MAT - Macro Economics
MAT - Macro Economics
Chapter – 1
Theory of income and employment
The Keynesian theory of income determination was developed by 1936 by
the British economist J.M. Keynes. The cornerstone of the Keynesian model is
that income and output in an economy in the short-run depends in the aggregate
spending or aggregate demand.
Assumptions of the theory
1. Focus on Aggregate Spending: While understanding this theory, our focus
is on aggregate spending rather than its composition.
2. Short-Run: In macro-economics, the short-run is taken as the period
during which the full employment or potential level of output is given. However,
the actual level of national output can be more or less than the potential output
depending up on the aggregate spending.
3. Fixed Price Level: We assume that the prices do not change at all, and the
firms are willing to sell any amount of output at eh given level of prices.
4. Excess Capacity: It is assumed that the economy has excess capacity in
terms of the stock of capital and availability of labour. Thus, it is possible to
increase output in short-run by using the available capital stock and other
resources like labour.
5. Closed Economy: We develop a simple model of income determination by
assuming the absence of imports and exports of goods and services. Thus,
domestic spending and domestic output are same.
6. Two-Sector Model: We are considering an economy in which there are only
two entities namely households and firms and we have assumed away the role
of the government.
The concept of aggregate demand
Aggregate demand is the total amount of goods demanded in the
economy. It refers to the desired, intended or planned ex ante demand or
spending by the people i.e, the total amount of goods and services they would
like to purchase. These buyers can be classified into four groups:
Households - Desired Consumption Expenditure
Firms - Desired Investment Expenditure
Government - Desired Government Expenditure
Foreign sector - Desired Net Exports
Thus, desired aggregate demand is also be referred to as the desired aggregate
expenditure and is expressed as:
AE = C + I + G + (X-M)
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Effective demand is the total amount of goods and services that people
actually buy in the economy. It is ex post concept or the actual aggregate
demand. Desired aggregate demand in the economy can either be greater than
or less the actual aggregate demand. However, at equilibrium, actual spending
is equal to planned spending.
While discussing the simple Keynesian theory, we are taking a model of
closed economy, i.e. an economy with no exports and imports. We are not taking
into account the expenditure and other activities of the government. Therefore,
in a two sector closed economy:
AE = C + I
The concept of aggregate supply
Aggregate supply is the total amount (money value) of all final goods and
services that is produced in the economy during a particular year. In a closed
economy, we do not consider the output produced by Indian firms situated
abroad. Thus aggregate supply, in a closed economy, is same as the Gross
domestic product (GDP) of the economy.
GDP of a country is the value of all final goods and services produced within
the domestic territory of the country during a particular year. GDP, on the other
hand is same as the domestic factor income of the country and income is either
consumed or saved. Thus aggregate supply is same as the total income of the
economy.
AS = GDP = Y = C + S
Income AS
10 10
20 20
30 30
40 40
Y AS
Aggregate Supply
450
O Income X
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APC = 0.9
O Income X
2. Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC): It refers to the ratio of change in
consumption to change in income.
MPC = ΔC
ΔY
For example: In the above example, when income rises from Rs 1000 to
Rs 1100 due to which consumption increases from Rs 900 to Rs 980, then MPC
is found out in the following way:
MPC = ΔC = Rs (980 - 900) = 80 = 0.8
ΔY Rs (1100 - 1000) 100
Y MPC = 0.8
Consumption
ΔC
ΔY
O Income X
4
C
Consumption
450
O Y Income X
It must be kept in mind that we are taking only linear consumption function
into consideration which is generally expressed as:
C=a+cY
Where; C = Aggregate consumption expenditure
Y = Income.
a = Positive constant showing autonomous consumption
c = Slope, marginal propensity to consume.
S
Saving
APS = 0.1
Income X
Saving
ΔS
ΔY
O Income X
Y AS (Y)
Consumption
C
G
a
O Y1 Y0 Y2 Income X
Y
Savings
O Y1 Y0 Y2 Income X
-a
We have taken consumption function in the upper panel and the desired
saving function has been derived from the consumption function. The difference
between 450 income line (Y) and consumption line (C) represents saving (S).
When income is zero, consumption is equal to intercept “a”. Hence, negative
saving corresponding to zero level of income is “-a”. The relationship between
consumption and saving are as follows:
(i) When income level is smaller than OY0, (say OY1), consumption
expenditure exceeds the income level and therefore saving is negative.
(ii) Beyond OY0 level of income, (say OY2), consumption expenditure is smaller
than income and therefore saving is positive.
(iii) Corresponding to OY0 level of income, the consumption line intersects the
450 income line. At this level of income, the consumption expenditure is
exactly equal to income. Therefore, saving at this level of income is zero.
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Consumption
C
a
O X
Y Y1 Y0 Y2 Income
Saving
Y1 Y0 Y2 Income X
-a
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Investment function
In the modern macro-economic analysis, investment is taken in the sense
of real investment. In this sense, investment refers to that part of the aggregate
output which takes the form of new plant, new capital equipment and machinery,
new structures such as factories and office building and addition to business
inventories. Investment is measured by the amount of total expenditure incurred
on these items.
Private and Public investment
Private investment refers to the expenditure incurred by the private
entrepreneurs on the purchase of capital goods like plants, machineries,
buildings, inventories etc. The sole movie of such investment is profit earning.
Public investment, on the other hand, is the investment undertaken by the
government. It may be in the form of projects like roads, dams, schools, water
supply, housing etc. Such investment is largely motivated by public welfare.
Autonomous and induced investment
Autonomous investment is that type of investment which is not affected
by the change in the level of income or output. It is, therefore, income-inelastic.
However, it may change due to factors other than income like innovation of new
techniques of production, increase in public expenditure etc.
