Sampling Distribution
Sampling Distribution
CHAPTER 7
7.1 PHstat output:
Common Data
Mean 100
Standard Deviation 2
Probability for a Range
Probability for X <= From X Value 95
X Value 95 To X Value 97.5
Z Value -2.5 Z Value for 95 -2.5
P(X<=95) 0.0062097 Z Value for 97.5 -1.25
P(X<=95) 0.0062
Probability for X > P(X<=97.5) 0.1056
X Value 102.2 P(95<=X<=97.5) 0.0994
Z Value 1.1
P(X>102.2) 0.1357 Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 35.00%
Probability for X<95 or X >102.2 Z Value -0.38532
P(X<95 or X >102.2) 0.1419 X Value 99.22936
(a) P( X < 95) = P(Z < – 2.50) = 0.0062
(b) P(95 < X < 97.5) = P(– 2.50 < Z < – 1.25) = 0.1056 – 0.0062 = 0.0994
(c) P( X > 102.2) = P(Z > 1.10) = 1.0 – 0.8643 = 0.1357
10
(d) P( X > A) = P(Z > – 0.39) = 0.65 X = 100 – 0.39( ) = 99.22
25
7.3 (a) For samples of 25 customer receipts for a supermarket for a year, the sampling
distribution of sample means is the distribution of means from all possible samples of 25
customer receipts for a supermarket for that year.
(b) For samples of 25 insurance payouts in a particular geographical area in a year, the
sampling distribution of sample means is the distribution of means from all possible
samples of 25 insurance payouts in that particular geographical area in that year.
(c) For samples of 25 Call Center logs of inbound calls tracking handling time for a credit
card company during the year, the sampling distribution of sample means is the
distribution of means from all possible samples of 25 Call Center logs of inbound calls
tracking handling time for a credit card company during that year.
7.4
cont.
Sample Number Outcomes Sample Means X i
1 1, 1 X1 = 1
2 1, 3 X2 = 2
3 1, 6 X 3 = 3.5
4 1, 7 X4 = 4
5 1, 9 X5 = 5
6 1, 10 X 6 = 5.5
7 3, 1 X7 = 2
8 3, 3 X8 = 3
9 3, 6 X 9 = 4.5
10 3, 7 X 10 = 5
11 3, 9 X 11 = 6
12 3, 10 X 12 = 6.5
13 6, 1 X 13 = 3.5
14 6, 3 X 14 = 4.5
15 6, 6 X 15 = 6
16 6, 7 X 16 = 6.5
17 6, 9 X 17 = 7.5
18 6, 10 X 18 = 8
19 7, 1 X 19 = 4
20 7, 3 X 20 = 5
21 7, 6 X 21 = 6.5
22 7, 7 X 22 = 7
23 7, 9 X 23 = 8
24 7, 10 X 24 = 8.5
25 9, 1 X 25 = 5
26 9, 3 X 26 = 6
27 9, 6 X 27 = 7.5
28 9, 7 X 28 = 8
29 9, 9 X 29 = 9
30 9, 10 X 30 = 9.5
31 10, 1 X 31 = 5.5
32 10, 3 X 32 = 6.5
33 10, 6 X 33 = 8
34 10, 7 X 34 = 8.5
35 10, 9 X 35 = 9.5
36 10, 10 X 36 = 10
7.5 (a) Because the population diameter of tennis balls is approximately normally distributed, the
sampling distribution of samples of 9 will also be approximately normal with a mean of
σ
μ X = μ = 2.63 and σ X = = 0.01.
n
(b) P( X < 2.61) = P(Z < – 2.00) = 0.0228
Probability for X <=
X Value 2.61
Z Value -2
P(X<=2.61) 0.0227501
(c) P(2.62 < X < 2.64) = P(-1.00 < Z < 1.00) = 0.6827
Probability for a Range
FromX Value 2.62
To X Value 2.64
Z Value for 2.62 -1
Z Value for 2.64 1
P(X<=2.62) 0.1587
P(X<=2.64) 0.8413
P(2.62<=X<=2.64) 0.6827
(d) P(A < X < B) = P( −1.000 < Z < 1.000) = 0.68
Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage. Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 20.00% Cumulative Percentage 80.00%
Z Value -0.841621 Z Value 0.841621
X Value 2.621584 X Value 2.638416
Lower bound: X = 2.6216
Upper bound: X = 2.6384
7.6 (a) When n = 4 , the shape of the sampling distribution of X should closely resemble the
shape of the distribution of the population from which the sample is selected. Because the
mean is larger than the median, the distribution of the sales price of new houses is
skewed to the right, and so is the sampling distribution of X although it will be less
skewed than the population.
