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Annoula Paschalidou
Michael Tsatiris
Kyriaki Kitikidou
Christina Papadopoulou
Using Energy
Crops for Biofuels
or Food: The
Choice
Green Energy and Technology
More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/8059
Annoula Paschalidou Michael Tsatiris
•
123
Annoula Paschalidou Kyriaki Kitikidou
Department of Forestry and Management Department of Forestry and Management
of the Environment and Natural Resources of the Environment and Natural Resources
Democritus University of Thrace Democritus University of Thrace
Orestiada Orestiada
Greece Greece
This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer International Publishing AG
part of Springer Nature
The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland
Contents
v
vi Contents
vii
viii Concepts and Abbreviations
ix
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x List of Figures
Table 2.1 Biofuels produced from different energy crops and yields per
1000 m2 in seed and oil (1000 m2 are about ¼ of an acre) . . .. 16
Table 2.2 Data of energy crops in Greece . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 16
Table 2.3 Energy crops, according to the EU most suitable for southern
European countries and especially for Greece . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 17
Table 2.4 Data of annual energy crops in Greece—2013 . . . . . . . . . . . .. 21
Table 4.1 Hierarchy of sustainability considerations of biomass projects
(Source [1]) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
Table 5.1 Basic energy crops for biofuel production and human food . . . . 35
Table 6.1 Aspects of the energy crops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
Table 7.1 Overall comparison of employment in EU-28 (year 2011) . . . . 48
Table 7.2 Results from phytoremediation experiments conducted
at AUA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 56
Table 7.3 Available arable land for bioenergy crop production in EU22
in 2010, 2020, and 2030 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 57
Table 7.4 Energy crops for biofuel production—SWOT analysis . . . . . .. 70
Table 7.5 Non-edible energy crops, according to the EU most suitable
for southern European countries and especially for Greece
(Source [116]) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 74
Table 7.6 Energy crops for food—SWOT analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 75
Table 8.1 Energy crops for biofuels: SWOT matrix/alternative
strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 86
Table 8.2 Energy crops for food: SWOT matrix/alternative strategies . . .. 87
Table A.1 Required arable land for ten different energy crops [assuming
10% substitution of current global energy demand (450 EJ/a)
or 25% of current oil demand (5000 bn l/a), assuming global
arable land is 2.5 bln ha] [95] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102
Table A.2 Share of energy from renewable sources (in % of gross final
energy consumption) (Source [104]) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103
xiii
Abstract
xv
Introduction
Today, mankind is facing three basic threats: hunger, the lack of energy, and the
deterioration of the environment. The challenge is to eliminate all three simulta-
neously, since any one of them can singularly pose a grave threat to humanity and
civilization [1]. Covering humanity’s nutrition needs presents major difficulties
which become even more when trying to anticipate future global population growth
[2]. According to Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) data, in 2050 more
than nine billion people will have to share the planet’s limited resources. In order to
cover these needs, food production will have to rise by 50% over present levels [3].
This estimate can even reach 60% or 70% according to other forecasts [4, 5]. The
global demand for food, fuel, and fiber will place an increasing pressure on natural
capital, land, and water resources. The question whether these resources will be
adequate may become academic since they are already in peril due to climate
change and must not be taken for granted. Moreover, along with earth’s climate,
ecosystems and habitats are among the first to face threats from human presence
and consumption [4, 6]. Consequently, it will be extremely difficult to feed the
world’s growing population in a way that it does not harm the soil, water, and
biodiversity and generally complying with environmental goals. This will be fea-
sible only if energy systems and agricultural produce change dramatically [3].
On the other hand, global energy demand is increasing even faster than popu-
lation growth. Fossil fuels, apart from being a depletable energy source, entail
catastrophic results for the environment so seeking alternative energy sources has
been a priority for many countries for the past decades. Renewable energy sources
like solar, wind, and bioenergy have been gaining momentum and are a constant
subject of research and development globally [7]. Bioenergy, which was the main
source of power and heat prior to the industrial revolution, currently provides
roughly 10% of global supplies and accounts for roughly 80% of the energy derived
from renewable sources [6]. Many multinational corporations from powerful
countries have been involved in the production of biodiesel and bioethanol [8]. In
2010, bioenergy was the source of approximately 7.5% of energy used in the EU.
Biofuels are an important component of the renewable energy share in EU’s energy
plan, particularly in the transport sector, in an effort to mitigate climate change [9].
xvii
xviii Introduction
Countries like Brazil and USA are leading the biofuel production sector. The
development of the biomass energy industry has also contributed to the improve-
ment of the rural economy [10].
