Economist Impact Infrascope 2024 Report ENG
Economist Impact Infrascope 2024 Report ENG
Economist Impact Infrascope 2024 Report ENG
2023/24
Measuring the enabling environment for
public-private partnerships in infrastructure
in Latin America and the Caribbean
Commissioned by
Infrascope 2023/24: Latin America and the Caribbean 2
Contents
6 Acknowledgments
11 Introduction
12 Executive summary
15 Key findings
26 Category findings
36 Country summaries
The analysis and content of this index cover the 2023/24 methodology updates
period from August 2023 to December 2023.
As best practices, needs and information about
This document is the eighth edition of an infrastructure PPPs have continued to evolve,
informational tool and benchmarking index that Economist Impact with IDB has made minor
assesses the capacity of countries in Latin America updates to the methodology to ensure the
and the Caribbean to carry out sustainable, impact- continued rigor and accuracy of the information in
driven and efficient public-private partnerships the Infrascope, reflected in the latest 2023/24 report.
(PPPs) in infrastructure. The first study was
developed in 2009 and updated in 2010, 2012, These updates primarily affect 18 indicators, most
2015, 2017, 2019 and 2021/22. often through clarifications to scoring guidance
and terminology. As a result of these updates,
The index was built by Economist Impact and retrospective revisions are shown for the 2021/22
is supported financially by the Inter-American scores cited in this edition, ensuring a consistent
Development Bank (IDB). The views and opinions reference frame for comparison between 2021/22
expressed in this publication are those of Economist and 2023/24. However, the original 2021/22
Impact and do not necessarily reflect the official website and PDF reports (as published) have not
position of the IDB. Any comments, corrections or been revised or reissued, so those should not be
questions can be directed to Economist Impact. considered comparable with this edition.
Economist Impact
Explore the index
Vaibhav Sahgal,
The complete index, as well as detailed country Project Director: [email protected]
analyses and methodological information, can be
viewed on the Infrascope 2023/24 website: Matt Terry,
economistimpact.com/infrascope Project Manager: [email protected]
Acknowledgments
The following researchers, country analysts and IDB members providing advice and support:
specialists contributed to this report. We thank Carolina Lembo, Daniel Vieitez, Denis Leduc, Diego
them for their participation. De Pablos, Eduardo Pacheco, Enrique Dominguez,
Jaime Perez, Juan Pablo Mendez, Marcos Siqueira,
Index review and analysis: Miryam Banda, Natalie Rojas Gonzalez, Pablo
Namita Karnik, Eve Labalme, Camilo Guerrero Pereira, Ricardo Costa Vieira Da Silva, Romina
Stawsky Lopez and Shernett Roberts
Model workbook production:
Marcus Krackowizer
Country analysis:
Manaus, LLC
Experts interviewed:
As part of the research process for this project,
we conducted more than 80 in-depth interviews
with policymakers and country infrastructure
experts from multilateral and consulting
institutions, public sector organizations and
the private sector. We would like to express our
thanks to all interviewees for their input. A list of
these experts is in the Bibliography section of the
Methodology appendix.
Methodology appendix
Commissioned by
1
Legal systems across Latin America and the Caribbean include both civil law and common law traditions.
Regulatory frameworks governing PPPs have been assessed accordingly.
