POM Notes - Unit - 3
POM Notes - Unit - 3
The process of choosing a correct and successful course of action from two or more alternatives
in order to achieve a desired outcome is known as decision-making. Management is all about
making decisions.
Decisions underpin the entire management process. Decisions are needed for both addressing
issues and maximising the benefits of available opportunities. Correct decisions minimise the
complexity, uncertainty, and variety of organisational environments.
Importance of Decision-Making:
When plans go wrong or out of track, the managers have to decide what to do to correct the
deviation.
In fact, the whole planning process involves the managers constantly in a series of decision-
making situations. The quality of managerial decisions largely affects the effectiveness of the
plans made by them. In organising process, the manager is to decide upon the structure, division
of work, nature of responsibility and relationships, the procedure of establishing such
responsibility and relationship and so on.
The ability to make good decisions is the key to successful managerial performance. The
managers of most profit-seeking firms are always required to take a wide range of important
decision in the areas of pricing, product choice, cost control, advertising, capital investments,
dividend policy, personnel matters, etc. Similarly, the managers of non-profit seeking concerns
and public enterprises also face the challenge of taking vital decisions on many important
matters.
Effective decision involves two important aspects—the purpose for which it is intended, and the
environmental situation in which it is taken. Even the best and correct decision may become
ineffective if these aspects are ignored; because in decision-making there are so many inside and
outside chains of unavoidable reactions.
If certain principles are followed for decision-making, such multidimensional reactions can
mostly be overcome.
1. Subject-matter of Decision-making:
Decisional matters or problems may be divided into groups consisting of programmed and non-
programmed problems. Programmed problems, being of routine nature, repetitive and well-
founded, are easily definable and, as such, require simple and easy solution. Decision arrived in
such programmed problems has, thus, a continuing effect. But in non-programmed problems,
there is no continuing effect because they are non-repetitive, non-routine, and novel. Every event
in such problems requires individual attention and analysis and its decision is to be arrived at
according to its special features and circumstances.
2. Organizational Structure:
On the contrary, if the organizational structure provides scope for adequate delegation and
decentralisation of authority, decision-making will be flexible and the decision-making authority
will be close to the operating centres. In such a situation, decision-making will be prompt and
expected to be more effective and acceptable.
For decision-making, analytical study of all possible alternatives of a problem with their merits
and demerits is essential. This is necessary to make out a correct selection of decision from
among the alternatives.
6. Sufficient Time:
Decision is intended to be carried out for the realisation of the objectives of the organisation. A
decision in any particular area may react adversely in other areas of the organisation. As all
business activities are inter-related and require co-ordination, it is necessary that a study and
analysis of the impact of any decision should precede its application.
The decision-maker should not only be an observer while others will perform as per his decision.
He should also participate in completing the work for which decision was taken by him. This
experience will help him in decision-making in future. The principle of participation in work of
the decision-maker will enable him to understand whether the decision taken is practical and also
guide him in forthcoming decisional matters.
9. Flexibility of Mind:
This is critical in decision-making since no decision can please everyone. Decisions can be
thrown off by the decision-rigid maker's mental set-up. The decision-adaptable maker's mental
state allows him to change his mind and gain the cooperation of all the various parties.
Though there are many slight variations of the decision-making framework floating around on
the Internet, in business textbooks, and in leadership presentations, professionals most commonly
use these seven steps.
To make a decision, you must first identify the problem you need to solve or the question you
need to answer. Clearly define your decision. If you misidentify the problem to solve, or if the
problem you’ve chosen is too broad, you’ll knock the decision train off the track before it even
leaves the station.
If you need to achieve a specific goal from your decision, make it measurable and timely.
Once you have identified your decision, it’s time to gather the information relevant to that
choice. Do an internal assessment, seeing where your organization has succeeded and failed in
areas related to your decision. Also, seek information from external sources, including studies,
market research, and, in some cases, evaluation from paid consultants.
Keep in mind, you can become bogged down by too much information and that might only
complicate the process.
With relevant information now at your fingertips, identify possible solutions to your problem.
There is usually more than one option to consider when trying to meet a goal. For example, if
your company is trying to gain more engagement on social media, your alternatives could
include paid social advertisements, a change in your organic social media strategy, or a
combination of the two.
Once you have identified multiple alternatives, weigh the evidence for or against said
alternatives. See what companies have done in the past to succeed in these areas, and take a good
look at your organization’s own wins and losses. Identify potential pitfalls for each of your
alternatives, and weigh those against the possible rewards.
5. Choose among alternatives
Here is the part of the decision-making process where you actually make the decision. Hopefully,
you’ve identified and clarified what decision needs to be made, gathered all relevant information,
and developed and considered the potential paths to take. You should be prepared to choose.
6. Take action
Once you’ve made your decision, act on it! Develop a plan to make your decision tangible and
achievable. Develop a project plan related to your decision, and then assign tasks to your team.
After a predetermined amount of time—which you defined in step one of the decision-making
process—take an honest look back at your decision. Did you solve the problem? Did you answer
the question? Did you meet your goals?