Y
Investment
O Y1 Y2 Income X
Induced investment, on the other hand, is that type of investment which
is undertaken as a result of change in the level of income. An increase in level
of income leads to increase in demand for consumer goods. This, in turn, lead
to increase in investment so as to increase in the production of consumer goods.
Hence, induced investment is income-elastic.
Y
I
Investment
O Y1 Y2 Income X
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E C
O Y1 Y0 Y2 Y/O/E X
The equilibrium level of income is at point E corresponding to the point of
intersection of AD curve and AS curve. Let us see what happens if the economy
is at some other level of income:
For instance, if we suppose that the economy is operating at OY 1. At this
output, aggregate demand is greater than aggregate supply. Thus, the planned
expenditure is greater than production. Therefore, firms will have to draw down
their inventories in order to meet higher level of sales. As a result of increase in
production, income level rises. This rise in income continues until it reaches OY0.
Similarly, if we suppose that the economy is operating at OY2. At this level,
the planned expenditure is less than aggregate supply. This means that the firms
are able to sell a lesser amount than they are producing. This unplanned rise in
inventories induces firms to reduce production and thereby income. The fall in
income continues till the equilibrium level OY0.
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a I
O Y1 Y0 Y2 Y/O/E X
Y
S&I
E I
Y1 Y0 Y2 X
-a Y/O/E
The economy is in equilibrium at point E corresponding to OY0 level of
income where AD=AS which is shown in the upper panel. The lower panel shows
that at the same level of income saving is equal to investment.
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Let us now see what happens if the economy functions at a level of income
other than OY0.
If we suppose that the economy is operating at OY1 level of income. At this
level of income, saving is less than the planned investment. Lower saving
denotes a higher consumption expenditure. Thus, consumption expenditure
exceeds planned investment which means that AD exceeds AS. Therefore, firms
will like to expand production and hire more workers to build up their inventories.
Thus, level of output will rise. This process will continue until output increases
to OY0 where saving equals planned investment.
On the other hand, if we suppose that the economy is operating at OY 2
level of income, it is clear that saving exceeds planned investment. Higher saving
denotes lower consumption expenditure which, in turn, means that planes
investment is in excess of consumption expenditure, i.e. AS exceeds AD. There
will be excess production due to which stocks will pile up with the producers.
The firms will cut down production and lay off workers. AS a result, level of
income and output will decrease. The process will continue till the income
decreases to the equilibrium level OY0.
INVESTMENT MULTIPLIER
The investment multiplier is defined as the amount by which income
increases as a result of increase in investment expenditure. The multiplier is the
ratio of the change in income to the change in investment.
K = ΔY
ΔI
For instance, if an increase in investment by Rs 100 crore lead increase in
income by Rs 500 crore, the multiplier is 5 [500/100].
K= 1 = 1 = 1 =5
1 – MPC 1 – 0.8 0.2
K = ΔY ΔY = ΔI × K = 100 × 5 = Rs 500 crore.
ΔI
ΔC = ΔY × MPC = 500 × 0.8 = Rs 400 crore.
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O Y0 Y1 Income X
An increase in autonomous expenditure shifts the desired spending
function from AE0 to AE1.This means that the desired spending is more than
before. Therefore, income will increase. The new equilibrium shifts to E 1, where
the AE1 curve intersects the 450 line corresponding to the new income level OY1.
Thus, as a result of an increase in investment by ΔI i.e. by E1M, the level
of income rises from OY0 to OY1. It is clear from points E0 and E1 that income
rises from E0Y0 to E1Y1, i.e, by E1N. Therefore, Y0Y1 is same as E1N. As increase
in income is greater than increase in investment, the multiplier is greater than
unity.
Thus; K =
ΔY = E1N
>1
ΔI E1M
This shows that a given autonomous change in investment will lead to a
change in income which exceeds the change in investment.
450
O Yf Income X
Now, suppose that aggregate demand curve shifts upward to AE1, due to,
say, increase in government expenditure. The output will not rise since the
economy is at full employment level of output and there will emerge excess
demand in the economy. This excess demand will push up price level and cause
inflation. Therefore, the gap between the desired aggregate demand and the
actual aggregate demand i.e. AE is also termed as inflationary gap.
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AE & AS E AE1
A
E1
O Y1 Yf Income X
The aggregate expenditure curve AE0 intersects the 450 line at E, which
gives us the equilibrium income OYf. This is the full employment level of income.
Now, suppose that the government expenditure falls, as a result of which the
new aggregate expenditure curve becomes AE1. The deficient demand at the
level of full employment is EA. This situation of deficient demand will lead to a
fall in income to OY1 causing unemployment in the economy. This will lead to a
decrease in the general price level causing deflation. Therefore, the gap between
the desired aggregate demand and the actual aggregate demand i.e. AE is also
termed as deflationary gap.
Measures to correct excess demand and
Deficient demand
The government can use the instruments of fiscal and monetary policies
to correct the situation of excess demand. The fiscal policy includes the
instruments of public expenditure, taxation and public borrowing. The monetary
policy, on the other hand, consists of various quantitative methods which can
control the situation of instability in the economy. These measures are discussed
below:
Fiscal measures
1. Public Expenditure:
During inflation, the government must reduce public spending. This will
reduce the creation of new income in the economy which, in turn, will reduce
excess demand for goods and services.
On the other hand, during deflation, public spending must be increased
particularly in social and economic overheads. This will lead to the creation of
income in the economy as a result of which demand for goods and services in
the economy will rise.
2. Taxation: Increase in direct taxes or introduction of new tax rates may
prove to be anti-inflationary as it will reduce the disposable income of the tax-
payers, thereby reducing their demand.
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Chapter – 2
Money: meaning and functions
Meaning of money
According to Kent, “money is anything which is commonly used and
generally accepted as a medium of exchange or as a standard of value.”
