Decoupling Economic Growth Fro
Decoupling Economic Growth Fro
technologies
Review
Decoupling Economic Growth from Carbon Emissions:
A Transition toward Low-Carbon Energy Systems—A Critical Review
Oluwatoyin J. Gbadeyan 1, * , Joseph Muthivhi 1 , Linda Z. Linganiso 2 and Nirmala Deenadayalu 1
Abstract: Climate change has become a global nightmare, and the awareness of the causes of carbon
emissions has resulted in rigorous studies. These studies linked the increase in global warming
with booming economic growth. Since global warming has become more apparent, researchers
have explored ways to decouple economic activities from carbon growth. Economic and carbon
growth must be decoupled to achieve a low-carbon economy to support the carbon-growth plan or
emission-reduction strategy. The world is transitioning toward a carbon-neutral and green ecosystem,
so finding ways to decouple carbon emissions from economic activities is an exciting topic to explore.
This study reviews current information on the importance of decoupling energy from economic
growth innovative techniques that thoroughly examine the challenges and constraints of low-carbon
energy systems. In order to examine the detrimental effects of carbon emissions on ecosystems and
the ways in which economic expansion contributes to carbon footprints, more than three hundred
research papers were gathered using several search engines, including Elsevier and Google Scholar.
This review revealed that decarbonization and dematerialization had been achieved without declining
global economic growth. It also provides information on energy use and economic activities leading
Citation: Gbadeyan, O.J.; Muthivhi, J.; to global carbon emissions and alternative solutions to the global challenge of climate change. The
Linganiso, L.Z.; Deenadayalu, N. decoupling methods commonly used to determine the impact of energy decarbonization on economic
Decoupling Economic Growth from growth are explored. All the results suggest that economic growth is a primary mover of global
Carbon Emissions: A Transition carbon emission increase and must be separated to achieve a carbon environment.
toward Low-Carbon Energy
Systems—A Critical Review. Clean Keywords: decoupling; economic growth; carbon emissions; low carbon; energy systems
Technol. 2024, 6, 1076–1113.
https://doi.org/10.3390/
cleantechnol6030054
Correspondingly, Juknys [7] confirmed that the decoupling initiation aimed to detach
economic growth from resource usage, which may reduce carbon discharge with the evolu-
tion toward a low-carbon energy system. However, this process requires joint participation
and effort from other countries to succeed. The shift from fossil fuels and coal to renewable
energy is still a big issue in South Africa and globally. For instance, the conflict between
Russia and Ukraine shows that several countries still depend on fossil fuels [6]. The global
world should focus and invest more in renewable energy initiatives to overcome global
emissions. There is a need for scholars to pay more attention to this challenge and propose
viable solutions.
Furthermore, Africa has not only redirected resources toward building and establish-
ing a low-carbon economy, but Europe and other countries are doing the same [5] and
projected and committed to carbon neutrality by 2050 [8,9]. However, extreme weather
conditions such as heat waves, drought, floods, heavy rain, and landslides from climate
change ravage the world’s nations, including the Europeans. The ravaging consequences of
the rapidly changing climate, such as ocean acidification, rising sea levels, and biodiversity
damage, need quick solutions. Countries focus on helping the world transition toward
low-carbon systems for a sustainable future. South Africa, for example, in its transition
toward carbon neutrality, presented the Bioeconomy Strategy, its strategy that plans to
make South Africa green by 2050 [5–9].
Furthermore 2002, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
(OECD) proposed a decoupling theory to separate economic growth from environmental
pressure [9,10]. Moreover, the literature on decoupling has expanded to include envi-
ronmental pressure sources, including energy usage, soot, SO2 , and wastewater [11–15].
Researchers worldwide have been exploring ways to decouple economic growth (DEG) from
carbon emissions (CE) since the consequences of global warming have become more evident.
1.2. Adverse Impact of Carbon Emission on Environment and the Way Out
Several studies have pointed to China as one of the principal carbon emitters globally,
drawing international attention [25,26]. Studies have also shown that climate change nega-
tively impacts human health, well-being, and livelihood [27–29]. Despite unprecedented
growth and development of the world’s economy since 2000 and emissions from differ-
1.2. Adverse Impact of Carbon Emission on Environment and the Way Out
Several studies have pointed to China as one of the principal carbon emitters globally
drawing international attention [25,26]. Studies have also shown that climate change neg-
atively impacts human health, well-being, and livelihood [27–29]. Despite unprecedented
Clean Technol. 2024, 6 1078
growth and development of the world’s economy since 2000 and emissions from different
sources shown in Figure 1, carbon dioxide emissions have also increased, leading to in-
creased temperature-related
ent sources record-breaking
shown in Figure 1, carbon rates [30].
dioxide emissions have also increased, leading to
increased temperature-related record-breaking rates [30].
Figure 1. The sources of carbon emission and their adverse impacts on the environment.
Figure 1. The
Even sources ofare
if emissions carbon emission
reduced andconsistent
to levels their adverse
withimpacts on the environment.
representative concentration
pathway 2.6 (RCP 2.6), extreme temperatures may still occur in the coming decades [30].
