Apple Valuation - Model Solution
Apple Valuation - Model Solution
Company Overview
(all data in USD Mn, except per share price data)
(Red=Assumption,Blue=Actual,Black=Calculation)
Company Information
Company Name Apple Inc.
Industry Technology
Revenue Forecast
- - - - - - - - - -
-
Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep- Sep-
tem- tem- tem- tem- tem- tem- tem- tem- tem- tem-
ber-19 ber-20 ber-21 ber-22 ber-23 ber-24 ber-25 ber-26 ber-27 ber-28
Revenue Data
September-19 September-20 September-21 September-22
Total Revenue 265,557 278,191 368,720 396,925
% y/y Growth 5% 33% 8%
Management Team
Chairman:
MD and CEO:
Company Description
Apple (ticker symbol: AAPL) is one of the world's leading consumer electronics and personal computer compan
The Cupertino, California-based company was established in 1977 as Apple Computer Inc. It dropped the
"Computer" from its name in early 2007. Apple's current place in the global marketplace is a far cry from its
humble beginnings, with Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak and Ronald Wayne selling hand-made personal computer
in the late '70s.
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Explicit First Stage Terminal Total En-
Forecast Valuation Valuation terprise
FCF Value
Forecast Valuation Valuation terprise
FCF Value
.00 $0.00
minal Total En-
ation terprise
Value
ation terprise
Value
728,175
4,218
732,393
48,812
403,370
48,267
500,449
231,944
17,247
214,697
2,385
212,312
31,251
181,061
27,993
153,068
11.50
11.45
15,744,231
15,812,547
6.70%
55.39%
6.63%
31.67%
29.31%
28.99%
14.72%
15.46%
Apple Inc.
Balance Sheet
(all data in USD Mn, except per share price data and number of shares)
(Red=Assumption,Blue=Actual,Black=Calculation)
Current Assets
Cash and Cash Equivalents 48,844 38,016
Short term Investments (Marketable Securities) 51,713 52,927
Accounts Receivables 22,926 16,120
Inventories 4,106 4,061
Vendor non-trade Receivables 22,878 21,325
Other Current Assets 12,352 11,264
Total Current Assets 162,819 143,713
Shoreholders' Funds
Equity Capital 45,174 50,779
Retained Earnings 45,314 14,560
Net worth 90,488 65,339
Non-current Liabilities
Long Term Debt 91,807 98,667
Other non-current Liabilities 50,503 54,490
Total Non-current Liabilities 142,310 153,157
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable 46,236 42,296
Other Current Liabilities (Accrued Expenses) 37,720 42,684
Commercial Paper 5,522 6,643
Other Current Liabilities 5,980 4,996
Term Debt 10,260 8,773
Total Current Liabilities 105,718 105,392
27,403
128,322
Err:502
257,276
367,167
50,876
59,568
11,914
58,218
22,638
570,381
827,657
580,476
580,476
44,712
49,848
94,560
117,591
0
13,407
13,823
7,800
152,621
827,657
0
827656.843
827656.843
0.000
TRUE
Apple Inc.
Cashflow Statement
(all data in USD Mn, except per share price data and number of shares)
(Red=Assumption,Blue=Actual,Black=Calculation)
157,568 181,061
15,784 17,247
2,714 2,385
0 0
-4,153 -9,531
-1,425 -1,378
-6,256 -7,268
-1,719 -1,874
12,847 15,819
175,360 196,461
-12,745 -14,564
-7,543 -7,563
-10,024 -10,736
-30,312 -32,862
0 0
-24,361 -27,993
-9,786 -7,800
0 0
-2,714 -2,385
-36,861 -38,178
108,187 125,421
133,559 241,746
241,746 367,167
Apple Inc.