According to Crowther, “anything that is generally acceptable as a means
of exchange i.e. as a means of settling debts and, at the same time, acts as a
measure and store of value.”
Kinds of money
1. Deposit Money: It refers to those currencies and coins which are deposited
by the individuals in the bank, payable on demand and on the basis of which
cheques can be drawn. These are also known as bank money.
2. Token Money: It is the money the face value of which is higher than its
intrinsic/metallic value. For example, coins of the value of Re 1, 5, 10 etc.
3. Convertible money: It refers to those bank notes or promissory notes
which could be exchanged for gold or silver coins on demand. This system was
practised before the evolution of money.
4. Inconvertible money: Inconvertible paper money is the final stage of
evolution of bank notes. These notes are inconvertible in the sense that there is
no compulsion from the central bank to exchange it for gold.
5. Fiat Money: Money is known as fiat money as it has been declared a legal
tender by the government. It acts as money because people have confidence in
it as it is issued on the order (fiat) of the government.
6. Legal Tender: Coins and currency notes are often termed as legal tender
because they have the backing of the government. They serve as money on the
order of the government. Being legal tender, an individual is bound to accept it
in exchange of goods and services, i.e. it cannot be refused in settlement of
payments of any kind.
7. Limited Legal Tender: It is the money which is accepted as legal tender
only up to a certain maximum amount. IT cannot be forced upon the people
beyond that limit. In India, coins of small denominations, such as 5, 10, 20 paise
coins are legal tender only upto Rs 25.
8. Unlimited Legal Tender: It is the money which a person has to accept
without any maximum limit. In India, currency notes of all denomination and
coins of 50 paise and higher denominations are unlimited legal tender.
9. Optional money: It is that form of money which is generally accepted but
legally, it cannot be forced upon anyone. For example, cheques, bank drafts,
bills of exchange, etc. do not have legal backing and their acceptance is totally
optional. It is, therefore, a non-legal tender.
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Functions of money
Money performs several important functions. Prof. Kinley has classified the
functions of money into three groups. They are discussed below:
1. Primary Functions: These are the fundamental and essential functions of
money. These functions must be performed by money in every economy under
all circumstances. These functions are as follows:
a) Medium of Exchange: Money commands general purchasing power to
purchase goods and services which people want. It is generally and widely
accepted as the medium through which most of the purchases and sales are
made. Thus, money has promoted efficiency in exchange and production of
goods and services.
b) Measure of Value: Just as we use kilogram in measuring weight of a
commodity, similarly for measuring the value of a commodity, we take money
as a unit of account. Since the values of all commodities are expressed in terms
of money, it becomes easy to determine the rate of exchange between them.
For example, if the price of a trouser is Rs 1000 and the price of a shirt is Rs
500, then the rate of exchange between a trouser and a shirt is one trouser is
equal to two shirts.
2. Secondary Functions: These functions of money are derived from the
primary functions of money. These are explained below:
a) Standard of Deferred Payments: Acting as s standard of deferred
payment means that a payment to be made in future can be stated in money
terms. For example, interest, rent, insurance premium etc. which involve future
payments are expressed in money terms. Money is used as a medium of
exchange but the payment is spread over a period of time.
b) Store of Value: Store of value means that people can keep their wealth
in the form of money. Money is a perfectly liquid asset and it is readily and
generally acceptable means of payment. Money allows us to store purchasing
power which can be used at any time in future to purchase goods and services
including other assets.
c) Transfer of Value: This function arises from the general acceptability
function of money as a medium of exchange. Money helps us to transfer value
from one person to another or one place to another. We can sell a house in Delhi
in exchange of money and can use the same money in buying a house in Kolkata.
3. Contingent Functions: It explain the role of money in assisting various
economic entities such as consumers, producers etc. in arriving at various
economic decisions. These functions are discussed below:
a) Maximisation of Utility: A rational consumer wants to maximise utility
while purchasing various goods and services. In order to purchase these goods
and services, a consumer must pay a price for them and prices of all commodities
are expressed in money terms.
b) Employment of Factor Inputs: A profit-maximising producer will be in
equilibrium when the marginal productivity of a factor is equal to the rate of
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remuneration paid for that factor. These rates are expressed in money terms
which helps a producer in arriving at decisions with regard to the units of a factor
of production to be employed.
c) Distribution of National Income: Production is the outcome of
combination and collective efforts of various factors of production. Contribution
of these factors of production to the production of goods and services is
rewarded not in terms of goods and services but in money terms.
d) Basis of Credit System: In the modern times, commercial and business
activities are highly dependent upon the credit system. It is money which
provides the basis of the entire credit system. Without the existence of money,
important credit instruments like cheques, bills of exchange, etc. cannot be
used.
Money is a matter of functions four –
A medium, a measure, a standard, a store.
Supply of money
Money supply refers to the stock of money at a point of time held by the
public as a means of payments and store of value. The term public refers here
to all economic units including private individuals, business firms and
institutions. It does not include the producers of money i.e. the central bank,
the government and the commercial banks. Money supply is a stock concept and
therefore is measured at a point of time such as money in circulation in India on
1st December, 2017. Total money supply in a country consists two important
components namely:
1. Currency: It includes both paper currency and coins issued by the
government and the central bank of the country.
2. Deposit Money: It refers to the demand deposits held by the public with
commercial banks on the basis of which cheques can be drawn.
Narrow money (M1)
The narrow definition of money supply is based upon the high liquidity of
money. It includes the most liquid assets in its definition of money supply. Thus,
narrow definition is made up of currency of the public and demand deposits with
commercial banks.