Evencompletely
Therefore, if emissions are reduced
decoupling to levelsgrowth
of economic consistent
from with
carbonrepresentative
emissions is a concentration
viable
way to reduce extreme temperatures resulting in global warming. This
pathway 2.6 (RCP 2.6), extreme temperatures may still occur in the coming decades present study re- [30]
views recent literature that focuses on decoupling economic growth from
Therefore, completely decoupling of economic growth from carbon emissions is a viablecarbon emissions
and analyzes the root cause of climate change, which has become a global monster. Using
way to reduce extreme temperatures resulting in global warming. This present study re-
search engines like Google Scholar and Elsevier, more than three hundred research articles
views recent literature that focuses on decoupling economic growth from carbon emis-
were reviewed to determine the detrimental effects of carbon emissions on ecosystems and
sions and analyzes
how economic the root
expansion addscause of climate
to carbon change,
footprints. It alsowhich hasvalid
provides become a globalonmonster
information
Using
the overviews of decoupling techniques and strategies implemented to reduce the conse-research
search engines like Google Scholar and Elsevier, more than three hundred
articlesofwere
quence climatereviewed
change to determine
and the detrimental
factors limiting decouplingeffects of carbon
activities, emissions on eco-
climate economics,
systems
policy and how economic
implications, expansion
decarbonization, adds to carbon
dematerialization, and footprints.
informationItonalso provides valid
techniques
available to tackle these challenges were discussed.
information on the overviews of decoupling techniques and strategies implemented to
reduce the consequence of climate change and factors limiting decoupling activities, cli-
2. Overview of Decoupling Techniques
mate economics, policy implications, decarbonization, dematerialization, and information
According to Zhang [31], Von Weizsacker first proposed decoupling in 1989 to cap-
on techniques available to tackle these challenges were discussed.
ture the coincident interplay between EG and environmental damage. Knowing this, he
studied the dependence on emitting carbon dioxide emissions to boost China’s economy,
2. Overview
attempting to of Decoupling
apply Techniques
the decoupling concept to the environmental sphere. Decoupling
According to Zhang [31], Von Weizsacker
indicators, namely, absolute and relative decoupling, first
wereproposed
introduceddecoupling in 1989 to cap-
by the Organization
for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) into its
ture the coincident interplay between EG and environmental damage.decoupling modelKnowing
to clarify this, he
the decoupling
studied concept [10].
the dependence on emitting carbon dioxide emissions to boost China’s economy
attempting to Methods
2.1. Decoupling apply thefor decoupling concept
Separating Energy to the
Use from environmental
Economic Growth sphere. Decoupling in-
dicators, namely, absolute and relative decoupling, were introduced by the Organization
Juknys [32] distinguished primary decoupling from environmental pollution and
for Economic
secondary Cooperation
decoupling and Development
from natural (OECD)whereas
resource consumption, into itsdual
decoupling model
decoupling occursto clarify
the decoupling
when primary andconcept [10].decoupling coincide. Currently, three decoupling methods
secondary
are commonly explored to examine the fundamental association between energy use and
the degradation of the environment due to energy use. One of these methods is the
Taipo decoupling technique, which outlines three types: primary, secondary, and doubled
decoupling, as shown in Figure 2 [32,33].
curs when primary and secondary decoupling coincide. Currently, three decoupling
methods are commonly explored to examine the fundamental association between energy
use and the degradation of the environment due to energy use. One of these methods is
the Taipo decoupling technique, which outlines three types: primary, secondary, and dou-
Clean Technol. 2024, 6 1079
bled decoupling, as shown in Figure 2 [32,33].
Figure
Figure 2. Classifying taipo 2. Classifying
decoupling taipo decoupling
technique technique
commonly commonly
used used for decoupling
for decoupling of carbon
of carbon emission
emission
and economic growth.
and economic growth.
Primary decoupling is defined as decoupling the use of natural resources from EG.
Primary decoupling is defined
Secondary as is
decoupling decoupling the usethe
defined as decoupling ofconsumption
natural resources from EG.
of natural resources from
environmental pollution. Double decoupling materializes when primary and secondary
Secondary decouplingdecoupling
is defined as decoupling the consumption of natural resources
coincides. Based on decoupling elasticity, this model was classified into eight
from environmental pollution. Double
types. Decoupling decoupling
includes materializes
strong, weak, and expansivewhen primaryexpansive
decoupling; and sec- and
ondary decoupling coincides. Based and
recessive couplings; on strong,
decoupling elasticity,
weak, and recessive. this model was classified
into eight types. Decoupling includes
2.2. Theoretical strong,
Foundations weak, and
for Decoupling expansive
Economic decoupling;
Growth and expansive
Carbon Emissions
and recessive couplings;
2.2.1.and strong,
Kuznets Curveweak, and recessive.
The Kuznets curve is one of the most important theoretical foundations for decoupling
2.2. Theoretical Foundations for growth
economic and carbon
Decoupling emission,
Economic commonly
Growth andexplored
CarbonforEmissions
coupling and decoupling
economic growth and pollutants. It is used to define how economic growth relates to
2.2.1. Kuznets Curve environmental quality [34–38]. Wang, Yang, and Rongrong [35] explored the traditional
environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) to investigate the influence of urbanization on the
The Kuznets curve is one of the most important theoretical foundations for decou-
coupling of economic growth and environmental quality. They developed threshold panel
pling economic growth andusing
models carbon emission,
56 countries’ data,commonly explored
setting economic growth asforexplanatory
couplingvariables
and de- and
carbon emission as the explained variable. This study confirmed
coupling economic growth and pollutants. It is used to define how economic growth re- that economic growth
strongly influences the increase in carbon emissions during low-income inequality as
lates to environmental quality [34–38]. Wang, Yang, and Rongrong [35] explored the
this income severely increases the complexity of economic growth and carbon emission
traditional environmental Kuznets
decoupling. curve
This implies (EKC)
that income to investigate
inequality the influence
significantly increases of
carbon emissions,
urbanization on the and an income
coupling ofdistribution
economic policy was suggested
growth to regulate excessivequality.
and environmental income inequality.
