_extension":".py","mimetype":"text/x-
python","name":"python","nbconvert_exporter":"python","pygments_lexer":"ipython3","
version":"3.7.12"},"papermill":{"default_parameters":
{},"duration":275.002595,"end_time":"2023-04-
24T17:23:15.592125","environment_variables":
{},"exception":null,"input_path":"__notebook__.ipynb","output_path":"__notebook__.i
pynb","parameters":{},"start_time":"2023-04-
24T17:18:40.58953","version":"2.3.4"}},"nbformat":4,"nbformat_minor":5}