M1 = C + DD
Broad money (m3)
It includes in its definition, those forms of assets which are readily
available in the form of liquid assets. Therefore, it not only includes the narrow
definition but also considers time deposits (including saving deposits) in its
definition. Thus, broad money supply includes currency with the public, demand
deposits and time deposits with commercial banks.
M3 = C + DD + TD
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The Bank is required to keep cash reserve of 20% and the balance issued
for advancing loans. Bank A keeps 20% i.e Rs 200 as reserves and advances a
loan of Rs 800 to X ltd. who uses this loan in purchasing goods from Y ltd. who
has an account with Bank B. The final balance sheet of Bank A will appear as
follows:
Final Balance Sheet (Bank A)
Liabilities Amount Assets Amount
Deposits 1000 Cash reserves 200
Loans 800
Total 1000 Total 1000
Now, Bank B gets a deposit of Rs 800. The initial balance sheet of Bank B
would appear in the following manner:
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Bank B is also obliged to keep a cash reserve of 20%, i.e. Rs 160 and the
balance of Rs 640 can be extended as loans. Suppose this amount is lent to Z
ltd. who uses this loan in making purchases from R ltd. by issuing cheque drawn
on Bank B. Suppose that R ltd. has an account with Bank C, Bank B will lose Rs
640 to Bank C. The final balance sheet of Bank C will appear as follows:
Final Balance Sheet (Bank B)
In the same way, Bank C which has a deposit of Rs 640 can extend loans
amounting to Rs 512 after keeping aside a reserve of Rs 128 (20% of Rs 640).
Thus, an initial deposit of Rs 1000 has results in the creation of deposits by three
banks amounting to Rs 1000 + 800 + 640 + 512 = Rs 2952 and the process is
still going on. This process will come to an end when the deposit received by a
particular bank is too small to generate any fresh loan and all the banks have
used the excess cash reserves in extending loans.
The amount of credit creation by the banking system as a whole can be
worked out by the following formula:
Deposit Multiplier = 1 × ΔD
RR
i.e. 1 × 1000
20%
i.e. Rs 5000
Where;
RR = Reserve Ratio
ΔD = Initial Deposits
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3. Banker to the Banks: The central bank has the same relationship with
the commercial banks as the commercial banks have with the general public. As
a banker to the banks, central bank performs the following functions:
(a) It acts the custodian of cash reserves of commercial and other banks.
(b) The central bank discounts bills of commercial banks.
(c) It provides them guidance and direction and regulates their activities.
(d) Commercial banks are under statutory obligation to keep a part of their
deposits as reserves with the central bank.
4. Custodian of Foreign Exchange Reserves: As the custodian of foreign
exchange reserves, the central bank performs several functions:
(a) The central bank controls both the receipts and payments of foreign
exchange as all foreign exchange transactions are routed through the
central bank.
(b) It tries to maintain stability in the exchange rate by buying or selling
foreign currency as the case may be.
(c) It enforces exchange control regulations prescribed by the government
from time to time.
5. Lender of the Last Resort: In its capacity as the lender of the last resort,
the central bank provides, directly or indirectly, all reasonable financial
assistance to commercial banks, discount houses, bill brokers and other financial
institutions. The central bank assists these institutions in times of financial crisis
through discounting of approved securities and collateral loans and advances.
6. Clearing House for Transfer and Settlement: Every day the customers
of different banks issue cheques drawn on their bank. This creates the needs of
settling claims of the commercial banks on each other. Since, the commercial
banks keep their cash reserves with the central bank, it is easier and convenient
to clear and settle claims on each other by making transfer entries in their
accounts maintained with the central bank. For transfer and settlement of
mutual claims, the central bank provides clearing house facility in big cities and
trade centres.
7. Controller of credit: In order to ensure the smooth functioning of the
economy, it is essential that the supply of money is regulated. For this purpose,
the central bank adopts quantitative and qualitative methods of credit control.
Quantitative methods aim at controlling the cost and availability of credit while
qualitative methods influence the use and direction of credit.
8. Promotional and Developmental Functions: The important
promotional and developmental functions performed by central bank are as
follows:
(a) It is entrusted with the responsibility of developing and promoting a strong
banking system. It provides liberal and cheap rediscounting facilities to
commercial banks and gives various types of concessions.
(b) Central bank performs various functions to promote economic
development of the country. It assists in the development of agriculture,
industry and other sectors of the economy. It also pursues appropriate
monetary policy to promote economic development.
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Quantitative methods
These methods aim at controlling the cost and quantity of credit by using
instruments such as bank rate, SLR, etc. These measures are discussed below:
1. Bank Rate: The bank rate or the discount rate is the rate at which the
central bank rediscounts first class bills of exchange and government securities
held by commercial banks.
Increase in bank rate would lead to a corresponding increase in the rate
of interest charged by the commercial banks from their customers. This will lead
to contraction on credit which reduces pressure on the price rise.
It is, therefore, advisable to increase bank rate during inflation and
decrease it during deflation.
2. Cash Reserve Ratio: It refers to that percentage of total deposits of
commercial bank which it has to keep with the RBI in the form of cash reserves.
An increase in CRR means that commercial banks are required to keep
more cash with the central bank. Therefore, the commercial banks would be able
to create a smaller amount of credit.
Therefore, CRR must be raised to control the problem of inflation and it
must be reduced to tackle the problems of deflation.
3. Statutory Liquidity Ratio: It refers to that portion of total deposits of a
commercial bank which it keeps with itself in the form of cash reserves, gold and
government securities.
An increase in SLR means that commercial banks are required to keep
more cash with itself. Therefore, the commercial banks would be able to create
a smaller amount of credit.
Therefore, SLR must be raised to control the problem of inflation and it
must be reduced to tackle the problems of deflation.
4. Open Market Operations: Open market operations refer to the sale and
purchase of government and other approved securities by the central bank in
the money and capital markets.