They
They analyzed the decoupling influence of the impact of trade on carbon emissions and
developed threshold panel models using 56 countries’ data, setting economic growth as
which circumstance trade can decouple carbon emission using the combination of Tapio
explanatory variables and carbon emission as the explained variable. This study
confirmed that economic growth strongly influences the increase in carbon emissions
during low-income inequality as this income severely increases the complexity of
economic growth and carbon emission decoupling. This implies that income inequality
Clean Technol. 2024, 6 1080
and the decoupling threshold model for 124 countries selected globally between 2000 and
2018. A weak relationship between economic growth, carbon emission, and trade openness
was observed and suggested that countries of different income groups must benefit from
fairer free trade before carbon neutralization [38].
Erdogan, Okumus, and Guzel [34] used EKC to examine the impact of renewable
and non-renewable energy, economic growth, oil price, energy consumption, and trade
openness on carbon emission in 25 OECD countries from 1990 to 2014. First- and second-
generation estimation techniques, which are dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) and
fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS), were adopted to provide comparative
panel data shreds of evidence. The EKC hypothesis is confirmed valid in OECD countries,
but the augmented mean group (AMG), the second-generation estimator, revealed that the
EKC hypothesis is invalid. At the same time, the augmented mean group estimator offers
stronger results under sectional dependence than DOLS. They also discovered that trade
openness and carbon emissions are unrelated [37].
Figure
Figure3.3.The
Thedecoupling
decouplingtechnique used for
technique used for separating
separatingeconomic
economicgrowth
growth from
from carbon
carbon emissions.
emissions.
Overall,the
Overall, theYunnan
Yunnan province
province showed
showedstrong
strongdecoupling,
decoupling,while whileweak
weakandandexpensive
expensive
negative decoupling was pragmatic in some years. Jiang et
negative decoupling was pragmatic in some years. Jiang et al. [60] combined al. [60] combined thethe
Tapio
Tapio
model with the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) model to examine the CO2 emissions of
model with the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) model to examine the CO2 emissions
China’s Guangdong province from 1995 to 2014. Wang et al. [61] examined the decoupling
of China’s Guangdong province from 1995 to 2014. Wang et al. [61] examined the decou-
status of individual sectors in China and the United States and the driving forces of CO
pling status of individual sectors in China and the United States and the driving forces2 of
emissions by employing the Tapio and LMDI modeling methods. In this regard, this review
CO 2 emissions by employing the Tapio and LMDI modeling methods. In this regard, this
provides current information on the importance of decoupling energy from economic
review
growth.provides current
It examined the information
techniques and on factors
the importance of decoupling
limiting decoupling energy
activities from eco-
to achieve
nomic
low-carbon energy systems. It also analyzes the limitations of the impact of economic and to
growth. It examined the techniques and factors limiting decoupling activities
achieve low-carbon energy
policy implications systems.
of climate change.ItItalso
alsoanalyzes the recent
investigates limitations of the
research andimpact of eco-
innovation
nomic and
and the policy implications
challenges and constraintsof climate
in usingchange.
low-carbonIt also investigates
energy recent
systems. This research
study provedand
innovation and the challenges and constraints in using low-carbon energy
that the development of low-carbon energy sectors is critical to achieving the decoupling systems. This
of economic
study proved growth
that thefrom carbon emissions.
development The low-carbon
of low-carbon energy sectors energy systemtocould
is critical be
achieving
achieved
the by reducing
decoupling the carbon
of economic intensity
growth fromofcarbon
energyemissions.
and energy The intensity of gross energy
low-carbon domesticsys-
product (GDP), which may eventually reduce the impact of energy decarbonization
tem could be achieved by reducing the carbon intensity of energy and energy intensity of on
economic
gross domesticgrowth.
productMoreover,
(GDP), this
whichnewmayinsight provides
eventually a better
reduce understanding
the impact of energyof decar-
the
decoupling between economic growth and carbon mission, which
bonization on economic growth. Moreover, this new insight provides a better understand-might contribute to
carbon footprint-reduction pathways.
ing of the decoupling between economic growth and carbon mission, which might con-
tribute to carbon
3. Factors footprint-reduction
Limiting/Contributing pathways. Activities
to Decoupling
Several factors restrict decoupling, including the carbon coefficient, the economic struc-
ture effect, the labor force input effect, and the investment effect. In addition, Xie et al. [62]
employed the Tapio and LMDI models to investigate the influences prompting the decou-
pling of CO2 emissions from the gross domestic product (GDP) in China’s power industry,
concluding that economic scale and electrification were two significant deterrents. Li and
Qin [63] reported that between 2015 and 2030, China’s CO2 emissions would decouple from
its economic development significantly. Many scholars have analyzed the Tapio decoupling
Clean Technol. 2024, 6 1082
model to quantify the contributions of solid factors influencing decoupling [64]. It was
determined that income, carbon intensity, population, and energy structure contributed to
decoupling CE from China and the U.S. economy. However, most of the outcomes of these
studies are just in black and white but not implemented. Implementing these findings may
have helped reduce CE.
To investigate the decoupling between Liaoning’s energy consumption and GDP,
Dong et al. [65] considered five decoupling indicator factors: the energy mix, labor, eco-
nomic activity, energy intensity, and investment. Zhao et al. [66] used these factors to
assess the impact of specific sectors on decoupling China’s economy from CE. Also, to
measure the variables that impact decoupling, certain scholars have sought to determine
the effectiveness of environmental policies [67–71] and premeditated the decoupling effort
indices of CE from the economy for each province. They analyzed the effectiveness of
energy efficiency implementations, energy structure changes, and other procedures aimed
at decoupling achievement. Having calculated the current decoupling effort index and
evaluating the contributions of energy intensity, energy structure, and population to the
decoupling efforts, Román et al. [12] decided that the current decoupling dealings were
meticulous. Nonetheless, additional effort was required. Jiang [70] determined the decou-
pling effort index measures the influence of energy-conservation and emission-reduction
measures on the decoupling of China’s construction industry carbon emissions.
