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    Solucion2 Gumbel

    Uploaded by

    Lenin Man Ayaviri Martinez
    gumbel

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    Solucion2 Gumbel

    Uploaded by

    Lenin Man Ayaviri Martinez
    1 views2 pages
    gumbel

    Original Title

    Solucion2 gumbel

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    © © All Rights Reserved

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    gumbel

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    1 views2 pages

    Solucion2 Gumbel

    Uploaded by

    Lenin Man Ayaviri Martinez
    gumbel

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    of 2

    EVALUACION N°2

    1 19,4 31,7344 178,7707 0,5593 2,9653


    2 17,4 13,2011 47,9640 0,1501 2,8565
    3 16,7 8,6044 25,2397 0,0790 2,8154
    4 15,9 4,5511 9,7090 0,0304 2,7663
    5 14,1 0,1111 0,0370 0,0001 2,6462
    6 13,5 0,0711 0,0190 0,0001 2,6027
    7 12,7 1,1378 1,2136 0,0038 2,5416
    8 12,6 1,3611 1,5880 0,0050 2,5337
    9 11,1 7,1111 18,9630 0,0593 2,4069
    10 10,9 8,2178 23,5576 0,0737 2,3888
    11 10,5 10,6711 34,8590 0,1091 2,3514
    12 10,4 11,3344 38,1593 0,1194 2,3418

    CONTAR 12
    MEDIA 13,7667 MLN 2,6014
    DESVIACION 2,9864 DLN 0,2118
    98,1067
    DESVIACION 2,9864
    SESGO 1,1891

    a.- P = 1X mm X= 5 P = 15
    LogNormal: Z= 0,5036
    F(x) = F(z) = P(X ≤ x) = 0,9474 0,0526 5,26%

    Gumbel: n = 12 µy = 0,5022 σy = 0,978 -0,9061


    α = 0,3275 β = 12,2330 0,4041
    F(x) = 0,6676 0,3324 33,24% -0,4041

    b.- T = 6Y años Y= 5 T = 65
    P = T -1 /T = 0,9846 Z = 2,183
    Normal: X= µ + z*σ 20,29 mm
    Pearson III: β1 = 2,8287 α1= 1,77565 δ1= 8,7438 U= 6
    Chi = 16,0800 y= 8,0400
    X= 23,02 mm
    Mínimos cuadrados

    T Xo NORMAL GUMBEL
    años mm Xe (Xe-Xo)2 Xe (Xe-Xo)2
    13,00 19,4 18,0265 1,8865 19,9440 0,2959 1,4264
    6,50 17,4 16,8140 0,3434 17,6973 0,0884 1,0204
    4,33 16,7 15,9641 0,5416 16,3161 0,1474 0,7358
    3,25 15,9 15,1637 0,5421 15,2879 0,3747 0,4678
    2,60 14,1 14,6429 0,2947 14,4394 0,1152 0,2934
    2,17 13,5 14,0608 0,3145 13,7040 0,0416 0,0985
    1,86 12,7 13,4842 0,6149 13,0256 0,1060 -0,0946
    1,63 12,6 12,9054 0,0933 12,3877 0,0451 -0,2884
    1,44 11,1 12,2487 1,3194 11,7131 0,3759 -0,5083
    1,30 10,9 11,5684 0,4467 11,0642 0,0270 -0,7361
    1,18 10,5 10,7062 0,0425 10,3049 0,0381 -1,0248
    1,08 10,4 9,4492 0,9041 9,3121 1,1835 -1,4457

    7,3436 2,8387 √

    P Probabilidad T Precipitación (mm)


    (mm) LogNormal Gumbel Años Normal Pearson III
    0,0792 10 0,9208 0,8748 60 20,12 22,71
    0,1684 11 0,8316 0,7763 61 20,14 22,75
    0,2913 12 0,7087 0,6602 62 20,17 22,79
    0,4317 13 0,5683 0,5406 63 20,18 22,82
    0,5706 14 0,4294 0,4292 64 20,20 22,86
    0,6928 15 0,3072 0,3324 65 20,22 22,89
    0,7558 16 0,2442 0,2527 66 20,23 22,92
    0,8631 17 0,1369 0,1893 67 20,25 22,96
    0,9139 18 0,0861 0,1404 68 20,27 22,99
    0,9474 19 0,0526 0,1033 69 20,29 23,02

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