A Level Further Statistics 1 Mock Paper (9FM0/3B) Mark Scheme

Question Scheme Mark AOs

s
1 (a) H0; recycling plastics and the distance to the nearest recycling point are B1 1.2
independent
H1; recycling plastics and the distance to the nearest recycling point are
not independent

Degrees of freedom, B1 3.1b

Therefore critical value =

Test statistic M1 1.1b

awrt 8.10 A1 1.1b

In critical region, therefore sufficient evidence to reject H 0. Data does not A1 3.2a
support Barbara’s belief at the 5% significance level that people
recycling plastics is independent of the distance to the nearest recycling
point.

(5)

(b)  Test statistic is halved and B1 2.4

 Critical value stays the same
This is not in the critical region and therefore Barbara’s original dB1 2.3
conclusions are not valid, data suggests independence.

(2)
(7)

Notes
a)
1st B1 accept ‘no association between …’ & ‘association between…’ in H 0 and H1 oe but must
mention context
2nd B1 must have ( = 2) awrt 5.99 for critical value (implies correct degrees of freedom)
M1 need to see at least 2 terms if A1 not awarded
1st A1 awrt 8.10 (accept p = awrt 0.0174)
2nd A1 cso must have correct comment in context.

b)
1st B1 valid reason why test statistic is halved
2nd B1 dependent on 1st B1 cao

1
A Level Further Statistics 1 Mock Paper (9FM0/3B) Mark Scheme

Questio Scheme Marks AOs

n
2 (a) M1 2.1

A1* 1.1b
*

(2)
(b) M1 3.1b

A1 1.1b

M1 1.1b
awrt 1.43 A1 1.1b

(4)
(c) Let rv number of tokens drawn B1 3.3

B1 3.1b

M1 3.4

A1 1.1b

(4)
(10)

Notes

a) M1 need either using P(GGG), or P(GGGR or GGGG)

A1 * full correct solution
b) 1st M1 correct method for or
1st A1 both and correct
2nd M1 full method for involving attempt at and or
nd
2 A1 awrt 1.43
Correct answer with no working scores 1/4
c) 1st B1 use of Geometric distribution for number of tokens drawn
2nd B1 Establishing link between Y and T
1st M1 same variance for Y and T
A1 awrt 7.78
Correct answer with no working scores 2/4

2
A Level Further Statistics 1 Mock Paper (9FM0/3B) Mark Scheme

Questio Scheme Mark AOs

n s
3 (a)(i) awrt 0.112 B1 1.1b
(ii) M1 1.1b

awrt 0.750 A1 1.1b

(3)
(b) Select and H0: and H1: M1 3.3

[ ] M1 3.4

is critical region A1 1.1b

Power of test = dM1 3.1b

A1ft 1.1b
awrt 0.417 A1 1.1b

(6)
(c) Test is only valid if the teacher can assume that Charlie looks at his B1 3.5b
mobile phone
 independently each time, or
 at a constant rate, or
 randomly
(any one of these)

(1)
(10)

Notes

a) (i) B1 calculator value awrt 0.112

(ii) M1 oe seen or implied
A1 awrt 0.750 (condone 0.75)
b) 1st M1 seen and correct hypotheses (allow μ for λ or and )
2nd M1 attempt to find critical region using Po(6), upper tail only
A1 as critical region seen or implied
3 M1 complete strategy to find power of test, dependent on 2nd M mark
rd

2nd A1ft on their critical region (must be using Po(10))

3rd A1 awrt 0.417
c) B1 cao must mention context

3
 A Level Further Statistics 1 Mock Paper (9FM0/3B) Mark Scheme

Questio Scheme Marks AOs

n
4 (a) Geo(1/3) is a suitable model for the number of rolls to 1st 5 or 6 B1 2.5
Geo(1/3) is not a suitable model for the number of rolls to 1st 5 or 6

M1 3.4
Assuming is true , expected values are

Number 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 or
of rolls to more A1 1.1b
1st 5 or 6 A1 1.1b
Expected 33.3 22.2… 14.8… 9.87… 6.58… 4.38 8.77….
frequency … …

Number of 1 2 3 4 5 6 or
rolls to 1st 5 more
or 6
Observed 39 17 17 10 3 14
frequency M1 2.1
Expected 33.3… 22.2… 14.8… 9.87… 6.58… 13.1…
frequency

Combining last two groups

B1ft 1.1b

Critical value, B1ft 1.1a

M1 1.1b
Test statistic =

= 4.5181… awrt 4.5 A1 1.1b

Not in critical region, insufficient evidence to reject , no significant A1cso 3.5a

evidence at the 5% level that the die is biased.

