Module Management Presentation Paper
Module Management Presentation Paper
Gerrit Muller
University of South-Eastern Norway-NISE
Hasbergsvei 36 P.O. Box 235, NO-3603 Kongsberg Norway
[email protected]
Abstract
This module addresses the presentation of architectural issues to higher
management teams.
Distribution
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Simplistic Financial
Computations for System
Architects.
e
om
inc
$
es
profit expens
variable
fixed costs
sales volume
break even in units
point
expected
sales volume
1.1 Introduction
Many system architects shy away from the financial considerations of the product
creation. In this document a very much simplified set of models is offered to help
the architect in exploring the financial aspects as well. This will help the architect
to make a ”sharper” design, by understanding earlier the financial aspects.
The architect should always be aware of the many simplifications in the models
presented here. Interaction with real financial experts, such as controllers, will
help to understand shortcomings of these models and the finesses of the highly
virtualized financial world.
In Section 1.2 a very basic cost and margin model is described. Section 1.3
refines the model at the cost side and the income side. In Section 1.4 the time
dimension is added to the model. Section 1.5 provides a number of criteria for
making finacial decisions.
1.2 Cost and Margin
The simplest financial model looks only at the selling price (what does the customer
pay), the cost price (how much does the manufacturing of the product actually
cost). The difference of the selling price and the cost price is the margin. Figure 1.1
shows these simple relations. The figure also adds some annotations, to make the
notions more useful:
• the cost price can be further decomposed in material, labor and other costs
• the margin (”profit per product”) must cover all other company expenses,
such as research and development costs, before a real profit is generated
• most products are sold as one of the elements of a value chain. In this figure
a retailer is added to show that the street price, as paid by the consumer, is
different from the price paid by the retailer[1].
The annotation of the other costs, into transportation, insurance, and royalties per
product, show that the model can be refined more and more. The model without
such a refinement happens to be rather useful already.
retailer margin
and costs
Figure 1.1: The relation between sales price, cost price and margin per product
The translation of margin into profit can be done by plotting income and expenses
in one figure, as shown in Figure 1.2, as function of the sales volume. The slope
of the expenses line is proportional with the costs per product. The slope of the
income line is proportional with the sales price. The vertical offset of the expenses
line are the fixed organizational costs, such as research, development, and overhead
costs. The figure shows immediately that the sales volume must exceed the break
even point to make a profit. The profit is the vertical distance between expenses
e
com
$
in
s es
profit expen
variable
fixed costs
sales volume
break even in units
point
expected
sales volume
business dependent:
marketing, sales pharmaceutics industry
sales cost >> R&D cost
training sales&service
strategic choice:
NRE: outsourcing, royalties
NRE or per product
including:
staff, training, tools, housing
materials, prototypes
research and development overhead
certification
often a standard staffing rate is used
that covers most costs above:
R&D investment = Effort * rate
• the supplier takes a risk by making the investments, but also benefits from
larger sales volumes
• the company pays the investment, the so called Non Recurring Engineering
(NRE) costs. In this case the supplier takes less risks, but will also benefit
less from larger sales volumes.
If the supplier does the investment than the development costs of the component
are part of the purchasing price and become part of the material price. For the NRE
case the component development costs are a straightforward investment.
Other investments to be made are needed to prepare the company to scale all
customer oriented processes to the expected sales volume, ranging from manufac-
turing and customer support to sales staff. In some business segments the marketing
costs of introducing new products is very significant. For example, the pharmaceu-
tical industry spends 4 times as much money on marketing than on R&D. The
financial costs of making investments, such as interest on the capital being used,
must also be taken into account.
We have started by simplifying the income side to the sales price of the products.
The model can be refined by taking other sources of income into account, as shown
in Figure 1.4. The options and accessories are sold as separate entities, generating
a significant revenue for many products. For many products the base products are
content, portal
services incomeservice updates
services maintenance
options,
sales priceoption * volumeoption
accessories
options
sold with a loss. This loss is later compensated by the profit on options and acces-
sories.
Many companies strive for a business model where a recurring stream of revenues
is created, for instance by providing services (access to updates or content), or by
selling consumables (ink for prink jet printers, lamps for beamers, et cetera).
One step further is to tap the income of other players of the value chain.
Example is the license income for MPEG4 usage by service and content providers.
The chip or box supplier may generate additional income by partnering with the
downstream value chain players.
