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Wine Quality Prediction by Using Machine Learning Algorithms

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Wine Quality Prediction by Using Machine Learning Algorithms

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WINE QUALITY PREDICTION BY USING MACHINE LEARNING


ALGORITHMS
Muhammad Aslam
Superior University Lahore
[email protected]

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Abstract
Today is the era of computer technology ,and every stuff is shifted to computer technology for future use
of things. These days people attempt to lead a high priced existence. They have a tendency to use the stuff
either for display off or to show off to the peoples each day. Now a days the intake of crimson wine
could be very common place to all. In this regard it have become essential to investigate the feature of
wine prior to its intake to grip on human physical condition. Consequently this studies was a forward
way to the excellent calculation of the wine the use of its varied attributes. the basic data are the dataset is
taken from the resources and the methods are inclusive of support Vector system and Naïve Bayes are
implemented. Frequent trial are premeditated where as the cost are as compared amongst data set and
trying out set and for this reason the excellent out of the two strategies are implemented and may depends
on set whose consequences is expected. Higher effects can be discovered and the best features out from
different strategies are determined and merged with each other to increase the accuracy and efficiency
value of these .
Keywords: Quality; Naïve Bayes; Support Vector Machine; quality, Extreme data.

1. Introduction
Machine learning (ML) is a topic of study focused on comprehending and
developing "learning" methods, or methods that use data to enhance performance on a certain set
of tasks. It is considered to be a component of artificial intelligence. Without being expressly
taught to do so, machine learning algorithms create a model using sample data, also referred to as
training data, in order to make predictions or judgments.
Artificial neural network is a replica build on a set of unified "artificial neurons," that loose models of the
neurons in a human being mind. Similar to the mindset of a human brain, each connection allows in rank

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to travel from one synthetic neuron to another, or a "signal." After processing a signal, an artificial neuron
can signal for other artificial neurons that are associated with each other. In conventional ANN using
the production of each artificial neuron is calculated by some non-linear occupation of the
summation of its input, and the signal at a link between artificial neurons is a real numeral.
"Edges" are the associations between synthetic neurons. Artificial edges and neurons frequently
have weights that change as learning progresses.

Diagram 1. Machine prediction

SVMs, sometimes referred to as support-vector networks, are a cluster of related


supervised learning techniques used for regression and classification. A support vector machine
preparation algorithm creates a mold that predict whether a new instance fits different catagories.
collection of training examples that have each been labeled as belonging to one from different
categories[7]. There are many ways to implement classifier such as linear or binary.
A naïve Bayes classifier is a technique that uses Bayes' theorem classification. Strong or
naive independence between the properties of data points is an assumption made by naive Bayes
classifiers. Examples of typical uses for naive Bayes classifiers include spam filters, text
categorization, and medical diagnosis. These classifiers are used in machine learning because
they are simple to use. Today industries are using certification to sell and purchase their
products, and some clients appreciate wine to an ever-increasing extent. trying and tasting of
wine is a personal experience for each of us. Many people from us considering that wine is
something passive that rarely requires attention, but it still can provide joy. But the other group