During boom when the economy faces the inflationary pressure, the
central bank would like the commercial banks to reduce the amount of credit. In
this situation, the central bank sells the government and other approved
securities in the money and capital markets. Buyers of these securities pay
central bank by drawing on their cash deposits in the banks. This reduces the
power of commercial banks create credit.
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Similarly, when the central bank aims at an expansion of credit during the
period of recession, it pursues the policy of purchase of securities from the
commercial banks and other components of money and capital markets.
5. Repo Rate and Reverse Repo Rate: In reality, the RBI has replaced
bank rate with repo rate as the monetary instrument to manage liquidity and
interest rate in the country. Repo rate is the rate of interest at which RBI lends
to banks for short periods against government bonds. This is done by RBI by
buying government bonds from banks with an agreement to sell them back at a
fixed rate. During inflation, repo rate will be increased by the RBI to contract
credit and vice-versa.
Reverse repo rate, on the other hand, is the rate of interest at which the
RBI borrows from different banks for short period. This is done by selling
government bonds to the banks.
Qualitative methods
These methods aim at regulating and controlling the allocation of credit among
various users rather than influencing the general availability of credit. Some of
these methods are discussed below:
1. Regulation of Consumer Credit: Hire-purchase finance is the method of
using bank credit by the consumers to buy expensive durable consumer goods
like motor cars, houses, computers, etc. A certain percentage of the price of the
durable goods is paid by the consumers as the cash-down payment and the
remaining portion is financed by the bank credit.
If the central bank wants that more of bank credit should be given to the
consumers (during recession), it may reduce the down payment and increase
the maximum period of repayment.
On the other hand, if the central bank desires to reduce the availability of
such credit, it raises the amount of down payment and reduces the maximum
period of repayment.
2. Regulation of marginal requirement: The difference between the value
of collateral security and the amount of loan granted is known as marginal
requirement. For example, if the central bank fixes a marginal requirement of
10% against the security of food-grains, the trader of food-grains can borrow Rs
9000 against the stock of food-grains worth Rs 10,000.
If the central bank wants to expand credit, it reduces the amount of
marginal requirement.
On the other hand, if it wants to curb the bank credit, it will raise the
marginal requirements.
3. Credit Rationing: The central bank may impose a limit on the commercial
banks in the following two ways:
(i) The central bank may fix the maximum amount of loans and advances for
every commercial bank
(ii) The central bank may fix the maximum ratio of loans and advances of a
commercial bank to its total assets.
Depending upon the exigencies, the central bank may increase or decrease
the ceiling of the bank credit through these two ways and thereby increase or
decrease the power of the commercial banks to create credit.
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Exchange rate
Foreign currencies and claims on them in the form of bank deposits,
cheques, etc. payable in those currencies is known as foreign exchange. The
foreign exchange market is the market where foreign currencies are bought and
sold as a result of international transactions of goods and services and
movement of capital. Exchange rate refers to the rate at which the currencies of
one country is traded with the currencies of other countries. The exchange rate
can be defined in either of the two ways:
(i) The number of units of domestic currency that exchanges for one unit of
foreign currency, say $1= Rs 50
(ii) The number of units of foreign currency that exchanges for one unit of
domestic currency, say Rs 1 = $0.02
Exchange rate system
1. Fixed Exchange Rate System: In a fixed exchange rate system, the rate
of exchange is determined by the central bank of the country through an official
action. Central bank of the country intervenes in the foreign exchange market
thorough buying and selling of foreign currency to hold the exchange rate at
some pre-announced level.
In order to ensure that he exchange rate is fixed, the central bank must
hold adequate reserves of foreign exchange so as to provide foreign currency in
exchange of domestic currency. The central bank buys foreign currency at the
fixed exchange rate when there is excess supply of foreign currency and sells it
when there is excess demand for foreign exchange.
However, fixed exchange rate does not mean that the exchange rate is
absolutely fixed. Depending upon the circumstances, the central bank may
revise the exchange rate. Most of the countries including India had fixed
exchange rate against one another until the decade of 1970s.
2. Fixed Exchange Rate System: In a flexible exchange rate system,
exchange rate is left free to be determined by the forces of demand and supply
in the foreign exchange market. The exchange rate is allowed to equate the
supply and demand for foreign exchange. This system is also known as the
floating exchange rate system. It can be of two types:
a) Clean Floating: In the system of clean floating, central bank stands aside
completely and allows exchange rate to be freely determined in the foreign
exchange market. There is no intervention at all.
b) Dirty Floating: In the system of dirty or managed floating, central bank
intervenes to buy and sell foreign currencies in an attempt to influence the
exchange rate. Normally, central bank intervenes only when the rate of
exchange is high or low. India has adopted this system in recent years.
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Depreciation Devaluation
It is the fall in value of domestic It is the fall in value of domestic
currency or rise in the value of relative currency or rise in the value of relative
foreign currency due to demand and foreign currency due to an official
supply forces in the foreign exchange action of the central bank.
market.
It takes place under flexible exchange It takes place under fixed exchange
rate system. rate system.
Appreciation Revaluation
It is the rise in value of domestic It is the rise in value of domestic
currency or fall in the value of relative currency or fall in the value of relative
foreign currency due to demand and foreign currency due to an official
supply forces in the foreign exchange action of the central bank.
market.
It takes place under flexible exchange It takes place under fixed exchange
rate system. rate system.
