Credit Analysis - Slides
Credit Analysis - Slides
Credit Analysis - Slides
Credit Analysis
Course Approach
Class Rules
Even if on:
- Silent
- Flashing /
Vibrating
Importance of Credit Analysis
Check individuals/ business for traits that could serve as a warning for the bank
not to lend.
SALAD, Overdrafts, Overdrafts, Term Loans, Trade Finance Overdrafts, Term Loans,
Examples Mortgage Loans facility Trade Finance facilities,
Advanced Structurings
High Risk, High Returns, High Risk, High Return, Low Risk, Low Return,
Risk Profile Low Volume(Absolute) Good Volume(Absolute) High Volume(Absolute)
Personal Networth Cash Budget, FSA FSA, Projected Fin. Statement
Return
WHAT IS CREDIT
RISK?
THE LIKELIHOOD THAT THE BORROWER WILL BE UNABLE TO REPAY THE PRINCIPAL
SUM AND INTEREST WHEN DUE.
• NOTE: Timeliness depends on what was agreed with the customer when the loan was
granted
WHY BE CONCERNED ABOUT TIMELY
REPAYMENT?
• BANKS FUND THEIR ACTIVITES FROM
– Shareholders’ funds. To meet infrastructure. Excesses (if any) for working Capital
– Deposits from customers and others- Deposit Liabilities:7day notice Savings, Call,
Time, BA etc.
• BANKS MUST
– Maintain or increase the shareholder’s funds because of capital adequacy and
growth ratios: CAMEL measurement
– Put themselves in a position to return customers’ funds with interest as at when due
– Maintain specified liquidity ratios
– Have enough liquidity to undertake growth and expansion
Why Would A Business Borrow?
1. To fund current assets needs.
2. To acquire fixed assets.
3. To replace existing liabilities.
4. To change existing capital structure.
5. To bridge anticipated temporary cash flow gap
6. To enhance lifestyle?
7. To invest in financial and real assets?
Borrow Cause vs Borrow Purpose.
• Borrow cause is the root cause of why the customer is in need of bank
assistance; and needs money. e.g diversion of sales proceeds to buy fixed
equipment; delayed collection of receivables; reduction of credit received
from suppliers; major operational losses or cash frauds.
• Borrow Purpose is exactly what the customer will do with the money once
granted-Must be Specific. e.g Buy raw materials, Install new plant, Factory
or Home renovation
CREDIT PROCESS
CREDIT CREDIT
COLLECTION MARKETING
CREDIT CREDIT
MONITORING ANALYSIS
CREDIT CREDIT
DISBURSEMENT DECISION
OFFER
CREDIT
&
DOCUMENTATION
ACCEPTANCE
CREDIT THOUGHT PROCESS
You should be thinking…
Gross
Unemploy Interest
domestic Inflation
ment rates rates
product
Supply-siders focus on how tax policy can be used to improve incentives to work and invest,
i.e. progressive taxation vs regressive taxation.
Business Cycles
All economies, over time, go through periods of expansion, recession and
recovery.
The length of each section of the cycle can vary from time to time.
The seeds of the next phase are usually sown in the preceding phase.
Lending bankers need to be sensitive to the key indicators of the next phase in
the business cycle so as to determine the credit risk strategy.
The Business Cycle
1. RECESSION
2. RECOVERY
3. EXPANSION
4. BOOM
Economic Cycle
ECONOMIC PHASE BORROWER LENDER BEHAVIOUR
CHARACTERISTICS BEHAVIOUR
Liquidation in the case of Cautious credit expansion.
marginal customers. Mindful of the need to
RECESSION ensure credit quality.
Faced with back-logs and More reliance on security.
Characterized by order cancellations, Tendency for non-
unemployment and idle inventory and cuts performing loan to
production; receivables run increase.
capacity
off, undertakes cost cutting Efforts put on loan
programme. recovery.
Ought to reduce bank Request for Credit
borrowing. Greater overall Restructuring.
reliance on internal
financing. Resort to short term self-
liquidating facilities.
Economic Cycle…
ECONOMIC PHASE EXPECTED BORROWER EXPECTED LENDER
CHARAC-TERISTICS BEHAVIOUR BEHAVIOUR
Makes efforts to improve Loan volume shows signs of
balance sheet liquidity.
RECOVERY AND Grants concessions to buyers pickup in the face of excess
EXPANSION to push up sales. bank liquidity.
Inventory and receivables build
up. Intense competition tends to
This commences Increase productivity and push bankers into unsound
with pick-up in earnings. deals.
Updates plant and equipment:
consumer spending consider future capital needs. Rates rise and business
Introduces new products and borrowers turn to banks
new ventures appear.
rather than to capital/bond
Large borrowers turn
extensively to CP. market.
Economic Cycle…
ECONOMIC PHASE EXPECTED BORROWER EXPECTED
CHARACTERISTICS BEHAVIOUR LENDER
BEHAVIOUR
Optimism mounts. Orders and Optimism mounts.
BOOM prices rise above historic norms,
often to unsustainable levels. Increasing amounts
Reluctance to use long-term loaned against rising
Production of goods and financing. Substitution of short
services outruns the and intermediate credits. cash flows: lenders
economy’s long term Fears credit controls. overly generous.
Anticipatory buying of supplies
potential. The result if and raw materials. Increases Susceptible to euphoria
accelerated inflation. prices whenever possible. and loss of judgment of
what constitutes good
credit. Mania for growth.
Economic Cycle…
ECONOMIC PHASE EXPECTED BORROWER EXPECTED LENDER
CHARACTERISTICS BEHAVIOUR BEHAVIOUR
Profit margins narrowing. High dependence on cash
Growth of internally generated
funds slows. Demand for short- flow for repayment
term credit up. capacity.