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of people may choose to become active participants when they try. Ask questions about wine to
get a deeper understanding and gratitude. To determine the general quality of wine, you must ask
the following questions.
What does the wine look like?
What does the wine smell like?
What will be the taste of wine?
I have analyzed a variety of wine components, so I have more questions. For example, Will all
pieces cooperate in presenting a perfect and pure wine? Is it simple or complicated? Can I drink
now or for a long time? I wish it is not the best past. In addition, think that the price is good?
Once you know the answer to all these questions, you can determine the general quality of the
wine. Is it wrong, poor, acceptable, well, very good, or excellent? You must use your previous
observation to maintain your conclusions.
For wine making and for the offering of lower development of industry of wine the wine
business is investigating new developments for both[1]. To confirm the wine assessment
physiochemical and tactile assessments are utilized . The separation of wines is not a easy
process inferable from the headspace's convolution and heterogeneity. The association of wines
is marvelous in soft of the truth for numerous reasons[2]. These motives are an economic
judgment for the wine items, to impervious and certification the pure nature of wines, to
forestall dishonesty of wines, and also to maintain the stimulant preparation. Data mining
improvements have been applied to diagram wine quality. The point of machines getting to know
methods for quite a several purposes is to provide a suitable model from particulars to predict
wine quality[3].
Three cultivars from Italy were acquired by the UCI store in 1991 using a "Wine" data index with 178
occurrences and estimations for thirteen different synthetic components, including alcohol and
magnesium. This data has been heavily used as a benchmark for new information mining classifiers.
because The separation of the two is surprisingly easy for the characterization of the wine is indicated by
the geological zone , the main component analysis(PCA) was used[4]. 33 Greek wines with
physicochemical components were among the data they used in their analysis. A different study
of wine classification used physicochemical information[5]. These numbers pertain to wine odor
chromatograms that were calculated using a Fast GC Analyzer. The final analysis compares three
representation strategies, including Naive Bayes, Random Forest, and Support Vector Machines
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(SVM), along with how well they are displayed in a two-organized architecture. Some have
suggested using a few statistical mining frameworks to improve wine. nice evaluation [6]. A
style desire framework was suggested by Cortez et al. The goal of Shanmug Anathan's approach
was to predict the impact of the local climate and season on wine production and wine fines[7].
The Wine informatics structure, as demonstrated by Chen et al., represented the flavour and
characteristics of wine using standard language standards. They employed cutting-edge
clustering techniques and affiliation we regulations[8]. In the search article, the authors
compared different computer learning algorithms on data from cardiotocography, including
Naive Bayes, Decision Trees, and Support Vector Machines, to see whether they are good
algorithms[9].
In the previous research, it has been made to use special machine mastering procedures and
characteristic decision methods for the wine data. Er and Atasoy projected an approach to
categorize the paramount wines with the usage of three distinctive classifiers like guide vector
machines, accidental wooded area, and k-nearest neighborhood. more over they have been used
main component analysis for characteristic resolution and they found proper results with the use
of Random forest algorithm [10]. An technique that uses human flavour reviews and wine grade
prediction was put out by Chen et al. They analysed the reviews and predicted the wine grade
using the hierarchical cluster method and the organization rule algorithm, and they found an
accuracy of 85.25%[4]. Appalasamy et al. suggested a method to forecast wine flavour using
data from physiochemical tests. They have emphasized how the categorization approach
enhances the first class of wine at some point in the production process[12].
To suggest the product, Reddy and Govindara julu employed a user-centric clustering technique.
For the aim of the survey, they employed a set of statistics about purple wine. Based only on the
literature assessment, they assigned relative vote casting to the qualities. The Gaussian
Distribution Process was then used to weigh the qualities. Based on the consumer want group,
they evaluated the first class[11]. The past work motivated us to attempt specific characteristic
determination algorithms as well as exceptional classifiers to evaluate the overall presentation of
metrics.
The knowledge above is intended to give you a fundamental foundation for accurately judging
wines. Your ability to taste wines will improve and be strengthened by using as many different
wines as you can when practicing these stages. To improve on this basis, tasters will benefit from
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enrolling in classes provided by an organization like the Wine & Spirits Education Trust (WSET)
or the court of master vintners..

2. Literature Review
Wine quality prediction is the task of predicting the quality of wine on a scale
from 1 (very poor) to 10 (excellent). This can be done using machine learning, which is a type of artificial
intelligence that can learn from data and make predictions. There are many different types of machine
learning algorithms, but they all share a common goal[1].
Some machine learning algorithms are better at finding patterns than others, and some are better at
making predictions than others[13]. The best algorithm for wine quality prediction will depend on the
data that is available. The data used to train the machine learning algorithm can be divided into two types:
features and labels. Features are the characteristics of the wine that will be used to make predictions, such
as the type of grape, the region where the wine is from, and the year the wine was made.
Labels are the wine quality ratings that will be predicted, such as 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, or 10[2].
To train the machine learning algorithm, we need to have a dataset of wine quality ratings and the
corresponding features. This dataset can be created manually[15].
A machine learning algorithm is a set of instructions that a computer program uses to improve its
performance on a given task. There are many different types of machine learning algorithms, each
designed for a specific purpose. Some of the most common machine learning algorithms include:
Supervised learning algorithms: These algorithms are used to learn from labeled training data. The most
common supervised learning algorithms are regression and classification algorithms.
Unsupervised learning algorithms: These algorithms are used to learn from unlabeled data. The most
common unsupervised learning algorithms are clustering algorithms.