(b) If you select samples of n = 100, the shape of the sampling distribution of the sample
mean will be very close to a normal distribution with a mean of $322,100 and a standard
σ
deviation of σ X = = $9,000.
n
σ 90000
(c) σX = = = 9000
n 100
PHStat output:
Probability for X <=
X Value 346000
Z Value 2.6555556
P(X<=346000) 0.9960
P( X < 346,000) = P(Z < 2.6556) = 0.9960
σ 5
7.7 (a) σX = = =1
n 25
PHStat output:
Probability for a Range
From X Value 19.5
To X Value 20.5
Z Value for 19.5 -0.5
Z Value for 20.5 0.5
P(X<=19.5) 0.3085
P(X<=20.5) 0.6915
P(19.5<=X<=20.5) 0.3829
P(19.5 < X < 20.5) = P(– 0.50 < Z < 0.50) = 0.3829
0.70(0.30)
7.9 (a) p = 48/64 = 0.75 (b) σp = = 0.0573
64
( 0.45)( 0.55 )
7.10 (a) p = 20/50 = 0.40 (b) σp = = 0.0704
50
0.30(0.70)
7.11 (a) p = 14/40 = 0.35 (b) σp = = 0.0725
40
π (1 − π ) 0.501(1 − 0.501)
7.12 (a) μ p = π = 0.501 , σ p = = = 0.05
n 100
Partial PHstat output:
Probability for X >
X Value 0.55
Z Value 0.98
P(X>0.55) 0.1635
P(p > 0.55) = P (Z > 0.98) = 1 – 0.8365 = 0.1635
π (1 − π ) 0.6 (1 − 0.6 )
(b) μ p = π = 0.60 , σ p = = = 0.04899
n 100
Partial PHstat output:
Probability for X >
X Value 0.55
Z Value -1.020621
P(X>0.55) 0.8463
P(p > 0.55) = P (Z > – 1.021) = 1 – 0.1539 = 0.8461
π (1 − π ) 0.49 (1 − 0.49 )
(c) μ p = π = 0.49 , σ p = = = 0.05
n 100
Partial PHstat output:
Probability for X >
X Value 0.55
Z Value 1.2002401
P(X>0.55) 0.1150
P(p > 0.55) = P (Z > 1.20) = 1 – 0.8849 = 0.1151
(d) Increasing the sample size by a factor of 4 decreases the standard error by a factor of 2.
π (1 − π ) 0.80 (1 − 0.80 )
7.14 (a) μ p = π = 0.80, σ p = = = 0.04
n 100
Partial PHStat output:
Probability for X <=
X Value 0.85
Z Value 1.2500
P(X<=0.85) 0.8944
P(p < 0.85) = P (Z < 1.2500) = 0.8944
(b) Partial PHStat output:
Probability for a Range
FromX Value 0.75
To X Value 0.85
Z Value for 0.75 -1.2500
Z Value for 0.85 1.2500
P(X<=0.75) 0.1056
P(X<=0.85) 0.8944
P(0.75<=X<=0.85) 0.7887
P(0.75 < p < 0.85) = P (-1.2500< Z < 1.2500) = 0.7887
(c) Partial PHStat output:
Probability for X >
X Value 0.82
Z Value 0.5000
P(X>0.82) 0.3085
P(p > 0.82) = P (Z > 0.5000) = 0.3085
π (1 − π ) 0.80 (1 − 0.80 )
7.14 (d) μ p = π = 0.80, σ p = = = 0.02
n 400
cont. (a) Partial PHStat output:
Probability for X <=
X Value 0.85
Z Value 2.5000
P(X<=0.85) 0.9938
P(p < 0.85) = P (Z < 2.5000) = 0.9938
(b) Partial PHStat output:
Probability for a Range
FromX Value 0.75
To X Value 0.85
Z Value for 0.75 -2.5000
Z Value for 0.85 2.5000
P(X<=0.75) 0.0062
P(X<=0.85) 0.9938
P(0.75<=X<=0.85) 0.9876
P(0.75 < p < 0.85) = P (-2.5000< Z < 2.5000) = 0.9876
(c) Partial PHStat output:
Probability for X >
X Value 0.82
Z Value 1.0000
P(X>0.82) 0.1587
P(p > 0.82) = P (Z > 1.0000) = 0.1587
π (1 − π ) 0.57 (1 − 0.57 )
7.15 (a) μ p = π = 0.57, σ p = = = 0.0495
n 100
PHStat output:
Probability for X <=
X Value 0.57
Z Value 0.0000
P(X<=0.57) 0.5000
P(p < 0.57) = P(Z < 0) = 0.5
(b) Partial PHStat output:
Probability for a Range
FromX Value 0.52
To X Value 0.62
Z Value for 0.52 -1.0099