BOOM
Backlog increases as expansion Demand for short-term
ages. Inventory rises. funds increasingly
Production of goods and
services outruns the strengthens.
economy ’ s long term Cost of replacing depreciated
capital equipment as well as Lending for capital
potential. The result is
those of stocks of materials all
accelerated inflation. spending grows as
rising.
upswing continues.
Economic Cycle…
ECONOMIC PHASE EXPECTED EXPECTED LENDER
CHARACTERISTICS BORROWER BEHAVIOUR
BEHAVIOUR
Total Profits swelled by Banks tend to become
BOOM windfall inventory gains. proxies for the equity and
Profitable lines mask weak long term debt market.
Production of goods and lines. Wise lenders exercises
services outruns the Corporate liquidity declines; caution; stress avoidance of
economy’s long term increasing instances of exposure to weakening
potential. The result if excess leverage. borrowers.
accelerated inflation. Anticipating a credit
squeeze, revolving and
other forms of committed
credit are negotiated.
Federal Government of Nigeria: 2022 Proposed Budget
Aggregate Expenditure BUDGET DEFICIT
-6.26tn
16.39tn
10.13tn $57
Capital Expenditure Benchmark oil
Aggregate Expenditure
4.89tn price p/b
Key Assumptions
292bn Oil Production
(mbpd)
51
|
Federal Government of Nigeria: 2022 Proposed Budget
2021 (Including Supplementary 2022 Proj.
(NGN)’Billion Budget)
Aggregate Revenue 8,121.41 10,132.46
Aggregate Expenditure 14,570.76 16,391.02
Statutory Transfers 496.53 768.27
Recurrent Non-Debt 5,765.30 6829.02
Debt Service 3,124.38 3,609.24
Capital Expenditure 4,984.55 5,354.31
Projected Budget Deficit (6,449.35) (6,258.57)
Assumptions
Benchmark oil price per barrel ($) 40.0 57.0
Oil production (mbpd) 1.86 1.88
Exchange rate (Naira to US$1) 379 410.15
Target inflation 11.95 13.00
GDP Growth rate 3.0 4.20
52
|
Industry Analysis
Defining an Industry
Industries could be grouped according to
– Usage of a particular raw materials, i.e. cocoa industry; rubber industry; flour
milling industry; steel industry; cotton industry, etc.
– Homogeneity of the finished products, i.e. textile industry; plastic industry; shoe
industry; wood furniture; housing industry; chocolate drinks industry.
1. Sensitivity of sales:
Necessities vs. discretionary
Three factors determine goods
how sensitive a firm’s Items that are not sensitive to
earnings are to the income levels (such as tobacco
economic cycle. and movies) vs. items that are,
(such as machine tools, steel,
autos)
Sensitivity to the Economic Cycle
Firms with low operating
leverage (less fixed assets) are
2. Operating less sensitive to business
leverage : the conditions.
split between
fixed and Firms with high operating
variable costs leverage (more fixed assets) are
more sensitive to the economic
cycle.
Sensitivity to the Economic Cycle
www.azadsikander.blogspot.com
Michael Porter …
NOTE: Your report should include a forecast on the outlook of the industry.
MODULE 3
Credit Basics
• Credit Analysis Basics
• Attitudes of Nigerian borrowers
• The C’s of Credit
• The Credit Process in Access Bank
• Types of borrowing Customers and their
risk assessment tools
• Evaluating Commercial Loan Request
Credit Basics
PREPARING TO LEND
The first step towards lending is to gather information about the borrower
Understand the nature of the business and industry characteristics.
Understand your bank’s credit policy
Avoid or disclose your personal interest/relationship with borrower.
Business should be profitable enough to meet the bank’s charges and residual
income for the borrower.
Fundamental Credit Issues
CHARACTER
&
CAPACITY
• Success at loan structuring BUSINESS
entails full understanding of DYMAMICS
the borrower’s MEGA
ENVIRONMENT
CHARACTER,
CAPACITY
BUSINESS
ENVIRONMENT
Attitude To Bank Loans (1): What Should the Bank Do?
In Nigeria and many African countries…
Class Assignment:
Ask trainees to propose ways of preventing these problems from occurring.
Case Study
CHARACTER CAPITAL
1 CAPACITY 3
2
4
CONDITION CASHFLOW
5
CONNECTION
6 COLLATERAL
7
Obligor Types & Characteristics
• Customer relations or marketing officers opening new accounts should bear in mind
that each current account customer is a potential borrower in the bank.
• If an officer grants a loan above his discretionary powers, it unauthorised lending. Any
credit granted which does not follow due process is unauthorised.
Obligor Types and their Characteristics
MODULE 4
FUNDAMENTALS OF
CREDIT STRUCTURING
Fundamentals of Credit Structuring
Credit Structuring Why Credit Structuring?
Inappropriate credit structuring portends
Credit Structuring is the process by which risk of borrower’s default
the Bank aligns its customer’s needs
(amount, purpose, tenor, utilization, It forms a basis for assessing the
borrowing cause, dynamics, performance of a loan
documentation, collateral, pricing, mode,
It engenders smooth flow of the
repayment sources, conditions, &
transaction
covenants) to its own needs for a given
level of safety, suitability and profitability. It prevents fund diversion, structure
mismatch in financing, and ensures
proper monitoring for repayment
Fundamentals of Credit Structuring –
Basic Questions
Request Screening Facility Amount –
What is the specific request? Working Capital Requirement
Cash Flow Analysis/ Funding Gap
Is it Legal, within the target market Equity Contribution and Bank
of the Bank as stated in the Credit Lending
Policy Manual, and General
Banking Practice? Borrowing Cause
Sales growth
What caused the need to borrow – Fixed Asset Procurement
No plan, business opportunity/ Collection Slow down
exigencies? Slow down of biz cycle
Seasonal Sales Growth
What are the terms of the
underlying transaction?