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Reinforcement learning algorithms: These algorithms are used to learn from a reinforcement signal, such
as a reward or punishment. The most common reinforcement learning algorithms are Q-learning and
SARSA.
Data mining is a method for finding fresh instances that can be used to distinguish high-quality data from
massive storehouses of information. It includes a variety of metrics, machine learning, and database
organization. The main goal is to separate massive records from massive databases and then transform the
crucial information into something that may be used in further study. Data mining is typically included in
Knowledge Discovery in Databases (KDD) as a crucial investigative stage. In addition to analysis, it also
includes complex considerations, analysis of large data sets, pre- and post-evaluation of the data, and
finally, the discovery of new facts and subsequent updating. Information analysis frequently just
considers the hypotheses and models based on the in sequence, giving little thought to the actual content
of the in order[23].
Factual analysis and machine learning are combined in data mining. The practise of identifying patterns
and information from huge datasets is known as "data mining." Data mining is an automated method for
finding patterns in vast amounts of data, spotting anomalies, and ultimately figuring out what you want to
happen. Several statistics mining strategies are integrated with their best traits for improved outcomes that
produce accurate impacts with fewer errors and improved efficiency. The method of constructing new
hypotheses based on a larger body of data is known by a number of names, including statistics fishing
records dredging and data peeping. The wine manufacturing companies are trying to improve
advancements in both winemaking and offering structures to lower back up this development[1]. Wine
confirmation is evaluated using physicochemical and tactile tests. The complexity and heterogeneity of its
atmosphere indicate that the segmentation of wines is not a straightforward process. The association of
wines is tremendous in mild of the truth for several reasons[2].
Data mining improvements have been applied to diagram wine quality. Creating models out of data to
predict wine quality is the goal of machines learning approaches for a variety of purposes[3].
Using a "Wine" informative index that includes 178 occurrences and estimations for thirteen different
synthetic chemicals, including alcohol and magnesium, the UCI shop ordered three different types of
wine from Italy in 1991. Since it is remarkably easy to separate, this data has been widely used as a
benchmark for new statistics mining classifiers. [4].
There are thirty three Greek wines with physicochemical components were among the data they used in
their analysis. The physicochemical information was utilized in another wine grouping study[5]. These
statistics are based on Fast GC Analyzer estimates of wine odor chromatograms.

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A few frameworks for using statistics mining to evaluate wine have been suggested[6]. A style desire
framework was suggested by Cortez et al. A "Support Vector Machine, Naive Bayes, and Random Forest
" has been used to engineer the assessment of wines in their taste expectation framework. The goal of
Shanmug Anathan's technique was to predict how the local climate and the current season will affect wine
yields and fines [7]. The Wine informatics framework, as established by Chen et al., represented the
flavor and characteristics of wine using standard language standards. They employed revolutionary
clustering and affiliation we regulations[8]. The authors of the lookup paper compared various computer
learning methods, including Naive Bayes, Decision Trees, and Support Vector Machines, to anticipate
they[9].
Recently, attempts have been made to apply various machine learning algorithms and characteristic
selection methods to the wine dataset. Three distinct classifiers, including assist vector machines, random
forest, and k-nearest neighbourhood, were offered by Er and Atasoy as a method to categorise the quality
of wines[10].
They chose features using prominent factor analysis and discovered that the Random Forest algorithm
produced the desired results. An technique that uses human flavour reviews to predict wine grade was put
forth by Chen et al. To method the evaluations and estimate the wine grade, they employed the
hierarchical clustering technique and association rule algorithm, and they discovered an accuracy of
85.25%. A method to estimate wine quality based solely on the results of physiochemical tests was
proposed by Appalasamy et al. They have emphasised how the classification technique enhances the
quality of wine throughout production[11][12].
An approach to categorise wines based on their aroma chromatograms was proposed by Beltrán et al.
They used PCA to reduce dimensionality, wavelet transform to extract characteristics, and classifiers like
neural networks, linear discriminant analysis, and assist vector computers. They found that the
performance of the guide vector machine with wavelet transforms was superior to that of other classifiers.
[13][14][15]. Thakkar et al. employed the analytical hierarchy process (ahp) to rank the attributes before
applying random forest and guide vector computers to find accuracy of 70.33% and 66.54%, respectively,
in machine learning classifiers. Reddy and Govindarajulu promoted the product using a user-centric
clustering method. For the purpose of the survey, they have used the Crimson Wine statistics collection.
Based only on the literature evaluation, they assigned relative balloting to the qualities. The qualities were
then given weights using the Gaussian Distribution Process[17]. According to the individual desire team,
they evaluated the quality. Due to its complex genetic makeup, Pinot Noir is prone to point mutations
that, even on the same plant, can produce various clones of the grape. There have been identified 40
different Pinot noir clones in all. 15 of them are known for producing grapes of a better calibre. Clone