Sub-category 1.1) Conducive regulatory environment 1.4) Fairness and openness of contract
Indicator
and political support for PPPs changes
Sub-indicator 1.1.1) Public procurement and PPP contracts 1.4.1) Contract disputes and arbitration
1.1.1.a) Existence of laws 1.4.1.a) Appeal procedures
1.1.1.b) Minimum standards 1.4.1.b) Time for ruling
1.1.1.c) Consistency with national procurement laws 1.4.1.c) International arbitration
1.1.2) Codification 1.4.1.d) Independent tribunal
1.1.2.a) Existence 1.4.2) Renegotiation procedures
1.1.2.b) Availability 1.4.2.a) Transparent system
1.1.3) Inter-agency co-ordination 1.4.2.b) Grounds for termination
1.1.3.a) Codification of processes 1.4.2.c) Compensation
1.1.3.b) Overlapping jurisdictions 1.4.3) Transparency and oversight
1.1.3.c) Awarding PPPs vs. regulating standards 1.4.3.a) Disclosure of renegotiations
1.1.4) Political will and support for PPPs 1.4.3.b) Signoff
1.1.4.a) High-level support
1.1.4.b) Bipartisan/multiparty support
1.1.4.c) Opposition
1.1.4.d) Political effectiveness
Introduction
2
https://publications.iadb.org/en/infrastructure-gap-latin-america-and-caribbean-investment-needed-through-2030-meet-sustainable
3
https://www.un.org/esa/ffd/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/Promoting-People-first-Public-Private-Partnerships-PPPs-for-the-UN-SDGs_UNECE_IATF-
Issue-Brief.pdf
Executive summary
4
Source: IJ Global, cross-checked with the World Bank PPI database. Data may include projects that are developed under PPP, sectoral or concession laws,
with differences among countries. Focuses on greenfield and brownfield projects; excludes asset acquisition, company acquisition, securitization and
refinancing transactions.
5
https://infrastructuregovern.imf.org/content/dam/PIMA/Forum/IGEUR/Activities/CEF_nov2019/Day3/Understanding%20Fiscal%20Costs%20and%20
Fiscal%20Risks%20from%20PPPs.pdf
Investment in infrastructure PPPs has Across much of the region, the quality of staffing
increased by almost 14% across Latin America and training remains a concern, but several
and the Caribbean. There is a growing appetite countries have taken key steps to improve this
for PPPs, with total project investment in the past (the Dominican Republic, Ecuador and Belize,
decade (2014-23) reaching US$160bn across the among others). Overall, project preparation
region—a 14% increase from US$141bn during capabilities are lacking in 15 countries, and
2011-20 (the period analyzed in the previous project support funds are similarly uncommon.
edition). Over the most recent decade, PPPs
have accounted for 11% of total infrastructure The share of tendered PPPs reaching
spending, on average, up from 9% during 2011-20. successful financing remains below 60%.
Headwinds include rising capital costs, gaps
The number of PPP projects has grown by in risk management and inadequate project
more than 25% since the 2021/22 Infrascope preparation. Across the region, less than 60%
edition. There were about 640 total PPPs of tendered PPPs reached financial close
financed in Latin America and the Caribbean in during the past decade, a rate that has held
2014-23 (covered in this edition), up from about steady since the previous edition. Elevated
500 during 2011-20 (covered in the previous borrowing costs in recent years stand out as
edition). The transport and renewables sectors a key challenge for financing infrastructure
make up the largest share of projects, at 37% and projects, with institutional investor participation
36% respectively.6 in PPPs also stagnating in recent years. Further
deterrents include gaps in risk management
PPPs are a growing priority in national policies and inadequate practices around project
agendas, especially in smaller countries. prioritization and preparation.
Two countries have codified new PPP policies
(Belize) or procurement guidance for PPPs Only a quarter of countries formally integrate
(Barbados) for the first time.7 Meanwhile, four lessons from completed PPPs into future
emerging markets have implemented key projects. This gap puts the region at risk of
PPP updates (Ecuador, Jamaica, Paraguay, and repeating the same infrastructure mistakes
Trinidad and Tobago). Political commitment again and again. To accelerate progress toward
to PPPs has generally strengthened across the an impact-driven PPP ecosystem, countries
region, but some political obstacles are evident need a disciplined approach to assessing the
in El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua. quality outcomes of operational infrastructure,
evaluating results and lessons from completed
Institutional capacity to support PPPs projects, and integrating those lessons into
remains a critical and persistent challenge project selection. However, most countries lack
across the region. PPP agencies are fully comprehensive practices in these areas.
operational in just half of the region’s 26
countries. Another seven have PPP units with
limited functionality, jurisdiction or public
activity, and six countries have no PPP unit at all.
6
Source: IJ Global, cross-checked with the World Bank PPI database. Data may include projects that are developed under PPP, sectoral or concession laws,
with differences among countries. Focuses on greenfield and brownfield projects; excludes asset acquisition, company acquisition, securitization and
refinancing transactions.
7
Barbados’s guidance is contained within the country’s 2021 Public Procurement Act.