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Exchange E
Rate R0
(Rs to $)
R2 A B
S D
O Q X
Demand and Supply of Dollar
DD and SS how many dollars Indians demand at different rates and how the
American`s supply of foreign exchange rate differs at different rates
respectively. The equilibrium exchange rate is E corresponding to R0 exchange
rate and OQ quantity of dollar is demanded and supplied. At exchange rate R 1,
excess demand for dollar takes place by AB amount which leads to increase in
its price. Similarly, at R2 exchange rate, excess supply takes place by GH amount
which leads to decrease in price of dollar. Where the two curves intersect, the
quantity demanded of dollar is equal to its quantity supplied and the exchange
rate is in equilibrium.
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Y D1
D S
R1 E1
R0 E0 K
Exchange Rate
(Rs to $) D1
S D
O Q0 Q1 X
Demand and Supply of Dollar
Assuming that the country has equilibrium in its balance of payments at
E0 and the prevailing exchange rate is R0. If demand for foreign exchange rate
increases due to increase in imports, the demand curve DD will shift to its right
to say D1D1. At an exchange rate R0, excess demand by E0K amount emerges.
This leads to depreciation in the domestic currency (India) and increase in the
value of foreign currency (US dollar). Due to increase in demand, Indians
demand a larger amount of dollar which the Americans supply at a higher price.
As a result, the new equilibrium E1, is established corresponding to which R1 is
the new exchange rate.
Similarly, surplus in the balance of payments will lead to an excess supply
of foreign currency and hence appreciation of the domestic currency. This means
that imports now becomes cheaper and demand for imports increases. At the
same time, exports would receive less home currency for a unit of foreign
currency. This will lead to fall in exports. Hence, imports increase and exports
decrease till the surplus in the balance of payments is wiped out. A new
equilibrium in the balance of payments is establishes at the new exchange rate.
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Receipts
1. Revenue Receipts
2. Tax Revenue (Net to Centre)
3. Non-Tax Revenue
4. Capital Receipts
5. Recovery of loans
6. Other Receipts
7. Borrowings and other liabilities
8. Total Receipts (1+4)
Expenditure
9. Non –Plan Expenditure
10. On Revenue Account of which
11. Interest Payments
12. On Capital Account
13. Plan Expenditure
14. On Revenue Account
15. On Capital Account
16. Total Expenditure (9 + 13)
17. Revenue Expenditure (10 + 14)
18. Capital Expenditure (12 + 15)
19. Revenue Deficit (17 - 1)
20. Fiscal Deficit [16 - (1 + 5 + 6)]
21. Primary Deficit (20 - 11)
The main measures of budgetary deficit in India are Revenue Deficit, Fiscal
Deficit and Primary Deficit.
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Revenue deficit
Revenue deficit refers to the excess of revenue expenditure over revenue
receipts. It denotes the difference between revenue receipts and revenue
expenditure.
Revenue Deficit = Revenue Expenditure – Revenue Receipts
Revenue deficit indicates the government`s current financial status. It
means dissaving on government account, i.e. the government is spending more
than its current income. To cover the excess expenditure, the resources have to
be borrowed from the other sectors of the economy. Higher borrowings put
pressure on revenue expenditure in the form of interest payments. As a result,
the revenue deficit further widens.
Fiscal deficit
Fiscal deficit is the difference between the total expenditure and the sum
of revenue and capital receipts excluding borrowings. It is a measure of excess
expenditure over the government`s own income.
Fiscal Deficit = Total Budgetary Expenditure – Revenue Receipts
– Capital Receipts (Excluding Borrowings)
Fiscal deficit is the key indicator of budgetary deficit in India and it
measures the total resource gap of the government. It shows the total borrowing
requirements of the government from all sources. It has a serious implication in
the economy. Government has to borrow to meet this deficit which increases the
future liability of interest payments and repayment of loans. Interest payment
increases revenue deficit which increases revenue expenditure thereby.
Therefore, the government is required to borrow more to pay interest and repay
old loans. This is what is known as debt trap. This is why it is important to reduce
fiscal deficit for smooth functioning of the economy.
Primary deficit
Primary deficit refers to the difference between fiscal deficit and interest
payments.
Primary Deficit = Fiscal Deficit – Interest Payments
Primary deficit indicates the real position of the government finances as it
excludes the interest burden in respect of loans taken in the past. It shows how
much the government is borrowing to meet its expenses other than interest
payments. It is a measure of fiscal discipline of the government and shows the
way the government is conducting its affairs.
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Rate of Tax
Up to 200,000 10%
200,001 to 500,000 10%
Above 500,000 10%
Income X
Income X
Up to 200,000 20%
200,001 to 500,000 15%
500,001 to 100,00,00 10%
Income X
Up to 200,000 Nil
200,001 to 500,000 10%
500,001 to 100,00,00 20%
Above 100,00,00 30% Income X
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Public expenditure
Public expenditure refers to the expenses incurred by the public authorities
– central government, state government and local bodies – for its own
maintenance and also for the satisfaction of collective needs of the citizens and
for promoting their economic and social welfare.
Expenditures incurred by the government in the form of administration
and maintenance of law and order, public health, defence, in providing social
security such as pensions, in communication, transport, power etc. are some of
the examples of public expenditure.
Types of Public expenditure
1. Direct and Transfer Expenditure: Expenditure incurred by the
government on the purchase of goods and services and on current services of
factors of production is called government direct expenditure. For example,
expenditure on defence, civil services, investment etc.
Transfer expenditures, on the other hand, are those expenditures which
take the form of payments which are made without any corresponding returns
to any factor services. For example, payment of interest on national debts,
pension, and sickness benefits, etc.
2. Developmental and Non-developmental Expenditure: Expenditure
which is incurred on economic and social development of the country is known
as developmental expenditure. For example, services like education, scientific
research, public health, labour welfare, etc.
Non-developmental expenditure is that expenditure which is in the form
of essential general services of the government such as defence, police, interest
payments, law and order, etc.