Fundamentals of Credit Structuring –
Basic Questions
Facility Type
Purpose
Based on Purpose and Usage or
Purpose determines specific usage
Purpose determines transaction
Based on Type and Pattern of Cash- flow
Flow or Non-achievement of Purpose as
per milestone alerts the lender of
Based on Transaction Dynamics possible diversion or problems
* Note that structural mismatch is a
Tenor
serious issue in lending
What is the appropriate tenor for
the facility – Term Loan, Working
Capital (Overdraft), BAs, Leases,
Time Loan, Import/Export Finance
Fundamentals of Credit Structuring –
Basic Questions
Disbursement Mode Disbursement Mode …..
This can be determined by terms of
Facilities, irrespective of the type,
trade or at the spot of a business
are disbursed only through
opportunity or in a way that minimizes
current accounts
cost of lending through Milestone
Disbursement (Staggered), or Bullet
Ability of the Lender to control Disbursement (One-Off), or
disbursement instills financial Installment Disbursement and Spot
discipline and prevent fund Assessment
diversion
Repayment Pattern
Largely determined by Source – Cash
Flow/ Sale Proceeds/ Asset
Conversion Patterns-
Milestone/Bullet/Relationship
Fundamentals of Credit Structuring –
Basic Questions
Conditions Precedent Permits/ Licenses/ Regulatory Approvals
(e.g. DPR Permits)
Under this, all required
Verified underlying transaction document
documentation i.e.
(e.g. NNPC Invoice and Allocation) + Any
Offer Letter Other matters
Account Opening Transaction Dynamics
This states the step-by-step flow of credit
Documentation
events, from start to end
Board Resolution, etc Conditions, Covenants, etc
Collateral/Security – Its Nature, Restriction on facility usage & assets
Location, Legal Status, Value and pledged, Restriction on further borrowing,
Negotiability are very key. Use of Domiciliation Letter,
Equity Contribution Warehousing/Monitoring, Escrow Account,
Trust receipt, Recovery, etc
Fundamentals of Credit Structuring –
Common Flaws
Use of Overdraft to finance Asset Specifying too short or too long a
acquisition/ Lease/ Import tenor
finance transaction
No Equity Contribution required of
Use of Term Loan to finance the borrower (100% finance by
working capital or bridging Lender)
finance
Interest Rate too high, or not
sensitive to borrower’s risk profile
Defective transaction dynamics and transaction’s profitability
Perhaps you have other conditions! You might decide to state these
conditions.
Examples of Condition Precedent
Submission of duly executed Board resolution of corporate borrower
Submission of duly executed Board resolution of corporate guarantor
Receipt of security, guaranty and collateral agreements and notes
Evidence of no substantial changes in the financial condition of an adverse nature
since (date)
Submission of clean report that collateral is free of liens
Submission of clean CRC and CRMS report
Access Bank
Samples of Conditions Precedent to
Draw Down based on Facility Type
TRANSACTION DYNAMICS
Transaction Dynamics
This explains the step by step process of how the loan would be
disbursed to repayment. This excludes pre-loan disbursement. This is to
monitor the disbursement and repayment of loan so as to guide against
diversion.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Access Bank
Samples of Transaction
Dynamics based on Facility Type
Types of Lending Rationale
Types of Lending
Rationale
Asset Conversion 1 Asset Protection 1 Cash Flow Lending 1
This involves financing stocks to sales This is a loan longer than a year. All
using the measurement of time. E.g This entails use for short-term vehicle project financing falls under this. The
LPO, Invoice Discounting to finance Permanent level of working attraction is how much and timely is the
capital. This is security-based lending. cash flow.
Features include short-term financing, For example, Overdraft against Cash
self-liquidating, generally unsecured, or Legal Mortgage. The attraction is Features include permanent needs,
payback or primary protection is the how much and liquid is the collateral. and stream of earnings/cash is
borrower ’ s ability to complete the essential. It is also used for investment
cycle. Working capital is a good Features include likely continuous activities (corporate exercise).
example. rollover, the ultimate justification is the
value and marketability of the The principal and assurance of
Ratios used are stock turnover period, collateral, and the borrower is of performance are key to success
debtor ’ s turnover period and sufficient integrity and capacity.
creditor’s turnover period Limitation: counterparty risk; cash flow
The nature of the security, should be looked at with respect and
Limitation: Static, Historical and convertibility, location and relative skepticism
Distorted by seasonal business stability are a significant factor for
consideration. Limitation: Diminution in
asset value
Credit Products and their Peculiarities
Credit Products and their Peculiarities
OVERDRAFT In offering overdraft, the bank allows her
It’s usually to finance short-term working customer to overdraw her account to an
capital to tide over the production cycle - agreed limit with good swings.
raw materials or finished goods - occasional
seasonal peaks, etc.
Max tenor of 1 year but revolving every
90-180days
It’s the most flexible for the borrower but
repayable on demand.
Overdraft accounts are expected to drive
good turnovers and are liquid in nature
Rates are adjustable in line with money
market realities
Non-performance is easily observable
Credit Products and their Peculiarities
OVERDRAFT (Cont’d) RISKS OF OVERDRAFT
Because of its loose utilization, overdrafts are
usually backed with collaterals Possible misuse of facility
It is a flexible financing tool designed to The fund can be accessed by medium and
change the behaviour of financial large scale integrated and non-integrated
institutions driven to improve agricultural projects with a minimum of
investment outcomes and job creation. NGN50 million net asset base.