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selection is influenced by a variety of factors, including soil composition, temperature, and the
winegrower's goals. It is not unusual to find one or more vines with a single branch on the same plant that
have different characteristics in Pinot noir vineyards[20]. If the newly discovered clone's entire crop
exhibits the same traits as the original shoot following mutation, it may be considered a new variety
of Pinot noir. Grape varieties including Pinot Gris, Pinot Franc, and Meunier are the result of Pinot
noir. Fruit colour, fruit flavour, and wine aroma variations are all discernible[14]. Here is a detailed
description of the machine learning algorithms research that has already been done.

Author Year of Journal name Summary of work


name publication
Sunny Jan 2020 Conference paper Dataset is obtained from the sources, and methods like Nave
INDIA
Kumar et all Bayes, Support Vector Machine, and Random Forest are used.
The best of the three techniques is projected based on the
outcomes of the training set after various metrics have been
calculated and the results compared between the training set and
testing set. The best qualities from various techniques can be
extracted and combined to produce better outcomes that are
more accurate and effective.

Satyabrata May 2018 ICACT For this study project, we used quality datasets for red and
Transactions on white wines. To test the performance of the prediction, we
Aich et all
Advanced explored a variety of feature selection techniques, including
Communications simulated annealing (SA) and genetic algorithm (GA) based
Technology feature selection. We have employed probabilistic, linear, and
nonlinear classifiers. We have discovered that feature
selection-based feature sets are more accurate in predicting
performance than feature-based feature sets that take into
account all features.
Yogesh gupta December 2017 Science direct This paper explores the machine learning technique such as
et all linear regression support vector machine and neural network for
product quality in two ways. firstly, determined the dependant
variable and second the value of predicting variable. This paper
proves that the selected variables shows more accuracy rather
than the whole variables.
Joanna E. August 2014 American journal of Studies on viticulture management, especially those which can
Jones et all Analogy modify group temperature and experience to occurrence of
light, are likely to best educate production methods that lead to

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fruit quality 26 appropriate for the creation of iconic luminous


wines.

Yasem Er et September 2016 www.ijisae.org In this study the author used two different data sets for the
all quality of wine . He used the basic three algorithms of machine
learning as known as K nearest neighbor ,support vector and
Random forest .Random forest algorithm was found as good
with the comparison of others.
Ayten Atasoy September 2016 IJISAE In this study the author used two different data sets for the
quality of wine . He used the basic three algorithms of machine
learning as known as K nearest neighbor ,support vector and
Random forest .Random forest algorithm was found as good
with the comparison of others.
S.Kallithraka November 2ooo ELSEVIER In this research various instrumental and sensory method are
used in conjunction with statistical analysis. This research
classify the quality of wine product.
A.Mustapha 2012 Asian network for In this research the author used two approaches Naïve Bayes
science information and decision tree algorithms used and their performance is
measured and compared.