3.1. Protectionism
Protectionism is another limitation to decoupling activities, becoming the primary
hesitation accompanying the global economy, energy, and the environment. The restriction
implemented by public health emergency international concern and different countries
to curb the spread of COVID-19 adversely affected international trade. Consequently,
this isolationism induced challenges to carbon footprint reduction in both developed and
developing countries. Wang and Zhang [71] investigated the impact of trade openness
on separating carbon emissions from economic growth after recognizing and increasing
awareness of protectionism. The crucial need for implementing economic growth and
carbon emission decoupling by the intended nationally determined contributions (INDCs)
was one of the motivations for this study. They explored the influence of protectionism
on the disconnect economic growth from carbon emission, considering data available for
182 countries between 1990 and 2015. This study’s outcome shows that trade openness
benefits only high- and upper-middle-income countries, as a decrease in carbon emission
is seen in countries of these categories. In contracts, trade openness adversely affects
low-income countries as their carbon emission drastically increases with trade openness.
A targeted policy to regulate countries’ income with trade openness is advised. This
study corresponds with Wang, Yang, and Rongrong’s [34] study, stressing the creation and
implementation of targeted policies to regulate countries’ income.
4.1. Emission Scenarios and Options for Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction
The IPCC reported scenarios representing alternative visions of how the future may
unfold and represent a suitable means for scrutinizing how driving forces may impact
future emissions outcomes and evaluating the reservations surrounding them. Their re-
sponsibilities include analyzing climate change and assessing impacts, climate modeling,
mitigation, and adaptation. Ongoing evaluation and comparison of long-term emission sce-
narios, such as frequently updated scenario database, must be established [83]; (1) capacity
building should be performed, particularly in developing countries, modeling tools, and
emission scenarios [84]; (2) future scenario analyses should be performed using multiple
storylines and models [85]; (3) the development of innovative research actions should be
performed to assess impending developments in critical GHG powerful drive in greater
detail at the subregional, regional, and sectoral levels, allowing more specific emissions
scenarios and mitigation option linkages [86]; (4) enhanced specification and data for and
integration of the non-CO2 GHG and non-energy sectors should be targeted, such as land-
use change, model inter-comparison, and forestry, to advance situations and scrutinize [87];
(5) integrating particulates, hydrogen, or aerosol nitrate precursor emissions into models
and progressions, such as a response from climate change on emissions, may meaningfully
impact situation analysis and results.
Developing further gridded emissions for scenarios could enhance regional assess-
ment [88]; (6) this can be performed along with priorities to assess strategies addressing
multiple national, regional, or global issues [89]; (7) China seems to be taking a comparable
emission pathway to the global one. China’s 1.5 C scenario motivation primarily empha-
sizes the subsequent influences, as opposed to the 2 C scenario analysis: this includes a
significantly sophisticated stake of electricity consumption in end-use sectors such as trans-
portation, construction, and industry, and by or before 2050, zero or negative emissions
from the power generation sector. Generally, most emission scenarios that target 1.5 ◦ C
by 2100 exceed those shown in Figure 4, meaning the net carbon budget will be 400 Gt
CO2 . The number of CO2 emissions previously going to zero depends on the harmful
emissions following zero. Global CO2 emissions may reach zero in 2050 and 2060 if the cur-
rent Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs) with the subsection designated for Coupled
Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) are well followed and implemented [90].
emissions following zero. Global CO2 emissions may reach zero in 2050 and 2060 if the
current Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs) with the subsection designated for Cou-
Clean Technol. 2024, 6 pled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) are well followed and implemented
1084
[90].
Figure 4. The
Figure 4. The °C◦ C
1.51.5 scenario
scenariomap underdifferent
map under different levels
levels of energy--GDP
of energy—GDP decoupling,
decoupling, REand
RE speed, speed, and
NETs [89].[89].
NETs
According to the SSPs, CD-LINKS, and ADVANCE study, the global carbon budget
According to the SSPs, CD-LINKS, and ADVANCE study, the global carbon budget
should range from 800 to 900 Gt with harmful emissions of 400 to 500 Gt [90–92]. In both
should rangethe
countries, from 800 sector
power to 900isGt thewith
mostharmful emissions
substantial source ofofGHG
400 emissions.
to 500 Gt [90–92].
By 2050, In both
countries, the power sector is the most substantial source of GHG emissions.
the fossil-fuel-dominated power sector will account for over half of all GHG. Growth By 2050, the
fossil-fuel-dominated powerinsector
in income and an increase will account
electrification forexpected
rates are over half of allaGHG.
to drive rise in Growth
power in in-
demand in both countries in the future [93–95]. Researchers have noted that
come and an increase in electrification rates are expected to drive a rise in power demand renewable
energy
in both (RE) technologies
countries may[93–95].
in the future be critical in reducinghave
Researchers GHGnoted
to stabilize at 450 ppm energy
that renewable CO2 (RE)
equivalent attentiveness by 2100 [96]. In absolute terms, India and China are projected to
technologies may be critical in reducing GHG to stabilize at 450 ppm CO2 equivalent at-
become the largest energy consumers by 2030, as predicted by the International Energy
tentiveness
Agency 2017by 2100 [96]. In absolute
[97]. Consequently, terms, India
both countries must and China
reduce their are projected
emissions to become the
substantially
largest energy consumers by 2030, as predicted by the International Energy
to accomplish the 450 ppm CO2 -Equiv concentration stabilization target, but decisive Agency 2017
[97].extenuation
Consequently,
actionsboth
couldcountries
also hindermustthese reduce their
countries’ EG. emissions substantially to accom-
plish the 450 ppm CO2-Equiv concentration stabilization target, but decisive extenuation
4.2. Costs of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction
actions could also hinder these countries’ EG.