Eligible activities include cultivation of target Farmer saves 25% of eventual credit need,
crops (rice, cassava, cotton, oil palm, wheat, while trust fund provider sets aside 25% and the
rubber, sugar cane, jatropha citrus, fruits and lender provides 100% of farmers' working
vegetables), livestock's (dairy, poultry, capital requirement.
piggery) and fisheries.
CBN guarantees 75% of the unsecured margin
Loan tenor is between 5 - 7years + Pricing is of 50%. Farmer enjoys 40% interest rebate
maximum of 9% all in. under the CBN's Interest Drawback Programme
(IDP) upon full repayment of facility as and
when due.
Other Credit Products- Regulatory Financing
BANK OF INDUSTRY LOANS BOI criteria
These are loans given to small, medium and BOI therefore, considers industries that
large enterprises, excluding cottage meet the following criteria:
industries both new or existing companies,
seeking expansion, modernization or Capacity to substantially add to industrial
diversification output.
BOI/CBN work together with local and Projects that use largely domestic raw
international development finance materials.
institutions and commercial banks to provide
funding for key capital projects. Industry in which Nigeria’s comparative
advantages could be converted to
In Nigeria, SMEs account for over 90% of competitive ones.
the companies in Nigeria, account for half of
the nation’s GDP, and provides employment Ability to promote the expansion of exports
for more than 30% of its populace-Rasheed through the production of high quality
Olaoluwa, MD Bank of Industry, November products that are attractive to domestic and
2014 export markets.
Other Credit Products- Regulatory Financing
BOI criteria BOI criteria
Projects that create both forward and Projects that are environmentally friendly.
backwards linkages, with the rest of the
domestic or regional economy. Enterprises that have good management
set-up and proper accounting procedures.
Ventures that promote inter-state or
regional integration. Enterprises promoted by women
entrepreneurs
Small and medium enterprises (SMEs)
that have linkage with large firms, belong Niche projects that produce for worldwide
to clusters and operate under franchise. consumption.
This helps a business to invest on a larger This may require the business to furnish
scale than would have been possible a security in the shape of cash or capital
without the bank guarantee. assets. Any entity that can pass the risk
assessment and provide security may
obtain a bank guarantee.
By providing a guarantee, a bank offers to
honour any payment to the creditors
Types of Guarantees include:
upon receiving a request.
Credit Products- Others
Practical application
of Financial
Statements
to Lending Decisions
What to learn
Data Mining and Analytics in Retail Lending
Practical Application of FSA tools and customised Interpretation of analysis
results.
Group Exercises on need identification from Financial statement analysis,
Projections and loan proposal
For Individuals and
Corporate bodies.- IFRS compliant financials.
Credit Presentation- Access Bank format practice
More practice- Cash budget, Cash flow Statement
Tools for analysis
1. Common Size/ Vertical analysis
2. Horizontal Analysis- Change
3. Trend Analysis-growth/shrink
4. Ratio Analysis including segmental analysis
5. Cash Flow Statement analysis & usefulness for lending
6. Cash budget /projections
7. Free Cash flow and its imperative for lending
8. Projected Financials and loan repayment
Assessing Borrower’s Financial Health
INFORMATION/DOCUMENTS YOU NEED:
1. Statement of Financial Position
2. Income Statement
3. Cash Flow Statement
4. Projected Cash Flow Statement
5. Cash Budget
6. Chairman’s Statement
7. Director’s Report
8. Audit Committee Report
9. Independent (External)Auditors’ Report/Opinion
What is Data Mining?
• The extraction of novel, implicit, and actionable knowledge from large datasets.
• Technology to enable data exploration, data analysis, and data visualization of very large databases at a high level of
abstraction, without a specific hypothesis in mind.
• Sophisticated data search capability that uses statistical algorithms to discover patterns and correlations in data.
Application of Data Mining
Data Mining Application for Retail Business
• Performing basket analysis
– Which items customers tend to purchase together. This knowledge can improve
stocking, store layout strategies, and promotions.
• Sales forecasting
– Examining time-based patterns helps retailers make stocking decisions. If a
customer purchases an item today, when are they likely to purchase a
complementary item?
• Database marketing
– Retailers can develop profiles of customers with certain behaviors, for example,
those who purchase designer labels clothing or those who attend sales. This
information can be used to focus cost–effective promotions.
• DM helps to
Data Warehouse Customer Profile Data Mining
– Determine the behavior
surrounding a particular lifecycle
event
Customer Life Cycle Info.
• Even with perfect data, analytics and targeting, the digital consumer is now more sophisticated and
very aware of available options and can quickly shop for the digital experience that meets their
needs for any particular banking product or service.
• For instance, if an ‘omni-digital’ consumer is looking for a loan, and their primary bank proactively
connects with them with offers, the digital consumer still does their due diligence due to the
availability of vast information.
• If the application, approval and funding process for the loan become cumbersome, the customer
will quickly migrate either to another platform or another bank
• The digital customer demands experiences that are easy to use (dummy proof). The online retailers,
travel, hospitality and tech companies have set the expectations for omni-digital customers. Banks
cannot afford to fall short of the standards set by other retailing organisations.
• Prospective customers will appreciate the ability to do a quick click on an email offer link, but they’ll
prefer that the process doesn’t have too many steps.
Assessing Personal Borrowers and Guarantor’s
Financial Status
What is Net Worth?
Net Worth = Assets – Liabilities
Net worth IS NOT money available for use BUT an indication of your financial position at a given date
3. Have you decomposed the sales figures to determine the cash cows.
This section assumes that trainees have a working knowledge of ratio formulae
and workings.
Emphasis therefore will be on interpretation and application of the ratios.
A separate ratio sheet will be made available to the trainees as part of the course
materials.