1M$
0.5M$
Y1 Y1 Y1 Y1 Y2 Y2
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q3
time
(0.5M$)
(1M$)
loss
Figure 1.6 shows the cumulative profit from Figure 1.5 as a graph. This graph
is often called a ”hockey” stick: it starts with going down, making a loss, but when
the sales increase it goes up, and the company starts to make a profit. Relevant
questions for such a graph are:
time
(0.5M$)
(1M$)
loss
8
M€
5 cumulative 1
4 cumulative 2
cumulative 3
3 cumulative 4
2 cumulative total
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
-1
-2
quarter
Return On Net Assets (RONA) is basically the same as ROI, but it looks at all
the capital involved, not only the investments. It is a more integral metric
than ROI.
turnover / fte is a metric that measures the efficiency of the human capital. Optimization
of this metric results in a maximum added value per employee. It helps
companies to focus on the core activities, by outsourcing the non-core activ-
ities.
market ranking (share, growth) has been used heavily by the former CEO of
General Electric, Jack Welch. Only business units in rank 1, 2 or 3 were
allowed. Too small business units were expanded aggressively if sufficient
potential was available. Otherwise the business units were closed or sold.
The growth figure is related to the shareholder value: only growing companies
create more shareholder value.
R&D investment / sales is a metric at company macro level. For high-tech companies
10% is commonly used. Low investments carry the risk of insufficient product
innovation. Higher investments may not be affordable.
cashflow is a metric of the actual liquid assets that are available. The profit of a
company is defined by the growth of all assets of a company. In fast growing
companies a lot of working capital can be unavailable in stocks or other non
salable assets. Fast growing, profit making, companies can go bankrupt by a
1.6 Acknowledgements
William van der Sterren provided feedback and references. Hans Barella, former
CEO of Philips medical Systems, always stressed the importance of Figure 1.2,
and especially the importance of a robust profit. Ad van den Langenberg pointed
out a number of spelling errors.
MPEG4
cost B
A B
integration MP3
ttm multiple suppliers color display infra 7 8
wow
nifty features
fashionable design
ePen A sensor 6 8
GPS sensor
DRM Hollywood pact GSM
display 20 17
standards UTMS power 3 4
BT total 36 37
802.11b
load
display 20 17 display 20 17
B
backup material
power 3 4 power 3 4
total 36 37 total 36 37
follow up: A A B
infra 7 8
allocate Jan, Piet, Klaas sensor 6 8
per 1/11 display 20 17
power 3 4
go/nogo 1/1/03 load total 36 37
2.1 Introduction
The architect bridges the technology world with the other business related worlds,
by understanding these other worlds and by having ample know-how of technologies.
Management teams are responsible for the overall business performance, which in
the end is expressed in financial results.
Many architects and management teams are captured in a vicious circle:
One way to break this vicious circle is to improve the managerial communi-
cation skills of architects. We address a frequently needed skill: presenting an
architecture issue to a management team.
The architect should contribute to the managerial decision process by commu-
nicating technology options and consequences of technological decisions. Figure 2.1
management
financial
issues !
technology
Architects must have a good understanding of their target audience. Figure 2.2
characterizes the managers in management teams. Their main job is to run a
healthy business, which explains many of these characterizations: action oriented,
solution rather than problem, impatient, busy, bottom-line oriented: profit, return
on investment, market share, et cetera, and want facts not believes. These managers
operate with many people all with their own personal interests. This means that
managers operate in a political context (something which architects like to ignore).
Some characteristics of management teams depend on the company culture.
For example, the amount of technology know-how can vary from extensive to
shallow. Or, for example, the management style can vary from power play to inspi-
rational leadership.
The content of the presentation must be clear, address the main issues, and
convey the message, see also 2.3. The message must have substance for managers,
which means that it should be fact based. The first steps are gathering facts and
performing analysis. Based on these facts the goal and message of the presen-
tation must be articulated. All this information must be combined in a presen-
tation. When the presentation content is satisfactory the form must be polished
(templates, colors, readability, et cetera). Although this has been described as a
sequential process, the normal incremental spiral approach should be followed,
going through these steps in 2-3 passes.
The members of management teams operate normally in a highly political
context, mutually as well as with people in their context. This politics interferes
significantly with the decision making. The political situation should be mapped by
the preparation team, the political forces must be identified and understood. This
is done by analyzing the audience, their background and their interests. The prepa-
ration team can gain a lot of insight by discussing the expected responses of the
management team. At some moment the preparation team can simulate (role-play)
the management team in a proof-run of the presentation. The understanding of the
+ options, recommendations
Figure 2.4 provides guidelines for the contents of the presentation. A clear
problem statement and an exploration of solution(s) should address the technical
issues as well as the translation to the business consequences. Normally a range of
options are provided The options are compared and recommendations are provided.
Note that options that are unfavorable from architectural point of view are never-
theless options. It is the challenge for the architect to articulate why these options
are bad and should not be chosen. Architect enable and streamline the decision
making by providing clear recommendations and by indicating what actions or
decisions are required.
All content of the presentation should be to the point, factual and quantified.