Figure 1
Top performers and average regional scores across the Infrascope’s five categories
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Average Chile
66.9 97.5
Average Peru
38.1 71.6
3) Financing
Average Brazil
51.8 82.8
Average Chile
48.4 80.4
Average Brazil
26.5 72.1
Key findings
Figure 2
PPP investment is rising in Latin America and the Caribbean
PPP investment, US$bn
22.1
21.1 20
20.9
20.3
Trend
16.4 15
13.2
12.2 12.0
11.1 11.2 10
10.0
7.1 7.6
5
0
2011 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Source: IJ Global, cross-checked with the World Bank PPI database. Data may include projects that are developed under PPP, sectoral or concession laws,
with differences among countries. Focuses on greenfield and brownfield projects; excludes asset acquisition, company acquisition, securitization and
refinancing transactions.
8
These periods correspond to the years analyzed in the 2023/24 and 2021/22 Infrascope
293
Figure 3
Number of PPPs reaching financial close in a ten-year period
2011-20 2014-23
74
68 69
52
49
43 44
40
28
23
20 22
18
10 10 11 12
7 9
4 6 6 6
2 3 3
Source: IJ Global, cross-checked with the World Bank PPI database. Data may include projects that are developed under PPP, sectoral or concession laws,
with differences among countries. Focuses on greenfield and brownfield projects; excludes asset acquisition, company acquisition, securitization and
refinancing transactions.
Figure 4
Number of PPPs by sector, 2014-23
Transport
237
Renewables
233
Energy (non-renewables)
104
Water and waste
39
Social infrastructure
27
Source: IJ Global, cross-checked with the World Bank PPI database. Data may include projects that are developed under PPP, sectoral or concession laws,
with differences among countries. Focuses on greenfield and brownfield projects; excludes asset acquisition, company acquisition, securitization and
refinancing transactions.
Note: not all policy updates shown here necessarily result in comparable
score changes in the Infrascope (for example, when a new policy replaces a
previously functional framework, this may result in no score change).
9
Suriname has also made a push toward developing a PPP policy. The Minister of Public Works has developed an informal list of proposed guidelines for the
procurement and processing of PPPs, but this has not yet been codified into law or formally approved
Financial support for project development efforts A PPP unit exists, but it has No PPP unit
is even more rare. Project development funds are limited functionality, 6 countries
lacking in 15 countries, while viability gap funding jurisdiction or public activity
is formalized only in Brazil and Mexico and 7 countries
functionally permitted in the Bahamas.
Source: Economist Impact
Figure 7
The region is largely lacking when it comes to ex-post project evaluation
Number of countries that…
3/26 7/26
countries countries
Figure 8
Few countries have shown improvement on sustainability-related indicators
Average performance across sustainability-related indicators, score out of 100
2021/22 2023/24
50 50 47 44 44 40 40 39 39 37 35 35
20
12
35 35 35 35
29 29 28 28 27 27 25 25 22 22
18
12 12 12 12 11 11 11 11 10 10 9 9
7
8 8 5 5 2 2 0 0 0 0
Bolivia Bahamas Suriname Barbados Trinidad and
Tobago
Figure 9
Region-wide performance across sustainability-related indicators is lagging
Average scores across 26 countries
Average 2.4.1) Environmental 2.4.2) Social 4.3) Disaster risk 5.4) Impact on
sustainability and community equitability environmental and
score impacts social outcomes
Environmental and community impacts can However, Peru—the overall leader in this area—did
be a mixed bag: nearly all countries require launch a National Sustainable Infrastructure Plan
environmental impact studies, but beyond this, for Competitiveness in 2022, further strengthening
countries often lack consistent methodologies, the country’s ongoing efforts to prioritize socially,
public transparency and incentives to promote economically and environmentally sustainable
future-proofing and resilience. Since the 2021/22 projects, particularly PPPs.
edition, only Ecuador and Paraguay have
strengthened these processes. Ecuador recently Despite Latin America and the Caribbean being
published guidelines around PPP prioritization one of the most vulnerable regions to climate
that establish criteria for projects to be rated change and extreme weather events, its progress
based on climate resilience parameters and in adopting disaster risk criteria for PPPs has been
strategies. Meanwhile, Paraguay issued a guide slow. Only Jamaica achieves a “developed” status
to establish minimum environmental criteria in this area (scoring at least 60/100). Alongside
and procedures for environmental assessments, Ecuador, Jamaica is the only country that has made
including integrating national climate change improvements related to disaster risk. Recently,
criteria into their PPP identification, selection the Development Bank of Jamaica’s PPP unit took
and development processes. instrumental steps in publishing new guidelines
focused on integrating climate resilience into PPPs.