Major Types of Accounting Ratios
Ratio analysis is used to focus attention on areas that are important for making an
informed credit decision
FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS FORMAT ‘A’
Profitability
Credit Risk
The supervisor?
A rating agency?
The Customers
Reduction in Product Offering
Liquidity Crisis
Reduction in the level of Customer service
Consequences of Poor Risk Management….
The Employees
Loss of Job (Enron/Orange County/Failed Banks)
Loss of Income (Bonuses/ Pay rise)
Disciplinary Action
Dent in Career
The Economy
Slow growth in GDP
Recession/Inflation
Increased level of Unemployment/ Crime rate
High Lending Rate
Conclusion
“Every dollar that a bank loans above its capital and surplus it owes for, and its
managers are therefore under the strongest obligations to its creditors, as well as to its
stockholders, to keep its loans under its control. Treat your customers liberally, bearing in
mind the fact that bank prospers as its customers prosper, but never permit them to
dictate your policy. If you have reasons to distrust the integrity of a customer, close his
account. Never deal with a rascal under the impression that you can prevent him from
cheating you. The risk in such cases is greater than the profits.”
The business of banking is always tied to a multitude of risks. A major part of the business of
financial institutions is making loans, and the major risk with loans is that the borrower will not
repay.
Credit risk is the risk that a borrower will not repay a loan according to the terms of the loan,
either defaulting entirely or making late payments of interest or principal.
Definition Of Credit Risk
Credit risk is the possibility that a borrower will fail to repay his/her debt (s) to the
bank/lender on the due date.
When the bank/lender is unable to collect the debt (s) from the borrower (s), the
bank/lender will be short by the amount of cash that the borrower has failed to repay.
Another terminology that can be used to describe such a risk factor - “Risk of Default”.
As a bank or any financial services provider’s credit risk increases over time, this
institution is compelled to make provision to write off the debt (s) in its books of account.
Credit risk has a number of sub-issues including concentration risk and settlement
risk.
Concentration risk arises when there are a large number of exposures to parties that
share similar characteristics
Settlement risk arises when a clearing agent or third party processes transactions for
other parties. Settlement risk is particularly important for financial institutions that
process a large number of high-value transactions.
Credit Risk Explained
Country risk and industry risk – affect multinational enterprises.
There are four factors relevant to this:
political risk, which arises when a country’s government is challenged externally or
from within national borders
economic risk, namely the depressed or declining economic stability in a country.
currency risk, which always arises with cross-border lending.
enforcement risk from the legal system in the debtor country. Because a creditor has to
go through a foreign legal system, debtors try to use their domestic legal process to stall
or attempt to avoid paying, claiming that rules from their home country apply.
Managing Credit Risk
Introduction
A bank’s first line of defense against excessive credit risk is the initial credit-granting process
involving:
a) sound underwriting standards,
b) an efficient and balanced approval process, and
c) a competent lending staff.
All of the above is shaped by the role of the bank’s directors to provide guidelines and
principles for the bank’s lending activities. Included in these would be: Loan authority, loan
portfolio, geographic limits, pricing policies, off-balance sheet exposure limits, and
loan review process.
Managing Credit Risk – General Principles
Proper documentation
Guarantees by third parties
Transfer risk to other parties via securitization and loan
participations.
Specialization in Lending
Monitoring and Enforcement Loan Covenants
Managing Credit Risk – General Principles
• Long-term Customer Relationships: past information contained in checking accounts,
savings accounts, and previous loans provides valuable information to more easily determine credit
worthiness.
• Loan Commitments: arrangements where the bank agrees to provide a loan up to a fixed
amount, whenever the firm requests the loan.
• Collateral: a pledge of property or other assets that must be surrendered if the terms of the loan
are not met ( the loans are called secured loans).
• Compensating Balances: reserves that a borrower must maintain in an account that act as
collateral should the borrower default.
• Credit Rationing: Lenders will refuse to lend to some borrowers, regardless of how much interest
they are willing to pay, or lenders will only finance part of a project, requiring that the remaining part
come from equity financing.
Modern Approach to Mitigating Credit Risk…
Rouse (2002), in his book on bank lending, suggests that the professional credit risk manager
apply the following ‘lending principles’ to facilitate well-informed, thoroughly analysed and
documentary-supported credit decision:
Take time to reach a decision.
Do not be too proud to ask for a second opinion
Get full information from the customer and do not make unnecessary assumptions (i.e. do
not lend to a business you do not fully understand).
Do not take a customer’s statements and representations at face value and do ask for
evidence to support the statements.
Distinguish between facts, estimates and opinions when forming a judgment.
Think again when your gut reaction suggests caution, even though the factual assessment
looks satisfactory.
MACRO (MEGA ENVIRONMENT) RISKS
Government is a dominant factor in determining the macro
environment.
Government economic policies affect many variables including
inflation, fiscal policy and exchange rate.
Infrastructural inadequacies may be big issue.
The political environment.
Diversion
Risk
Demand
COMPANY RISK Supply Risk
Risk
Production
Risk
Credit Products Specific Risks
Risk of Inventory Financing
Risk that the bank may finance spurious Confirm genuineness of accounts
receivables that were not accounted for receivables/debtors.
in the books of the borrower. Analyze credit worthiness of
debtors on whom the accounts
Risk that the third-party debtor is receivables are created.
insolvent or not in a financial position to
honour obligation.
Get debtor to agree to assign debt
to the bank - domiciliation of
Risk that the letter of domiciliation is
payment.
repudiated by the issuing company. Check if receivable is encumbered.
So, knowledge of
customer’s export business
is key.