This rapid expansion of bioenergy production has not come without its costs,
especially since almost all of the commercially available biofuels are produced from
either starch- or sugar-rich crops (for bioethanol), or oilseeds (for biodiesel) [11,
12]. It has resulted in a significant shift of arable land and agricultural products to
biofuels instead of food or feed. The displacement of agricultural production has
been discussed extensively and is generally called the indirect land-use change
(ILUC) effect [13]. This land-use change has been blamed for increasing food
prices, intensive agrochemical use, stress on water and other resources, deforesta-
tion, land degradation, and biodiversity risks [6, 14]. Deforestation especially is
regarded as the greatest threat to the environment as forests are a major storage of
carbon and the most biologically diverse terrestrial ecosystems [15, 16]. Moreover,
large-scale bioenergy production may further intensify existing pressure on land
and resources with huge implications for ecosystems and biodiversity [17, 18].
Most importantly, bioenergy has raised the ethical issue of agricultural pro-
duction being used for energy when millions of people in the world are starving [8].
The most controversial aspect of biomass production so far, aptly termed as “the
food versus fuel debate,” is the fact that it competes with food and feed supply and
threatens food security, especially since first-generation biofuels are produced from
soy, palm, and rapeseed oils or starch and sugar crops like maize, wheat, or sug-
arcane, which are all valuable food resources [3].
The belief that increased food production and energy provision should be
practiced in an environmentally friendly way, which does not deplete natural
resources, has resulted in the evaluation of biomass production according to sus-
tainability principles [19]. In order to continue biomass use, as a means to reduce
fossil fuel use, without food and environmental risks, research has focused on
second- and next-generation biofuels such as lignocellulosic feedstocks, perennial
grasses, and algae among others, with significant results [20, 21].
This paper provides a comprehensive review on global nutritional need, the
energy problem, and bioenergy, especially biofuel production from energy crops.
The impact on food production, land requirements, and the environment are also
discussed. The objective of this paper is to investigate the two options of the choice
“Using energy crops for biofuels or food” through SWOT analysis, in order to
identify the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats regarding each one
of the two options. By taking into consideration a large variety of environmental,
social, economic, and sustainability aspects, strategies are formulated and suggested,
as well as alternative courses of action, in order to make informed strategic choices
than benefit the people, the planet, and the environment, now and in the future.
Chapter 1 addresses the increasing nutrition needs and the growing energy
demands of world population and how these are to be covered by the specific arable
land and the finite resources of the planet. It also explores the need for new
renewable energy sources and the efficient use of the existing ones.
Introduction xix
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10. Zhang Z, Liu C, Zhang W et al (2015) Achieving food security and high production of
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Indirect emissions from biofuels: how important. Science 326:1397–1399. http://science.
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Chapter 1
Global Nutritional Need—The Energy
Problem
The perceived limits to producing food for a growing global population have been a
source of debate and preoccupations for ages. Population increased to 6.9 billion in
2010, up from 2.5 billion in 1950 and 3.7 billion in 1970 and according to the United
Nations (UN) could reach 9.15 billion in 2050 [1].
According to Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), food needs of the future
will vary dramatically from region to region. Solutions will have to be tailored to each
situation, which will require new approaches to production, trade and development
planning at national, regional, and inter-regional levels [2]:
Consequently, Asia and sub-Saharan Africa are projected to be areas with potential
food security issues by the middle of the next century [2].
International statistical data predict much slower world population growth rates
in the following years, while cereal production growth rates will stabilize at a level
of 1.2%. However, it is estimated that by 2030 the average daily caloric intake will
be 3050 kcal/capita*day compared with today 2800 kcal/capita*day. In other words,
the growing world population will absorb the increased production of cereals by
increasing the average daily caloric intake in the following years [3].
By 2030, the developing countries will produce only 86% of the required cereal
supply. Consequently, they will have to increase net imports from currently 103 to
265 MMT by 2030. This is expected to lead to higher prices which will mainly affect
underprivileged portions of the population in developing countries (Fig. 1.1) [3].
Despite the fact that, on a global level, the total food production can adequately
feed the population, not all people are well fed. The obvious cause for that is poverty,
which is, in many low-income countries, the main reason behind the underdeveloped
agriculture, and the limited access to imported food [1].
The agricultural policy in the last decade in Greece as well as the new Common
Agricultural Policy (CAP) of the European Union (EU) has been leading agriculture
to complete disassociation from the intensified food crisis. The fact that subsidies are
not essentially linked to actual production, combined with low prices for producers
and increased production cost, contributed to the diminishing of rural income both
in volume and in value [4]. It is important to point out that 30 years ago Greece
had a positive trade balance, while it is currently importing 40% of the food con-
sumed. The local varieties have been replaced by few genetically improved varieties
(hybrids), almost completely [5]. These developments in the agricultural sector have
dramatically reduced the nutritional self-sufficiency of the country, resulting in the
increase of imports and the trade deficit and the volume of “food addiction” [4].