Z Value for 0.62 1.0099
P(X<=0.52) 0.1563
P(X<=0.62) 0.8437
P(0.52<=X<=0.62) 0.6875
P(0.52 < p < 0.62) = P(-1.0099< Z < 1.0099) = 0.6875
π (1 − π ) 0.15 (1 − 0.15 )
7.16 μ p = π = 0.15, σ p = = = 0.0252
n 200
cont. P(0.12 < p < 0.18) = P (-1.1882< Z < 1.1882) = 0.7652
(b)
Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage. Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 5.00% Cumulative Percentage 95.00%
Z Value -1.6449 Z Value 1.6449
X Value 0.1085 X Value 0.1915
P(A < p < B) = P(– 1.6449 < Z < 1.6449) = 0.90
A = 0.1085
B = 0.1915
(c) PHStat output:
Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage. Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 2.50% Cumulative Percentage 97.50%
Z Value -1.9600 Z Value 1.9600
X Value 0.1005 X Value 0.1995
P(A < p < B) = P(– 1.96< Z < 1.96) = 0.95
A = 0.1005
B = 0.1995
π (1 − π ) 0.49 (1 − 0.49 )
7.17 (a) μ p = π = 0.49, σ p = = = 0.0500
n 100
PHStat output:
Probability for a Range
From X Value 0.48
To X Value 0.53
Z Value for 0.48 -0.20004
Z Value for 0.53 0.80016
P(X<=0.48) 0.4207
P(X<=0.53) 0.7882
P(0.48<=X<=0.53) 0.3675
P(0.48 < p < 0.53) = P(-0.2000 < Z < 0.8002) = 0.3675
(b) PHStat output:
Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage. Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 5.00% Cumulative Percentage 95.00%
Z Value -1.6449 Z Value 1.6449
X Value 0.4078 X Value 0.5722
P(A < p < B) = P(– 1.6449 < Z < 1.6449) = 0.90
A = 0.4078
B = 0.5722
π (1 − π ) 0.49 (1 − 0.49 )
(d) (a) μ p = π = 0.49, σ p = = = 0.0250
n 400
PHStat output:
Probability for a Range
From X Value 0.48
To X Value 0.53
Z Value for 0.48 -0.40008
Z Value for 0.53 1.60032
P(X<=0.48) 0.3445
P(X<=0.53) 0.9452
P(0.48<=X<=0.53) 0.6007
P(0.48 < p < 0.53) = P(-0.4001 < Z < 1.6003) = 0.6007
(b) PHStat output:
Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage. Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 5.00% Cumulative Percentage 95.00%
Z Value -1.6449 Z Value 1.6449
X Value 0.4489 X Value 0.5311
P(A < p < B) = P(– 1.6449 < Z < 1.6449) = 0.90
A = 0.4489
B = 0.5311
(c) Partial PHStat output:
Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage. Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 2.50% Cumulative Percentage 97.50%
Z Value -1.9600 Z Value 1.9600
X Value 0.4410 X Value 0.5390
P(A < p < B) = P(– 1.9600< Z < 1.9600) = 0.95
A = 0.4410
B = 0.5390
π (1 − π ) 0.36 (1 − 0.36 )
7.18 (a) μ p = π = 0.36, σ p = = = 0.0480
n 100
Partial PHStat output:
Probability for X <=
X Value 0.3
Z Value -1.25
P(X<=0.3) 0.1056
P(p < 0.3) = P (Z < -1.25) = 0.1056
π (1 − π ) 0.36 (1 − 0.36 )
(b) μ p = π = 0.36, σ p = = = 0.0240
n 400
Probability for X <=
X Value 0.3
Z Value -2.5
P(X<=0.3) 0.0062
P(p < 0.3) = P (Z < -2.5) = 0.0062
(c) Increasing the sample size by a factor of 4 decreases the standard error by a factor of
4 . The sampling distribution of the proportion becomes more concentrated around the
true proportion of 0.36 and, hence, the probability in (b) becomes smaller than that in (a).
