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Probability Regression Roadmap

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24 views8 pages

Probability Regression Roadmap

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© © All Rights Reserved
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10-Day Roadmap for Mastering Probability and Regression Analysis

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Day 1: Random Variables and Discrete Probability Distributions
Topics:
- Definitions of random variables (discrete and continuous).
- Discrete Probability Distribution, Probability Mass Function (PMF).
- Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) for Discrete Random
Variables (DRV).

Tasks:
1. Understand the basics of random variables and probability
distributions.
2. Solve problems on PMF, probabilities, and CDF for DRVs.
3. Visualize probability distributions using R.

Resources:
- Books:
- "A First Course in Probability" by Sheldon Ross (Ch. 3-4).
- "Probability and Statistics for Engineers" by Walpole (Ch. 4).
- Online Tutorials:
- Khan Academy: Random Variables.
- R Resources:
- R Documentation: dpois, dbinom, cumsum for probabilities and
PMF.
---

Day 2: Continuous Random Variables and PDFs


Topics:
- Probability Density Function (PDF).
- Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) for Continuous Random
Variables (CRV).
- Examples of common continuous distributions.

Tasks:
1. Practice deriving probabilities using PDFs and CDFs.
2. Visualize PDFs and CDFs in R using functions like pnorm and
dnorm.

Resources:
- Books:
- "Introduction to Probability Models" by Sheldon Ross (Ch. 5).
- YouTube:
- 3Blue1Brown: Probability Visualized.
- R Resources:
- Plot PDFs using curve and integrate.

---

Day 3: Expectation and Variance


Topics:
- Definition of expectation (mean) and variance for DRV and CRV.
- Properties of expectation and variance.

Tasks:
1. Solve problems calculating expectation and variance for common
distributions.
2. Implement simulations in R to verify theoretical results.

Resources:
- Books:
- "Probability and Statistics" by DeGroot (Ch. 5).
- Online Calculators:
- WolframAlpha for quick verification.
- R Resources:
- Use mean() and var() functions.

---

Day 4: Binomial, Poisson, Geometric, Negative Binomial Distributions


Topics:
- PMF, Mean, and Variance of each distribution.
- Real-life applications of these distributions.

Tasks:
1. Solve problems related to these distributions.
2. Visualize them in R using dbinom, dpois, etc.

Resources:
- Books:
- "Statistics for Engineers and Scientists" by William Navidi (Ch. 6).
- Online Resources:
- StatTrek: Distribution calculators.
- R Resources:
- Use rbinom, rpois for simulations.

---

Day 5: Normal Distribution


Topics:
- Properties of the Normal distribution.
- Applications and Z-scores.

Tasks:
1. Solve problems involving the standard normal distribution.
2. Visualize in R using pnorm and dnorm.

Resources:
- Books:
- "Probability and Statistics for Engineers" by Walpole (Ch. 7).
- R Resources:
- Use ggplot2 to plot distributions.

---

Day 6: Regression and Correlation Analysis


Topics:
- Scatter plots and correlation coefficient.
- Simple Linear Regression (SLR).

Tasks:
1. Plot scatter plots and calculate correlation in R.
2. Solve regression problems manually and verify with R.

Resources:
- Books:
- "Applied Regression Analysis" by Draper and Smith.
- R Tutorials:
- Use lm() and cor() functions for regression and correlation.

---

Day 7: Multiple Linear Regression


Topics:
- Coefficients in Multiple Linear Regression (MLR).
- Data Analysis and Regression in R.

Tasks:
1. Implement MLR models in R using real datasets.
2. Interpret regression outputs.

Resources:
- Books:
- "Introduction to Statistical Learning" (ISL) by James et al. (Ch. 3).
- R Resources:
- Functions: lm() for MLR.

---

Day 8: Hypothesis Testing Basics


Topics:
- Concepts of Hypothesis Testing and Confidence Intervals.
- Z-Test and t-Test for one-sample and two-sample problems.

Tasks:
1. Solve hypothesis testing problems using formulas and software.
2. Practice constructing confidence intervals.

Resources:
- Books:
- "Statistics for Business and Economics" by Anderson (Ch. 9).
- R Resources:
- Use t.test() and z.test() in R.

---

Day 9: P-Value Approach to Hypothesis Testing


Topics:
- Understanding and interpreting P-values.
- Hypothesis Testing in Regression Analysis.
Tasks:
1. Perform hypothesis testing on regression coefficients using R.
2. Practice problems on real-world datasets.

Resources:
- Books:
- ISL by James et al. (Ch. 5).
- R Resources:
- Use summary() for p-values in regression.

---

Day 10: Consolidation and Advanced Topics


Topics:
- Review all probability distributions.
- Practice advanced regression analysis using R.

Tasks:
1. Solve a mix of problems from all topics.
2. Conduct a mini data analysis project in R.

Resources:
- Books:
- "All of Statistics" by Larry Wasserman (for advanced exercises).
- Online Platforms:
- Kaggle for datasets.
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