As a standard unit of measurement, emissions, costs, and profits are often expressed as
dollars per metric ton and costs beyond business as usual to 2030, as shown in Figure 5. A
4.2. general
Costs ofcost
Greenhouse
of carbon, Gas Emission Reduction
as a comparison, is an estimate of the net current value of monetized
As a compensations
social standard unitafterof measurement, emissions,
emissions of more costs, to
CO2 ; according and
theprofits are oftenthe
US government, expressed
social cost of carbon for a ton of emissions in 2017 was approximately USD
as dollars per metric ton and costs beyond business as usual to 2030, as shown in Figure 46 in 2017
5. Adollars
general[96] (1). Approximately nine kilograms of CO2 is produced by burning one gallon
cost of carbon, as a comparison, is an estimate of the net current value of
of gasoline, so a social cost of carbon of USD 46 per metric ton corresponds to USD 0.41
monetized social compensations after emissions of more CO2; according to the US gov-
per gallon (2). The estimates are based on the leveled cost of electricity published by the
ernment, the social
US Energy cost ofAdministration
Information carbon for a ton of emissions
(2018). The energyin 2017
cost perwas approximately
megawatt-hour is USD
46 in 2017 dollars [96] (1). Approximately nine kilograms of CO2 is produced by burning
one gallon of gasoline, so a social cost of carbon of USD 46 per metric ton corresponds to
USD 0.41 per gallon (2). The estimates are based on the leveled cost of electricity published
based on the typical generator utilization rate.
These estimates are comparable to those in the private sector [97]. As a result of these
estimates, natural gas combined cycles, onshore wind, utility-scale solar photovoltaics
and natural gas with carbon seizure and storage are the least expensive technologies that
Clean Technol. 2024, 6 1085
can be used to reduce emissions relative to coal. This reduction with some land use rules
is relatively low because a randomized controlled experiment conducted by [98] identified
thatcalculated
forest conservation
by combiningcosts in Uganda
discounted considerably
capital, reduced
operating, and deforestation
maintenance at the cost of
expenses based
USDon1/ton.
the typical generator utilization rate.
Figure 5. The
Figure McKinsey
5. The McKinseymarginal abatementcost
marginal abatement cost curve
curve (Mckinsely
(Mckinsely 2009).2009).
These estimates
Consequently, are comparable
low-cost, to those in
zero-carbon, the private
fossil sector [97]. As aare
fuel substitutions result of these for de-
essential
estimates, natural gas combined cycles, onshore wind, utility-scale solar photovoltaics, and
creasing GHGE in the future. Therefore, investment or intervention costs must comprise
natural gas with carbon seizure and storage are the least expensive technologies that can
facebevalue,
used tocost, andemissions
reduce spillovers, which
relative to may reduce
coal. This emissions
reduction costs land
with some soon.use Several
rules isalterna-
tive relatively
cost measures have been
low because reported
a randomized to be aimed
controlled at reducing
experiment this cost,
conducted by [98]including,
identified but not
limited to (1) the carbon tax required for measuring the marginal cost of reducing
that forest conservation costs in Uganda considerably reduced deforestation at the cost of emis-
sionsUSDfor1/ton.
each ton of emission reduced; (2) the marginal cost of reducing emissions com-
Consequently,
bined with all reductions low-cost,
knownzero-carbon, fossildirect
as the total fuel substitutions are essentialin
cost; (3) a reduction forthe
decreas-
GDP, which
ing GHGE in the future. Therefore, investment or intervention costs must comprise face
is a value,
measure of the total amount of goods and services produced by the economy, and as
cost, and spillovers, which may reduce emissions costs soon. Several alternative cost
suchmeasures
may also havetake into
been account
reported to bethe influence
aimed of CE
at reducing decreases
this on technology
cost, including, and capital
but not limited
accumulation; as well
to (1) the carbon as (4) compensated
tax required for measuringincome variation,
the marginal cost ofwhich is the
reducing amountforthat con-
emissions
sumers would require to be compensated for to have the same utility level as with
each ton of emission reduced; (2) the marginal cost of reducing emissions combined they would
haveallwith
reductions known as the total direct
the emissions-reduction cost; (3) a reduction in the GDP, which is a measure
program.
of the total amount of goods and services produced by the economy, and as such may also
take into account the influence of CE decreases on technology and capital accumulation;
5. Policy Instruments for Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction
as well as (4) compensated income variation, which is the amount that consumers would
In Austria,
require several policy
to be compensated forinstruments
to have the sameare utility
in place orasare
level currently
they would havebeing discussed
with the to
emissions-reduction program.
simplify accomplishing these policy goals. A policy instrument premeditated to reduce
Clean Technol. 2024, 6 1086
marginal cost technique. Integrated assessment models (IAMs), including the dynamic
integrated climate-economy model (DICE); policy analysis of the greenhouse effect model
(PAGE); and Framework for Uncertainty, Negotiation, and Distribution Model (FUND),
have been updated through the probability density purpose and other trivial revisions’
incorporation [111]. Following reference emission scenario 1, the SCC displayed the future
cost consequent to global climate change associated with one extra ton of CO2 emitted per
year. Due to CO2 ′ s long atmospheric lifetime, these effects are aggregated and bargain-
basement over a century [112]. Putting the outcome of this study into concentration and
scrutinizing it further may help to create policies aimed at reducing future cost conse-
quences, which will invariably lower the amount of CO2 emitted per year. Achieving this
requires proper implementation of these policies with close monitoring.
deep decarbonization activities by sector and overtime as a condition for remaining within
the carbon budget. Many technologies and machinery contributing to CO2 emissions—such
as industrial boilers, power plants, heavy-duty vehicles, industrial boilers, agricultural
sectors, transportation, and buildings—have elongated operational lives over the remaining
time between now and 2050 [122]. DDPs must serve as a public reference point for nations
to guarantee that changes in the energy sector and other decarbonization efforts (e.g., land
use) support long-term goals, such as environmental protection, energy access, public
health, employment opportunities, public health, etc.