Quantified does not mean certain, often quite the opposite, future numbers are
estimates based on many assumptions. The reliability of the information should be
evident in the presentation. Many facts can be derived from the past. Figures from
the past are useful to “calibrate” future options. Deviations from trends in the past
are suspect and should be explained.
The presentation material should cover more than is actually being presented
during the presentation itself. Some supporting data should be present on the
sheets, without mentioning the data explicitly during the presentation. This allows
the audience to assess the validity of the presented numbers, without the need to
zoom in on all the details.
It is also useful to have additional backup material available with more in depth
supporting data. This can be used to answer questions or to focus the discussion:
speculation can be prevented by providing actual data.
The use of demonstrators and the show of artifacts (components, mock-ups)
transfer/sec
MPEG4
cost B
A B
integration MP3
ttm multiple suppliers color display infra 7 8
wow
nifty features
fashionable design
ePen A sensor 6 8
GPS sensor
DRM Hollywood pact GSM
display 20 17
standards UTMS power 3 4
BT total 36 37
802.11b
load
makes the presentation more lively. The demonstrations should be short and attractive
(from customer point of view), while illustrating the value and technological possi-
bilities and issues.
+ readable
do not do
- preach beliefs + quantify, show figures
and facts
- underestimate technology + create faith in your knowledge
knowledge of managers
- tell them what they did wrong + focus on objectives
- oversell + manage expectations
Figures 2.7 and 2.8 show in the don’t column a number of pitfalls for an
architect when presenting to higher management teams. The preferred interaction
pattern is given in the do column.
The pitfalls in Figure 2.7, preaching believes, underestimating know-how of
managers, and telling managers what they did wrong, are caused by insufficient
understanding of the target audience. In these cases the opinion of the architect
is too dominant, opinions work counterproductive. Overselling creates a problem
for the future: expectations are created that can not be met. The consequence of
overselling is loss of credibility and potentially lack of support in tougher times.
Architects must manage the expectations of the audience.
When presenting the architect tries to achieve multiple objectives:
This means that sufficient technological content need to be shown, at least to create
faith in the architect’s competence. Underestimation of the managerial know-
how is arrogant, but mostly very dangerous. Some managers have a significant
historic know-how, which enable them to assess strengths and weaknesses quickly.
Providing sufficient depth to this type of manager is rewarding. The less informed
manager does not need to fully understand the technical part, but at least should
get the feeling that he or she understands the issues.
do not do
- let one of the managers hijack + maintain the lead
the meeting
- build up tensions by withholding + be to the point and direct
facts or solutions
- be lost or panic at unexpected + acknowledge input, indicate
inputs or alternatives consequences (facts based)
The impatience and action orientation of managers makes them very dominant,
with the risk that they take over the meeting or presentation. Figure 2.8 shows a
number of these risks and the possible counter measures:
Build up tensions by withholding facts or solutions, but be to the point and direct.
For example, it can be wise to start with a summary of the main facts and
conclusions, so that the audience know where the presentation is heading.
Be lost or panic at unexpected inputs or alternatives. Most managers are fast and
have a broad perspective that helps them to come with unforeseen options.
Acknowledge inputs and indicate the consequences of alternatives as far as
you can see them (fact based!).
2.5 Exercise
The SARCH course [2] on System Architecting contains an exercise, where the
participants can apply then lessons learned by giving a presentation to a (simulated)
management team. The presenter gives his presentation for the participants and the
teacher, who play the role of this higher management team.
* architecture message =
technology options in relation with market/product
Figure 2.9 shows the description of this exercise. The group of participants is
divided in 4 teams of about 4 people, preferably from the same domain. These
teams have somewhat less than 2 hours for the preparation of the presentation. The
exercise is explained to them several days before and the teams are also formed
days before. This enables the team to determine a subject and message in a background
process, during lunch and in the breaks. Determining the subject and message
requires quite some elapsed time. It is highly recommended to take a subject from
real-life: ”What you always wanted to tell topmanagement”.
Figure 2.10 shows the schedule of the exercise. Every presentation is 10 minutes
sharp, including the interaction with the management team. Directly after the
presentation feedback is given by the participants as well as by the teacher. This
feedback should follow the normal feedback guidelines: mentioning the strong
points, before discussing the options for improvement. The teacher must ensure
that sufficient feedback is given, the material in this exercise can be used as guideline.
The limited preparation time implies that the result will also be limited. The
form will be limited (handwritten flipovers) and most of the historical data will be
made up.
The teacher should stimulate the complete group to really participate in the role
prepare in team of 4 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
[1] Mark Abraham. Define and price for your market starting at end
market values! http://www.sticky-marketing.net/articles/
pricing-for-channels.htm, 2001.
History
Version: 1.1, date: January 18, 2015 changed by: Gerrit Muller
• added summary
Version: 1.0, date: May 19, 2004 changed by: Gerrit Muller
• created this module