Community consultations—a vital tool for keeping It also instituted new requirements for disaster risk
sustainability and impact at the center of PPP insurance coverage for PPP contracts.
development—generally lack transparency in
the region. Only Brazil, Chile, Guatemala and To achieve long-lasting and comprehensive results
Panama legally require findings from community when it comes to sustainability, such principles
consultations to be published. Since the must be deeply integrated into all stages of PPP
previous edition, no countries have registered development, not just addressed in broad terms
improvements in this area. in regulatory documents. This means embedding
sustainability criteria into policy frameworks,
Similarly, criteria for guiding PPPs toward greater project preparation guides, management
social equity remain rare across the region. Only processes and, crucially, into project evaluation.
Ecuador has improved in this area, owing to new Without rethinking sustainability as a core guiding
guidelines for PPP prioritization that address principle of PPPs, the region will face challenges in
gender and MSMEs.10 realizing its environmental and social goals.
10
Micro-, small- and medium-sized enterprises.
Category findings
Procurement Act of 2021; previously lacking Score 0-100 where 100=best. Rank out of 26 countries
specificity for the procurement process, across LAC, 1st=best, = before the rank indicates a tie.
Performance in this category has seen the least 13 th Costa Rica 50.7
11
Source: IJ Global, cross-checked with the World Bank PPI database. Data may include projects that are developed under PPP, sectoral or concession
laws, with differences among countries. Focuses on greenfield and brownfield projects; excludes asset acquisition, company acquisition, securitization
and refinancing transactions.
3. Financing
12
https://www.iadb.org/en/news/bahamas-advances-creation-social-and-inclusive-blue-economy-using-idb-guarantee
13
https://www.iadb.org/en/project/BH-U0001
Chile, the two category leaders. Brazil stands out 7 th Costa Rica 67.3
for its comprehensive risk allocation and project 8 th Guatemala 66.0
monitoring practices, while Chile is stronger in its 9 th Ecuador 59.4
integration of disaster risk processes and excels at 10 th Mexico 58.7
minimizing risks driven by government action. 11 th Dominican Republic 57.2
12 th Peru 56.3
Although this category has seen the strongest Average 48.4
performance improvement, on average, over the
13 th Nicaragua 47.9
past two years, most of it is clustered among a
14 th Honduras 46.1
few countries that have made notable progress,
15 th El Salvador 44.1
including Jamaica, Ecuador and the Dominican
16 th Argentina 43.3
Republic, all with double-digit score increases.
17 th Guyana 43.2
Region-wide, disaster risk processes stand out as
18 th Paraguay 43.0
a glaring underdeveloped area, with only Jamaica
19 th Bahamas 39.1
and Ecuador seeing a change across any of the
20 th Belize 32.2
disaster risk indicators, thanks to their adoption
of new climate-related guidelines for PPPs. 21 st Haiti 28.2
22 nd Suriname 23.6
A second area of concern is related to national 23 rd Barbados 22.0
monitoring and reporting of active PPPs: across 24 th Trinidad and Tobago 20.1
these indicators, only the Dominican Republic, 25 th Bolivia 16.6
Jamaica and Ecuador achieved any improvement. 26 th Venezuela 16.2
The Dominican Republic now ranks second in the
region in this aspect, owing to its recent efforts to Nascent Emerging Developed Mature
improve transparency by publishing regular reports
0 to <30 30 to <60 60 to <80 80 to 100
on ongoing PPP projects and updates to its project
pipeline, available on the PPP unit’s website. Score 0-100 where 100=best. Rank out of 26 countries
across LAC, 1st=best, = before the rank indicates a tie.