(10)
(b)(i) e.g. Mai’s test measures results against the frequencies of all six possible B1 3.5b
scores, whereas Desmond’s doesn’t.

Mai’s test needs a fixed number of rolls, whereas number of rolls for B1 3.5b
Desmond’s test is unknown.

(ii) Desmond’s test is likely to collect more data. B1 3.5b

(3)
(13)

4
A Level Further Statistics 1 Mock Paper (9FM0/3B) Mark Scheme

Notes
a)
1st B1 / must include correct value of parameter.
1st M1 use of geometric distribution (may be implied)
1st A1 at least 3 values correct to 1dp
2nd A1 all correct to 1 dp (allow last 2 groups already combined)
2nd M1 combining last two groups only
2nd B1 ft if not combined groups
3rd B1 ft their
3rd M1 at least 2 terms shown (give if test value correct and no working shown)3rd A1 awrt 4.5
4th A1 cso

b) (i) B1 valid comment on limitation of Desmond’s test compared to Mai’s

B1 valid comment on number of rolls of die expected compared to Mai’s
(ii) B1 valid comment on amount of data collected.

5
A Level Further Statistics 1 Mock Paper (9FM0/3B) Mark Scheme

Questio Scheme Marks AOs

n
5 (a)(i) B1cao 3.3

(ii) M1 2.1

=
0.03146523…
Approximation M1 3.3

A1 1.1b
=0.0318280564…
M1 1.1b
Percentage error

(denominator must be their ‘0.031465…’)

=1.1530… awrt 1.15% A1 1.1b

(6)
(b) Size of Ushma’s test = M1 2.1

A1 1.1b

[Size of test = ] B1 2.4

Size of Ushma’s test < Size of Javed’s test (0.08)

So implies Ushma’s test is better dB1ft 2.2b

(4)
(10)

Notes
a)(i) B1 cao must include correct parameters
(ii)1st M1 attempting using a Binomial distribution
nd
2 M1 attempting using Po(5)
1st A1 both correct to 3 sfs (awrt 0.0315 and 0.0318 respectively)
3rd M1 correct method for percentage error using their probabilities from Bin and Poisson
distributions
2nd A1 accept awrt 1.14 – 1.16% with working seen (do not accept 0.0115)
b) M1 attempt at using or
A1 awrt 0.0676 (or 0.0681 if using
1st B1 valid argument implying smaller size of test is preferable
2nd B1 dependent on 1st B1 ft their size of Ushma’s test.

6
A Level Further Statistics 1 Mock Paper (9FM0/3B) Mark Scheme

Questio Scheme Mark AOs

n s
6 (a)(i) Use of negative binomial with B1 3.3

M1 3.4
Use of

= 15 A1 1.1b
(3)
(ii) Success of each throw is independent of all previous throws (oe) B1 2.4

Probability of hitting the bullseye on each throw remains the same B1 2.4
(oe)

(2)
(b) Variance of number of throws required, B1 1.1b

M1 3.1b
A1 1.1b
By CLT need to use

dM1 3.4

= 0.09835…. awrt 0.0984 A1 1.1b

(5)
(10)

Notes
a)(i) B1 needs correct distribution and correct parameters
(ii) 2xB1 must be valid comments in context.

b) 1st M1 use of Normal distribution with their and

1st A1 must be correct values

2nd M1 dependent on use of

2nd A1 awrt 0.0984

7
A Level Further Statistics 1 Mock Paper (9FM0/3B) Mark Scheme

Questio Scheme Marks AOs

n
7 (a) M1 2.1
A1 1.1b
* A1*cso 1.1b

(3)
(b) M1 3.1a
Need , so

A1*cso 1.1b
so *

(2)
(c) M1 3.1a
,

A1 1.1b

(2)
(d) M1 2.1

M1 1.1b

M1 2.1

M1 1.1b
A1 1.1b

M1 1.2

M1 2.1
Use of oe

A1*cso 1.1b
*

(8)
(15)

8
A Level Further Statistics 1 Mock Paper (9FM0/3B) Mark Scheme

Notes
a)
1st M1 attempt to
2nd A1 * cso must see convincing use of t=1

b)
1st M1 Use of

A1 * cso need oe

c)
M1 use of

d)
1st M1 attempt to find
2nd M1 use of
3rd M1 attempt to find
4th M1 use of
1st A1 and both correct

5th M1 use of , may be seen earlier

6th M1 Use of or substitution for , may be seen earlier e.g.

2nd A1 * cso all correct.