Risk factors in post- shipment finance and Mitigants
B. Compendium of Securities in
Lending
Loan Documentation & Legal Issues
Definitions
Loan
money given to somebody on the condition that it will be paid back later. (Admits of all
kinds of bankers’ advances by whatever name called)
Lending:
the act of letting somebody use something temporarily subject to its being returned.
Documentation:
1. Evidential or reference documents provided or collected together as evidence or as
reference material
2. process of providing written information or details about something.
• Documentation consists of written materials (e.g. letters , typed and untyped; signed
agreements; intra-office memos; drafts, cheques and other bills of exchange;
photographs; drawings; video and audio recordings; narratives and other forms of
communications) that clearly describe any aspect of the relationship between the lender
and the borrower
Why Documentation is Important
To Confirm Relationship
To Confirm Terms Of The Relationship
To Confirm Responsibilities Of The Relationship
To confirm the duties and responsibilities of the lender
To determine duties and responsibilities of the borrower
To determine what constitutes default on the part of any of the parties
To ascertain the rights and duties ensuing from the default of any party
To confirm the procedure for enforcement of each party’s rights
To identify any 3rd party to the relationship, his relationship, rights and obligations
To determine what has actually taken place and the consequential obligations and
rights of all parties
Typical Loan Documentation?
a. Offer Letter
b. Loan Agreements
c. Board Resolution
d. Security Documentation
e. Conditions & Covenants
f. Guarantees/Indemnities
Offer Letter – Its Importance & Details
Its Importance Details of An Offer Letter
Benefits of Collateral
To the Bank To the Customer
• Enhances the probability of repayment • Reduces the incentive to take risk
• Increases lending business • Increases the volume of loan that
can be taken
• Reduces the problem of information • Reduces the risk of over borrowing
asymmetry
• Ensures that the customer has an abiding • Reduces the cost of credit
interest in the loan transaction
The Collateral Question
Features of Acceptable collateral
Stability of value
Ease of Transfer
Marketability
Collateral Coverage
• Bankers do not lend 100% of the value of the asset. The % lent depends on the asset and bank
policy. There is always a collateral coverage – that is the collateral will have a value higher than
the amount lent.
Why?
• The asset may fall in value
• The loan attracts interest and continues to grow if not adequately serviced
• The bank will incur costs if it has to sell the asset
• And may do so at an unfavourable price
Collateral Types & Valuation
Immovable Collateral Intangibles
Real Property: Land and Building Negotiable instrument
Plant and Equipment Document of title
Natural Resources Stocks and bonds
Timber in the forest Book debt
General Intangibles
Goods
Consumer goods Other kinds of collateral
Farm products Deposit accounts
Inventory Life insurance policy
Equipment
Fixtures
Principles Of Collateral Evaluation
Collateral evaluation is not to find an accurate, unique price, but to find a price and logic
which are realistic, practical, and acceptable by ordinary market participants.
1. Evaluate collateral on the basis of the market value rather than book value.
2. Seek opinion of major dealers
3. Consider market size and liquidity
4. Apply the most conservative evaluation method.
5. If possible, for immovable property should be located such that bank officers can
take frequent visits. For others, the bank must be in constructive possession
6. Watch the market price if it’s rising fast: a price bubble may be developing.
Securities & Their Respective Issues
Where a collateral is taken, it is important to:
Obtain an independent view of its value and marketability. A regular review of the value of
the collateral should be performed and any shortfall, when compared with the outstanding
facility amount, should be covered.
Ensure that there is adequate insurance cover on assets taken as security.
Make the lender the loss payee in the case of a claim.
Legally, the assets of a company secure its obligations. However, taking a specific security
puts a lender in a superior position relative to other creditors. To the senior lender, all junior
lenders are effectively equity.
It is important for a lender to avoid inadvertently taking an inferior position relative to other
lenders
Securities & their Respective Issues
Depending on the collateral, banks are advised to conduct a search with the relevant
regulatory authority before approving a facility.
Such regulatory authorities include the Corporate Affairs Commission (CAC), the Land
Registry in the state where the land is situate & the Central Securities Clearing System
(CSCS).
Banks must also ensure that they register their interest immediately after the loan is granted
or at least commence registration before disbursement. However, ALL documentation
required for the registration process MUST be obtained before disbursement.
For example all intended Legal Mortgages that are not yet perfected can be referred to as
Equitable Mortgage because the Bank’s interest is still not noted.
Common Types Of Securities For Bank Loans
1. Mortgages
2. Debentures
3. Lien
4. Guarantees and indemnities
5. Negative pledge
6. Right of set-off
7. Letter of comfort
8. Charge over credit balance
9. Domiciliation of payment
10. Letter of hypothecation
Mortgages
Most widely used form of security by banks and other corporate organisations.
The borrower is the mortgagor while the bank (lender) is the mortgagee.
Until full discharge of the loan, the legal title as opposed to possession of the property,
remains with the mortgagee.
On default, the mortgagee can exercise his right over the mortgaged property either by
way of sale or foreclosure.
• Fixed Charge Debenture: A charge on the specific listed IMMOVABLE assets of the
borrower excluding landed properties. The listed assets cannot be sold without the
consent of the bank being sought & obtained. The registration of the fixed charge gives a
ranking position to the bank relative to other lenders.
• Mortgage Debenture: It is a charge over the fixed and floating asset including Legal
Mortgage. This is different from All Asset Debenture which is a charge over fixed and floating
asset excluding landed properties.
• Pari - Passu Debenture: This is a situation where a charge is created by separate creditors
ranking equally in priority. It could also arise when a creditor who possesses a first charge on
a debtor’s collateral security grants consent to another creditor(s) to share in the security on a
side by side basis
Pledges
Created when the borrower makes a physical or constructive transfer of his/her
property to the lender as security until the loan is repaired.