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1.2 The Energy Problem 3
The disparity between the perpetually increasing energy demands and the dimin-
ishing energy reserves, together with the detrimental environmental effect of power
consumption, has come to be known as the energy problem.
The fact that energy reserves are not unlimited and that a country’s national
independence is closely linked to its energy policy became painfully apparent in
1973, when the first energy crisis broke out and oil prices increased dramatically
overnight. For the first time, governments put forward energy saving programmes
and considered alternative sources instead of fossil fuels [6]. A new course of action
both on a local and international level seemed exigent to address the problem, taking
into consideration pressing matters such as global warming, the exploding energy
demand of emerging economies, and the need for secure energy supply, in light of
the fluctuation in fuel prices [6].
Most countries have taken measures to face the energy problem, and a lot has
been done globally over the last 40 years. However, despite the ongoing efforts of a
large part of the world, the energy problem is still a grave concern and a top priority
in every country’s policy.
According to International Energy Outlook 2016 (IEO 2016), energy demands
will continue to rise over the next three decades, particularly in countries outside
of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Non-
OECD Asia, including China and India, accounts for more than half of the world’s
total increase in energy consumption over the 2012–2040 projection period. By 2040,
energy use in non-OECD Asia exceeds that of the entire OECD by 40 quadrillion
British thermal units (Btu) in the IEO 2016 Reference case (Fig. 1.2) [7].
Moreover, the same Reference case reports a 48% increase in the total world
energy consumption by 2040. It is worth noting that while OECD nations will present
a 18% energy consumption growth, non-OECD nations’ respective increase, driven
by strong, long-term economic development, will reach 71% by 2040 (Fig. 1.2)
[7]. By 2040, almost two-thirds of the world’s primary energy will be consumed
in the non-OECD economies. It is apparent, therefore, that the major factor that
affects energy demand is economic growth—as measured in gross domestic product
(GDP). According to the said Reference case, while the world’s GDP (expressed in
purchasing power parity terms) rises by 3.3%/year from 2012 to 2040, the fastest
rates of growth are projected for the emerging, non-OECD countries, where combined
GDP increases by 4.2%/year. In OECD countries, GDP grows at a much slower rate
of 2.0%/year over the projection as a result of their more mature economies and slow
or declining population growth trends (Fig. 1.2) [7].
According to the IEO2016 Reference case, worldwide marketed energy consump-
tion from all fuel sources will increase through 2040. While renewable energy, with
an average 2.6%/year growth, will be the fastest-growing energy source, nuclear
power with 2.3%/year is close second (Fig. 1.3) [7]. Generally, non-fossil fuel con-
sumption is expected to grow faster than fossil fuels. On the other hand, fossil fuels
still account for 78% of energy use in 2040, with natural gas being the fastest-growing
fossil fuel in the outlook by 1.9%/year, due to the abundance of natural gas resources.
Oil prices account for the decline of liquid fuel consumption 33% in 2012–30% in
2040, although they remain the largest source of world energy. The slowest growing
energy source is coal, which rises by 0.6%/year and is surpassed by natural gas by
2030 (Fig. 1.3) [7].
According to European Environment Agency (2009), the primary energy use in
EU categorized by fuel can be seen in Fig. 1.4.
Finally, according to the International Energy Outlook 2013, through 2040, new
energy sources like clean fossil fuel and renewable energy sources, which will employ
the new technologies in the energy sector, will partly replace fossil fuel production
(Figs. 1.5 and 1.6) [6, 8].
Since oil formation and accumulation occurred due to specific geological features
of certain areas, it is apparent that the world’s oil reserves are not equally distributed
1.2 The Energy Problem 5
Fig. 1.8 World top ten oil reserve holders in 2012 (Source [16])
across the globe [9]. The Middle East concentrates about 48% of the world’s reserves,
whereas Europe and Eurasia have 8%, Africa 8%, Central and South America 20%,
North America 13%, and Asia 3% (Figs. 1.7 and 1.8) [10].
In Greece, the main energy sources are: a) the renewable energy sources and b)
the fossil fuels (lignite and, in the future, perhaps the Greek hydrocarbons) [11].
Combination of Energy Sources of Greece in 2010, according to Eurostat, consists
of (a) 6% renewable energy sources (RES), (b) 21% coal and lignite, (c) 9% natural
gas (imported), (d) 1% electricity imports, (e) 41% oil (Fig. 1.9).
1.2 The Energy Problem 7
Fig. 1.9 Primary energy consumption by fuel (%) in 2010 (Greece) (Source [17])
Over the last years, Greece has attempted to introduce all kinds of renewable
sources (RES) with measures such as feed-in tariffs (FITs). In 2011, RES produced
energy that increased to percentage of 11.6%, when at 2010, it was 9.2%. Detailed
data of installed power of RES can be seen in Fig. 1.10. Today, the RES total installed
energy is higher [12].
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