3. Productive and Non-Productive Expenditure: Those expenditures
which help in increasing the productive capacity of the country and are generally
in the nature of investment are called productive expenditures. For instance,
expenses on physical assets such as machines, factories, human capital such as
education, training, etc.
Non-productive expenditures, on the other hand, are those which do not
add to the productive efficiency of the economy directly as they are in the nature
of consumption. Expenditure on administration, defence, maintenance of law
and order are a few examples of such expenditure.
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Chapter – 7:
The concept of National income
What is national income?
National income is defined as the value of all final goods and services
produced by the normal residents of a country, whether operating within the
domestic territory of the country or outside, in a year.
Monetary Expression (Value)
The term value suggests that national income is expressed in monetary
terms. There are a vast number of diverse goods and services produced in the
economy during a year. It is necessary to use some common denominator while
adding them. We cannot add together unlike items, such as apples and oranges,
services of a doctor and that of a barber, etc. since they are expressed in
different units like grams and metres. Thus, in order to aggregate all goods and
services, it is essential to express the, in money terms, such as rupee, dollar,
etc. which is a common denominator.
Final goods and services
National income reflects the value of final goods and services. It does not
include the value of intermediate consumption in its measurement. Let us
differentiate between these two terms:
Final products are those goods and services which are sold to the final users
during the year. This means that these goods are meant for final consumption
and are not meant for resale. They are generally purchased by households for
consumption purpose. For example, cars purchased by households.
Intermediate products, on the other hand, are those goods and services which
are used by the producers as inputs into a further stage of production. They are
meant for resale. For example, seeds, fertilizers, etc. purchased by farmers.
To measure national income accurately, all goods and services produced
during a year must be counted once, and not more than once. For example, flour
mills sell flour to bakeries and bakeries use this flour in making breads which
are sold to households. Since flour is used in making bread, the total value of
bread includes the value of flour also. If we add the value of flour to the value
of bread, the value of flour would be included twice. To add the value of
intermediate goods to the final goods would be double counting, i.e. the flour
would be counted more than once.
Thus, Double Counting is an error which arises in national income
estimation if we add up the total output of all the sectors in the economy instead
of adding up the output of final goods and services only.
National income includes the value of bread and not of flour used in making
bread. Hence, national income is the total value of final goods and services
produced.
Normal residents
National income is defined as the value of final goods and services
produced by the normal residents of a country. Normal residents are those
persons who ordinarily reside in a country in which they live and whose economic
interest lies in that country. They may or may not be the citizens of that country.
These normal residents of a country produce goods and services by selling their
factor services to production units located within or outside the domestic
territory of a country.
Domestic Territory refers to the geographical or political boundary of a
country excluding foreign embassies and international institutions like UN, WHO
offices, etc. located within the geographical territory and including the embassies
of this country located outside its geographical territory.
During a year (flow)
National income is a flow concept. It is the flow goods and services. A flow
is a quantity which is measured over a period of time, say a day, a month, a
year etc. Conventionally, national income is expressed over one year.
Current output
National income is a measure of the value of currently produced goods and
services. It excludes pure exchange transactions. These transactions are
excluded from national income because nothing new is produces in the country
in the current year. These transactions are discussed below:
The reason for excluding second hand sales, i.e. sale of used goods is that
such sales do not reflect any current production whereas national income relates
to current production only. Sale of goods such as second hand car is not included
in national income because when this car was produced, its value was included
in that year`s national income. Thus, no current production is involved.
Similarly, we consider the construction of new houses but the sale of existing or
old houses are not included in national income. However, the value of the
services of the commission agents involved in the second hand sales are included
in the national income since these services have been rendered in the current
year itself.
Sale and purchase of financial assets like bonds and shares (both old and
new) are also excluded from national income because they are not payments for
goods and services as no direct current production is involved. They represent
transfer of purchasing power and the ownership rights from one person to
another. However, the services of the share brokers are included in national
income as these services are rendered in the current year.
Same reasoning applies to transfer payments, such as social security
payments (old-age pensions, etc.), donations and gifts. They are unilateral
payments for which no corresponding contribution to productive services are
rendered in the current period. The recipients of these transfer payments do not
make any addition to the current production.
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Chapter – 8:
National income aggregates
Domestic product and national product
Domestic Product or domestic income is defined as the value of all final
goods and services produced by all the enterprises located within the domestic
territory of a country during a year. These goods and services are produced
domestically both by the nationals (citizens) of the country as well as foreign
nationals working in this country. The concept of domestic product is thus
domestic in character.
National Product, on the other hand, refers to the amount of final goods and
services produced by the normal residents of a country whether operating within
the domestic territory of the country or outside. The concept of national product
is thus related to citizens of a country.
Why does the difference between Domestic Product
and National Product Arise
The difference between domestic product and national product arise due to
the fact that modern economies, being open economies, means that some part
of the domestic product of a country may have been produced by foreign
companies situated within that country. This give rise to income received by
foreigners from enterprises located within the domestic territory of a country.
For instance, Maruti Udyog in India produces cars which is a domestic
product of India. However, part of this domestic product accrues to Suzuki
Company of Japan in terms of profits earned by it from its production activity in
India.
Similarly, Indian nationals may own some enterprises abroad, and hence,
a part of the output originating in those enterprises accrue to them. Also, some
Indian nationals may work abroad and earn income thereby. This gives rise to
factor income received by Indian nationals from abroad.
The difference between the factor income received from the rest of the
world and the factor income accruing to rest of the world is the net factor income
from abroad.