The lender keeps possession of the property, the borrower keeps the legal title.
It is the earliest form of security in commerce and widely practiced in Nigeria.
It serves as security to the lender, as it gives the lender the right to sell off the security
to offset the loan in the case of default.
Guarantees and Indemnities
A guarantee operates when a 3rd party (guarantor) holds himself out as the one liable to pay
the loan should the borrower fail to pay. The guarantor is the secondary obligor. This is
indirect exposure.
An indemnity operates when an indemnifier undertakes to repay the facility from inception,
which makes him/her the primary obligor. This is a direct exposure
When obtaining a third party guarantee or indemnity from an individual, the bank must also
obtain a statement of net worth signed as an affidavit.
The idea of an affidavit is because a false statement made under oath constitutes the crime
of ‘perjury’ which is punishable by a term of imprisonment.
Other Types Of Securities
Negative Pledge 1 Negative Pledge 4 1
5. Lien On Account
The customer charges as security for banking facilities his/her credit balance which
could be in fixed or short-term deposit account, current account, savings account or
domiciliary account
Other Types Of Securities
6. Letter Of Hypothecation
It is an equitable charge.
Operates where it is impracticable to give possession of the goods or document of title to the
goods to the bank. E.g. a customers applies for a banking facility to import goods, which are
charged to the bank as security or to manufacture goods.
It confers a right in preference to other creditors to have the goods satisfy the liabilities secured
Dangers Of Not Perfecting
The risks associated with not perfecting security documents include:
A charge on a company’s assets not registered at the CAC within 90 days of
creation, is void. The bank will need a court order after 90 days to revive the charge.
The documentation provided by the customer could have expired where land is
involved e.g. a lease.
Should there be default before perfection, the bank will be in the position of an
unsecured creditor.
Major Documentation Errors/Pitfalls
Poor financial statements that reveal little or nothing about the viability of project
MODULE 8
The Credit Control Desk checks through the approved credit and ensures it is in line with
the stipulations of the Bank’s Credit Policy Guide as per target market, risk acceptance
criteria, security, lending approval limits, minimum risk adjusted return, satisfactory account
operation, etc.
Once the loan is disbursed, it forms part of the portfolio of loans being monitored by the
Relationship Team and the Loan Monitoring Department.
Monitoring & Reporting
Monitoring is a crucial aspect of loan management
It is a function of both relationship management and risk management
It can be in form of observations
From reviewing the customer ‘s account
Attending social events – birthdays, children marriage ceremonies, naming ceremonies etc
Visiting the plant/premises, and holding discussions
From reading newspapers and magazines
Monitoring & Reporting
Note in credit file: Risk Management ’ s periodic reports, typically
Observations made during plant and monthly, will include comprehensive reports on all
social visits the facilities, showing the following:
Classification
explanations given by the customer when
Limit
asked about cheques drawn against
Amount borrowed
insufficient fund (if any)
Current Balance
Newspapers cuttings should be filed Provision made
Make all these available to risk management Collateral held and value, Loan-to-value,
department whether LM or EM, if fully perfected,
The bank should have a periodic reporting insurance status
programme The branch should also hold meetings to review all
credit facilities and agree on actions to be taken to
At least a monthly report is required, showing secure the repayment of non-performing facilities
ALL credit facilities, their balances, agreed Reporting is about communication and is a key
limits and expiry dates aspect of credit management
Loan Monitoring Process
At the Portfolio Level, the Loan Management Officers have tools to generate reports that include the
following:
Unapproved Credits
Expired Limits with Outstanding Balances
Loans and Leases with Repayment of Principal and Interest in Arrears
Facilities Disbursed before Conditions Precedents are met
Facilities with Deferrals, and Uncured Deferrals
Future Maturities Report
Unfunded Accounts for Clearing Cheques. With this report, the Loan Officer can direct the
Clearing Department to return a Cheque unpaid with or without the consent of the Relationship
Manager.
Deal Booked Daily to know who, which and what credits have been booked. Booking Limit
Breaches can be sanctioned with this report
Future Schedule of Due Rentals on Leases
Turnover Report to check for performance on liquidity, yield and repayment
Early Warning Signs
When Do Loans Become Problems?
Loans become problems when: Problem recognition is an anticipatory state of
mind. There are 4 key steps in problem
Bad Credit Judgment recognition viz:
Good judgment not exercised at
inception 1. Understanding business and financial
Flaws in structuring risks,
2. Applying sound credit judgment,
Poor Implementation 3. Recognizing industry/ macroeconomic
Inadequate follow-through/ analysis and risks
implementation 4. Picking up early warning signals
Defective documentation
The first 3 keys must be institutionalized and
Borrower’s Deterioration must take place prior to the granting of the
Deterioration in borrowers management facility.
or competitive/economic environment. Items 3 & 4 must be part of the monitoring
process of the granted facility.
Identifying Early Warning Signals
Early warning signals are certain observable traits exhibited by a loan that is about to go bad. It takes the
discernment of a loan officer to proactively identify, promptly follow-up as well as escalate the situation for
timely intervention of the management.