If so, take note of what worked for future reference. If not, learn from your mistakes as you
begin the decision-making process again.
Effective decision-making relies on various tools and techniques to gather information, analyze
alternatives, and make informed choices. Here are some commonly used tools and techniques for
effective decision-making:
1. Decision Trees: Decision trees are graphical representations of decisions and their potential
consequences, including probability assessments. They help visualize complex decision
scenarios and calculate expected values to aid in decision-making.
2. SWOT Analysis: SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats) analysis is a
strategic planning tool used to identify internal strengths and weaknesses, as well as external
opportunities and threats. It helps organizations assess their current situation and make
decisions based on their analysis.
3. Cost-Benefit Analysis: Cost-benefit analysis involves comparing a decision's costs with the
benefits it is expected to generate. By quantifying both costs and benefits, decision-makers can
evaluate whether the decision is economically viable and make choices that maximize value.
4. Pareto Analysis: Pareto analysis, also known as the 80/20 rule, helps prioritize options by
identifying the most significant factors contributing to a problem or opportunity. By focusing
on the most critical issues, decision-makers can allocate resources more efficiently and
address the root causes of problems.
5. Decision Matrix: A decision matrix is a structured tool used to evaluate and prioritize multiple
alternatives based on predefined criteria. By assigning weights to different criteria and scoring
alternatives accordingly, decision-makers can objectively compare options and select the most
suitable one.
6. Brainstorming: Brainstorming is a group technique to generate creative ideas and solutions to
problems. By encouraging open and free-flowing discussion, decision-makers can explore a
wide range of possibilities and identify innovative approaches to decision-making.
7. Scenario Analysis: Scenario analysis involves considering possible scenarios and their
potential implications on decision outcomes. By analyzing best-case, worst-case, and most-
likely scenarios, decision-makers can prepare for uncertainty and make more robust decisions.
8. Decision Support Systems (DSS): Decision support systems are computer-based tools that
provide analytical support for decision-making processes. They help organize and analyze
data, generate insights, and facilitate decision-making by providing decision-makers with
relevant information and modeling capabilities.
9. Risk Management Techniques: Various risk management techniques, such as risk assessment,
risk mitigation strategies, and contingency planning, help decision-makers identify, assess,
and manage risks associated with different alternatives. By considering potential risks,
decision-makers can make more informed choices and minimize negative outcomes.
10. Group Decision-Making Techniques: Techniques such as the Delphi method, nominal group
technique, and consensus decision-making facilitate group collaboration and decision-making.
By involving multiple stakeholders and leveraging collective expertise, decision-makers can
gain diverse perspectives and reach consensus more effectively.
Types of Decision-making
Managerial decisions may be classified into the following categories:
1. Programmed and Non-programmed Decisions
According to Herbert Simon, programmed decisions are related to routine and repetitive
problems. Information about these problems is readily available and can be processed using
pre-established methods. These decisions have a short-term impact and are relatively
simple, typically made at lower management levels. Decision rules and procedures are in
place to streamline the decision-making process and save time. Little thought and judgment are
required, as the decision-maker follows predetermined solutions. For instance, dealing with a
consistently late employee can be addressed through established procedures.
On the other hand, non-programmed decisions tackle unique or unusual problems
that demand a high level of executive judgment and consideration. There are no ready-
made solutions for such problems, as they require creative and thoughtful
approaches. Examples of non-programmed decisions include introducing a new product or
determining the location of a plant. These decisions are usually made by higher-level
managers.
2. Process:
It is the process followed by deliberations and reasoning.
3. Selective:
It is selective, i.e. it is the choice of the best course among alternatives. In other words, decision
involves selection of the best course from among the available alternative courses that are
identified by the decision-maker.
4. Purposive:
It is usually purposive i.e. it relates to the end. The solution to a problem provides an effective
means to the desired goal or end.
5. Positive:
Although every decision is usually positive sometimes certain decisions may be negative and
may just be a decision not to decide. For instance, the manufacturers of VOX Wagan car once
decided not to change the model (body style) and size of the car although the other rival
enterprise (i.e. the Ford Corporation) was planning to introduce a new model every year, in the
USA.
That a negative decision and is equally important was stressed by Chester I. Bernard-one of the
pioneers in Management Thought-who observed, “The fine art of executive decision consists in
not deciding questions that are not now pertinent, in not deciding prematurely, in not making
decisions that cannot be made effective, and in not making decisions that other should make. ”
6. Commitment:
Every decision is based on the concept of commitment. In other words, the Management is
committed to every decision it takes for two reasons- viz., (/) it promotes the stability of the
concern and (ii) every decision taken becomes a part of the expectations of the people involved
in the organisation.
Decisions are usually so much inter-related to the organisational life of an enterprise that any
change in one area of activity may change the other areas too. As such, the Manager is
committed to decisions not only from the time that they are taken but upto their successfully
implementation.
7. Evaluation:
Decision-making involves evaluation in two ways, viz., (i) the executive must evaluate the
alternatives, and (ii) he should evaluate the results of the decisions taken by him.