Scores in the risk allocation subcategory have
risen for the majority of countries since 2021/22,
driven by stronger financial auditing and reporting
standards in nearly every country. However, there
has also been a notable decline in the availability
of sovereign guarantees for PPPs, with such
support lapsing in four countries.
their PPP portfolios (their project mortality rate =22 nd Barbados 4.8
Country summaries
Argentina has an overall index score of 41.6 out of 100 (ranking 16th of 26 in the region, just below
the average). Although the country has a basic regulatory and institutional foundation for public-
private partnerships (PPPs), political commitment has been volatile through the end of 2023. Recent
legislative developments in 2024 have shown increased support for PPPs, but this time frame is not
covered in the index.14
The Bahamas has an overall index score of 38.5 out of 100 (17th of 26 in the region), demonstrating
emerging potential in its public-private partnership (PPP) capabilities. The Bahamas has a
relatively favorable risk environment and passed a new PPP policy in 2018; however, most
institutional aspects of the policy have yet to be implemented.
Barbados has an overall index score of 22.1 out of 100 (22nd of 26 in the region). It scores relatively low
in all five categories and has not yet implemented any public-private partnerships (PPPs), although it did
recently pass a new National Public Procurement Act in 2021. As a high-income country, Barbados sees
its best ranking in the financing category.
14
Note: index data collection concluded in December 2023.
Belize has an overall index score of 33 out of 100 (20th of 26 in the region). This reflects substantial
progress since the 2021/22 edition, with Belize seeing a greater score increase (12 points) than any other
country. The country’s new public-private partnership (PPP) policy provides a promising foundation;
however, additional strengthening of PPP processes is needed to address key gaps.
Bolivia has an overall index score of 21.5 out of 100 (23rd of 26 in the region). The country does not
have experience with public-private partnerships (PPPs); although regulations permit certain alliances
between state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and the private sector, these have not been used. The country
also faces significant challenges in terms of project preparation, sustainability, risk management,
contract monitoring and performance evaluation.
Brazil has an overall index score of 77.9 out of 100 (1st of 26 in the region, unchanged from 2021/22),
continuing to demonstrate the region’s strongest performance and experience with public-private
partnerships (PPPs), and ranking near the top of most of the index’s five categories.
Note: Brazil is a large and complex market with many different subnational PPP contexts. Future
research will look to understand these realities at a state level.
Chile has an overall index score of 76.9 out of 100 (2nd of 26 in the region). Chile ranks highly across all
categories in the index, with especially strong performance for Regulations and institutions as well as
Risk management and contract monitoring, where it leads the region.
Colombia, one of the region’s fastest-growing markets for PPPs, has an overall index score of 70.3 out
of 100 (3rd of 26 in the region), demonstrating a strong performance across all categories. The country
stands out for its robust regulatory framework, comprehensive public-private (PPP) institutions and
favorable financing environment.
Costa Rica has an overall index score of 56.3 out of 100 (10th of 26 in the region). The country’s score is
supported by a robust risk management environment and above-average project preparation processes.
However, the country is still lacking in terms of co-ordinated oversight of public-private partnership
(PPP) efforts and effective PPP financing.
The Dominican Republic has an overall index score of 50.8 out of 100 (13th in the region),
demonstrating one of the region’s stronger regulatory and institutional foundations (for which it
ranks 6th), owing to recent legislative efforts in 2020. Across the remaining index categories, the
country still exhibits an average performance.
Ecuador attains an overall index score of 56.8 out of 100 (9th of 26 in the region). It has
also seen a substantial improvement since 2021/22 owing to multiple new pieces of legislation
and guidelines covering public-private partnerships (PPPs). Ecuador demonstrates a strong
performance across sustainability and social inclusion indicators, and also stands out for its
attention to performance evaluation and impact monitoring.
El Salvador has an overall index score of 43.2 out of 100 (15th of 26 in the region). The country has
seen a notable drop since the previous edition, following recent legislative alterations to its public-
private partnership (PPP) framework and the dissolution of its previous PPP unit. The country ranks
highest in the Financing category, where it places 12th, although PPP activity has slowed since 2021.