According to recent studies, using just energy sectors and direct emissions alone might
flop to achieve profound greenhouse gas reductions unless it is supplemented by policies
targeting materials’ usage and their associated embodied emissions directly [123–127]. The
use of materials and their embodied emissions is significant from two perspectives. In
the first instance, the increase in material consumption is expressively higher than energy
consumption, according to the International Resource Panel (IRP) [128]. Interestingly, while
the report indicates that material extraction grew 3.4 times between 1970 and 2017, fossil
energy extraction grew 2.5 times during that time. Therefore, material use per capita rose
from 7.4 tons in 1970 to 12.2 tons in 2017 [129].
Because of such excess material use, a 120% increase in climate-related emissions was
observed between 1995 and 2015, with their portion reaching 25% of total global greenhouse
gas emissions [130,131]. Secondly, the current emission-reduction efforts focus primarily
on reducing direct emissions originating from point sources of energy combustion. Even
though materials currently represent almost half of the carbon footprint of significant value
chains and most heavy industries utilize materials, there is a projection that embodied
emissions are projected to rise further if the situation is not addressed [131]. Accordingly,
material efficiency should receive more attention in production because it represents a
substantial proportion of energy consumption and associated emissions intimately linked
to transportation, processing, and material extraction [38,132].
Going by the energy and climate strategy, reducing material consumption through
leveraging material efficiencies could help in expanding the scope of coverage of emissions
as well as assist in addressing the issue of outsourcing carbon emissions, which is where
countries reduce their emissions by importing or shifting production overseas [38,123,131].
In this case, absolute decoupling is required, which could be achieved by aiming at growing
the countries or regional economy with a reduced use of natural resources and greenhouse
emissions [133]. Haberl et al. [134] systematically evaluated resource uses, GDP, and green-
house gas emission evidence. This study suggested strict enforcement of absolute reduction
targets using appropriate strategies could be a viable way to decouple natural resource uses,
GDP, and greenhouse gas emissions from economic growth [135]. United Nations SDGs
identified dematerialization as one of the primary sustainable development strategies. This
strategy was challenging despite having goals such as reducing environmental adversity
and total material consumption to preserve and increase the quality and services rendered
to the public. Despite efforts and policies created and implemented at national and regional
levels, absolute global dematerialization is yet to be achieved.
Consequently, Aktaş [136] summarized dematerialization, the existing techniques
used, and how it affects development by providing information on current difficulties
experienced based on past attempts, which gives more precise information that could
guide future policies and studies. This study pinpointed more constant factors challenging
implemented policies aimed at achieving dematerialization. This factor includes but is not
limited to economic recession, the product lifetime, and the effectiveness of decoupling
on national and regional levels. Furthermore, matching solutions and studies for future
implementation are also provided.
According to Aktaş [136], economic conditions must be considered when developing
a policy aimed at dematerialization evaluation if policies are made during the recession to
prevent most of the considerable profits in complete material control or reduction, which
could be used to meet public services and needs. A service-oriented model is a potential
Clean Technol. 2024, 6 1089
technique for providing lasting solutions to national or cities’ absolute material reduction.
Additionally, product evaluation should be performed individually and not in general-
izing lifespan, and this method often has better effectiveness on national than regional
policies. Considering this solution or suggestions would give headways when developing
policies or conducting studies on dematerialization in the future. The strategies aimed
at decarbonization require power generation from renewable sources, building energy
transmission from renewables-generated power, and encouraging appliance production
using low voltage, which may reduce energy usage.
7. Decarbonization Strategies
7.1. Building Transmission Renewable Energy
The most efficient set of a fast-increasing fleet, wind- and solar-generating facilities
have fully benefited from natural wind and solar resources. These facilities involve con-
siderable assets in new transmission amenities. Incumbent transmission system workers
and controllers must expand the capacity between existing transmission networks, called
interconnectors. It is necessary to remove the barriers to escalating transmission capacity
across heritage transmission networks so inter-system and inter-regional transmission
facilities can be operated efficiently, planned, constructed, and financed [85].
might be part of an ideal policy [139]. Most economists consider sponsoring the deployment
of low-carbon technologies to be a costly second-best policy [139,140]. Through systematic
change and lifecycle-based efficiency of socio-technical systems, environmental policies
and business tactics have steadily moved away from cleaner production, which prevents
pollution. According to the discourse analysis of environmental policy [141,142], this
section describes the SCP policy domain through a few decades using the phases of SCPs
1.0, 2.0, and 3.0.
Climate change impacts were addressed through the Paris Agreement (PA) imple-
mented in December 2015. This plan aims to keep the global temperature below 2 degrees
Celsius above pre-industrial levels this century and to chase efforts to reduce the increase
even further to 1.5 degrees Celsius. Achieving the PA’s long-term goal led to arguing that
de facto zero emissions of GHGs and decarbonization should be achieved in the 21st cen-
tury [69]. A multi-decade and even centuries-long process of climate change has occurred
due to the increase in greenhouse gas emissions since the Industrial Revolution.