Revenue
(all data in USD Mn, except per share price data and number of shares)
(Red=Assumption,Blue=Actual,Black=Calculation)
383,285
Products
iPhone
Units sold 236.70 265.10
Growth in units sold 1.94% 12.00%
Average Realisation ($) 847 890
Growth in average realisation -4.243% 5.00%
Mac (Desktop+Portables)
Units sold 19.07 20.02
Growth in units sold -26.93% 5.00%
Average Realisation ($) 1,539 1,616
Growth in average realisation 0.00% 5.00%
ipad
Units sold 59.71 63.87
Growth in units sold -3.39% 6.97%
Average Realisation ($) 474 521
Growth in average realisation 0.00% 10.00%
Sep-25 Sep-26 Sep-27 Sep-28
Accounts Receivable
Days Sales Outstanding (Receivable Days) 27.47 27.47 27.47 27.47 27.47
Receivables Turnover 13.29 13.29 13.29 13.29 13.29
Proportion to Sales 7.70% 7.34% 7.34% 7.34% 7.34%
Growth in Recievables 4.70% #DIV/0!
Inventories
Inventory Holding Period 10.16 10.16 10.16 10.16 10.16
Inventory Turnover 35.93 #DIV/0!
Proportion to Sales 1.65% 1.55% 1.55% 1.55% 1.55%
Growth in Inventories 28.00% #DIV/0!
Accounts Payable
Days Payables Outstanding 114.14 103.82 103.82 103.82 103.82
Payables Turnover 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20
Growth in Trade Payables -2.35% 9% 9% 9% 9%
Proportion to Sales 16.34% 16.15% 16.15% 16.15% 16.15%
152,338
59,568
11,914
58,218
22,638
131,414
117,591
0
13,823
728,175
30.26%
403,370
30.26%
27.47
13.29
7.34%
10.16
1.55%
-4%
8.00%
9.03%
103.82
3.20
9%
16.15%
Apple Inc.
Depreciation and Amortisation Schedule
(all data in USD Mn, except per share price data)
(Red=Assumption,Blue=Actual,Black=Calculation)
ASSUMPTIONS:
Capex Amount 10,959 8,669 9,832 11,180 12,745
Incremental Capex 251 #DIV/0!
Capex Growth 2.34% 2.34% 2.34% 2.34% 2.34%
% of Revenue 2.86% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00%
Depreciation
Depreciation expense 11,519 12,390 13,379 14,502 15,784
As a % of Gross block post capex addition 10.05% 10.05% 10.05% 10.05% 10.05%
Sep-28
157,026
14,564
144,186
27,403
14,564
2.34%
2.00%
17,247
10.05%
Apple Inc.
Investment Schedule
(all data in USD Mn, except per share price data)
(Red=Assumption,Blue=Actual,Black=Calculation)
BORROWINGS
Long Tem Debt (Non-current portion beginning) 98,959 95,281 85,338 74,563 62,298
Net Additions -3,678 0 0 0 0
Total Long Term Debt 105,103 95,281 85,338 74,563 62,298
Current Portion of Long Term Debt 9,822 9,943 10,775 12,265 9,786
Long Term Debt (Non-current portion) 95,281 85,338 74,563 62,298 52,512
728,175
52,512
0
52,512
7,800
44,712
13,407
1,449
65,919
2,385
3.40%
Apple Inc.
Valuation
(all data in USD Mn, except per share price data)
(Red=Assumption,Blue=Actual,Black=Calculation)
Sensitivity Analysis
Term
28.41 3.0%
10.00% 157
10.50% 146
11.00% 135
WACC
11.50% 126
12.00% 118
12.50% 111
erpsire Value (EV) Debt Equity Weightage
rent Market Price $171.17 E/(D+E) 95.99%
15,812,547,000 D/(D+E) 4.01%
rket Capitalisation ($mn) 2,706,634
113,164 Interest Rate (%) 3.40%
s: Cash & Cash Equivalents 61,555 Tax Rate (@) 14.72%
51,609
rent Enterprise Value (EV) 2,758,243 WACC Calculation
WACC 9.68%
1,176,353
-
-
-
-
-
(4,233)
(4,233)
-
(4,233)
4.00%
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0.00%
14.56%