National Product = Domestic Product + Net Factor Income from Abroad
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Chapter – 9:
Measurement of National income
While measuring national income, it is important to keep in mind that
national income is taken in the sense of net national product at factor cost. In
the production process, goods and services are produced by the combination of
factors of production. These goods and services are distributed as factor incomes
to the owners of factors of production. The incomes earned are spent on the
consumer goods and capital goods. Thus, production gives rise to income,
income gives rise to expenditure and expenditure gives rise to income again. We
can put this relationship in terms of circular flow of income:
(i) Production of goods and services by producers with the use of productive
resources,
(ii) Distribution of incomes to the owners of productive resources, and
(iii) Expenditure of incomes on the purchase of final consumer and capital
goods.
Corresponding to these three phases of circular flow of income – production,
income and expenditure – national income of a country can be viewed in three
ways: as a flow of goods and services, as a flow of income generated and as a
flow of expenditure on goods and services.
Income
Production Expenditure
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Income Method
The income method measures national income at the phase of factor
payments made to the primary factors for the use of their factor services. It
involves the following steps:
1. Classification of enterprise and income categories:
In the first stage, production enterprises which employ factor services are
identified and classified into groups such as agriculture, trade, banking etc.
In the second stage, factor incomes are grouped under different categories:
Labour income or Compensation of employees:
It is a form of income which is earned by working for others. It is the payment
to workers for their labour. Labour income includes:
(i) Wages in cash, including wages and salaries, bonus, commission, house
rent allowance, dearness allowance, travelling allowance to travel to and from
workplace, leave travel concession, sick leave allowance, etc.
(ii) Wages in Kind, like rent free accommodation, free medical facilities, free
educational facilities, free or subsidised food, recreational and holidaying
facilities, free provision of goods and services, crèches for children of employees,
imputed interest on interest free loans etc.
(iii) Supplementary labour income in the form of employer`s contribution
to social security schemes for employees such as old age pension, group
insurance, gratuity, provident fund, etc.
Operating surplus
It is the income earned form the ownership and control of capital. Capital income
includes:
(i) Rent: It is the income earned by people who own land and buildings to
rent them out.
(ii) Interest: Income received from lending others.
(iii) Royalty: It is the income received for granting the rights of mining to
others and royalty earned from patents and copyrights.
(iv) Corporation Tax: It is the tax imposed on the profits earned by
companies.
(v) Dividend: Part of profits which is distributed to shareholders.
(vi) Undistributed profits: it is kept in the form of corporate saving to be
used for undertaking investment by the company.
Mixed Income
It is composed of labour income and capital income of those people who
provide both labour and capital services in the production process.
It is a mix of income from work and income from property and
entrepreneurship. It includes income of own account workers and income from
unincorporated sectors such as earnings from agriculture, trading, sole
proprietorship, income from own account workers like plumbers, carpenters, etc.
2. Estimation of Domestic Factor Income:
In this stage, income paid out by each producer enterprise is estimated by
adding together the three kinds of income namely compensation of employees,
operating surplus and mixed incomes. Thus, the income earned by all producing
units in the domestic territory of the economy during the accounting year gives
the measure of domestic factor income. (NDPFC)
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Expenditure Method
It measures national income at the disposition stage, i.e. the disposition
of final products. In other words, it measures national income by estimating
expenditure on final products. Steps to calculate national income are as follows:
1. Classification of sectors and expenditure:
All the economic units which incur expenditure on final products are
divided into four broad categories along with their expenditures:
Households: Consumption expenditure.
Business sector: Investment expenditure.
Government sector: Government expenditure.
Foreign sector: Net Exports.
2. Measurement of Expenditure:
Private final consumption expenditure:
It comprises expenditures on the purchase of consumer goods and services
(except houses) by households and private non-profit institutions serving
households like schools, clubs, hospitals, etc. It is divided into three major sub-
categories:
1. Expenditure on non-durable goods such as food, beverages, etc. used
within a short span of time.
2. Expenditure on durable goods like TV`s, cars, etc. used for a longer period
of time.
3. Expenditure on services like transportation, medical services, etc.
We calculate final consumption by multiplying the volume of sale of these
goods and services in the market with their retail prices.
Estimation of Investment Expenditure:
It is the expenditure on investment or capital goods produced by firms and
they may be bought by firms, by governments or by households. It os divided
into three sub-categories:
1. Expenditure on business fixed investment: It includes expenditure on
purchase of new plants, machinery, equipment, etc. It is estimated by taking
the value of final sale of capital goods at market value.
2. Inventory investment: It includes change in inventories of the firm which
are in the warehouse, on store shelves or showroom floors, raw materials or
finished goods with producers. Inventory investment is calculated by taking the
difference between opening stock and closing stock.
3. Expenditure on residential housing: It can be found by estimating the total
money spent on construction of new houses. Expenditure on residence is taken
as investment because house is something that gives utility gradually over a
long period of time.
The expenditures incurred on the above three items are called gross investment.
However, a part of this expenditure is incurred to replace the worn out capital.
The amount necessary for replacement is called depreciation. By deducting
depreciation from gross investment, we get net investment.
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Y = C + In + G + (X - M) – NIT + NFYA
Precautions (Expenditure Method):
1. Expenditure on intermediate goods must be exclude to avoid the problem
of double counting.
2. All Expenditures on second hand goods must be excluded as they do not
add to the economy`s output.
3. Expenditures on financial assets like shares and bonds is excluded
because it reflects only transfer in the ownership of these assets.
4. Expenditure on transfer payments is not included as these are payments
which are made without any factor services rendered in the current period.
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Practical problems
Question 1: How will you treat the following items in estimating a country`s
national income?
(i) Sale of an old car (vi) Purchase of shares
(ii) Services of housewives (vii) Intermediate goods
(iii) Pocket allowance of children (viii) Owner-occupied houses
(iv) Pensions (ix) Income from smuggling
(v) Interest on national debt (x) Winning a lottery
Question 8: From the following data, calculate national income by (a) Income
method and (b) Expenditure method
(Rs. in crore)