Guatemala has an overall index score of 54.1 out of 100 (11th of 26 in the region). Despite the
country’s well-established public-private partnership (PPP) laws and co-ordinating institutions, it
still has limited experience with PPPs and struggles to approve new projects in the pipeline, which
often require congressional signoff. However, there are strong risk management and performance
evaluation processes in place to manage active PPPs.
Guyana has an overall index score of 34.7 out of 100 (18th of 26 in the region). The country’s
regulatory foundation is relatively new and reasonably solid; however, the country lacks experience
with public-private partnerships (PPPs) and has limited capacity for preparing, implementing and
evaluating projects.
Haiti has an overall index score of 16.6 out of 100 (25th of 26 in the region). Its performance is near the
bottom of the region, even in the country’s strongest-performing categories. Haiti’s score has declined
somewhat since the 2021/22 edition, given recent political instability and the worsening economic crisis.
Honduras has an overall index score of 53.6 out of 100 (12th of 26 in the region). Despite having
signed no new projects recently, Honduras benefits from having several basic institutions and
regulations. Its strongest score in relative terms is in Performance evaluation and impact (ex-post),
where it ranks sixth in the region.
Jamaica has an overall index score of 62.9 out of 100 (6th in the region), demonstrating robust
regulatory and institutional capacity to implement successful public-private partnerships (PPPs),
despite the island’s limited experience and market size.
Mexico has an overall index score of 59.4 out of 100 (8th of 26 in the region). Despite some regulatory
and institutional gaps in its public-private partnership (PPP) framework, the country exhibits one of
the region’s strongest project preparation environments. Overall, Mexico’s performance tends to vary
significantly across the index’s categories.
Nicaragua has an overall index score of 34.2 out of 100 (19th of 26 in the region). The country’s
regulatory foundation for public-private partnerships (PPPs) is below average, but it has comparatively
high scores for building environmental safeguards into its project prioritization and risk identification
processes. However, political support for PPPs has lagged in recent years, and no projects have been
signed since the 2016 PPP law was passed.
Panama has an overall index score of 60.3 out of 100 (7th in the region). Its 2019 public-private
partnership (PPP) legislation contributes to its high performance in the Regulations and institutions
category, where it ranks third. Performance in other categories is relatively strong, but there are
still notable gaps, highlighting the country’s need to build up capacity, especially when it comes to
performance evaluation.
Paraguay has an overall index score of 50.7 out of 100 (14th of 26 in the region). The country’s recent
legislative efforts have resulted in one of the region’s more promising regulatory and institutional
foundations for public-private partnerships (PPPs), although gaps still emerge in areas such as financing,
risk management, contract monitoring and performance evaluation.
Peru has an overall index score of 65.2 out of 100 (5th of 26 in the region). The country showcases a
strong ecosystem for public-private partnership (PPP) development, with a well-established regulatory
framework, comprehensive institutional support, and one of the region’s most robust project
preparation environments.
Suriname has an overall index score of 17.3 out of 100 (24th of 26 in the region), demonstrating
significant need for improvement in establishing both regulatory and institutional foundations to
support successful public-private partnerships (PPPs).
Trinidad and Tobago has an overall index score of 25.5 out of 100 (21st of 26 in the region).
Despite its limited experience with public-private partnerships (PPPs), the country has
meaningful potential to capitalize on its favorable financing environment and on the PPP
regulations it already has in place.
Uruguay has an overall index score of 65.8 out of 100 (4th of 26 in the region), supported by
strong public-private partnership (PPP) institutions, which are highly successful at financing and
overseeing projects. The country has also earned a reputation for fairness and flexibility regarding
contractual changes. Despite these strengths, Uruguay still faces some challenges in areas such as
project preparation and sustainability.
Venezuela has an overall index score of 16.0 out of 100 (ranking last of 26 countries in the region).
This can mainly be attributed to the lack of a regulatory framework focused on public-private
partnerships (PPPs) in infrastructure, the dearth of political will for such projects and a poor
financing environment. It ranks near the bottom of all five index categories.
While every effort has been taken to verify the accuracy of this
information, Economist Impact cannot accept any responsibility
or liability for reliance by any person on this report or any of the
information, opinions or conclusions set out in this report.
The findings and views expressed in the report do not necessarily
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