7.19 Because the average of all the possible sample means of size n is equal to the population mean.
7.20 The variation of the sample means becomes smaller as larger sample sizes are taken. This is due
to the fact that an extreme observation will have a smaller effect on the mean in a larger sample
than in a small sample. Thus, the sample means will tend to be closer to the population mean as
the sample size increases.
7.21 As larger sample sizes are taken, the effect of extreme values on the sample mean becomes
smaller and smaller. With large enough samples, even though the population is not normally
distributed, the sampling distribution of the mean will be approximately normally distributed.
7.22 The population distribution is the distribution of a particular variable of interest, while the
sampling distribution represents the distribution of a statistic.
7.23 When the items of interest and the items not of interest are at least 5, the normal distribution can
be used to approximate the binomial distribution.
σ 0.004
7.24 μ X = 0.753 σX = = = 0.0008
n 5
PHStat output:
Common Data
Mean 0.753
Standard Deviation 0.0008
Probability for a Range
Probability for X <= From X Value 0.75
X Value 0.74 To X Value 0.753
Z Value -16.25 Z Value for 0.75 -3.75
P(X<=0.74) 1.117E-59 Z Value for 0.753 0
P(X<=0.75) 0.0001
Probability for X > P(X<=0.753) 0.5000
X Value 0.76 P(0.75<=X<=0.753) 0.4999
Z Value 8.75
P(X>0.76) 0.0000 Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 7.00%
Probability for X<0.74 or X >0.76 Z Value -1.475791
P(X<0.74 or X >0.76) 0.0000 X Value 0.751819
(a) P(0.75 < X < 0.753) = P(– 3.75 < Z < 0) = 0.5 – 0.00009 = 0.4999
(b) P(0.74 < X < 0.75) = P(– 16.25 < Z < – 3.75) = 0.00009
(c) P( X > 0.76) = P(Z > 8.75) = virtually zero
(d) P( X < 0.74) = P(Z < – 16.25) = virtually zero
(e) P( X < A) = P(Z < – 1.48) = 0.07 X = 0.753 – 1.48(0.0008) = 0.7518
σ 0.05
7.25 μ X = 2.0 σX = = = 0.01
n 5
PHStat output:
Common Data
Mean 2
Standard Deviation 0.01
Probability for a Range
Probability for X <= From X Value 1.99
X Value 1.98 To X Value 2
Z Value -2 Z Value for 1.99 -1
P(X<=1.98) 0.0227501 Z Value for 2 0
P(X<=1.99) 0.1587
Probability for X > P(X<=2) 0.5000
X Value 2.01 P(1.99<=X<=2) 0.3413
Z Value 1
P(X>2.01) 0.1587 Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 1.00%
Probability for X<1.98 or X
>2.01 Z Value -2.326348
P(X<1.98 or X
>2.01) 0.1814 X Value 1.976737
σX 0.40
7.26 μ X = 4.7 σX = = = 0.08
n 5
PHstat output:
Common Data
Mean 4.7
Standard Deviation 0.08
Probability for X > Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
X Value 4.6 Cumulative Percentage 23.00%
Z Value -1.25 Z Value -0.738847
P(X>4.6) 0.8944 X Value 4.640892
σX 0.40
7.27 μ X = 5.0 σX = = = 0.08
n 5
(a) Partial PHStat output:
Probability for X >
X Value 4.6
Z Value -5
P(X>4.6) 1.0000
P(4.60 < X ) = P(– 5 < Z) = essentially 1.0
(b) Partial PHStat output:
Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 15.00%
Z Value -1.036433
X Value 4.917085
σ 20
7.28 μ X = μ = 15.23, σ X = = =5
n 16
(a) PHStat output:
Probability for X <=
X Value 0
Z Value -3.046
P(X<=0) 0.0012
P( X < 0) = P(Z < -3.046) = 0.0012
(b) PHStat output:
Probability for a Range
From X Value -10
To X Value 10
Z Value for -10 -5.046
Z Value for 10 -1.046
P(X<=-10) 0.0000
P(X<=10) 0.1478
P(-10<=X<=10) 0.1478
P(-10 < X < 10) = P(-5.0460 < Z < -1.0460) = 0.1478
(c) PHStat output:
Probability for X >
X Value 10
Z Value -1.046
P(X>10) 0.8522
P( X > 10) = P(Z > -1.046) = 0.8522