2.Management Signals
3.Managerial Signals
4.Business Signals
5.Information Signals
8.Economic Signals
• Inability to Service Interest/ or Principal as and when • Changing Attitudes and Lack of Cooperation
due • Failure to meet Personal Obligations
• Exit or Sudden Withdrawal of a key staff from Contact List
• Sticky account with little or no turnover Inability to Meet Commitments on Schedule
• High incidence of Returned Cheques • Poor Planning
• Excessive Risk Taking
• Failure of Overdraft to Revolve within Cash cycle or • Poor Financial Systems, Records and Control
Terms of the Offer (i.e. lack of swings on the account)
• Neglect of Business
• Reducing Yield on Account to the Bank • Excess Emphasis on New Ventures
• Unrealistic Pricing
• Incessant Request for Temporary Availments above
• Lack of Successor Management
Regular Limit
• Chronic Labor Problems
• Inability to Respond to Changing Market
• Rapidly Growing One-man Operations
• Business Overcomes Management’s Capability
Identifying Early Warning Signals
Oversupply Factor
Recession Vulnerability
REALIZATION OF SECURITY
Should the customer be unable to pay, the
bank resorts to the sale of the deposited
security (realization of security)
Loan Workout Techniques
Loan Workout Techniques depend on the underlying peculiarities and circumstances of the loan.
Rescheduling of Repayments
Reducing Interest Rate
Amending Schedule Repayments to Cash flow patterns
Rescheduling of Repayments as well as Interval/due dates
Enhancements to Working Capital, fresh loans and Use of part-profit to repay loan
Loan Workout Techniques
Restructuring:
Overdraft into Term Loan
Overdraft into Overdraft and Term Loan
Termination/ Rebooking to cater for longer tenor, reduced principal and interest repayment (i.e.
change in amount, rate, tenor, & repayment frequency
Conversion of Import Finance Facility to Warehouse Finance Facility
Conversion of Import Finance Facility to Overdraft or Term Loan
Conversion of Arrears in Principal and Interest into Term loan
Substitution of Securities, Release and Setting off Cash Security
Administrative Effort:
Write-off of a portion of the loan
Interest Refund
Debt Forgiveness
Loan Recovery Process
Introduction
Non-performing loans seriously affect profitability of the Bank.
Some borrowers do not follow discipline of payment of their loans and default. Some fail due
to numerous reasons beyond their control. Bank’s growth is retarded if loans are classified.
Bank must be vigilant to ensure that the loans do not become sticky for which following
measures are very essential: -
Close monitoring during validity/repayment period of loan.
Gear up persuasion right from initial stage of its default/non-payment of installments.
Understanding reasons of non-payment to obviate the problem.
Constant follow-up with defaulting borrowers. Take effective steps to save the loan from
turning it to NPL.
Relationship Manager (RM) must try to identify reasons of default of loan non-payment and
find out ways to get the loan recovered/regularized.
Loan Recovery Methods
Beyond good database for all sorts of credits and securities, and adoption of Provisions of the
Prudential Guidelines, the recovery methods (singly or in combination) used by Banks include:
Foreclosure on Collaterals
Referral to External Solicitors for Legal Action – This takes time and resources
Letters & Reminders Cash Credit or Secured Overdraft etc. – Send letters two months ahead of expiry to
confirm renewal or payout.
Non-performing Accounts – Send letter giving 30 days notice for full payment.
Term Loan Accounts – Send letter once an installment remains unpaid urging them to
regularize their account.
Inspection & Site Visits Concerned Branch /RM or Recovery Officers shall collect information regarding
reasons of default through personal contact / visit etc.
Branch Officials/RO shall inspect the shop/factory/residential address of the borrower
to ascertain the position of their business and reason of failure.
They will submit report along with their findings.
Credit Recovery: Phased Management, Rule-based Progress
EARLY PHASE LATE PHASE
FOCUS Focus is on working out a solution in Focus shifts from protecting the customer
cooperation with the customer, giving high relationship to protecting assets and
priority to the protection of the customer minimizing losses .
relationship.
AIM Aim is to minimize the number of cases Aim is to recover the highest volume of
moving through to the later stages . assets possible
Phased management must allow some space for ad-hoc management but with close monitoring and
control
MODULE 9
Miscellaneous Credit
Issues
• Basel Accord
• Role of AMCON in Distress Resolution
• Credit Registry & CRMS
Basel 1,2 and 3
ACCORD OBJECTIVES :
o Develop a framework that will strengthen financial soundness in banks.
o Introduce strong and reliable risk management practices in the banking sector.
o Ensure global consistency in the application of the accord principles.
Basel
Basel Basel 3
1 2 2018
1988 2004
Comparison Between Basel 1,2 and 3
S/N BASEL 1 (1988) BASEL 2 ( 2004) BASEL 3
1 Considered two risks ( Credit Considered three risk Pillar 1:
Risk and Market Risk) for classes (Credit Risk, Market Enhanced Minimum
capital allocation. Risk and Operational Risk) Capital and liquidity
for capital allocation. requirements.
Quality and level of
2 Adopted a uniform one size fits Asset quality to determine capital considered.
all risk weight on all classes of risk weight to be assigned to Additional 4.4% on
assets without considering asset classes. RWA after deductions.
their quality.
3 Main concern was on minimum Three Pillars introduced Additional 2.5% for
capital requirement . ( 8% for a) Minimum capital Capital conservation
international banks) adequacy. buffer bringing total to
b) Supervisory review 7% of RWA of
c) Market discipline common equity.
d) Three tiers of capital
requirement.
Comparison Between Basel 1,2 and 3 (Contd)
S/N BASEL 3
Countercyclical buffer of 0-2.5% to avoid systemic risk
Pillar 2:
Enhanced Enterprise Risk Mgt. and supervision.
ICAAP requirement.
Address enterprise wide governance and off-balance sheet capital
requirement.
1
Pillar 3:
Enhanced mkt discipline and full disclosure.
Additional buffer for Systemically Important Financial Institutions (
SIFI) to go beyond Basel 3requirement.
2 Liquidity standard.
Definition of Capital
Tier 1: Core Capital
Equity
Disclosed reserves
The Accord covered only credit risk and the relationship between risk and capital was
not effective considering current standards.
Credit Risk
Market Risk
Operational Risk
‘Other Risk’
The Organization Of The New Accord