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39 views

C_fakepathProbability_lectures

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burzuyevrcb
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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EDUCATION MINISTRY OF AZERBAIJAN REPUBLIC

AZERBAIJAN STATE OIL AND INDUSTRY UNIVERSITY

SYLLABUS
Confirmed by: Doctor of Mathematical Sciences, Prof. A. R. Aliev
(Head of Department)

Signature: _______________________________
Date: …

Department: General and Applied Mathematics


Faculty: Information Technologies and Control

I. Information about the class


Subject: Probability Theory and Matehamtical Statistics
Total Curricular Hours: 60 Lectures 30 Seminars 30

Academic year 2023-2024 Semester 1

Specialty 050509 - Computer Science

Number of Credits 7

II. Information about teachers


Lecturer – Ismayilova Nigar Tahir, Philosophy Doctor on Engineering

Consulting hours:
Email: [email protected]

III. Reading material:


1. Probability and statistics for computer scientists / Michael Baron. Third edition. CRC
Press, Taylor & Francis Group, 2019.
2. A first course in probability / Sheldon Ross. Eighth Edition. Pearson Prentice Hall,
2010
3. Learning Statistics with Python / Python Adaptation of “Learning Statistics with R”
by Ethan Weed. https://ethanweed.github.io/pythonbook/landingpage.html
4. Probability & Statistics with Applications to Computing / Alex Tsun, 2020.
Aim and description of the class:
Description: Probability is used in a number of contexts, including analyzing the likelihood that
various events will happen, better understanding the performance of algorithms (which are
increasingly making use of randomness), or modeling the behavior of systems that exist in
asynchronous environments ruled by uncertainty (such as requests being made to a web server).
Probability provides a rich set of tools for modeling such phenomena and allows for precise
mathematical statements to be made about the performance of an algorithm or a system in such
situations. The goals of the course are (1) to maintain the intellectual rigor of the CS curriculum
while providing flexible ways for you to learn, and (2) to foster and maintain human connections
and a sense of community throughout this course.
IV. Learning outcomes:
Students will be able to:
 understand the basic principles of probability spaces and random variables;
 be able to formulate problems using concepts from probability theory and compute or
estimate probabilities;
 be familiar with more advanced concepts such as moments, limit theorems and
applications such as parameter estimation.
V. Schedule:
№ Curricular hours
Content of the topics discussed in the lectures and
seminars Lecture Seminar

Topic 1 2
Introduction and outline of the course. Events and their
1. probabilities. Rules of probability
Computing probabilities of events 2
Assignment 1.
2. Topic 2 2
Equally likely outcomes. Combinatorics. Conditional
probability. Bayes rule. Rule of total probability
Quiz 1 2

3. Topic 3 2
Distribution of random variables. Independence of random
variables. Expectation and variance
Assignment 2. 2
4. Topic 4 2
Correlation and covariance. Chebyshev’s inequality.
Application to finance
Assignment 3. 2
5. Topic 5 2
Discrete distributions: Bernoulli, Binomial, Geometrical,
Negative Binomial, Poisson
Quiz 2 2

6. Topic 6 2
Continuous distributions. Joint and marginal densities.
Expectation and variance
Assignment 4.
7. Topic 7 2
Continuous distributions. Uniform, exponential, Gamma.
Gamma – Poisson formula
Assignment 5. 2
8. Topic 8 2
Normal distributions. Central limit theorem. Continuity
correction
Midterm 2
9. Topic 9 2
Computer simulations. Solving problems by Monte-Carlo
simulations
Assignment 6. 2
10. Topic 10 2
Working with Data. Descriptive statistics. Measures of
central tendency and variability. Handling missing values.
Quiz 3 2
11. Topic 11 2
Data visualization and pre-processing scatterplots. Bar
graphs. Transforming data sorting, flipping and merging
Assignment 7. 2
12. Topic 12 2
Chi distribution. Categorical Data Analysis. The Chi
goodness of fit test. Assumptions of the test.
Quiz 4 2
13. Topic 13 2
Comparing two means. Z-test, t-test
Assignment 8. 2
14. Topic 14 2
Comparing several means. Linear regression. ANOVA
Quiz 5 2
15. Topic 15 2
Bayesian statistics. Conclusion
Concluding assignment 2

VI. Examination holding form


Examination will be held in written + an oral (main) form.

VII. Assignment in the period of a semester and a deal of points

Maximum quantity of points – 100 points.

A) Maximum quantity of points in semester grade– 50 points.


Assignments (each 2 points, concluding assignment 4 points), quizzes (each 2 20 points
points – 5*2 = 10 points)
Midterm exam 30 points

B) On a result of semester exam – maximum 50 points


In each paper – 5 questions, for each question 10 points are given.
Remark: The number of the points earned by the student at examination shouldn't be less than
17.
C) Assignment on a result of semester (on base of points earned before exam and after
exam):
91 – 100 points excellent A
81 – 90 points better B
71 – 80 points good C
61 – 70 points satisfactory D
51 – 60 points reckoning E
less than 51 points unsatisfactory F

Teachers: Ismayilova Nigar Tahir Signature:____________________


Date: …

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