Current emissions will have long-term impacts, mainly if critical thresholds are crossed
by the climate system [103]. For a credible policy response to be implemented, costs must
be borne now so that future consequences will not be as severe [104]. The short-term
nature of this challenge is hindered by political systems oriented toward political cycles and
short-term economics [30,31]. In battles over interests, ideas, and identities, shifting arrays
of social, economic, and political actors pursue impact policy rejoinders. Policymakers
are plagued by uncertainty regarding climate policy [38]. A climate change crisis does not
affect the future of the climate system or people but is about the factors driving emissions
growth and influencing policy.
7.5. The Relationship between Decarbonizing the Electricity Grid and the Transportation Sector
According to Europe 2020′ s communication [141], the European Union in 1990 aimed
to reduce CO2 emissions, increase renewable energy, and improve energy efficiency by 20%
by 2020. As outlined in the 2011 Transport White Paper [142], GHG emissions from the
transportation sector are expected to be reduced by 20% by 2030 (reference year: 2008) and
60% by 2050 (reference year: 1990). The EC has outlined two targets for 2030 in its 2014
climate-energy package communication: a 40% greenhouse gas emissions reduction over
1990 and a 27% portion of renewable energy in European Union energy consumption by
2030. The most significant contribution to the transport sector’s 10% renewable energy
share is expected from liquid biofuels in road transport.
One of the most prevalent propulsion systems in the EU’s transportation sector is
the steps to decarbonize the transport sector’s combustion engines. According to Ger-
Clean Technol. 2024, 6 1091
baulet et al. [149], investment decisions significantly impact the decarbonization of the power
sector. However, the results indicate that petroleum-based fuels will be economically infeasi-
ble around 2025, and the 2040s will phase out coal and natural gas. Most studies [150–152]
focus on decarbonizing the power sector and analyzing the economic scenarios. Based on
sector-wise emission data, the power sector is the most significant contributor to emissions
in the EU alone (electricity and heat energy). Still, industry, transport, residential, and
agriculture collectively contribute more than the energy sector alone (2.2 times the carbon
equivalent of the power sector in 2016). Electricity plays a crucial part in decarbonizing the
road transport sector, according to Broghan et al. Electricity will account for 37% of road
transport fuel, power-to-x fuels will account for 27%, and additional electricity will account
for 1200 TWh by 2050 [140].
heating, air conditioning, ventilation, security, and other systems. EV charging stations
could be designed to integrate renewable energy resources with vehicle-to-grid (V2G)
resources while optimizing EV charging schedules to alleviate excessive power grid loads.
energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions in Iran. Saboori et al. [182] analyzed
the causal relationship between CO2 , energy consumption, and economic growth in OECD
countries. The results indicated that CO2 is a bidirectional indicator of economic growth.
In some studies, EG and CO2 emissions are linear [183–185].
Moreover, many other studies [158,168] discovered that the relationship between CO2
emissions and the economy’s growth does not exhibit a U-shaped pattern; the relationship,
instead, resembles an N-shape. As an additional point of interest, Al-mulali et al. [186,187]
examined the long-run bi-directional relationship between energy consumption, CO2
emissions, and economic growth in the Caribbean and Latin American countries. On-
afowora et al. [188] examined the long-term and temporal dynamics of EG, popula-
tion density, energy consumption, CO2 emissions, and trade openness in Mexico, Brazil,
China, South Korea, Egypt, Nigeria, Japan, and South Africa. Using data from Malaysia,
Lau et al. [189] examined the cointegration relationship between CO2 , exports, EG, and
institutional quality and found a positive correlation between institutional quality and CO2 .
Many other studies on decoupling energy consumption are presented in Table 1.
Table 1. Cont.
2018 [214] report, IEA, stated that energy transition could improve energy security, a robust
energy system, and a thriving economy [215]. Their research investigated how culture
impedes the transition to a low-carbon economy.
According to Wang, and Li [192], there is a link between energy transition and changes
in political systems. Additionally, they explained that technology was essential in achieving
energy transition. A study by Bayulgen [216] examined the political and economic drivers
of the United States’ energy transition. It was confirmed that economic growth and carbon
emissions were directly related to the energy transition. Li and Wang [196] examing
emissions of 30 China provinces’ transport sector and confirmed that carbon emissions
increase with a corresponding growth in urbanization. Their study suggested creating
more effective policies to curb carbon emissions in this sector, which should be monitored
rigorously. Nevertheless, few studies have investigated pathways’ contribution to the low-
carbon energy sector. Therefore, the global focus should scrutinize the sectors generating
high emissions to understand their impact and provide information that could help develop
curbing policies.
decarbonization is likely to progress the country’s trade balance (due to a decrease in fossil
fuel imports). There are numerous benefits to a low-carbon economy, such as increased
investments, increased quality of life, and decreased environmental degradation [278,279].
challenges require social justice deliberation regarding access to resources and technologies.
Generally, energy systems both generate and consume energy. These components are
extracting resources, producing them, converting them, distributing, delivering, using
energy, and providing energy services [298]. Political institutions and processes face
unprecedented challenges in low-carbon futures, particularly in the energy sector.
Furthermore, developing new and pioneering governance approaches is necessary [299].
Renewable energy sources face several challenges: low resource availability, limited re-
source access, limited resource location, insecurity of supply, sustainability, and afford-
ability [300]. As a result of the increasing electricity demand, the consumption of fossil
fuels has increased, thereby contributing to the growth of greenhouse gas emissions and,
consequently, global warming [291].
A further barrier to effective transition is that efforts to promote more sustainable,
resilient, and equitable energy disrupt economic, political, and institutional relationships.