3. Methodology
Data is collected from UCI ML repository. Data have 1599 occurrence with 12 variables. The input is
taken and conclude with the red wine quality. The quality of this data set is predicted between 3-8. 3
predicts that the quality of red wine is low and 8 predicts a red wine of excellent quality. The most
prominent aspects include fixed acid properties, citric acid, volatile acidity, residual sugar, chloride,
thickness, sulfur dioxide, sulfur dioxide, pH, alcohol and sulfate. Consumables have a pH scale between 3
and 4. The amount of salt represents the wine chloride content. The objective of the information files is to
predict the corresponding evaluation of the wine test teacher. For example, use the scope of physical
chemical characteristics, such as acidity and Sake characteristics. As a result of safety and strategic
problems, simply the use of physical chemical products (input ) and the output coefficient are available.
"In the field of automatic learning, the confusion matrix is a frequently used table to describe the
presentation of group models related to many test information known for its true quality. It allows the
recognition of the presentation of the calculation. In this study, we basically use the red wine data set,
then calculate the confusion matrix, related performance measurements and finally compare different
automatic learning algorithms based on the precision provided for in this data set".

collection of data
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construction of data
model

implementation of
approaches SVM etc

performance comparison

analysis and accuracy


measure

General Flow chart diagram

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4. Results
Today, people consumed red wine as needs or to show off. This allows health loss.
Therefore, it is crucial to assess the quality of red wine before consuming it in
order to maintain human health. As a result, data on red wine that was taken from
the database used to forecast wine quality is included in this survey, data sets for
the study programme carries out several algorithms for automated learning. In a
certain data set, the precision is computed. During use, the data is divided into a
training set with a probability of 0.7 and a set of testing with a probability of 0.3,

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respectively. As a result, using the Bayes ship method, the precision attained in the
training set and test set is 55.91% and 55.89%, respectively, while using the
random approach, it is 67.25% and 68.64% in each case. 65.83% and 65.46%,
respectively, are both. It is demonstrated that the accuracy of the test training set
can provide more precision than the random forest algorithm and the most recent
Bayes ship algorithm because to the high likelihood of the division of the training
set. When research is done to develop approaches utilizing the three algorithms,
the outcomes can also be altered. Results are more effectively obtained when the
SVM algorithm's Hyper plane modifications are done properly, a precise balanced
tree is used, and the right probability is used.
Training data

Wine quality3 Wine quality 4 Wine Wine Wine Wine quality


quality quality 6 quality 7 8
5
precession 0 0.333333 0.9899 0.9830508 0.9367 0
Recall 0 0.25 0.9999 1 1 0
Specificity 0 0.9981 0.9999 0.9955 0.65886 0.9244
f-measure 0 0.2857 0.9881 0.991453 0 0
Accuracy(%) 0.6583588
Error(%) 0.3416149

Table. 2 training data set

Testing data

Wine quality 3 Wine quality 4 Wine Wine Wine Wine quality


quality quality 6 quality 7 8
5
precession 0 0 0.9799 0.9830508 0.769367 0
Recall 0 0 1 1 1 0

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Specificity 0 1 0.9599 0.7855 0.9765886 0.98446


f-measure 0 0 0.9981 0.991453 0 0
Accuracy(%) 0.6864407
Error(%) 0.31355

Table. 3 Performance measures testing set using Naïve Bayes .

I. Matrices for Performance measures

Diagram 2. Error matrix for training set using Naïve Bayes

Diagram 3. Error matrix using Naïve Bayes.

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Diagram 4. displays the classifiers' sensitivity plots for the two separate feature sets.

Diagram 5. SVM classifier maximum specificity among all the classifiers.

Diagram 6. Comparison of Accuracy

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Diagram7. Comparison of Accuracy

5. Conclusion and future work


Data mining in recent times is most vital technique which Is applied for investigation of the
information. It seems on the Statistics and produces the specified yield. With the headway. In the
innovation it facilitates in gambling the sound take a look at within the marketplace For this
reason blessings the purchaser. Accuracy, precision, typographical errors, F-score, consideration,
and specificity are addressed in this investigation. Since almost 70% of the records from the
unique dataset are included in the training dataset, the Support Vector Machine is shown to have
the best accuracy (67.25%) when used to predict the quality of purple wine using the RStudio
software, followed by Random Woodland. Finally, the Naive Bayes Set of rules come in with an
accuracy of 55.91% and a precision of 65.88%. Higher algorithms that combine the best elements
of all available data mining approaches may emerge in the future. Much better accuracy can be
found if specific adjustments to the hyper plane, a balanced tree approach, and the appropriate
amount of chance are applied.

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GSJ: Volume 10, Issue 12, December 2022
ISSN 2320-9186

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