As a result, power and political issues are now at the heart of sustainable innovation in the
energy sector [301]. Energy access and controlling greenhouse gas emissions are crucial to
achieving a sustainable energy future [302]. Since over two-thirds of greenhouse gas emis-
sions are attributed to energy production and consumption and over eighty percent of CO2
emissions are from power plants, countries that wish to meet the Paris climate objectives
must develop measures and strategies to reduce emissions from power plants and other
energy-based activities. Developing countries should address their challenges individually
and collectively by implementing suitable and effective energy policy measures [303].
A significant obstacle to the development of low-carbon energy is inefficient energy use.
According to the World Bank [304], in 2013, China had an estimated 8.7% share of global
GDP but consumed 22.6% of the world’s total energy [305], with energy consumption
per GDP being more than four times that of developed countries and more than two
times that of the world average. Despite the waste of energy resources and ensuing
increased emissions, the inefficiency of the energy system has also contributed to extensive
development of the energy system, hindering innovation regarding a low-carbon energy
system and renovation of an existing system [306]. The lack of institutional mechanisms
and market reforms is one of the main obstacles to low-carbon energy development.
Energy markets are characterized by cured profit distribution patterns that can result
in administrative monopolies, market monopolies, and disorderly competition, which
act to hamper improvements in technological and environmental standards [307]. Con-
sidering the government’s continued dominance of energy pricing, an improvement is
necessary for the existing energy-pricing mechanism. This is because market prices become
distorted, hampering the development of low-carbon energy technologies such as wind,
solar, small hydro, and distributed generation [308]. As a result of abandoning wind,
solar, hydro, and nuclear energy in recent years, coal power has maintained a high level
of operation. Transforming a coal-based high-carbon energy structure is a considerable
challenge in developing a low-carbon energy system. Energy demands are rigid, and
extensive development pathways increase reliance on high-carbon resources [308].
industrial structure to examine the factors affecting CE in a broader context. Hence, the
studies discussed in this paper confirm that climate economics and policy implications are
fundamental for decoupling EG from CE. Further demonstrates that a transition to low-
carbon energy systems is still becoming a norm, as developing countries are still far behind
in attaining the target. The strategies toward decarbonization require power generation
from renewable sources, encouraging the use of electric cars, and appliance production
using low voltages, which may reduce energy usage. Adopting these strategies worldwide
may help in achieving a low-carbon planet. Therefore, more studies and implementation of
policies aiming at a low-carbon planet must be prioritized globally.
13. Conclusions
This study reviews recent literature that focuses on decoupling economic growth
from carbon emissions, the root cause of climate change, which has become a monster,
taking life and destroying properties globally. It reviews decoupling techniques and factors
limiting decoupling activities, climate economics, policy implications, dematerialization,
and decarbonization, which are vital instruments in achieving carbon emission reductions.
Studies have confirmed that economic growth is the principal mover of climate change.
This study provides information on current challenges, what to consider for future demate-
rialization policy development, and the techniques available to tackle these challenges. It
also discussed several decoupling techniques, such as carbon capture using Tapio’s model
scientific evaluation mechanisms to analyze the effect of delinking economic growth and
gas emission. It discovered the consequences of climate change and economic growth
and suggested the disconnection of carbon generated from energy generation, material
production processes (dematerialization), logistics, and industrialization. This implies that
completely decoupling economic growth from carbon emissions is a viable way to reduce
extreme temperatures resulting in global warming. This reduction can be achieved through
a global focus on scrutinizing high-emission-generating sectors to understand their impact
and provide information for developing carbon emission-curbing policies.
Similarly, decarbonate and dematerialization policies and other created policies should
be implemented while considering economic conditions, product lifespan features, and
which policies will work at national and regional levels. More studies on policy devel-
opment should be conducted and implemented to achieve absolute material reduction.
The economic situation should be considered before creating a decoupling policy, and
generating electricity from renewable sources should be encouraged. Furthermore, study-
ing the product lifespan and analyzing national and regional challenges using UN SDG
goals before developing policies may lead to the absolute decoupling of the world’s aim
to achieve a low-carbon system. The decoupling of power from economic growth needs
more investment to enhance electricity generation from renewable sources, as generat-
ing power from nuclear is expensive. The rigorous change in recent research to evaluate
the challenges and constraints of low-carbon energy systems should be encouraged, as
this will provide innovative strategies (new developments) and suggestive plans for re-
ducing the carbon emission rate. This review suggests global policies aiming at energy
intensity reduction, macroeconomic stabilization, replacing fossil fuel plant systems with
renewable energy-based plants, and electric car usage should be implemented to create a
carbon-freeenvironment.
Furthermore, global society sensitization to climate change and its implications is
necessary and must be encouraged to achieve a zero-carbon planet. A subtle understanding
of social justice is necessary to achieve sustainable low-carbon energy systems and increase
access to affordable and equitable innovations. Therefore, it must be enforced. Additional
implementation and monitoring of climate economics and policy implications must be
encouraged and taken seriously to reduce climate change and its impact.
Clean Technol. 2024, 6 1102
Author Contributions: All authors contributed to the review article. J.M. and O.J.G. wrote the
literature study and the article’s first draft, and all authors reviewed, revised, and made relevant
contributions and suggestions for the submitted manuscript. All authors have read and agreed to the
published version of the manuscript.
Funding: This research received no external funding.
Institutional Review Board Statement: Not applicable.
Informed Consent Statement: All the authors give consent for the publication of this manuscript.
Data Availability Statement: Not applicable.
Acknowledgments: The authors would like to acknowledge the support from the Durban University
of Technology, where this study was conducted.
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or
personal relationships that could have influenced the work reported in this paper.
Nomenclature
PV Photovoltaics.
PPP Purchasing power parity.
EN Energy efficiency.
DCO2 Decarbonization of Carbon Monoxide.
INDCs Intended nationally determined contributions.
IDA Index decomposition techniques.
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